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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 4–1 Lille

Full time · half time 4–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 1.89
Draw 4.75 fair 4.44
Away 7.50 fair 4.09
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.47
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Lille
26 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 3
6 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (210 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.88 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawLille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.57points / match
2.70scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 62:22
Lille before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.65scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 38:23
Paris SG all matches all matches Lille

Per match

2.70 Goals scored 1.65
0.96 Goals conceded 1.00
3.65 Total goals 2.65
17.96 Shots 13.17
8.30 Shots on target 5.13
9.52 Shots faced 9.70
6.52 Corners 4.91
3.30 Corners against 4.35
8.74 Fouls 12.17
1.13 Yellow cards 2.39
1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

78% Wins 48%
22% Draws 35%
0% Losses 17%
96% Over 0.5 goals 91%
87% Over 1.5 goals 83%
70% Over 2.5 goals 52%
52% Over 3.5 goals 26%
35% Over 4.5 goals 9%
22% Over 5.5 goals 4%
74% Both teams scored 61%
26% Clean sheets 35%
4% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 43%
30% Draws 30%
13% Losses 26%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
39% Over 1.5 goals 30%
13% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Lille all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.64points / match
2.82scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 31:9
Lille before this match, away
1.55points / match
1.36scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:8
Paris SG at home away Lille

Per match

2.82 Goals scored 1.36
0.82 Goals conceded 0.73
3.64 Total goals 2.09
19.45 Shots 13.82
8.27 Shots on target 5.18
9.00 Shots faced 9.91
6.64 Corners 5.45
2.91 Corners against 4.45
8.82 Fouls 12.18
1.27 Yellow cards 2.73
1.18 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

82% Wins 36%
18% Draws 45%
0% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
91% Over 1.5 goals 73%
73% Over 2.5 goals 36%
55% Over 3.5 goals 18%
27% Over 4.5 goals 0%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 36%
27% Clean sheets 55%
0% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 36%
36% Draws 45%
0% Losses 18%
91% Over 0.5 goals 64%
55% Over 1.5 goals 18%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Lille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.25 Lyon – Paris SG 2–3 (0–0) 4.204.331.70 1.40 3.00
15.02.25 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
07.02.25 Paris SG – Monaco 4–1 (1–1) 1.385.506.50 1.30 3.50
01.02.25 Brest – Paris SG 2–5 (0–1) 6.255.001.44 1.53 2.50
25.01.25 Paris SG – Reims 1–1 (0–0) 1.276.509.00 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Lens – Paris SG 1–2 (1–0) 4.503.901.73 1.53 2.50
12.01.25 Paris SG – St Etienne 2–1 (2–0) 1.099.5023.00 1.25 4.00
18.12.24 Monaco – Paris SG 2–4 (0–1) 4.003.801.85 1.53 2.50
15.12.24 Paris SG – Lyon 3–1 (2–1) 1.406.005.75 1.29 3.75
06.12.24 Auxerre – Paris SG 0–0 (0–0) 9.005.751.30 1.36 3.20

Lille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Lille – Monaco 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.703.10 1.62 2.30
16.02.25 Rennes – Lille 0–2 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.80
08.02.25 Lille – Le Havre 1–2 (0–1) 1.365.508.00 1.86 2.04
01.02.25 Lille – St Etienne 4–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.00 1.85 2.05
25.01.25 Strasbourg – Lille 2–1 (0–1) 2.753.402.55 1.91 1.99
17.01.25 Lille – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 1.99 1.91
10.01.25 Auxerre – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 4.603.801.75 1.80 2.00
04.01.25 Lille – Nantes 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.25 2.01 1.89
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
06.12.24 Lille – Brest 3–1 (2–0) 1.653.606.00 2.10 1.73

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.25 Paris SG – Monaco 4–1 (1–1) 1.385.506.50 1.30 3.50
25.01.25 Paris SG – Reims 1–1 (0–0) 1.276.509.00 1.44 2.75
12.01.25 Paris SG – St Etienne 2–1 (2–0) 1.099.5023.00 1.25 4.00
15.12.24 Paris SG – Lyon 3–1 (2–1) 1.406.005.75 1.29 3.75
30.11.24 Paris SG – Nantes 1–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
22.11.24 Paris SG – Toulouse 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63
02.11.24 Paris SG – Lens 1–0 (1–0) 1.425.006.25 1.53 2.50
19.10.24 Paris SG – Strasbourg 4–2 (1–0) 1.275.7510.00 1.33 3.20
27.09.24 Paris SG – Rennes 3–1 (1–0) 1.385.257.50 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Paris SG – Brest 3–1 (1–1) 1.276.0010.00 1.44 2.75

Lille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.02.25 Rennes – Lille 0–2 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.80
25.01.25 Strasbourg – Lille 2–1 (0–1) 2.753.402.55 1.91 1.99
10.01.25 Auxerre – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 4.603.801.75 1.80 2.00
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
01.12.24 Montpellier – Lille 2–2 (1–1) 4.503.601.80 1.73 2.10
10.11.24 Nice – Lille 2–2 (0–1) 2.553.202.90 2.10 1.73
26.10.24 Lens – Lille 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.02 1.88
18.10.24 Monaco – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Le Havre – Lille 0–3 (0–2) 4.753.701.75 2.08 1.82
13.09.24 St Etienne – Lille 1–0 (1–0) 5.503.601.70 1.92 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsLille wins
7matches
4.86goals / match
86%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.09.24F1 Lille – Paris SG 1–3 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.73 2.10
10.02.24F1 Paris SG – Lille 3–1 (2–1) 1.624.205.25 1.70 2.10
17.12.23F1 Lille – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.67 2.15
19.02.23F1 Paris SG – Lille 4–3 (2–1) 1.624.005.50 1.62 2.30
21.08.22F1 Lille – Paris SG 1–7 (0–4) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.37
06.02.22F1 Lille – Paris SG 1–5 (1–3) 4.203.601.85 1.80 2.00
29.10.21F1 Paris SG – Lille 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.258.50 1.61 2.30

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 23 18 5 0 62 22 +40 59
2 Marseille 23 14 4 5 50 29 +21 46
3 Nice 24 13 7 4 49 28 +21 46
4 Monaco 24 13 4 7 48 31 +17 43
5 Lille 23 11 8 4 38 23 +15 41
6 Lyon 23 10 6 7 42 30 +12 36
7 Strasbourg 23 9 7 7 37 32 +5 34
8 Lens 24 9 6 9 29 29 0 33
9 Brest 23 10 3 10 35 38 -3 33
10 Toulouse 23 8 6 9 27 26 +1 30
11 Auxerre 23 7 7 9 34 37 -3 28
12 Angers 23 7 6 10 26 34 -8 27
13 Rennes 23 8 2 13 30 32 -2 26
14 Nantes 23 5 9 9 28 40 -12 24
15 Reims 24 5 7 12 26 38 -12 22
16 Le Havre 24 6 2 16 23 50 -27 20
17 St Etienne 24 5 4 15 24 56 -32 19
18 Montpellier 23 4 3 16 21 54 -33 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 11 9 2 0 31 9 +22 29
2 Monaco 13 9 2 2 31 15 +16 29
3 Nice 11 8 3 0 27 9 +18 27
4 Lille 12 7 3 2 23 15 +8 24
5 Auxerre 12 6 5 1 20 10 +10 23
6 Rennes 13 7 1 5 20 11 +9 22
7 Strasbourg 11 6 4 1 18 10 +8 22
8 Lyon 11 6 2 3 22 14 +8 20
9 Brest 11 6 2 3 23 17 +6 20
10 Marseille 11 5 4 2 23 16 +7 19
11 St Etienne 12 5 2 5 15 17 -2 17
12 Toulouse 12 4 3 5 13 13 0 15
13 Lens 12 4 2 6 13 16 -3 14
14 Nantes 11 3 4 4 14 15 -1 13
15 Montpellier 12 3 3 6 16 29 -13 12
16 Angers 11 3 2 6 14 21 -7 11
17 Reims 12 2 4 6 13 19 -6 10
18 Le Havre 12 2 0 10 8 29 -21 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 12 9 3 0 31 13 +18 30
2 Marseille 12 9 0 3 27 13 +14 27
3 Nice 13 5 4 4 22 19 +3 19
4 Lens 12 5 4 3 16 13 +3 19
5 Lille 11 4 5 2 15 8 +7 17
6 Lyon 12 4 4 4 20 16 +4 16
7 Angers 12 4 4 4 12 13 -1 16
8 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 14 13 +1 15
9 Monaco 11 4 2 5 17 16 +1 14
10 Le Havre 12 4 2 6 15 21 -6 14
11 Brest 12 4 1 7 12 21 -9 13
12 Strasbourg 12 3 3 6 19 22 -3 12
13 Reims 12 3 3 6 13 19 -6 12
14 Nantes 12 2 5 5 14 25 -11 11
15 Auxerre 11 1 2 8 14 27 -13 5
16 Rennes 10 1 1 8 10 21 -11 4
17 Montpellier 11 1 0 10 5 25 -20 3
18 St Etienne 12 0 2 10 9 39 -30 2

Paris SG   Lille

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Monaco 24 7 17 2.0 1.3 13 4 7 48 31 43
2 1 Paris SG 23 7 16 2.7 1.0 18 5 0 62 22 59
3 11 Auxerre 23 7 16 1.5 1.6 7 7 9 34 37 28
4 2 Marseille 23 8 15 2.2 1.3 14 4 5 50 29 46
5 18 Montpellier 23 8 15 0.9 2.3 4 3 16 21 54 15
6 3 Nice 24 10 14 2.0 1.2 13 7 4 49 28 46
7 6 Lyon 23 9 14 1.8 1.3 10 6 7 42 30 36
8 9 Brest 23 9 14 1.5 1.7 10 3 10 35 38 33
9 16 Le Havre 24 10 14 1.0 2.1 6 2 16 23 50 20
10 7 Strasbourg 23 10 13 1.6 1.4 9 7 7 37 32 34
11 15 Reims 24 11 13 1.1 1.6 5 7 12 26 38 22
12 17 St Etienne 24 11 13 1.0 2.3 5 4 15 24 56 19
13 5 Lille 23 11 12 1.7 1.0 11 8 4 38 23 41
14 13 Rennes 23 11 12 1.3 1.4 8 2 13 30 32 26
15 14 Nantes 23 12 11 1.2 1.7 5 9 9 28 40 24
16 10 Toulouse 23 13 10 1.2 1.1 8 6 9 27 26 30
17 8 Lens 24 16 8 1.2 1.2 9 6 9 29 29 33
18 12 Angers 23 16 7 1.1 1.5 7 6 10 26 34 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Montpellier 12 2 10 1.3 2.4 3 3 6 16 29 12
2 16 Le Havre 12 3 9 0.7 2.4 2 0 10 8 29 6
3 1 Paris SG 11 3 8 2.8 0.8 9 2 0 31 9 29
4 4 Monaco 13 5 8 2.4 1.2 9 2 2 31 15 29
5 5 Lille 12 4 8 1.9 1.2 7 3 2 23 15 24
6 11 Auxerre 12 4 8 1.7 0.8 6 5 1 20 10 23
7 2 Marseille 11 4 7 2.1 1.5 5 4 2 23 16 19
8 9 Brest 11 4 7 2.1 1.5 6 2 3 23 17 20
9 3 Nice 11 5 6 2.5 0.8 8 3 0 27 9 27
10 6 Lyon 11 5 6 2.0 1.3 6 2 3 22 14 20
11 7 Strasbourg 11 5 6 1.6 0.9 6 4 1 18 10 22
12 13 Rennes 13 7 6 1.5 0.8 7 1 5 20 11 22
13 10 Toulouse 12 7 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 5 13 13 15
14 12 Angers 11 6 5 1.3 1.9 3 2 6 14 21 11
15 14 Nantes 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 3 4 4 14 15 13
16 15 Reims 12 7 5 1.1 1.6 2 4 6 13 19 10
17 8 Lens 12 8 4 1.1 1.3 4 2 6 13 16 14
18 17 St Etienne 12 8 4 1.2 1.4 5 2 5 15 17 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Monaco 11 2 9 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 17 16 14
2 17 St Etienne 12 3 9 0.8 3.2 0 2 10 9 39 2
3 1 Paris SG 12 4 8 2.6 1.1 9 3 0 31 13 30
4 2 Marseille 12 4 8 2.2 1.1 9 0 3 27 13 27
5 3 Nice 13 5 8 1.7 1.5 5 4 4 22 19 19
6 6 Lyon 12 4 8 1.7 1.3 4 4 4 20 16 16
7 11 Auxerre 11 3 8 1.3 2.5 1 2 8 14 27 5
8 15 Reims 12 4 8 1.1 1.6 3 3 6 13 19 12
9 7 Strasbourg 12 5 7 1.6 1.8 3 3 6 19 22 12
10 9 Brest 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 4 1 7 12 21 13
11 13 Rennes 10 4 6 1.0 2.1 1 1 8 10 21 4
12 14 Nantes 12 6 6 1.2 2.1 2 5 5 14 25 11
13 10 Toulouse 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 4 3 4 14 13 15
14 16 Le Havre 12 7 5 1.2 1.8 4 2 6 15 21 14
15 18 Montpellier 11 6 5 0.5 2.3 1 0 10 5 25 3
16 5 Lille 11 7 4 1.4 0.7 4 5 2 15 8 17
17 8 Lens 12 8 4 1.3 1.1 5 4 3 16 13 19
18 12 Angers 12 10 2 1.0 1.1 4 4 4 12 13 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51