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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 5–1 St Etienne

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.25 fair 1.48
Draw 6.50 fair 5.71
Away 9.50 fair 6.74
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 3.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille St Etienne
28 Shots 7
14 Shots on target 2
14 Corners 3
14 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (190 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 2.46 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawSt Etienne
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 2–0 8.8% 3–1 7.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
2.05points / match
2.14scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 45:25
St Etienne before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
0.90scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 19:45
Marseille all matches all matches St Etienne

Per match

2.14 Goals scored 0.90
1.19 Goals conceded 2.14
3.33 Total goals 3.05
13.10 Shots 9.52
5.90 Shots on target 3.14
9.76 Shots faced 15.43
4.38 Corners 3.14
3.57 Corners against 5.81
11.00 Fouls 13.62
2.05 Yellow cards 1.95
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.24
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

62% Wins 24%
19% Draws 14%
19% Losses 62%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 81%
62% Over 2.5 goals 48%
43% Over 3.5 goals 38%
24% Over 4.5 goals 19%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
67% Both teams scored 43%
19% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 10%
33% Draws 29%
29% Losses 62%
76% Over 0.5 goals 81%
38% Over 1.5 goals 33%
24% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
St Etienne all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.80scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:15
St Etienne before this match, away
0.18points / match
0.73scored / match
3.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 8:34
Marseille at home away St Etienne

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.73
1.50 Goals conceded 3.09
3.30 Total goals 3.82
13.40 Shots 7.45
5.50 Shots on target 2.91
9.90 Shots faced 17.09
4.50 Corners 3.00
3.00 Corners against 5.18
12.40 Fouls 14.18
2.30 Yellow cards 2.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 1.73

How often Full Time

40% Wins 0%
40% Draws 18%
20% Losses 82%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 82%
60% Over 2.5 goals 73%
40% Over 3.5 goals 55%
20% Over 4.5 goals 36%
10% Over 5.5 goals 18%
80% Both teams scored 55%
10% Clean sheets 0%
10% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 0%
20% Draws 27%
40% Losses 73%
80% Over 0.5 goals 91%
30% Over 1.5 goals 64%
30% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
St Etienne away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25 Angers – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.05
02.02.25 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38
26.01.25 Nice – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30
11.01.25 Rennes – Marseille 1–2 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 1.98 1.92
05.01.25 Marseille – Le Havre 5–1 (3–0) 1.306.008.00 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
08.12.24 St Etienne – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.901.65 1.73 2.10
01.12.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Lens – Marseille 1–3 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10

St Etienne all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.25 St Etienne – Rennes 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 2.07 1.83
01.02.25 Lille – St Etienne 4–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.00 1.85 2.05
24.01.25 Auxerre – St Etienne 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
19.01.25 St Etienne – Nantes 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.252.90 2.10 1.73
12.01.25 Paris SG – St Etienne 2–1 (2–0) 1.099.5023.00 1.25 4.00
04.01.25 St Etienne – Reims 3–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.10 2.03 1.87
13.12.24 Toulouse – St Etienne 2–1 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
08.12.24 St Etienne – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.901.65 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Rennes – St Etienne 5–0 (2–0) 1.484.756.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 St Etienne – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.25 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30
05.01.25 Marseille – Le Havre 5–1 (3–0) 1.306.008.00 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
01.12.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.57 2.38
08.11.24 Marseille – Auxerre 1–3 (0–3) 1.405.007.50 1.50 2.63
27.10.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–3) 3.903.701.90 1.53 2.50
04.10.24 Marseille – Angers 1–1 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.53 2.50
14.09.24 Marseille – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.904.50 1.73 2.10
25.08.24 Marseille – Reims 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.505.50 1.62 2.30

St Etienne away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Lille – St Etienne 4–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.00 1.85 2.05
24.01.25 Auxerre – St Etienne 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
12.01.25 Paris SG – St Etienne 2–1 (2–0) 1.099.5023.00 1.25 4.00
13.12.24 Toulouse – St Etienne 2–1 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Rennes – St Etienne 5–0 (2–0) 1.484.756.00 1.73 2.10
10.11.24 Lyon – St Etienne 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.40 3.00
26.10.24 Angers – St Etienne 4–2 (2–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
29.09.24 Nantes – St Etienne 2–2 (1–0) 1.733.804.75 2.02 1.88
20.09.24 Nice – St Etienne 8–0 (6–0) 1.534.106.50 1.93 1.97
31.08.24 Brest – St Etienne 4–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 2.07 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsSt Etienne wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.24F1 St Etienne – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.901.65 1.73 2.10
03.04.22F1 St Etienne – Marseille 2–4 (1–1) 3.503.402.10 2.10 1.72
28.08.21F1 Marseille – St Etienne 3–1 (1–1) 1.703.804.75 1.90 1.90

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 21 16 5 0 58 20 +38 53
2 Marseille 21 13 4 4 45 25 +20 43
3 Nice 21 10 7 4 41 26 +15 37
4 Monaco 21 11 4 6 37 28 +9 37
5 Lille 21 9 8 4 34 22 +12 35
6 Lyon 21 9 6 6 36 26 +10 33
7 Lens 21 9 6 6 25 20 +5 33
8 Brest 22 10 2 10 35 38 -3 32
9 Strasbourg 21 8 6 7 35 32 +3 30
10 Toulouse 21 7 6 8 23 24 -1 27
11 Auxerre 22 6 7 9 31 37 -6 25
12 Rennes 21 7 2 12 29 30 -1 23
13 Angers 21 6 5 10 22 31 -9 23
14 Reims 21 5 7 9 26 33 -7 22
15 Nantes 21 4 9 8 24 32 -8 21
16 St Etienne 21 5 3 13 19 45 -26 18
17 Le Havre 21 5 2 14 17 40 -23 17
18 Montpellier 21 4 3 14 20 48 -28 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 11 9 2 0 31 9 +22 29
2 Nice 10 7 3 0 25 9 +16 24
3 Monaco 11 7 2 2 21 14 +7 23
4 Strasbourg 10 6 3 1 18 10 +8 21
5 Lille 11 6 3 2 21 14 +7 21
6 Lyon 10 6 2 2 20 11 +9 20
7 Auxerre 11 5 5 1 17 10 +7 20
8 Brest 11 6 2 3 23 17 +6 20
9 Rennes 11 6 1 4 19 9 +10 19
10 Marseille 10 4 4 2 18 15 +3 16
11 St Etienne 10 5 1 4 11 11 0 16
12 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 13 12 +1 15
13 Lens 10 4 2 4 10 10 0 14
14 Montpellier 11 3 3 5 15 25 -10 12
15 Angers 11 3 2 6 14 21 -7 11
16 Nantes 10 2 4 4 11 14 -3 10
17 Reims 11 2 4 5 13 18 -5 10
18 Le Havre 10 2 0 8 6 22 -16 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Marseille 11 9 0 2 27 10 +17 27
2 Paris SG 10 7 3 0 27 11 +16 24
3 Lens 11 5 4 2 15 10 +5 19
4 Lille 10 3 5 2 13 8 +5 14
5 Monaco 10 4 2 4 16 14 +2 14
6 Lyon 11 3 4 4 16 15 +1 13
7 Nice 11 3 4 4 16 17 -1 13
8 Reims 10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
9 Toulouse 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
10 Angers 10 3 3 4 8 10 -2 12
11 Brest 11 4 0 7 12 21 -9 12
12 Nantes 11 2 5 4 13 18 -5 11
13 Le Havre 11 3 2 6 11 18 -7 11
14 Strasbourg 11 2 3 6 17 22 -5 9
15 Auxerre 11 1 2 8 14 27 -13 5
16 Rennes 10 1 1 8 10 21 -11 4
17 Montpellier 10 1 0 9 5 23 -18 3
18 St Etienne 11 0 2 9 8 34 -26 2

Marseille   St Etienne

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 21 6 15 2.8 1.0 16 5 0 58 20 53
2 11 Auxerre 22 7 15 1.4 1.7 6 7 9 31 37 25
3 4 Monaco 21 7 14 1.8 1.3 11 4 6 37 28 37
4 8 Brest 22 8 14 1.6 1.7 10 2 10 35 38 32
5 18 Montpellier 21 7 14 1.0 2.3 4 3 14 20 48 15
6 2 Marseille 21 8 13 2.1 1.2 13 4 4 45 25 43
7 9 Strasbourg 21 8 13 1.7 1.5 8 6 7 35 32 30
8 3 Nice 21 9 12 2.0 1.2 10 7 4 41 26 37
9 6 Lyon 21 9 12 1.7 1.2 9 6 6 36 26 33
10 12 Rennes 21 9 12 1.4 1.4 7 2 12 29 30 23
11 14 Reims 21 9 12 1.2 1.6 5 7 9 26 33 22
12 5 Lille 21 10 11 1.6 1.0 9 8 4 34 22 35
13 17 Le Havre 21 10 11 0.8 1.9 5 2 14 17 40 17
14 16 St Etienne 21 11 10 0.9 2.1 5 3 13 19 45 18
15 10 Toulouse 21 12 9 1.1 1.1 7 6 8 23 24 27
16 15 Nantes 21 12 9 1.1 1.5 4 9 8 24 32 21
17 7 Lens 21 15 6 1.2 1.0 9 6 6 25 20 33
18 13 Angers 21 15 6 1.0 1.5 6 5 10 22 31 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Montpellier 11 2 9 1.4 2.3 3 3 5 15 25 12
2 1 Paris SG 11 3 8 2.8 0.8 9 2 0 31 9 29
3 5 Lille 11 4 7 1.9 1.3 6 3 2 21 14 21
4 8 Brest 11 4 7 2.1 1.5 6 2 3 23 17 20
5 11 Auxerre 11 4 7 1.5 0.9 5 5 1 17 10 20
6 17 Le Havre 10 3 7 0.6 2.2 2 0 8 6 22 6
7 2 Marseille 10 4 6 1.8 1.5 4 4 2 18 15 16
8 3 Nice 10 4 6 2.5 0.9 7 3 0 25 9 24
9 4 Monaco 11 5 6 1.9 1.3 7 2 2 21 14 23
10 9 Strasbourg 10 4 6 1.8 1.0 6 3 1 18 10 21
11 12 Rennes 11 5 6 1.7 0.8 6 1 4 19 9 19
12 6 Lyon 10 5 5 2.0 1.1 6 2 2 20 11 20
13 10 Toulouse 11 6 5 1.2 1.1 4 3 4 13 12 15
14 13 Angers 11 6 5 1.3 1.9 3 2 6 14 21 11
15 14 Reims 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 5 13 18 10
16 15 Nantes 10 6 4 1.1 1.4 2 4 4 11 14 10
17 7 Lens 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 2 4 10 10 14
18 16 St Etienne 10 8 2 1.1 1.1 5 1 4 11 11 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Monaco 10 2 8 1.6 1.4 4 2 4 16 14 14
2 11 Auxerre 11 3 8 1.3 2.5 1 2 8 14 27 5
3 16 St Etienne 11 3 8 0.7 3.1 0 2 9 8 34 2
4 1 Paris SG 10 3 7 2.7 1.1 7 3 0 27 11 24
5 2 Marseille 11 4 7 2.5 0.9 9 0 2 27 10 27
6 6 Lyon 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 3 4 4 16 15 13
7 8 Brest 11 4 7 1.1 1.9 4 0 7 12 21 12
8 9 Strasbourg 11 4 7 1.5 2.0 2 3 6 17 22 9
9 14 Reims 10 3 7 1.3 1.5 3 3 4 13 15 12
10 3 Nice 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 3 4 4 16 17 13
11 12 Rennes 10 4 6 1.0 2.1 1 1 8 10 21 4
12 15 Nantes 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 2 5 4 13 18 11
13 18 Montpellier 10 5 5 0.5 2.3 1 0 9 5 23 3
14 5 Lille 10 6 4 1.3 0.8 3 5 2 13 8 14
15 10 Toulouse 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
16 17 Le Havre 11 7 4 1.0 1.6 3 2 6 11 18 11
17 7 Lens 11 8 3 1.4 0.9 5 4 2 15 10 19
18 13 Angers 10 9 1 0.8 1.0 3 3 4 8 10 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51