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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 5–0 Marseille

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.42 fair 1.98
Draw 5.25 fair 4.36
Away 6.00 fair 3.75
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.48
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Marseille
22 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 2
11 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (188 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.82 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.40points / match
2.15scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 43:16
Marseille before this match, all matches
1.95points / match
2.30scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 46:22
Paris SG all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

2.15 Goals scored 2.30
0.80 Goals conceded 1.10
2.95 Total goals 3.40
17.25 Shots 14.60
6.75 Shots on target 5.90
8.50 Shots faced 9.45
6.20 Corners 5.05
3.00 Corners against 3.60
10.10 Fouls 12.35
1.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.95 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

75% Wins 60%
15% Draws 15%
10% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 70%
50% Over 2.5 goals 65%
25% Over 3.5 goals 45%
25% Over 4.5 goals 20%
10% Over 5.5 goals 20%
40% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 30%
10% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 45%
40% Draws 35%
10% Losses 20%
65% Over 0.5 goals 75%
35% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Marseille all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.78points / match
2.44scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 22:4
Marseille before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.90scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:11
Paris SG at home away Marseille

Per match

2.44 Goals scored 1.90
0.44 Goals conceded 1.10
2.89 Total goals 3.00
20.33 Shots 14.90
7.56 Shots on target 5.50
8.22 Shots faced 9.50
6.78 Corners 5.20
2.56 Corners against 4.60
10.44 Fouls 11.10
1.11 Yellow cards 2.30
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

89% Wins 50%
11% Draws 10%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 60%
56% Over 2.5 goals 60%
22% Over 3.5 goals 30%
22% Over 4.5 goals 20%
11% Over 5.5 goals 20%
22% Both teams scored 50%
78% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 40%
22% Draws 50%
11% Losses 10%
78% Over 0.5 goals 60%
22% Over 1.5 goals 30%
11% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Strasbourg – Paris SG 1–2 (1–1) 4.754.501.62 1.53 2.50
23.01.26 Auxerre – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 11.005.501.29 1.57 2.38
16.01.26 Paris SG – Lille 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.26 Paris SG – Paris FC 2–1 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.12.25 Metz – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 10.006.501.25 1.36 3.20
06.12.25 Paris SG – Rennes 5–0 (2–0) 1.306.507.50 1.40 3.00
29.11.25 Monaco – Paris SG 1–0 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.44 2.75
22.11.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.50 2.63
09.11.25 Lyon – Paris SG 2–3 (1–2) 4.203.901.80 1.62 2.30
01.11.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.20

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Paris FC – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30
17.01.26 Angers – Marseille 2–5 (1–4) 5.754.001.60 1.90 1.95
04.01.26 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Marseille – Monaco 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.753.75 1.50 2.63
05.12.25 Lille – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
21.11.25 Nice – Marseille 1–5 (0–2) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Marseille – Brest 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.26 Paris SG – Lille 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.26 Paris SG – Paris FC 2–1 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.36 3.20
06.12.25 Paris SG – Rennes 5–0 (2–0) 1.306.507.50 1.40 3.00
22.11.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.50 2.63
01.11.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.20
17.10.25 Paris SG – Strasbourg 3–3 (1–2) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
27.09.25 Paris SG – Auxerre 2–0 (1–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.30 3.50
14.09.25 Paris SG – Lens 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.757.50 1.36 3.20
22.08.25 Paris SG – Angers 1–0 (0–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.25 4.00
17.05.25 Paris SG – Auxerre 3–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.29 3.75

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Paris FC – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Angers – Marseille 2–5 (1–4) 5.754.001.60 1.90 1.95
05.12.25 Lille – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
21.11.25 Nice – Marseille 1–5 (0–2) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20
25.10.25 Lens – Marseille 2–1 (1–1) 2.703.602.45 1.73 2.10
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
26.09.25 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.25 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.40
15.08.25 Rennes – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsMarseille wins
9matches
2.33goals / match
56%over 2.5
22%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.09.25F1 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
16.03.25F1 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
27.10.24F1 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–3) 3.903.701.90 1.53 2.50
31.03.24F1 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
24.09.23F1 Paris SG – Marseille 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.25 1.53 2.50
26.02.23F1 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–2) 2.753.602.40 1.62 2.30
16.10.22F1 Paris SG – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.50 1.44 2.75
17.04.22F1 Paris SG – Marseille 2–1 (2–1) 1.365.507.50 1.44 2.75
24.10.21F1 Marseille – Paris SG 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.53 2.50

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 21 16 1 4 37 17 +20 49
2 Paris SG 20 15 3 2 43 16 +27 48
3 Lyon 21 13 3 5 34 20 +14 42
4 Marseille 20 12 3 5 46 22 +24 39
5 Lille 21 10 3 8 34 30 +4 33
6 Rennes 21 8 7 6 31 34 -3 31
7 Strasbourg 21 9 3 9 34 27 +7 30
8 Toulouse 21 8 6 7 31 24 +7 30
9 Angers 21 8 5 8 22 25 -3 29
10 Monaco 21 8 4 9 32 33 -1 28
11 Lorient 21 7 7 7 27 33 -6 28
12 Brest 21 7 5 9 28 33 -5 26
13 Le Havre 21 5 8 8 18 26 -8 23
14 Nice 21 6 5 10 27 38 -11 23
15 Paris FC 21 5 7 9 26 34 -8 22
16 Auxerre 21 3 5 13 14 29 -15 14
17 Nantes 21 3 5 13 19 37 -18 14
18 Metz 21 3 4 14 21 46 -25 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 11 10 0 1 21 5 +16 30
2 Paris SG 9 8 1 0 22 4 +18 25
3 Lyon 10 8 0 2 17 7 +10 24
4 Marseille 10 7 2 1 27 11 +16 23
5 Angers 11 6 2 3 16 12 +4 20
6 Strasbourg 10 6 1 3 17 7 +10 19
7 Lille 10 6 1 3 17 12 +5 19
8 Monaco 11 6 1 4 22 18 +4 19
9 Lorient 10 5 4 1 20 16 +4 19
10 Rennes 10 5 3 2 19 11 +8 18
11 Brest 11 5 3 3 16 13 +3 18
12 Le Havre 11 4 5 2 13 10 +3 17
13 Toulouse 11 4 4 3 19 15 +4 16
14 Nice 11 4 4 3 14 14 0 16
15 Auxerre 11 3 2 6 10 12 -2 11
16 Paris FC 10 2 4 4 14 17 -3 10
17 Metz 10 2 3 5 9 15 -6 9
18 Nantes 11 1 2 8 10 22 -12 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 11 7 2 2 21 12 +9 23
2 Lens 10 6 1 3 16 12 +4 19
3 Lyon 11 5 3 3 17 13 +4 18
4 Marseille 10 5 1 4 19 11 +8 16
5 Toulouse 10 4 2 4 12 9 +3 14
6 Lille 11 4 2 5 17 18 -1 14
7 Rennes 11 3 4 4 12 23 -11 13
8 Paris FC 11 3 3 5 12 17 -5 12
9 Strasbourg 11 3 2 6 17 20 -3 11
10 Monaco 10 2 3 5 10 15 -5 9
11 Nantes 10 2 3 5 9 15 -6 9
12 Angers 10 2 3 5 6 13 -7 9
13 Lorient 11 2 3 6 7 17 -10 9
14 Brest 10 2 2 6 12 20 -8 8
15 Nice 10 2 1 7 13 24 -11 7
16 Le Havre 10 1 3 6 5 16 -11 6
17 Metz 11 1 1 9 12 31 -19 4
18 Auxerre 10 0 3 7 4 17 -13 3

Paris SG   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lens 21 8 13 1.8 0.8 16 1 4 37 17 49
2 4 Marseille 20 7 13 2.3 1.1 12 3 5 46 22 39
3 6 Rennes 21 8 13 1.5 1.6 8 7 6 31 34 31
4 7 Strasbourg 21 8 13 1.6 1.3 9 3 9 34 27 30
5 10 Monaco 21 9 12 1.5 1.6 8 4 9 32 33 28
6 12 Brest 21 9 12 1.3 1.6 7 5 9 28 33 26
7 14 Nice 21 9 12 1.3 1.8 6 5 10 27 38 23
8 15 Paris FC 21 9 12 1.2 1.6 5 7 9 26 34 22
9 18 Metz 21 9 12 1.0 2.2 3 4 14 21 46 13
10 3 Lyon 21 10 11 1.6 1.0 13 3 5 34 20 42
11 2 Paris SG 20 10 10 2.1 0.8 15 3 2 43 16 48
12 8 Toulouse 21 11 10 1.5 1.1 8 6 7 31 24 30
13 17 Nantes 21 11 10 0.9 1.8 3 5 13 19 37 14
14 5 Lille 21 12 9 1.6 1.4 10 3 8 34 30 33
15 11 Lorient 21 12 9 1.3 1.6 7 7 7 27 33 28
16 13 Le Havre 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 5 8 8 18 26 23
17 16 Auxerre 21 14 7 0.7 1.4 3 5 13 14 29 14
18 9 Angers 21 15 6 1.0 1.2 8 5 8 22 25 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Monaco 11 3 8 2.0 1.6 6 1 4 22 18 19
2 4 Marseille 10 3 7 2.7 1.1 7 2 1 27 11 23
3 1 Lens 11 5 6 1.9 0.5 10 0 1 21 5 30
4 3 Lyon 10 4 6 1.7 0.7 8 0 2 17 7 24
5 6 Rennes 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 5 3 2 19 11 18
6 7 Strasbourg 10 4 6 1.7 0.7 6 1 3 17 7 19
7 8 Toulouse 11 5 6 1.7 1.4 4 4 3 19 15 16
8 11 Lorient 10 4 6 2.0 1.6 5 4 1 20 16 19
9 15 Paris FC 10 4 6 1.4 1.7 2 4 4 14 17 10
10 2 Paris SG 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 1 0 22 4 25
11 12 Brest 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 5 3 3 16 13 18
12 13 Le Havre 11 6 5 1.2 0.9 4 5 2 13 10 17
13 17 Nantes 11 6 5 0.9 2.0 1 2 8 10 22 5
14 5 Lille 10 6 4 1.7 1.2 6 1 3 17 12 19
15 14 Nice 11 7 4 1.3 1.3 4 4 3 14 14 16
16 16 Auxerre 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 6 10 12 11
17 18 Metz 10 6 4 0.9 1.5 2 3 5 9 15 9
18 9 Angers 11 8 3 1.5 1.1 6 2 3 16 12 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Nice 10 2 8 1.3 2.4 2 1 7 13 24 7
2 18 Metz 11 3 8 1.1 2.8 1 1 9 12 31 4
3 1 Lens 10 3 7 1.6 1.2 6 1 3 16 12 19
4 6 Rennes 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 3 4 4 12 23 13
5 7 Strasbourg 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 2 6 17 20 11
6 12 Brest 10 3 7 1.2 2.0 2 2 6 12 20 8
7 4 Marseille 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 5 1 4 19 11 16
8 15 Paris FC 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 5 12 17 12
9 2 Paris SG 11 6 5 1.9 1.1 7 2 2 21 12 23
10 3 Lyon 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 5 3 3 17 13 18
11 5 Lille 11 6 5 1.5 1.6 4 2 5 17 18 14
12 17 Nantes 10 5 5 0.9 1.5 2 3 5 9 15 9
13 8 Toulouse 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 2 4 12 9 14
14 10 Monaco 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 5 10 15 9
15 9 Angers 10 7 3 0.6 1.3 2 3 5 6 13 9
16 11 Lorient 11 8 3 0.6 1.5 2 3 6 7 17 9
17 13 Le Havre 10 7 3 0.5 1.6 1 3 6 5 16 6
18 16 Auxerre 10 7 3 0.4 1.7 0 3 7 4 17 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40