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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Nice 1–5 Marseille

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.80 fair 2.50
Draw 3.75 fair 4.07
Away ✓ 1.91 fair 2.82
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.28
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nice Marseille
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 11
8 Corners 6
9 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (108 league matches this season so far).
Result Nice to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
NiceDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nice before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.42scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:18
Marseille before this match, all matches
2.08points / match
2.33scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 28:11
Nice all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 2.33
1.50 Goals conceded 0.92
2.92 Total goals 3.25
11.08 Shots 14.42
3.92 Shots on target 5.67
16.50 Shots faced 8.92
4.58 Corners 5.33
6.50 Corners against 3.25
12.92 Fouls 12.50
2.33 Yellow cards 2.17
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

42% Wins 67%
17% Draws 8%
42% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
58% Over 2.5 goals 67%
42% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 42%
17% Clean sheets 42%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 42%
25% Draws 50%
17% Losses 8%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
42% Over 1.5 goals 42%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nice all matches
Marseille all matches
Nice before this match, at home
2.17points / match
1.67scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:5
Marseille before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.17scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:5
Nice at home away Marseille

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.17
0.83 Goals conceded 0.83
2.50 Total goals 2.00
12.00 Shots 14.83
4.83 Shots on target 4.50
16.50 Shots faced 9.83
4.83 Corners 5.83
7.67 Corners against 4.33
12.17 Fouls 11.17
1.83 Yellow cards 2.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.17

How often Full Time

67% Wins 50%
17% Draws 0%
17% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 17%
33% Draws 83%
0% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 33%
33% Over 1.5 goals 17%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nice at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nice all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Metz – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.20
29.10.25 Nice – Lille 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Rennes – Nice 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Nice – Lyon 3–2 (2–1) 2.453.402.80 1.80 2.00
05.10.25 Monaco – Nice 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.703.90 1.57 2.38
28.09.25 Nice – Paris FC 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Brest – Nice 4–1 (2–1) 2.633.502.60 1.73 2.10
13.09.25 Nice – Nantes 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.25 1.90 1.95
31.08.25 Le Havre – Nice 3–1 (1–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Marseille – Brest 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38
25.10.25 Lens – Marseille 2–1 (1–1) 2.703.602.45 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
26.09.25 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
22.09.25 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
12.09.25 Marseille – Lorient 4–0 (3–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63
31.08.25 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.40

Nice at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.25 Nice – Lille 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Nice – Lyon 3–2 (2–1) 2.453.402.80 1.80 2.00
28.09.25 Nice – Paris FC 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Nice – Nantes 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.25 1.90 1.95
23.08.25 Nice – Auxerre 3–1 (2–1) 1.624.205.00 1.73 2.08
16.08.25 Nice – Toulouse 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.00 1.85
17.05.25 Nice – Brest 6–0 (3–0) 1.484.506.50 1.50 2.63
02.05.25 Nice – Reims 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.57 2.38
20.04.25 Nice – Angers 2–1 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.73 2.10
04.04.25 Nice – Nantes 1–2 (1–2) 1.504.206.50 1.73 2.10

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20
25.10.25 Lens – Marseille 2–1 (1–1) 2.703.602.45 1.73 2.10
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
26.09.25 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.25 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.40
15.08.25 Rennes – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.88 1.98
10.05.25 Le Havre – Marseille 1–3 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
04.05.25 Lille – Marseille 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.10 1.90 2.00
12.04.25 Monaco – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.53 2.50
29.03.25 Reims – Marseille 3–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nice winsDrawsMarseille wins
8matches
2.62goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25F1 Nice – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
14.09.24F1 Marseille – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.904.50 1.73 2.10
24.04.24F1 Marseille – Nice 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.403.25 2.06 1.84
21.10.23F1 Nice – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.06 1.84
05.02.23F1 Marseille – Nice 1–3 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 2.00 1.90
28.08.22F1 Nice – Marseille 0–3 (0–3) 2.703.502.55 1.99 1.91
20.03.22F1 Marseille – Nice 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72
27.10.21F1 Nice – Marseille 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.502.87 1.90 1.90

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 12 8 3 1 24 11 +13 27
2 Marseille 12 8 1 3 28 11 +17 25
3 Lens 12 8 1 3 21 11 +10 25
4 Strasbourg 12 7 1 4 24 16 +8 22
5 Lille 12 6 2 4 23 15 +8 20
6 Monaco 12 6 2 4 24 21 +3 20
7 Lyon 12 6 2 4 18 15 +3 20
8 Rennes 12 4 6 2 19 17 +2 18
9 Nice 12 5 2 5 17 18 -1 17
10 Toulouse 12 4 4 4 18 16 +2 16
11 Paris FC 12 4 2 6 18 21 -3 14
12 Le Havre 12 3 5 4 13 17 -4 14
13 Angers 12 3 4 5 10 15 -5 13
14 Metz 12 3 2 7 12 27 -15 11
15 Brest 12 2 4 6 14 21 -7 10
16 Nantes 12 2 4 6 11 18 -7 10
17 Lorient 12 2 4 6 14 26 -12 10
18 Auxerre 12 2 1 9 7 19 -12 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Marseille 6 5 1 0 21 6 +15 16
2 Strasbourg 6 5 0 1 13 2 +11 15
3 Lens 6 5 0 1 13 4 +9 15
4 Lille 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
5 Paris SG 5 4 1 0 9 3 +6 13
6 Nice 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
7 Monaco 7 4 1 2 15 12 +3 13
8 Lyon 6 4 0 2 10 6 +4 12
9 Rennes 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11
10 Angers 6 3 2 1 7 4 +3 11
11 Toulouse 6 2 3 1 13 10 +3 9
12 Le Havre 6 2 3 1 9 7 +2 9
13 Lorient 6 2 3 1 13 13 0 9
14 Metz 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8
15 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 11 11 0 7
16 Brest 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
17 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 4 6 -2 6
18 Nantes 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 7 4 2 1 15 8 +7 14
2 Lens 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10
3 Marseille 6 3 0 3 7 5 +2 9
4 Lyon 6 2 2 2 8 9 -1 8
5 Lille 6 2 1 3 12 11 +1 7
6 Monaco 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
7 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7
8 Strasbourg 6 2 1 3 11 14 -3 7
9 Rennes 6 1 4 1 8 11 -3 7
10 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
11 Nantes 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6
12 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 4 10 -6 5
13 Nice 6 1 1 4 7 13 -6 4
14 Brest 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
15 Metz 6 1 0 5 7 21 -14 3
16 Angers 6 0 2 4 3 11 -8 2
17 Auxerre 6 0 1 5 3 13 -10 1
18 Lorient 6 0 1 5 1 13 -12 1

Nice   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Marseille 12 4 8 2.3 0.9 8 1 3 28 11 25
2 3 Lens 12 4 8 1.8 0.9 8 1 3 21 11 25
3 4 Strasbourg 12 4 8 2.0 1.3 7 1 4 24 16 22
4 6 Monaco 12 4 8 2.0 1.8 6 2 4 24 21 20
5 8 Rennes 12 4 8 1.6 1.4 4 6 2 19 17 18
6 7 Lyon 12 5 7 1.5 1.2 6 2 4 18 15 20
7 9 Nice 12 5 7 1.4 1.5 5 2 5 17 18 17
8 11 Paris FC 12 5 7 1.5 1.8 4 2 6 18 21 14
9 14 Metz 12 5 7 1.0 2.2 3 2 7 12 27 11
10 15 Brest 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 2 4 6 14 21 10
11 10 Toulouse 12 6 6 1.5 1.3 4 4 4 18 16 16
12 17 Lorient 12 6 6 1.2 2.2 2 4 6 14 26 10
13 5 Lille 12 7 5 1.9 1.2 6 2 4 23 15 20
14 12 Le Havre 12 7 5 1.1 1.4 3 5 4 13 17 14
15 18 Auxerre 12 7 5 0.6 1.6 2 1 9 7 19 7
16 1 Paris SG 12 8 4 2.0 0.9 8 3 1 24 11 27
17 16 Nantes 12 8 4 0.9 1.5 2 4 6 11 18 10
18 13 Angers 12 10 2 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 10 15 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Marseille 6 1 5 3.5 1.0 5 1 0 21 6 16
2 3 Lens 6 1 5 2.2 0.7 5 0 1 13 4 15
3 6 Monaco 7 2 5 2.1 1.7 4 1 2 15 12 13
4 7 Lyon 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 4 0 2 10 6 12
5 8 Rennes 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11
6 10 Toulouse 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 2 3 1 13 10 9
7 11 Paris FC 6 2 4 1.8 1.8 2 1 3 11 11 7
8 15 Brest 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6
9 17 Lorient 6 2 4 2.2 2.2 2 3 1 13 13 9
10 4 Strasbourg 6 3 3 2.2 0.3 5 0 1 13 2 15
11 12 Le Havre 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 3 1 9 7 9
12 5 Lille 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
13 9 Nice 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
14 14 Metz 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8
15 16 Nantes 6 4 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
16 18 Auxerre 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 2 0 4 4 6 6
17 1 Paris SG 5 4 1 1.8 0.6 4 1 0 9 3 13
18 13 Angers 6 6 0 1.2 0.7 3 2 1 7 4 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Strasbourg 6 1 5 1.8 2.3 2 1 3 11 14 7
2 9 Nice 6 1 5 1.2 2.2 1 1 4 7 13 4
3 14 Metz 6 1 5 1.2 3.5 1 0 5 7 21 3
4 8 Rennes 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 1 4 1 8 11 7
5 1 Paris SG 7 4 3 2.1 1.1 4 2 1 15 8 14
6 2 Marseille 6 3 3 1.2 0.8 3 0 3 7 5 9
7 3 Lens 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10
8 5 Lille 6 3 3 2.0 1.8 2 1 3 12 11 7
9 6 Monaco 5 2 3 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
10 7 Lyon 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 2 2 2 8 9 8
11 11 Paris FC 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 2 1 3 7 10 7
12 15 Brest 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
13 18 Auxerre 6 3 3 0.5 2.2 0 1 5 3 13 1
14 10 Toulouse 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 3 5 6 7
15 12 Le Havre 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 1 2 3 4 10 5
16 13 Angers 6 4 2 0.5 1.8 0 2 4 3 11 2
17 16 Nantes 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6
18 17 Lorient 6 4 2 0.2 2.2 0 1 5 1 13 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51