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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 3–0 Metz

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.14 fair 1.32
Draw 9.00 fair 6.96
Away 13.00 fair 10.36
Under 2.5 4.00 fair 3.36
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.25 fair 1.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Metz
17 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
4 Corners 1
9 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (201 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 2.74 – 0.89
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawMetz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 9.9% 3–0 9.1% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.32points / match
2.23scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 49:19
Metz before this match, all matches
0.59points / match
1.00scored / match
2.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 22:49
Paris SG all matches all matches Metz

Per match

2.23 Goals scored 1.00
0.86 Goals conceded 2.23
3.09 Total goals 3.23
17.68 Shots 9.05
6.77 Shots on target 3.05
8.73 Shots faced 14.91
6.23 Corners 3.86
3.05 Corners against 4.95
10.09 Fouls 11.00
1.00 Yellow cards 1.59
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 1.05

How often Full Time

73% Wins 14%
14% Draws 18%
14% Losses 68%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 77%
55% Over 2.5 goals 59%
32% Over 3.5 goals 41%
27% Over 4.5 goals 27%
9% Over 5.5 goals 14%
41% Both teams scored 55%
50% Clean sheets 18%
9% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 9%
36% Draws 41%
14% Losses 50%
68% Over 0.5 goals 73%
36% Over 1.5 goals 45%
18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Metz all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.80points / match
2.70scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 27:4
Metz before this match, away
0.36points / match
1.09scored / match
2.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:31
Paris SG at home away Metz

Per match

2.70 Goals scored 1.09
0.40 Goals conceded 2.82
3.10 Total goals 3.91
20.50 Shots 8.45
7.50 Shots on target 2.73
8.30 Shots faced 17.18
6.60 Corners 3.73
2.50 Corners against 5.91
10.50 Fouls 10.09
1.20 Yellow cards 1.82
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 1.27

How often Full Time

90% Wins 9%
10% Draws 9%
0% Losses 82%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 91%
60% Over 2.5 goals 73%
30% Over 3.5 goals 55%
30% Over 4.5 goals 36%
10% Over 5.5 goals 18%
20% Both teams scored 64%
80% Clean sheets 9%
0% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 9%
20% Draws 36%
10% Losses 55%
80% Over 0.5 goals 91%
30% Over 1.5 goals 73%
10% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Metz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.26 Rennes – Paris SG 3–1 (1–0) 7.005.001.40 1.40 3.00
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Strasbourg – Paris SG 1–2 (1–1) 4.754.501.62 1.53 2.50
23.01.26 Auxerre – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 11.005.501.29 1.57 2.38
16.01.26 Paris SG – Lille 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.26 Paris SG – Paris FC 2–1 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.12.25 Metz – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 10.006.501.25 1.36 3.20
06.12.25 Paris SG – Rennes 5–0 (2–0) 1.306.507.50 1.40 3.00
29.11.25 Monaco – Paris SG 1–0 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.44 2.75
22.11.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.50 2.63

Metz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 Metz – Auxerre 1–3 (0–1) 2.883.002.63 2.20 1.67
06.02.26 Metz – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.73 2.10
01.02.26 Angers – Metz 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Metz – Lyon 2–5 (1–4) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
18.01.26 Strasbourg – Metz 2–1 (2–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Lorient – Metz 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.75 1.91 1.91
13.12.25 Metz – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 10.006.501.25 1.36 3.20
07.12.25 Auxerre – Metz 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.85
28.11.25 Metz – Rennes 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.85 1.67 2.20
23.11.25 Brest – Metz 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
16.01.26 Paris SG – Lille 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.26 Paris SG – Paris FC 2–1 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.36 3.20
06.12.25 Paris SG – Rennes 5–0 (2–0) 1.306.507.50 1.40 3.00
22.11.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.50 2.63
01.11.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.20
17.10.25 Paris SG – Strasbourg 3–3 (1–2) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
27.09.25 Paris SG – Auxerre 2–0 (1–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.30 3.50
14.09.25 Paris SG – Lens 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.757.50 1.36 3.20
22.08.25 Paris SG – Angers 1–0 (0–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.25 4.00

Metz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Angers – Metz 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.60 2.10 1.73
18.01.26 Strasbourg – Metz 2–1 (2–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Lorient – Metz 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.75 1.91 1.91
07.12.25 Auxerre – Metz 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.85
23.11.25 Brest – Metz 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03
02.11.25 Nantes – Metz 0–2 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90
26.10.25 Lille – Metz 6–1 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.25 Toulouse – Metz 4–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
21.09.25 Monaco – Metz 5–2 (1–1) 1.276.0010.00 1.36 3.20
31.08.25 Paris FC – Metz 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.704.33 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsMetz wins
5matches
3.80goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25F1 Metz – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 10.006.501.25 1.36 3.20
19.05.24F1 Metz – Paris SG 0–2 (0–2) 5.504.001.62 1.44 2.75
20.12.23F1 Paris SG – Metz 3–1 (0–0) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.10
21.05.22F1 Paris SG – Metz 5–0 (3–0) 1.208.5010.00 1.22 4.33
22.09.21F1 Metz – Paris SG 1–2 (1–1) 11.007.001.22 1.40 3.00

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 23 17 1 5 44 20 +24 52
2 Paris SG 22 16 3 3 49 19 +30 51
3 Lyon 22 14 3 5 36 20 +16 45
4 Marseille 23 12 4 7 48 31 +17 40
5 Lille 22 10 4 8 35 31 +4 34
6 Monaco 23 10 4 9 38 36 +2 34
7 Rennes 22 9 7 6 34 35 -1 34
8 Strasbourg 22 9 4 9 36 29 +7 31
9 Toulouse 23 8 7 8 33 27 +6 31
10 Lorient 22 8 7 7 29 33 -4 31
11 Brest 23 8 6 9 31 34 -3 30
12 Angers 22 8 5 9 22 27 -5 29
13 Le Havre 22 6 8 8 20 27 -7 26
14 Nice 22 6 5 11 27 40 -13 23
15 Paris FC 23 5 8 10 27 40 -13 23
16 Auxerre 22 4 5 13 17 30 -13 17
17 Nantes 22 3 5 14 20 40 -20 14
18 Metz 22 3 4 15 22 49 -27 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 12 10 0 2 23 8 +15 30
2 Paris SG 10 9 1 0 27 4 +23 28
3 Lyon 11 9 0 2 19 7 +12 27
4 Marseille 11 7 3 1 29 13 +16 24
5 Monaco 12 7 1 4 25 19 +6 22
6 Lorient 11 6 4 1 22 16 +6 22
7 Rennes 11 6 3 2 22 12 +10 21
8 Brest 12 6 3 3 18 13 +5 21
9 Lille 11 6 2 3 18 13 +5 20
10 Angers 11 6 2 3 16 12 +4 20
11 Le Havre 12 5 5 2 15 11 +4 20
12 Strasbourg 10 6 1 3 17 7 +10 19
13 Toulouse 12 4 5 3 20 16 +4 17
14 Nice 11 4 4 3 14 14 0 16
15 Auxerre 11 3 2 6 10 12 -2 11
16 Paris FC 11 2 4 5 14 22 -8 10
17 Metz 11 2 3 6 10 18 -8 9
18 Nantes 11 1 2 8 10 22 -12 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 12 7 2 3 22 15 +7 23
2 Lens 11 7 1 3 21 12 +9 22
3 Lyon 11 5 3 3 17 13 +4 18
4 Marseille 12 5 1 6 19 18 +1 16
5 Toulouse 11 4 2 5 13 11 +2 14
6 Lille 11 4 2 5 17 18 -1 14
7 Paris FC 12 3 4 5 13 18 -5 13
8 Rennes 11 3 4 4 12 23 -11 13
9 Strasbourg 12 3 3 6 19 22 -3 12
10 Monaco 11 3 3 5 13 17 -4 12
11 Brest 11 2 3 6 13 21 -8 9
12 Nantes 11 2 3 6 10 18 -8 9
13 Angers 11 2 3 6 6 15 -9 9
14 Lorient 11 2 3 6 7 17 -10 9
15 Nice 11 2 1 8 13 26 -13 7
16 Auxerre 11 1 3 7 7 18 -11 6
17 Le Havre 10 1 3 6 5 16 -11 6
18 Metz 11 1 1 9 12 31 -19 4

Paris SG   Metz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lens 23 8 15 1.9 0.9 17 1 5 44 20 52
2 4 Marseille 23 8 15 2.1 1.3 12 4 7 48 31 40
3 6 Monaco 23 9 14 1.7 1.6 10 4 9 38 36 34
4 7 Rennes 22 8 14 1.5 1.6 9 7 6 34 35 34
5 8 Strasbourg 22 8 14 1.6 1.3 9 4 9 36 29 31
6 15 Paris FC 23 10 13 1.2 1.7 5 8 10 27 40 23
7 18 Metz 22 9 13 1.0 2.2 3 4 15 22 49 13
8 2 Paris SG 22 10 12 2.2 0.9 16 3 3 49 19 51
9 11 Brest 23 11 12 1.3 1.5 8 6 9 31 34 30
10 14 Nice 22 10 12 1.2 1.8 6 5 11 27 40 23
11 3 Lyon 22 11 11 1.6 0.9 14 3 5 36 20 45
12 9 Toulouse 23 12 11 1.4 1.2 8 7 8 33 27 31
13 17 Nantes 22 11 11 0.9 1.8 3 5 14 20 40 14
14 5 Lille 22 13 9 1.6 1.4 10 4 8 35 31 34
15 10 Lorient 22 13 9 1.3 1.5 8 7 7 29 33 31
16 13 Le Havre 22 13 9 0.9 1.2 6 8 8 20 27 26
17 16 Auxerre 22 14 8 0.8 1.4 4 5 13 17 30 17
18 12 Angers 22 16 6 1.0 1.2 8 5 9 22 27 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Monaco 12 3 9 2.1 1.6 7 1 4 25 19 22
2 4 Marseille 11 3 8 2.6 1.2 7 3 1 29 13 24
3 1 Lens 12 5 7 1.9 0.7 10 0 2 23 8 30
4 7 Rennes 11 4 7 2.0 1.1 6 3 2 22 12 21
5 15 Paris FC 11 4 7 1.3 2.0 2 4 5 14 22 10
6 2 Paris SG 10 4 6 2.7 0.4 9 1 0 27 4 28
7 3 Lyon 11 5 6 1.7 0.6 9 0 2 19 7 27
8 8 Strasbourg 10 4 6 1.7 0.7 6 1 3 17 7 19
9 9 Toulouse 12 6 6 1.7 1.3 4 5 3 20 16 17
10 10 Lorient 11 5 6 2.0 1.5 6 4 1 22 16 22
11 13 Le Havre 12 6 6 1.2 0.9 5 5 2 15 11 20
12 11 Brest 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 6 3 3 18 13 21
13 17 Nantes 11 6 5 0.9 2.0 1 2 8 10 22 5
14 18 Metz 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 6 10 18 9
15 5 Lille 11 7 4 1.6 1.2 6 2 3 18 13 20
16 14 Nice 11 7 4 1.3 1.3 4 4 3 14 14 16
17 16 Auxerre 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 6 10 12 11
18 12 Angers 11 8 3 1.5 1.1 6 2 3 16 12 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lens 11 3 8 1.9 1.1 7 1 3 21 12 22
2 8 Strasbourg 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 3 3 6 19 22 12
3 14 Nice 11 3 8 1.2 2.4 2 1 8 13 26 7
4 18 Metz 11 3 8 1.1 2.8 1 1 9 12 31 4
5 4 Marseille 12 5 7 1.6 1.5 5 1 6 19 18 16
6 7 Rennes 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 3 4 4 12 23 13
7 11 Brest 11 4 7 1.2 1.9 2 3 6 13 21 9
8 2 Paris SG 12 6 6 1.8 1.2 7 2 3 22 15 23
9 15 Paris FC 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 5 13 18 13
10 17 Nantes 11 5 6 0.9 1.6 2 3 6 10 18 9
11 3 Lyon 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 5 3 3 17 13 18
12 5 Lille 11 6 5 1.5 1.6 4 2 5 17 18 14
13 6 Monaco 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 17 12
14 9 Toulouse 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 4 2 5 13 11 14
15 16 Auxerre 11 7 4 0.6 1.6 1 3 7 7 18 6
16 10 Lorient 11 8 3 0.6 1.5 2 3 6 7 17 9
17 12 Angers 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 3 6 6 15 9
18 13 Le Havre 10 7 3 0.5 1.6 1 3 6 5 16 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51