Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany 2. Bundesliga ·

Paderborn 1–0 Hamburg

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.60 fair 2.71
Draw 4.20 fair 4.37
Away 1.83 fair 2.49
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.60 fair 2.84
Over 2.5 1.29 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paderborn Hamburg
15 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 9
10 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (288 league matches this season so far).
Result Hamburg to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.71
Home / Draw / Away
PaderbornDrawHamburg
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Paderborn before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.59scored / match
1.66conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 51:53
Hamburg before this match, all matches
1.72points / match
1.88scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 60:42
Paderborn all matches all matches Hamburg

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.88
1.66 Goals conceded 1.31
3.25 Total goals 3.19
13.91 Shots 15.97
5.16 Shots on target 5.88
13.84 Shots faced 12.31
5.66 Corners 6.44
4.88 Corners against 4.69
11.00 Fouls 12.16
1.78 Yellow cards 2.25
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

41% Wins 50%
22% Draws 22%
38% Losses 28%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 84%
75% Over 2.5 goals 59%
41% Over 3.5 goals 31%
19% Over 4.5 goals 16%
6% Over 5.5 goals 16%
72% Both teams scored 56%
19% Clean sheets 38%
16% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 28%
41% Draws 41%
31% Losses 31%
78% Over 0.5 goals 72%
41% Over 1.5 goals 47%
16% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paderborn all matches
Hamburg all matches
Paderborn before this match, at home
1.38points / match
1.56scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:25
Hamburg before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:24
Paderborn at home away Hamburg

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.75
1.56 Goals conceded 1.50
3.13 Total goals 3.25
15.94 Shots 14.19
5.88 Shots on target 5.19
11.31 Shots faced 13.00
6.88 Corners 5.38
3.94 Corners against 5.25
11.00 Fouls 12.00
1.56 Yellow cards 2.63
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

38% Wins 31%
25% Draws 44%
38% Losses 25%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 94%
69% Over 2.5 goals 63%
44% Over 3.5 goals 44%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
69% Both teams scored 69%
19% Clean sheets 25%
19% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 19%
50% Draws 31%
25% Losses 50%
63% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paderborn at home
Hamburg away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paderborn all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Hannover – Paderborn 3–2 (3–2) 2.103.753.20 1.57 2.35
27.04.24 Paderborn – Elversberg 3–1 (0–0) 1.914.003.50 1.48 2.60
19.04.24 Nurnberg – Paderborn 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.53 2.40
13.04.24 Paderborn – Karlsruhe 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.88 1.53 2.40
05.04.24 Paderborn – Hertha 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.753.40 1.53 2.40
31.03.24 St Pauli – Paderborn 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.504.75 1.60 2.30
15.03.24 Paderborn – Braunschweig 1–2 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 Schalke 04 – Paderborn 3–3 (1–0) 2.253.503.10 1.60 2.30
03.03.24 Paderborn – Magdeburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.53 2.40
23.02.24 Wehen – Paderborn 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.602.38 1.65 2.20

Hamburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.24 Hamburg – St Pauli 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.602.88 1.60 2.30
27.04.24 Braunschweig – Hamburg 0–4 (0–2) 3.003.752.20 1.65 2.20
20.04.24 Hamburg – Holstein Kiel 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.753.20 1.44 2.70
14.04.24 Magdeburg – Hamburg 2–2 (2–0) 3.303.602.10 1.44 2.70
06.04.24 Hamburg – Kaiserslautern 2–1 (1–1) 1.654.334.75 1.48 2.60
31.03.24 Greuther Furth – Hamburg 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.752.25 1.50 2.50
17.03.24 Hamburg – Wehen 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.40 2.88
08.03.24 Fortuna Dusseldorf – Hamburg 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.75 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Hamburg – Osnabruck 1–2 (1–1) 1.405.506.50 1.36 3.10
25.02.24 Hamburg – Elversberg 1–0 (0–0) 1.604.335.00 1.36 3.10

Paderborn at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Paderborn – Elversberg 3–1 (0–0) 1.914.003.50 1.48 2.60
13.04.24 Paderborn – Karlsruhe 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.88 1.53 2.40
05.04.24 Paderborn – Hertha 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.753.40 1.53 2.40
15.03.24 Paderborn – Braunschweig 1–2 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.80 2.00
03.03.24 Paderborn – Magdeburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 0–4 (0–2) 2.383.752.75 1.57 2.35
04.02.24 Paderborn – Fortuna Dusseldorf 4–3 (3–0) 2.603.602.60 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Paderborn – Greuther Furth 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.753.00 1.60 2.30
15.12.23 Paderborn – Hansa Rostock 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.15
03.12.23 Paderborn – Hannover 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.502.90 1.62 2.25

Hamburg away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Braunschweig – Hamburg 0–4 (0–2) 3.003.752.20 1.65 2.20
14.04.24 Magdeburg – Hamburg 2–2 (2–0) 3.303.602.10 1.44 2.70
31.03.24 Greuther Furth – Hamburg 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.752.25 1.50 2.50
08.03.24 Fortuna Dusseldorf – Hamburg 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.75 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Hansa Rostock – Hamburg 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.331.65 1.50 2.50
03.02.24 Hertha – Hamburg 1–2 (0–0) 3.253.602.10 1.48 2.60
20.01.24 Schalke 04 – Hamburg 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.752.45 1.48 2.60
16.12.23 Nurnberg – Hamburg 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.48 2.60
01.12.23 St Pauli – Hamburg 2–2 (2–0) 1.834.004.00 1.62 2.25
11.11.23 Holstein Kiel – Hamburg 4–2 (1–0) 3.254.002.00 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paderborn winsDrawsHamburg wins
5matches
3.60goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23D2 Hamburg – Paderborn 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.335.00 1.40 2.88
05.05.23D2 Hamburg – Paderborn 2–2 (1–1) 2.104.003.00 1.44 2.70
30.10.22D2 Paderborn – Hamburg 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.802.90 1.47 2.60
02.04.22D2 Hamburg – Paderborn 1–2 (0–1) 1.653.805.25 1.57 2.35
22.10.21D2 Paderborn – Hamburg 1–2 (1–1) 2.373.602.80 1.57 2.35

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel 32 20 4 8 62 37 +25 64
2 St Pauli 32 18 9 5 57 34 +23 63
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 17 8 7 68 37 +31 59
4 Hamburg 32 16 7 9 60 42 +18 55
5 Karlsruhe 32 14 10 8 64 46 +18 52
6 Hannover 32 12 13 7 56 41 +15 49
7 Greuther Furth 32 13 7 12 48 49 -1 46
8 Paderborn 32 13 7 12 51 53 -2 46
9 Hertha 32 12 9 11 65 56 +9 45
10 Elversberg 32 12 7 13 49 57 -8 43
11 Schalke 04 32 11 7 14 51 57 -6 40
12 Magdeburg 32 9 10 13 44 51 -7 37
13 Nurnberg 32 10 7 15 39 60 -21 37
14 Kaiserslautern 32 10 6 16 53 61 -8 36
15 Braunschweig 32 10 5 17 36 48 -12 35
16 Wehen 32 8 8 16 35 47 -12 32
17 Hansa Rostock 32 9 4 19 28 53 -25 31
18 Osnabruck 32 5 10 17 28 65 -37 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 St Pauli 16 10 5 1 32 14 +18 35
2 Hamburg 16 11 0 5 32 18 +14 33
3 Karlsruhe 16 9 5 2 39 21 +18 32
4 Greuther Furth 16 9 4 3 31 20 +11 31
5 Hannover 16 8 6 2 34 18 +16 30
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 9 3 4 29 19 +10 30
7 Schalke 04 16 8 4 4 29 20 +9 28
8 Holstein Kiel 16 9 1 6 32 25 +7 28
9 Hertha 16 7 6 3 40 21 +19 27
10 Magdeburg 16 6 5 5 27 23 +4 23
11 Kaiserslautern 16 7 2 7 31 31 0 23
12 Paderborn 16 6 4 6 25 25 0 22
13 Braunschweig 16 6 4 6 20 21 -1 22
14 Elversberg 16 6 4 6 23 25 -2 22
15 Hansa Rostock 16 6 2 8 19 25 -6 20
16 Nurnberg 16 5 4 7 18 27 -9 19
17 Wehen 16 4 5 7 17 23 -6 17
18 Osnabruck 16 3 5 8 13 27 -14 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel 16 11 3 2 30 12 +18 36
2 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 8 5 3 39 18 +21 29
3 St Pauli 16 8 4 4 25 20 +5 28
4 Paderborn 16 7 3 6 26 28 -2 24
5 Hamburg 16 5 7 4 28 24 +4 22
6 Elversberg 16 6 3 7 26 32 -6 21
7 Karlsruhe 16 5 5 6 25 25 0 20
8 Hannover 16 4 7 5 22 23 -1 19
9 Hertha 16 5 3 8 25 35 -10 18
10 Nurnberg 16 5 3 8 21 33 -12 18
11 Wehen 16 4 3 9 18 24 -6 15
12 Greuther Furth 16 4 3 9 17 29 -12 15
13 Magdeburg 16 3 5 8 17 28 -11 14
14 Kaiserslautern 16 3 4 9 22 30 -8 13
15 Braunschweig 16 4 1 11 16 27 -11 13
16 Schalke 04 16 3 3 10 22 37 -15 12
17 Hansa Rostock 16 3 2 11 9 28 -19 11
18 Osnabruck 16 2 5 9 15 38 -23 11

Paderborn   Hamburg

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Kaiserslautern 32 6 26 1.7 1.9 10 6 16 53 61 36
2 9 Hertha 32 7 25 2.0 1.8 12 9 11 65 56 45
3 8 Paderborn 32 8 24 1.6 1.7 13 7 12 51 53 46
4 5 Karlsruhe 32 10 22 2.0 1.4 14 10 8 64 46 52
5 10 Elversberg 32 11 21 1.5 1.8 12 7 13 49 57 43
6 6 Hannover 32 12 20 1.8 1.3 12 13 7 56 41 49
7 4 Hamburg 32 13 19 1.9 1.3 16 7 9 60 42 55
8 11 Schalke 04 32 13 19 1.6 1.8 11 7 14 51 57 40
9 13 Nurnberg 32 13 19 1.2 1.9 10 7 15 39 60 37
10 1 Holstein Kiel 32 14 18 1.9 1.2 20 4 8 62 37 64
11 3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 14 18 2.1 1.2 17 8 7 68 37 59
12 17 Hansa Rostock 32 14 18 0.9 1.7 9 4 19 28 53 31
13 18 Osnabruck 32 14 18 0.9 2.0 5 10 17 28 65 25
14 2 St Pauli 32 15 17 1.8 1.1 18 9 5 57 34 63
15 7 Greuther Furth 32 15 17 1.5 1.5 13 7 12 48 49 46
16 15 Braunschweig 32 15 17 1.1 1.5 10 5 17 36 48 35
17 12 Magdeburg 32 17 15 1.4 1.6 9 10 13 44 51 37
18 16 Wehen 32 19 13 1.1 1.5 8 8 16 35 47 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Kaiserslautern 16 2 14 1.9 1.9 7 2 7 31 31 23
2 5 Karlsruhe 16 3 13 2.4 1.3 9 5 2 39 21 32
3 9 Hertha 16 3 13 2.5 1.3 7 6 3 40 21 27
4 1 Holstein Kiel 16 5 11 2.0 1.6 9 1 6 32 25 28
5 6 Hannover 16 5 11 2.1 1.1 8 6 2 34 18 30
6 8 Paderborn 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 6 4 6 25 25 22
7 7 Greuther Furth 16 6 10 1.9 1.2 9 4 3 31 20 31
8 10 Elversberg 16 6 10 1.4 1.6 6 4 6 23 25 22
9 17 Hansa Rostock 16 6 10 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 19 25 20
10 4 Hamburg 16 7 9 2.0 1.1 11 0 5 32 18 33
11 11 Schalke 04 16 7 9 1.8 1.2 8 4 4 29 20 28
12 12 Magdeburg 16 7 9 1.7 1.4 6 5 5 27 23 23
13 13 Nurnberg 16 7 9 1.1 1.7 5 4 7 18 27 19
14 2 St Pauli 16 8 8 2.0 0.9 10 5 1 32 14 35
15 3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 9 7 1.8 1.2 9 3 4 29 19 30
16 15 Braunschweig 16 9 7 1.2 1.3 6 4 6 20 21 22
17 18 Osnabruck 16 9 7 0.8 1.7 3 5 8 13 27 14
18 16 Wehen 16 11 5 1.1 1.4 4 5 7 17 23 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Paderborn 16 3 13 1.6 1.8 7 3 6 26 28 24
2 9 Hertha 16 4 12 1.6 2.2 5 3 8 25 35 18
3 14 Kaiserslautern 16 4 12 1.4 1.9 3 4 9 22 30 13
4 3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 5 11 2.4 1.1 8 5 3 39 18 29
5 10 Elversberg 16 5 11 1.6 2.0 6 3 7 26 32 21
6 18 Osnabruck 16 5 11 0.9 2.4 2 5 9 15 38 11
7 4 Hamburg 16 6 10 1.8 1.5 5 7 4 28 24 22
8 11 Schalke 04 16 6 10 1.4 2.3 3 3 10 22 37 12
9 13 Nurnberg 16 6 10 1.3 2.1 5 3 8 21 33 18
10 15 Braunschweig 16 6 10 1.0 1.7 4 1 11 16 27 13
11 2 St Pauli 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 8 4 4 25 20 28
12 5 Karlsruhe 16 7 9 1.6 1.6 5 5 6 25 25 20
13 6 Hannover 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 4 7 5 22 23 19
14 16 Wehen 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 4 3 9 18 24 15
15 17 Hansa Rostock 16 8 8 0.6 1.8 3 2 11 9 28 11
16 1 Holstein Kiel 16 9 7 1.9 0.8 11 3 2 30 12 36
17 7 Greuther Furth 16 9 7 1.1 1.8 4 3 9 17 29 15
18 12 Magdeburg 16 10 6 1.1 1.8 3 5 8 17 28 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40