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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 2–1 Lens

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.40 fair 2.29
Draw 3.40 fair 3.79
Away 2.90 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 1.92 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.14

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Lens
13 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 11
8 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (278 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawLens
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.50scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 45:37
Lens before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.30scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 39:32
Marseille all matches all matches Lens

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.30
1.23 Goals conceded 1.07
2.73 Total goals 2.37
13.73 Shots 14.13
4.57 Shots on target 4.93
10.70 Shots faced 11.43
5.30 Corners 5.20
4.60 Corners against 3.90
11.23 Fouls 13.37
1.83 Yellow cards 2.43
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

33% Wins 43%
37% Draws 23%
30% Losses 33%
93% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
47% Over 2.5 goals 43%
33% Over 3.5 goals 23%
13% Over 4.5 goals 10%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 43%
23% Clean sheets 43%
30% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 37%
47% Draws 33%
17% Losses 30%
73% Over 0.5 goals 77%
43% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Lens all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.73scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:11
Lens before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.07scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:16
Marseille at home away Lens

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.07
0.73 Goals conceded 1.07
2.47 Total goals 2.13
14.40 Shots 12.47
5.27 Shots on target 4.27
9.67 Shots faced 12.47
5.27 Corners 4.13
4.47 Corners against 4.00
9.60 Fouls 13.80
1.27 Yellow cards 3.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

53% Wins 33%
40% Draws 27%
7% Losses 40%
87% Over 0.5 goals 80%
87% Over 1.5 goals 67%
47% Over 2.5 goals 47%
20% Over 3.5 goals 13%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 33%
47% Clean sheets 53%
20% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 33%
40% Draws 40%
7% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 67%
47% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Lens away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.24 Marseille – Nice 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.403.25 2.06 1.84
21.04.24 Toulouse – Marseille 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.55 1.99 1.91
05.04.24 Lille – Marseille 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.75 2.08 1.82
31.03.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
17.03.24 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.93 1.97
10.03.24 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.87 2.03
02.03.24 Clermont – Marseille 1–5 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.91 1.99
25.02.24 Marseille – Montpellier 4–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.75 1.84 2.06
18.02.24 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67
09.02.24 Marseille – Metz 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 2.00 1.90

Lens all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Lens – Clermont 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
12.04.24 Metz – Lens 2–1 (2–1) 5.003.751.70 1.93 1.97
06.04.24 Lens – Le Havre 1–1 (0–0) 1.534.007.00 2.04 1.86
29.03.24 Lille – Lens 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
16.03.24 Lens – Nice 1–3 (0–1) 2.003.404.00 2.10 1.70
09.03.24 Lens – Brest 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.15 1.67
03.03.24 Lyon – Lens 0–3 (0–1) 2.553.402.75 1.99 1.91
25.02.24 Lens – Monaco 2–3 (1–2) 2.383.502.90 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Reims – Lens 1–1 (1–1) 2.803.202.63 2.06 1.84
10.02.24 Lens – Strasbourg 3–1 (2–1) 1.623.805.75 2.04 1.86

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.24 Marseille – Nice 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.403.25 2.06 1.84
31.03.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
10.03.24 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.87 2.03
25.02.24 Marseille – Montpellier 4–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.75 1.84 2.06
09.02.24 Marseille – Metz 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 2.00 1.90
27.01.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–2 (1–2) 2.403.602.75 1.70 2.10
12.01.24 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.08 1.73
17.12.23 Marseille – Clermont 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08
06.12.23 Marseille – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 1.673.804.75 1.75 2.05
03.12.23 Marseille – Rennes 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.80 1.84 2.06

Lens away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.24 Metz – Lens 2–1 (2–1) 5.003.751.70 1.93 1.97
29.03.24 Lille – Lens 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
03.03.24 Lyon – Lens 0–3 (0–1) 2.553.402.75 1.99 1.91
18.02.24 Reims – Lens 1–1 (1–1) 2.803.202.63 2.06 1.84
03.02.24 Nantes – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.05 1.75
28.01.24 Toulouse – Lens 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.99 1.91
20.12.23 Nice – Lens 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.25 1.62
08.12.23 Montpellier – Lens 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.15 2.00 1.90
25.11.23 Clermont – Lens 0–3 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 2.05 1.75
04.11.23 Lorient – Lens 0–0 (0–0) 5.003.801.70 1.88 2.02

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsLens wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23F1 Lens – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.89 2.01
06.05.23F1 Lens – Marseille 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.88 2.02
22.10.22F1 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.94 1.96
22.01.22F1 Lens – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.602.70 1.94 1.96
26.09.21F1 Marseille – Lens 2–3 (2–2) 1.723.755.00 1.90 1.90

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 31 20 10 1 76 29 +47 70
2 Monaco 31 17 7 7 58 41 +17 58
3 Brest 31 16 8 7 49 33 +16 56
4 Lille 31 15 10 6 45 27 +18 55
5 Nice 31 14 9 8 36 25 +11 51
6 Lens 30 13 7 10 39 32 +7 46
7 Lyon 31 13 5 13 42 51 -9 44
8 Rennes 31 11 9 11 48 41 +7 42
9 Marseille 30 10 11 9 45 37 +8 41
10 Toulouse 31 10 10 11 38 40 -2 40
11 Reims 31 11 7 13 38 45 -7 40
12 Montpellier 31 9 11 11 39 43 -4 38
13 Strasbourg 31 9 9 13 34 44 -10 36
14 Nantes 31 9 5 17 29 49 -20 32
15 Le Havre 31 6 11 14 30 41 -11 29
16 Metz 31 8 5 18 32 51 -19 29
17 Lorient 31 6 8 17 37 61 -24 26
18 Clermont 31 5 10 16 25 50 -25 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lille 15 11 3 1 29 8 +21 36
2 Paris SG 16 9 6 1 41 19 +22 33
3 Marseille 15 8 6 1 26 11 +15 30
4 Brest 15 8 5 2 24 13 +11 29
5 Nice 15 8 4 3 19 9 +10 28
6 Monaco 15 8 3 4 22 13 +9 27
7 Lens 15 8 3 4 23 16 +7 27
8 Rennes 16 7 3 6 33 25 +8 24
9 Lyon 16 6 4 6 23 28 -5 22
10 Reims 15 6 3 6 16 17 -1 21
11 Strasbourg 16 6 3 7 20 22 -2 21
12 Montpellier 16 3 9 4 20 21 -1 18
13 Le Havre 15 5 2 8 14 16 -2 17
14 Toulouse 15 3 7 5 20 20 0 16
15 Clermont 16 3 5 8 14 26 -12 14
16 Lorient 16 3 4 9 21 30 -9 13
17 Metz 15 3 3 9 15 22 -7 12
18 Nantes 16 3 3 10 16 28 -12 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 15 11 4 0 35 10 +25 37
2 Monaco 16 9 4 3 36 28 +8 31
3 Brest 16 8 3 5 25 20 +5 27
4 Toulouse 16 7 3 6 18 20 -2 24
5 Nice 16 6 5 5 17 16 +1 23
6 Lyon 15 7 1 7 19 23 -4 22
7 Montpellier 15 6 2 7 19 22 -3 20
8 Nantes 15 6 2 7 13 21 -8 20
9 Lens 15 5 4 6 16 16 0 19
10 Lille 16 4 7 5 16 19 -3 19
11 Reims 16 5 4 7 22 28 -6 19
12 Rennes 15 4 6 5 15 16 -1 18
13 Metz 16 5 2 9 17 29 -12 17
14 Strasbourg 15 3 6 6 14 22 -8 15
15 Lorient 15 3 4 8 16 31 -15 13
16 Le Havre 16 1 9 6 16 25 -9 12
17 Marseille 15 2 5 8 19 26 -7 11
18 Clermont 15 2 5 8 11 24 -13 11

Marseille   Lens

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 31 11 20 2.5 0.9 20 10 1 76 29 70
2 17 Lorient 31 11 20 1.2 2.0 6 8 17 37 61 26
3 2 Monaco 31 12 19 1.9 1.3 17 7 7 58 41 58
4 7 Lyon 31 13 18 1.4 1.6 13 5 13 42 51 44
5 10 Toulouse 31 13 18 1.2 1.3 10 10 11 38 40 40
6 11 Reims 31 13 18 1.2 1.5 11 7 13 38 45 40
7 8 Rennes 31 14 17 1.5 1.3 11 9 11 48 41 42
8 13 Strasbourg 31 14 17 1.1 1.4 9 9 13 34 44 36
9 12 Montpellier 31 15 16 1.3 1.4 9 11 11 39 43 38
10 16 Metz 31 15 16 1.0 1.6 8 5 18 32 51 29
11 15 Le Havre 31 16 15 1.0 1.3 6 11 14 30 41 29
12 18 Clermont 31 16 15 0.8 1.6 5 10 16 25 50 25
13 9 Marseille 30 16 14 1.5 1.2 10 11 9 45 37 41
14 14 Nantes 31 17 14 0.9 1.6 9 5 17 29 49 32
15 4 Lille 31 18 13 1.5 0.9 15 10 6 45 27 55
16 6 Lens 30 17 13 1.3 1.1 13 7 10 39 32 46
17 3 Brest 31 19 12 1.6 1.1 16 8 7 49 33 56
18 5 Nice 31 20 11 1.2 0.8 14 9 8 36 25 51
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 16 3 13 2.6 1.2 9 6 1 41 19 33
2 8 Rennes 16 4 12 2.1 1.6 7 3 6 33 25 24
3 13 Strasbourg 16 6 10 1.2 1.4 6 3 7 20 22 21
4 17 Lorient 16 6 10 1.3 1.9 3 4 9 21 30 13
5 7 Lyon 16 7 9 1.4 1.8 6 4 6 23 28 22
6 10 Toulouse 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 3 7 5 20 20 16
7 12 Montpellier 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 3 9 4 20 21 18
8 16 Metz 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 3 3 9 15 22 12
9 2 Monaco 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 8 3 4 22 13 27
10 4 Lille 15 8 7 1.9 0.5 11 3 1 29 8 36
11 9 Marseille 15 8 7 1.7 0.7 8 6 1 26 11 30
12 11 Reims 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 17 21
13 14 Nantes 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 3 10 16 28 12
14 18 Clermont 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 3 5 8 14 26 14
15 6 Lens 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 8 3 4 23 16 27
16 15 Le Havre 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 14 16 17
17 3 Brest 15 10 5 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 13 29
18 5 Nice 15 10 5 1.3 0.6 8 4 3 19 9 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Monaco 16 4 12 2.2 1.8 9 4 3 36 28 31
2 11 Reims 16 5 11 1.4 1.8 5 4 7 22 28 19
3 17 Lorient 15 5 10 1.1 2.1 3 4 8 16 31 13
4 7 Lyon 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 7 1 7 19 23 22
5 10 Toulouse 16 7 9 1.1 1.2 7 3 6 18 20 24
6 15 Le Havre 16 7 9 1.0 1.6 1 9 6 16 25 12
7 12 Montpellier 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 22 20
8 16 Metz 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 5 2 9 17 29 17
9 18 Clermont 15 7 8 0.7 1.6 2 5 8 11 24 11
10 1 Paris SG 15 8 7 2.3 0.7 11 4 0 35 10 37
11 3 Brest 16 9 7 1.6 1.2 8 3 5 25 20 27
12 6 Lens 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 5 4 6 16 16 19
13 9 Marseille 15 8 7 1.3 1.7 2 5 8 19 26 11
14 13 Strasbourg 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 3 6 6 14 22 15
15 14 Nantes 15 8 7 0.9 1.4 6 2 7 13 21 20
16 4 Lille 16 10 6 1.0 1.2 4 7 5 16 19 19
17 5 Nice 16 10 6 1.1 1.0 6 5 5 17 16 23
18 8 Rennes 15 10 5 1.0 1.1 4 6 5 15 16 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51