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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Barrott

Man United 3–2 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 2.32
Draw 5.25 fair 4.01
Away 8.00 fair 3.13
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Burnley
26 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 1
9 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (21 league matches this season so far).
Result Man United to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.1% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:2
Burnley before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:3
Man United all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
1.50 Total goals 2.50
16.00 Shots 10.50
5.00 Shots on target 3.00
11.00 Shots faced 12.50
4.50 Corners 4.50
6.50 Corners against 4.50
10.00 Fouls 8.50
1.00 Yellow cards 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Burnley all matches
Man United before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:1
Burnley before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:3
Man United at home away Burnley

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded 3.00
1.00 Total goals 3.00
22.00 Shots 14.00
7.00 Shots on target 4.00
9.00 Shots faced 16.00
3.00 Corners 5.00
4.00 Corners against 6.00
10.00 Fouls 8.00
1.00 Yellow cards 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 0%
100% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.25 Fulham – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.15 1.80 2.00
17.08.25 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.83 2.03
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
16.05.25 Chelsea – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
11.05.25 Man United – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.903.604.00 1.73 2.10
04.05.25 Brentford – Man United 4–3 (2–1) 1.654.104.75 1.67 2.20
27.04.25 Bournemouth – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 1.674.004.50 1.67 2.20
20.04.25 Man United – Wolves 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.97 1.93
13.04.25 Newcastle – Man United 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.204.75 1.67 2.20
06.04.25 Man United – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.67 2.20

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Burnley – Sunderland 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.62
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
03.05.25E1 Burnley – Millwall 3–1 (1–1) 1.623.705.75 2.00 1.80
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
21.04.25E1 Burnley – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.503.90 2.50 1.53
18.04.25E1 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
11.04.25E1 Burnley – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 1.603.905.50 2.00 1.80
08.04.25E1 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
05.04.25E1 Coventry – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67
29.03.25E1 Burnley – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.00 2.30 1.62

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.25 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.83 2.03
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
11.05.25 Man United – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.903.604.00 1.73 2.10
20.04.25 Man United – Wolves 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.97 1.93
06.04.25 Man United – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.67 2.20
09.03.25 Man United – Arsenal 1–1 (1–0) 5.753.501.70 2.15 1.62
26.02.25 Man United – Ipswich 3–2 (2–2) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.20
02.02.25 Man United – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.87 2.03
19.01.25 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
16.01.25 Man United – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.50

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
18.04.25E1 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
08.04.25E1 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
05.04.25E1 Coventry – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67
15.03.25E1 Swansea – Burnley 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.202.10 2.50 1.53
04.03.25E1 Cardiff – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 4.203.401.90 2.57 1.46
15.02.25E1 Preston – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.252.05 2.75 1.44
01.02.25E1 Portsmouth – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 5.003.401.75 2.20 1.67
22.01.25E1 Plymouth – Burnley 0–5 (0–5) 6.003.601.60 2.05 1.68

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsBurnley wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24E0 Man United – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.36 3.20
23.09.23E0 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
08.02.22E0 Burnley – Man United 1–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.61 1.85 2.05
30.12.21E0 Man United – Burnley 3–1 (3–1) 1.365.009.00 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6
3 Tottenham 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
4 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 7 4 +3 6
5 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
6 Man City 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
7 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
8 Everton 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
9 Bournemouth 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
10 Brentford 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
11 Burnley 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
12 Leeds 2 1 0 1 1 5 -4 3
13 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
14 Fulham 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
15 Newcastle 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Man United 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
17 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
18 Brighton 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
19 Wolves 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
20 West Ham 2 0 0 2 1 8 -7 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
2 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 5 0 +5 3
3 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
4 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
5 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 4 2 +2 3
6 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
7 Burnley 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
8 Everton 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
9 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Brentford 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Leeds 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
12 Brighton 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
13 Crystal Palace 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Fulham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
16 Newcastle 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
17 Man United 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Man City 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
19 West Ham 1 0 0 1 1 5 -4 0
20 Wolves 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 5 1 +4 3
2 Man City 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
3 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Man United 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
7 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
8 Crystal Palace 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
9 Newcastle 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
10 Fulham 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
11 Aston Villa 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
12 Everton 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
13 Wolves 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2 0
15 Brentford 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
16 Brighton 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
17 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
18 Burnley 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
19 West Ham 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
20 Leeds 1 0 0 1 0 5 -5 0

Man United   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Liverpool 2 0 2 3.5 2.0 2 0 0 7 4 6
2 20 West Ham 2 0 2 0.5 4.0 0 0 2 1 8 0
3 1 Chelsea 3 2 1 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
4 2 Arsenal 2 1 1 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6
5 3 Tottenham 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
6 5 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
7 6 Man City 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
8 7 Sunderland 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
9 9 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
10 10 Brentford 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
11 11 Burnley 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
12 12 Leeds 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 1 0 1 1 5 3
13 15 Newcastle 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
14 19 Wolves 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
15 8 Everton 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
16 13 Crystal Palace 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
17 14 Fulham 3 3 0 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
18 16 Man United 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
19 17 Aston Villa 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
20 18 Brighton 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Arsenal 1 0 1 5.0 0.0 1 0 0 5 0 3
2 3 Tottenham 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
3 4 Liverpool 1 0 1 4.0 2.0 1 0 0 4 2 3
4 5 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
5 7 Sunderland 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
6 15 Newcastle 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
7 19 Wolves 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
8 20 West Ham 1 0 1 1.0 5.0 0 0 1 1 5 0
9 1 Chelsea 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
10 6 Man City 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
11 8 Everton 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
12 9 Bournemouth 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 10 Brentford 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
14 11 Burnley 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
15 12 Leeds 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
16 13 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 14 Fulham 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 16 Man United 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
19 17 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
20 18 Brighton 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Chelsea 1 0 1 5.0 1.0 1 0 0 5 1 3
2 4 Liverpool 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
3 6 Man City 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
4 9 Bournemouth 1 0 1 2.0 4.0 0 0 1 2 4 0
5 10 Brentford 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
6 11 Burnley 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
7 12 Leeds 1 0 1 0.0 5.0 0 0 1 0 5 0
8 20 West Ham 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
9 2 Arsenal 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
10 3 Tottenham 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
11 5 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
12 7 Sunderland 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
13 8 Everton 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
14 13 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
15 14 Fulham 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
16 15 Newcastle 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
17 16 Man United 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 17 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
19 18 Brighton 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
20 19 Wolves 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44