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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Toulouse 2–2 Marseille

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.70 fair 2.58
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.88
Away 2.55 fair 2.82
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.99 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Toulouse Marseille
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 4
11 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (265 league matches this season so far).
Result Toulouse to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
ToulouseDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.3% 0–1 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.17scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 34:37
Marseille before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.46scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 41:33
Toulouse all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.46
1.28 Goals conceded 1.18
2.45 Total goals 2.64
11.66 Shots 13.93
4.07 Shots on target 4.64
14.00 Shots faced 10.75
4.24 Corners 5.43
5.59 Corners against 4.61
15.10 Fouls 11.21
2.34 Yellow cards 1.82
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

31% Wins 36%
31% Draws 32%
38% Losses 32%
90% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 79%
55% Over 2.5 goals 43%
14% Over 3.5 goals 29%
7% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
59% Both teams scored 50%
21% Clean sheets 25%
31% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 39%
38% Draws 43%
34% Losses 18%
66% Over 0.5 goals 71%
24% Over 1.5 goals 39%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse all matches
Marseille all matches
Toulouse before this match, at home
1.07points / match
1.29scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:18
Marseille before this match, away
0.71points / match
1.21scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:24
Toulouse at home away Marseille

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.21
1.29 Goals conceded 1.71
2.57 Total goals 2.93
13.57 Shots 13.21
4.86 Shots on target 3.93
12.00 Shots faced 11.86
5.21 Corners 5.43
5.14 Corners against 4.57
14.64 Fouls 12.86
2.00 Yellow cards 2.43
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

21% Wins 14%
43% Draws 29%
36% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
57% Over 2.5 goals 43%
21% Over 3.5 goals 43%
7% Over 4.5 goals 21%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
71% Both teams scored 57%
21% Clean sheets 0%
21% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 21%
43% Draws 50%
43% Losses 29%
57% Over 0.5 goals 71%
21% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Rennes – Toulouse 1–2 (1–2) 1.803.604.33 1.92 1.98
07.04.24 Toulouse – Strasbourg 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.91 1.99
31.03.24 Clermont – Toulouse 0–3 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 2.07 1.83
15.03.24 Toulouse – Lyon 2–3 (0–1) 2.883.202.60 2.08 1.82
10.03.24 Le Havre – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.63 2.15 1.67
03.03.24 Toulouse – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.403.202.25 2.30 1.60
25.02.24 Toulouse – Lille 3–1 (0–1) 4.203.401.91 2.03 1.87
18.02.24 Monaco – Toulouse 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.60 2.30
11.02.24 Toulouse – Nantes 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.303.40 2.05 1.75
04.02.24 Reims – Toulouse 2–3 (0–3) 1.753.504.75 1.98 1.92

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.24 Lille – Marseille 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.75 2.08 1.82
31.03.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
17.03.24 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.93 1.97
10.03.24 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.87 2.03
02.03.24 Clermont – Marseille 1–5 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.91 1.99
25.02.24 Marseille – Montpellier 4–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.75 1.84 2.06
18.02.24 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67
09.02.24 Marseille – Metz 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 2.00 1.90
04.02.24 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.95 1.95
27.01.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–2 (1–2) 2.403.602.75 1.70 2.10

Toulouse at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.24 Toulouse – Strasbourg 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.91 1.99
15.03.24 Toulouse – Lyon 2–3 (0–1) 2.883.202.60 2.08 1.82
03.03.24 Toulouse – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.403.202.25 2.30 1.60
25.02.24 Toulouse – Lille 3–1 (0–1) 4.203.401.91 2.03 1.87
11.02.24 Toulouse – Nantes 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.303.40 2.05 1.75
28.01.24 Toulouse – Lens 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.99 1.91
20.12.23 Toulouse – Monaco 1–2 (1–2) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Toulouse – Rennes 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.89 2.01
03.12.23 Toulouse – Lorient 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 1.99 1.91
05.11.23 Toulouse – Le Havre 1–2 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.73

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.24 Lille – Marseille 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.75 2.08 1.82
17.03.24 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.93 1.97
02.03.24 Clermont – Marseille 1–5 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.91 1.99
18.02.24 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67
04.02.24 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.95 1.95
20.12.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.602.05 1.80 2.00
10.12.23 Lorient – Marseille 2–4 (1–4) 4.753.601.80 1.97 1.93
25.11.23 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.91 2.08 1.82
12.11.23 Lens – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.89 2.01
21.10.23 Nice – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.06 1.84

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Toulouse winsDrawsMarseille wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.23F1 Marseille – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.38
19.02.23F1 Toulouse – Marseille 2–3 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.67 2.20
29.12.22F1 Marseille – Toulouse 6–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 28 18 9 1 65 24 +41 63 DDDWWD
2 Monaco 29 16 7 6 55 38 +17 55 DWDWWW
3 Brest 30 15 8 7 44 29 +15 53 LDWWLL
4 Lille 29 14 10 5 43 25 +18 52 WDDWWW
5 Nice 29 13 8 8 31 22 +9 47 LLWLDW
6 Lens 30 13 7 10 39 32 +7 46 WLLDLW
7 Rennes 30 11 9 10 44 36 +8 42 DWLLLW
8 Lyon 29 12 5 12 38 45 -7 41 LWWDWW
9 Reims 30 11 7 12 37 41 -4 40 DWDDLL
10 Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 +8 39 WWWLLL
11 Montpellier 30 9 10 11 38 42 -4 37 WLWWDW
12 Toulouse 29 9 9 11 34 37 -3 36 WLLWDW
13 Strasbourg 30 9 9 12 33 41 -8 36 LWWDWL
14 Nantes 30 9 4 17 28 48 -20 31 LLWLWL
15 Metz 30 8 5 17 31 49 -18 29 WLLLWW
16 Le Havre 30 6 10 14 27 38 -11 28 WLLDLL
17 Lorient 29 6 8 15 35 55 -20 26 WLDLLL
18 Clermont 30 4 10 16 21 49 -28 22 LWLDDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lille 15 11 3 1 29 8 +21 36 WWDWWW
2 Paris SG 14 8 5 1 34 15 +19 29 WDWDDD
3 Marseille 14 8 5 1 24 9 +15 29 DDDWWL
4 Brest 15 8 5 2 24 13 +11 29 DWWDWL
5 Nice 15 8 4 3 19 9 +10 28 WLDLLW
6 Lens 15 8 3 4 23 16 +7 27 WLWLDW
7 Rennes 15 7 3 5 29 20 +9 24 WWWLWL
8 Monaco 14 7 3 4 21 13 +8 24 LDLDDW
9 Strasbourg 15 6 3 6 19 19 0 21 LLLLWW
10 Reims 15 6 3 6 16 17 -1 21 LDLWDL
11 Lyon 15 5 4 6 20 26 -6 19 LWWLDW
12 Montpellier 15 3 8 4 19 20 -1 17 DLWDLW
13 Le Havre 15 5 2 8 14 16 -2 17 LLWLLL
14 Toulouse 14 3 6 5 18 18 0 15 LLWWLD
15 Lorient 14 3 4 7 19 24 -5 13 LDWLLL
16 Metz 14 3 3 8 14 20 -6 12 LLLWLW
17 Nantes 16 3 3 10 16 28 -12 12 LLLLLL
18 Clermont 15 2 5 8 10 25 -15 11 DDLWLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 14 10 4 0 31 9 +22 34 WWWDWW
2 Monaco 15 9 4 2 34 25 +9 31 DWWWWW
3 Brest 15 7 3 5 20 16 +4 24 DDWLWL
4 Lyon 14 7 1 6 18 19 -1 22 LWWWWW
5 Toulouse 15 6 3 6 16 19 -3 21 WWWLWW
6 Montpellier 15 6 2 7 19 22 -3 20 LLWWDW
7 Lens 15 5 4 6 16 16 0 19 WWDWLL
8 Nice 14 5 4 5 12 13 -1 19 LDLLWD
9 Reims 15 5 4 6 21 24 -3 19 WLWDDL
10 Nantes 14 6 1 7 12 20 -8 19 DWWLWW
11 Rennes 15 4 6 5 15 16 -1 18 WDDLLW
12 Metz 16 5 2 9 17 29 -12 17 DLWLLW
13 Lille 14 3 7 4 14 17 -3 16 LDLLWD
14 Strasbourg 15 3 6 6 14 22 -8 15 DLDWDL
15 Lorient 15 3 4 8 16 31 -15 13 WWWDLL
16 Le Havre 15 1 8 6 13 22 -9 11 DDLLLD
17 Clermont 15 2 5 8 11 24 -13 11 LLDLDL
18 Marseille 14 2 4 8 17 24 -7 10 DLLWLL

Toulouse   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Monaco 29 11 18 1.9 1.3 16 7 6 55 38 55 UUOOUU
2 17 Lorient 29 11 18 1.2 1.9 6 8 15 35 55 26 OUOUUO
3 1 Paris SG 28 11 17 2.3 0.9 18 9 1 65 24 63 UUOOUU
4 9 Reims 30 13 17 1.2 1.4 11 7 12 37 41 40 OOUUOO
5 7 Rennes 30 14 16 1.5 1.2 11 9 10 44 36 42 OUUUOO
6 8 Lyon 29 13 16 1.3 1.6 12 5 12 38 45 41 OUOUOO
7 11 Montpellier 30 14 16 1.3 1.4 9 10 11 38 42 37 OOUUUO
8 12 Toulouse 29 13 16 1.2 1.3 9 9 11 34 37 36 OUOOUO
9 13 Strasbourg 30 14 16 1.1 1.4 9 9 12 33 41 36 UOUUOU
10 15 Metz 30 15 15 1.0 1.6 8 5 17 31 49 29 UOOOOU
11 14 Nantes 30 16 14 0.9 1.6 9 4 17 28 48 31 UOOOUO
12 16 Le Havre 30 16 14 0.9 1.3 6 10 14 27 38 28 UOUUUU
13 18 Clermont 30 16 14 0.7 1.6 4 10 16 21 49 22 UOOUUU
14 6 Lens 30 17 13 1.3 1.1 13 7 10 39 32 46 UOOUOU
15 4 Lille 29 17 12 1.5 0.9 14 10 5 43 25 52 UOUOOU
16 10 Marseille 28 16 12 1.5 1.2 10 9 9 41 33 39 OOUUUO
17 3 Brest 30 19 11 1.5 1.0 15 8 7 44 29 53 UUUOOU
18 5 Nice 29 20 9 1.1 0.8 13 8 8 31 22 47 OOOOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Paris SG 14 3 11 2.4 1.1 8 5 1 34 15 29 OOOUOU
2 7 Rennes 15 4 11 1.9 1.3 7 3 5 29 20 24 UOOOUO
3 13 Strasbourg 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 6 3 6 19 19 21 OOOUUO
4 8 Lyon 15 7 8 1.3 1.7 5 4 6 20 26 19 OUUOUO
5 11 Montpellier 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 3 8 4 19 20 17 UOOOOU
6 12 Toulouse 14 6 8 1.3 1.3 3 6 5 18 18 15 UOOOOU
7 17 Lorient 14 6 8 1.4 1.7 3 4 7 19 24 13 OOUUUU
8 2 Monaco 14 7 7 1.5 0.9 7 3 4 21 13 24 OUOUOU
9 4 Lille 15 8 7 1.9 0.5 11 3 1 29 8 36 OOOOOU
10 9 Reims 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 17 21 OUUOUO
11 14 Nantes 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 3 10 16 28 12 UUUOOO
12 15 Metz 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 3 8 14 20 12 UOOUOO
13 6 Lens 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 8 3 4 23 16 27 OOUOUU
14 10 Marseille 14 8 6 1.7 0.6 8 5 1 24 9 29 UOUOUU
15 16 Le Havre 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 14 16 17 UOUUUU
16 18 Clermont 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 2 5 8 10 25 11 UUOOOU
17 3 Brest 15 10 5 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 13 29 UUUUOU
18 5 Nice 15 10 5 1.3 0.6 8 4 3 19 9 28 UOUOOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Monaco 15 4 11 2.3 1.7 9 4 2 34 25 31 OOOUOU
2 9 Reims 15 5 10 1.4 1.6 5 4 6 21 24 19 OUOOUO
3 17 Lorient 15 5 10 1.1 2.1 3 4 8 16 31 13 OOOOUO
4 8 Lyon 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 7 1 6 18 19 22 OOOUOO
5 11 Montpellier 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 22 20 OOOUUO
6 12 Toulouse 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 6 3 6 16 19 21 UOOUOO
7 15 Metz 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 5 2 9 17 29 17 UOUOOU
8 16 Le Havre 15 7 8 0.9 1.5 1 8 6 13 22 11 OUOUOU
9 18 Clermont 15 7 8 0.7 1.6 2 5 8 11 24 11 OOUUUU
10 6 Lens 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 5 4 6 16 16 19 UUUOOO
11 13 Strasbourg 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 3 6 6 14 22 15 UOOOUU
12 14 Nantes 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 6 1 7 12 20 19 UOUUOU
13 1 Paris SG 14 8 6 2.2 0.6 10 4 0 31 9 34 UOUUOU
14 3 Brest 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 7 3 5 20 16 24 OUOUUO
15 10 Marseille 14 8 6 1.2 1.7 2 4 8 17 24 10 UUUOUO
16 4 Lille 14 9 5 1.0 1.2 3 7 4 14 17 16 OUOOUU
17 7 Rennes 15 10 5 1.0 1.1 4 6 5 15 16 18 UUOUUO
18 5 Nice 14 10 4 0.9 0.9 5 4 5 12 13 19 UUUOOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47