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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Lille 1–1 Marseille

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.35 fair 2.38
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 4.27
Away 3.10 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lille Marseille
5 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 5
9 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (287 league matches this season so far).
Result Lille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
LilleDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Lille before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.58scored / match
1.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 49:32
Marseille before this match, all matches
1.87points / match
2.13scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 66:43
Lille all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 2.13
1.03 Goals conceded 1.39
2.61 Total goals 3.52
12.61 Shots 13.68
5.10 Shots on target 5.94
9.90 Shots faced 9.45
4.81 Corners 5.10
4.23 Corners against 3.13
12.00 Fouls 11.58
2.32 Yellow cards 1.84
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

52% Wins 58%
26% Draws 13%
23% Losses 29%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 94%
52% Over 2.5 goals 68%
26% Over 3.5 goals 48%
10% Over 4.5 goals 29%
3% Over 5.5 goals 13%
58% Both teams scored 65%
35% Clean sheets 16%
13% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 35%
32% Draws 32%
23% Losses 32%
81% Over 0.5 goals 77%
35% Over 1.5 goals 35%
13% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lille all matches
Marseille all matches
Lille before this match, at home
2.20points / match
1.87scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 28:16
Marseille before this match, away
1.80points / match
1.93scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 29:22
Lille at home away Marseille

Per match

1.87 Goals scored 1.93
1.07 Goals conceded 1.47
2.93 Total goals 3.40
13.00 Shots 12.53
5.53 Shots on target 5.67
9.07 Shots faced 10.20
4.93 Corners 4.87
3.87 Corners against 3.73
11.87 Fouls 10.40
1.93 Yellow cards 1.60
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 60%
20% Draws 0%
13% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 93%
60% Over 2.5 goals 73%
33% Over 3.5 goals 47%
13% Over 4.5 goals 20%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
73% Both teams scored 53%
27% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 27%
20% Draws 33%
27% Losses 40%
93% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lille at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 Angers – Lille 0–2 (0–1) 6.003.901.57 2.01 1.89
20.04.25 Lille – Auxerre 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 2.00
12.04.25 Toulouse – Lille 1–2 (1–2) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
05.04.25 Lyon – Lille 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Lille – Lens 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.403.75 2.06 1.84
15.03.25 Nantes – Lille 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.202.15 2.10 1.73
08.03.25 Lille – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 1.374.757.50 1.62 2.30
01.03.25 Paris SG – Lille 4–1 (4–0) 1.404.757.50 1.50 2.63
22.02.25 Lille – Monaco 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.703.10 1.62 2.30
16.02.25 Rennes – Lille 0–2 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.80

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.25 Marseille – Brest 4–1 (3–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
19.04.25 Marseille – Montpellier 5–1 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
12.04.25 Monaco – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.53 2.50
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
29.03.25 Reims – Marseille 3–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.73 2.10
16.03.25 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
22.02.25 Auxerre – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 5.504.331.55 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Marseille – St Etienne 5–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.44 2.75

Lille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.25 Lille – Auxerre 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 2.00
30.03.25 Lille – Lens 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.403.75 2.06 1.84
08.03.25 Lille – Montpellier 1–0 (0–0) 1.374.757.50 1.62 2.30
22.02.25 Lille – Monaco 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.703.10 1.62 2.30
08.02.25 Lille – Le Havre 1–2 (0–1) 1.365.508.00 1.86 2.04
01.02.25 Lille – St Etienne 4–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.00 1.85 2.05
17.01.25 Lille – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 1.99 1.91
04.01.25 Lille – Nantes 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.25 2.01 1.89
06.12.24 Lille – Brest 3–1 (2–0) 1.653.606.00 2.10 1.73
24.11.24 Lille – Rennes 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.90 1.92 1.98

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Monaco – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.53 2.50
29.03.25 Reims – Marseille 3–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.73 2.10
16.03.25 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
22.02.25 Auxerre – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 5.504.331.55 1.62 2.30
09.02.25 Angers – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.05
26.01.25 Nice – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
11.01.25 Rennes – Marseille 1–2 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 1.98 1.92
08.12.24 St Etienne – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.901.65 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Lens – Marseille 1–3 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
03.11.24 Nantes – Marseille 1–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 1.97 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lille winsDrawsMarseille wins
7matches
2.29goals / match
43%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24F1 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
05.04.24F1 Lille – Marseille 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.75 2.08 1.82
04.11.23F1 Marseille – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.89 2.01
20.05.23F1 Lille – Marseille 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.73 2.10
10.09.22F1 Marseille – Lille 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.753.75 1.72 2.10
16.01.22F1 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.04 1.86
03.10.21F1 Lille – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.303.00 2.00 1.80

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 32 24 6 2 85 33 +52 78
2 Monaco 32 17 7 8 61 37 +24 58
3 Marseille 31 18 4 9 66 43 +23 58
4 Nice 32 16 9 7 60 39 +21 57
5 Strasbourg 32 16 9 7 53 39 +14 57
6 Lille 31 16 8 7 49 32 +17 56
7 Lyon 32 16 6 10 63 44 +19 54
8 Lens 32 14 6 12 37 38 -1 48
9 Brest 32 14 5 13 50 53 -3 47
10 Auxerre 32 11 8 13 46 47 -1 41
11 Rennes 32 12 2 18 47 46 +1 38
12 Toulouse 32 10 8 14 40 40 0 38
13 Reims 32 8 9 15 32 43 -11 33
14 Angers 32 9 6 17 30 50 -20 33
15 Nantes 32 7 11 14 35 51 -16 32
16 Le Havre 32 9 4 19 36 66 -30 31
17 St Etienne 32 7 6 19 35 74 -39 27
18 Montpellier 32 4 4 24 22 72 -50 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 16 13 2 1 42 15 +27 41
2 Monaco 16 11 3 2 36 16 +20 36
3 Strasbourg 16 10 5 1 31 17 +14 35
4 Nice 16 10 4 2 32 15 +17 34
5 Lille 15 10 3 2 28 16 +12 33
6 Lyon 16 10 2 4 35 21 +14 32
7 Marseille 16 9 4 3 37 21 +16 31
8 Brest 16 9 3 4 29 21 +8 30
9 Auxerre 16 7 5 4 23 16 +7 26
10 Rennes 16 8 1 7 23 17 +6 25
11 St Etienne 16 6 3 7 22 30 -8 21
12 Lens 16 6 2 8 15 22 -7 20
13 Toulouse 16 5 4 7 19 21 -2 19
14 Nantes 16 4 6 6 16 18 -2 18
15 Reims 16 4 4 8 17 23 -6 16
16 Angers 16 4 2 10 16 32 -16 14
17 Montpellier 16 3 4 9 16 37 -21 13
18 Le Havre 16 3 2 11 14 38 -24 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 16 11 4 1 43 18 +25 37
2 Lens 16 8 4 4 22 16 +6 28
3 Marseille 15 9 0 6 29 22 +7 27
4 Lille 16 6 5 5 21 16 +5 23
5 Nice 16 6 5 5 28 24 +4 23
6 Lyon 16 6 4 6 28 23 +5 22
7 Monaco 16 6 4 6 25 21 +4 22
8 Strasbourg 16 6 4 6 22 22 0 22
9 Le Havre 16 6 2 8 22 28 -6 20
10 Toulouse 16 5 4 7 21 19 +2 19
11 Angers 16 5 4 7 14 18 -4 19
12 Reims 16 4 5 7 15 20 -5 17
13 Brest 16 5 2 9 21 32 -11 17
14 Auxerre 16 4 3 9 23 31 -8 15
15 Nantes 16 3 5 8 19 33 -14 14
16 Rennes 16 4 1 11 24 29 -5 13
17 St Etienne 16 1 3 12 13 44 -31 6
18 Montpellier 16 1 0 15 6 35 -29 3

Lille   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 32 9 23 2.7 1.0 24 6 2 85 33 78
2 7 Lyon 32 10 22 2.0 1.4 16 6 10 63 44 54
3 2 Monaco 32 11 21 1.9 1.2 17 7 8 61 37 58
4 3 Marseille 31 10 21 2.1 1.4 18 4 9 66 43 58
5 9 Brest 32 12 20 1.6 1.7 14 5 13 50 53 47
6 10 Auxerre 32 12 20 1.4 1.5 11 8 13 46 47 41
7 4 Nice 32 13 19 1.9 1.2 16 9 7 60 39 57
8 11 Rennes 32 13 19 1.5 1.4 12 2 18 47 46 38
9 16 Le Havre 32 13 19 1.1 2.1 9 4 19 36 66 31
10 5 Strasbourg 32 14 18 1.7 1.2 16 9 7 53 39 57
11 17 St Etienne 32 14 18 1.1 2.3 7 6 19 35 74 27
12 18 Montpellier 32 15 17 0.7 2.2 4 4 24 22 72 16
13 6 Lille 31 15 16 1.6 1.0 16 8 7 49 32 56
14 12 Toulouse 32 16 16 1.2 1.2 10 8 14 40 40 38
15 13 Reims 32 18 14 1.0 1.3 8 9 15 32 43 33
16 15 Nantes 32 18 14 1.1 1.6 7 11 14 35 51 32
17 8 Lens 32 21 11 1.2 1.2 14 6 12 37 38 48
18 14 Angers 32 22 10 0.9 1.6 9 6 17 30 50 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 16 4 12 2.6 0.9 13 2 1 42 15 41
2 5 Strasbourg 16 5 11 1.9 1.1 10 5 1 31 17 35
3 7 Lyon 16 5 11 2.2 1.3 10 2 4 35 21 32
4 16 Le Havre 16 5 11 0.9 2.4 3 2 11 14 38 11
5 18 Montpellier 16 5 11 1.0 2.3 3 4 9 16 37 13
6 2 Monaco 16 6 10 2.2 1.0 11 3 2 36 16 36
7 3 Marseille 16 6 10 2.3 1.3 9 4 3 37 21 31
8 10 Auxerre 16 6 10 1.4 1.0 7 5 4 23 16 26
9 6 Lille 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 10 3 2 28 16 33
10 9 Brest 16 7 9 1.8 1.3 9 3 4 29 21 30
11 4 Nice 16 8 8 2.0 0.9 10 4 2 32 15 34
12 11 Rennes 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 8 1 7 23 17 25
13 12 Toulouse 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 5 4 7 19 21 19
14 17 St Etienne 16 8 8 1.4 1.9 6 3 7 22 30 21
15 14 Angers 16 9 7 1.0 2.0 4 2 10 16 32 14
16 13 Reims 16 10 6 1.1 1.4 4 4 8 17 23 16
17 8 Lens 16 11 5 0.9 1.4 6 2 8 15 22 20
18 15 Nantes 16 11 5 1.0 1.1 4 6 6 16 18 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 16 5 11 2.7 1.1 11 4 1 43 18 37
2 2 Monaco 16 5 11 1.6 1.3 6 4 6 25 21 22
3 3 Marseille 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 9 0 6 29 22 27
4 4 Nice 16 5 11 1.8 1.5 6 5 5 28 24 23
5 7 Lyon 16 5 11 1.8 1.4 6 4 6 28 23 22
6 9 Brest 16 5 11 1.3 2.0 5 2 9 21 32 17
7 11 Rennes 16 5 11 1.5 1.8 4 1 11 24 29 13
8 10 Auxerre 16 6 10 1.4 1.9 4 3 9 23 31 15
9 17 St Etienne 16 6 10 0.8 2.8 1 3 12 13 44 6
10 15 Nantes 16 7 9 1.2 2.1 3 5 8 19 33 14
11 12 Toulouse 16 8 8 1.3 1.2 5 4 7 21 19 19
12 13 Reims 16 8 8 0.9 1.2 4 5 7 15 20 17
13 16 Le Havre 16 8 8 1.4 1.8 6 2 8 22 28 20
14 5 Strasbourg 16 9 7 1.4 1.4 6 4 6 22 22 22
15 6 Lille 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 6 5 5 21 16 23
16 8 Lens 16 10 6 1.4 1.0 8 4 4 22 16 28
17 18 Montpellier 16 10 6 0.4 2.2 1 0 15 6 35 3
18 14 Angers 16 13 3 0.9 1.1 5 4 7 14 18 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51