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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Man United 2–1 Chelsea

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.60 fair 2.91
Draw 3.80 fair 4.11
Away 2.45 fair 2.42
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Chelsea
11 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 5
13 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (45 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–2 8.8% 0–1 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:7
Chelsea before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.25scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:3
Man United all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.25
1.75 Goals conceded 0.75
2.75 Total goals 3.00
17.50 Shots 15.00
4.50 Shots on target 5.50
10.25 Shots faced 10.50
5.00 Corners 7.00
4.00 Corners against 4.50
9.25 Fouls 10.00
0.75 Yellow cards 1.75
0.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%
25% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
50% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
0% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Chelsea all matches
Man United before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Chelsea before this match, away
2.00points / match
3.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 7:3
Man United at home away Chelsea

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 3.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 5.00
24.00 Shots 14.00
6.50 Shots on target 6.50
7.50 Shots faced 9.50
5.00 Corners 5.50
2.50 Corners against 6.00
9.50 Fouls 9.50
1.00 Yellow cards 1.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 100%
50% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
50% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
24.08.25 Fulham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.15 1.80 2.00
17.08.25 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.83 2.03
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
16.05.25 Chelsea – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
11.05.25 Man United – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.903.604.00 1.73 2.10
04.05.25 Brentford – Man United 4–3 (2–1) 1.654.104.75 1.67 2.20
27.04.25 Bournemouth – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 1.674.004.50 1.67 2.20
20.04.25 Man United – Wolves 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.97 1.93

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (1–0) 4.503.901.73 1.73 2.10
30.08.25 Chelsea – Fulham 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.25 1.67 2.20
22.08.25 West Ham – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 4.753.801.73 1.73 2.10
17.08.25 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.50 1.67 2.20
25.05.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.20
16.05.25 Chelsea – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
11.05.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.753.10 1.57 2.38
04.05.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.703.10 1.53 2.50
26.04.25 Chelsea – Everton 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 1.88 2.02
20.04.25 Fulham – Chelsea 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.702.35 1.84 2.06

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
17.08.25 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.83 2.03
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
11.05.25 Man United – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.903.604.00 1.73 2.10
20.04.25 Man United – Wolves 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.97 1.93
06.04.25 Man United – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.67 2.20
09.03.25 Man United – Arsenal 1–1 (1–0) 5.753.501.70 2.15 1.62
26.02.25 Man United – Ipswich 3–2 (2–2) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.20
02.02.25 Man United – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.87 2.03
19.01.25 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (1–0) 4.503.901.73 1.73 2.10
22.08.25 West Ham – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 4.753.801.73 1.73 2.10
25.05.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.20
11.05.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.753.10 1.57 2.38
20.04.25 Fulham – Chelsea 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.702.35 1.84 2.06
06.04.25 Brentford – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.53 2.50
16.03.25 Arsenal – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.86 1.92
22.02.25 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.60 1.57 2.38
14.02.25 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
25.01.25 Man City – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.30 1.40 3.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsChelsea wins
8matches
3.00goals / match
38%over 2.5
88%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.05.25E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
03.11.24E0 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.44 2.75
04.04.24E0 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00
06.12.23E0 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
25.05.23E0 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
22.10.22E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.91 1.99
28.04.22E0 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
28.11.21E0 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 5 5 0 0 11 5 +6 15
2 Tottenham 5 3 1 1 10 3 +7 10
3 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 9 1 +8 9
4 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 0 6 2 +4 9
5 Bournemouth 4 3 0 1 6 5 +1 9
6 Chelsea 4 2 2 0 9 3 +6 8
7 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
8 Everton 5 2 1 2 6 5 +1 7
9 Leeds 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 7
10 Man City 4 2 0 2 8 4 +4 6
11 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
12 Fulham 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
13 Brighton 5 1 2 2 6 8 -2 5
14 Nott'm Forest 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
15 Brentford 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
16 Burnley 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
17 Man United 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
18 West Ham 5 1 0 4 5 13 -8 3
19 Aston Villa 4 0 2 2 0 4 -4 2
20 Wolves 5 0 0 5 3 12 -9 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 7 3 +4 9
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 8 0 +8 6
3 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
5 Brighton 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
6 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
7 Everton 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
8 Brentford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
9 Burnley 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
10 Fulham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
11 Leeds 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
12 Tottenham 2 1 0 1 3 1 +2 3
13 Man City 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
14 Man United 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
15 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
16 Nott'm Forest 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
17 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
18 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
19 Wolves 3 0 0 3 3 10 -7 0
20 West Ham 3 0 0 3 2 10 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
2 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
4 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 7 3 +4 4
5 Man City 2 1 0 1 5 2 +3 3
6 West Ham 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
7 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
8 Everton 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
9 Bournemouth 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
10 Leeds 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
11 Newcastle 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
12 Nott'm Forest 3 0 2 1 2 5 -3 2
13 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
14 Fulham 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
15 Sunderland 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 1
16 Man United 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
17 Wolves 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
18 Brentford 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
19 Brighton 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
20 Burnley 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0

Man United   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 5 0 5 1.0 2.6 1 0 4 5 13 3
2 1 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.2 1.0 5 0 0 11 5 15
3 2 Tottenham 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 3 1 1 10 3 10
4 10 Man City 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 0 2 8 4 6
5 13 Brighton 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 2 2 6 8 5
6 14 Nott'm Forest 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
7 15 Brentford 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
8 20 Wolves 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 0 5 3 12 0
9 3 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.2 0.2 3 0 1 9 1 9
10 4 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 2 3 0 6 2 9
11 5 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 3 0 1 6 5 9
12 6 Chelsea 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 2 2 0 9 3 8
13 7 Sunderland 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
14 8 Everton 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 2 6 5 7
15 9 Leeds 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 2 4 7 7
16 16 Burnley 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
17 17 Man United 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
18 11 Newcastle 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
19 19 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0.0 1.0 0 2 2 0 4 2
20 12 Fulham 4 4 0 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 3 0 3 0.7 3.3 0 0 3 2 10 0
2 20 Wolves 3 0 3 1.0 3.3 0 0 3 3 10 0
3 1 Liverpool 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 3 0 0 7 3 9
4 3 Arsenal 2 0 2 4.0 0.0 2 0 0 8 0 6
5 7 Sunderland 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
6 13 Brighton 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
7 14 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
8 2 Tottenham 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 0 1 3 1 3
9 5 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
10 10 Man City 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
11 11 Newcastle 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
12 15 Brentford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
13 17 Man United 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
14 19 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
15 4 Crystal Palace 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
16 6 Chelsea 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
17 8 Everton 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
18 9 Leeds 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
19 12 Fulham 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
20 16 Burnley 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Tottenham 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
2 4 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
3 6 Chelsea 2 0 2 3.5 1.5 1 1 0 7 3 4
4 8 Everton 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
5 9 Leeds 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
6 10 Man City 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 1 0 1 5 2 3
7 15 Brentford 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
8 16 Burnley 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
9 18 West Ham 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
10 1 Liverpool 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
11 5 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
12 13 Brighton 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
13 14 Nott'm Forest 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 2 1 2 5 2
14 17 Man United 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
15 3 Arsenal 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
16 7 Sunderland 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 1 0 2 1
17 11 Newcastle 2 2 0 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0 0 2
18 12 Fulham 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
19 19 Aston Villa 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
20 20 Wolves 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06