Paderborn 2–1 Dresden – Germany 2. Bundesliga, 21 Mar 2026

Match facts

Paderborn Dresden

22 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 8

4 Corners 5

8 Fouls 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (236 league matches this season so far).

Result Paderborn to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.56

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.39

Home / Draw / Away

50% 22% 28%

PaderbornDrawDresden

Under / Over 2.5 goals

36% 64%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

36% 64%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

12% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

24% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9.8% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Paderborn before this match, all matches

1.85points / match

1.65scored / match

1.15conceded / match

14 6 6

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 43:30

Dresden before this match, all matches

1.12points / match

1.69scored / match

1.69conceded / match

7 8 11

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 44:44

Paderborn all matches all matches Dresden

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.69

1.15 Goals conceded 1.69

2.81 Total goals 3.38

15.62 Shots 13.00

5.58 Shots on target 4.19

11.65 Shots faced 14.62

5.38 Corners 4.88

4.81 Corners against 6.04

13.00 Fouls 11.19

2.12 Yellow cards 1.96

0.62 1st-half goals scored 1.08

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

54% Wins 27%

23% Draws 31%

23% Losses 42%

92% Over 0.5 goals 96%

85% Over 1.5 goals 92%

62% Over 2.5 goals 77%

19% Over 3.5 goals 42%

8% Over 4.5 goals 19%

8% Over 5.5 goals 12%

65% Both teams scored 77%

27% Clean sheets 12%

15% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 46%

31% Draws 27%

31% Losses 27%

77% Over 0.5 goals 88%

31% Over 1.5 goals 58%

8% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paderborn all matches

2

D

2

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

D

5

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

2

D

Dresden all matches

1

2

L

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

2

D

1

2

L

D

3

1

W

3

D

6

W

Paderborn before this match, at home

2.00points / match

1.92scored / match

1.38conceded / match

8 2 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 25:18

Dresden before this match, away

1.08points / match

1.46scored / match

1.85conceded / match

3 5 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:24

Paderborn at home away Dresden

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 1.46

1.38 Goals conceded 1.85

3.31 Total goals 3.31

17.38 Shots 13.08

6.23 Shots on target 4.00

11.38 Shots faced 15.15

6.38 Corners 5.00

5.08 Corners against 6.77

12.62 Fouls 11.00

1.69 Yellow cards 1.85

0.62 1st-half goals scored 1.00

0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

62% Wins 23%

15% Draws 38%

23% Losses 38%

100% Over 0.5 goals 92%

92% Over 1.5 goals 92%

69% Over 2.5 goals 77%

23% Over 3.5 goals 46%

15% Over 4.5 goals 15%

15% Over 5.5 goals 8%

77% Both teams scored 77%

15% Clean sheets 8%

8% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 46%

23% Draws 23%

46% Losses 31%

77% Over 0.5 goals 85%

46% Over 1.5 goals 54%

15% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paderborn at home

2

W

4

3

W

2

1

W

2

L

1

2

L

2

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

5

2

W

1

D

Dresden away

2

L

2

D

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

3

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Paderborn all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.26	Bielefeld – Paderborn	2–2 (1–0)	2.63	3.50	2.50	1.70	2.10
07.03.26	Paderborn – Braunschweig	1–1 (0–0)	1.48	4.50	6.00	1.67	2.15
28.02.26	Kaiserslautern – Paderborn	1–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.75	2.20	1.62	2.25
22.02.26	Paderborn – Hertha	5–2 (3–1)	2.25	3.50	3.00	1.70	2.10
15.02.26	Bochum – Paderborn	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.50	2.63	1.65	2.20
07.02.26	Paderborn – Nurnberg	2–1 (2–0)	1.85	3.75	3.80	1.70	2.10
01.02.26	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Paderborn	2–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.60	2.15	1.65	2.20
25.01.26	Paderborn – Preußen Münster	2–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.60	5.00	1.70	2.10
18.01.26	Holstein Kiel – Paderborn	2–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.50	2.40	1.70	2.10
19.12.25	Paderborn – Darmstadt	2–2 (0–2)	2.10	3.50	3.25	1.70	2.10

Dresden all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.26	Dresden – Preußen Münster	6–0 (3–0)	2.05	3.60	3.25	1.75	2.05
08.03.26	Karlsruhe – Dresden	3–3 (1–3)	2.50	3.40	2.63	1.73	2.08
27.02.26	Dresden – Darmstadt	3–1 (2–0)	2.75	3.50	2.35	1.75	2.05
22.02.26	Hannover – Dresden	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	6.00	1.62	2.25
14.02.26	Dresden – Elversberg	1–2 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.75	2.05
07.02.26	Schalke 04 – Dresden	2–2 (0–0)	1.73	3.75	4.50	1.98	1.83
01.02.26	Dresden – Bielefeld	1–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.80	1.95	1.85
24.01.26	Magdeburg – Dresden	1–2 (1–2)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
17.01.26	Dresden – Greuther Furth	2–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.90	3.75	1.60	2.30
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel – Dresden	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.67	2.15

Paderborn at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26	Paderborn – Braunschweig	1–1 (0–0)	1.48	4.50	6.00	1.67	2.15
22.02.26	Paderborn – Hertha	5–2 (3–1)	2.25	3.50	3.00	1.70	2.10
07.02.26	Paderborn – Nurnberg	2–1 (2–0)	1.85	3.75	3.80	1.70	2.10
25.01.26	Paderborn – Preußen Münster	2–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.60	5.00	1.70	2.10
19.12.25	Paderborn – Darmstadt	2–2 (0–2)	2.10	3.50	3.25	1.70	2.10
06.12.25	Paderborn – Elversberg	1–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.15
22.11.25	Paderborn – Hannover	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.60	3.10	1.62	2.25
02.11.25	Paderborn – Greuther Furth	2–1 (1–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.44	2.70
18.10.25	Paderborn – Bielefeld	4–3 (1–2)	1.75	3.60	4.50	1.62	2.25
27.09.25	Paderborn – Kaiserslautern	2–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.90	3.60	1.62	2.25

Dresden away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.26	Karlsruhe – Dresden	3–3 (1–3)	2.50	3.40	2.63	1.73	2.08
22.02.26	Hannover – Dresden	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	6.00	1.62	2.25
07.02.26	Schalke 04 – Dresden	2–2 (0–0)	1.73	3.75	4.50	1.98	1.83
24.01.26	Magdeburg – Dresden	1–2 (1–2)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel – Dresden	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.67	2.15
06.12.25	Kaiserslautern – Dresden	3–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.90	3.50	1.62	2.25
21.11.25	Bochum – Dresden	1–2 (0–2)	1.95	3.75	3.60	1.65	2.20
01.11.25	Hertha – Dresden	2–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.57	2.35
18.10.25	Preußen Münster – Dresden	2–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.70	2.80	1.67	2.15
26.09.25	Darmstadt – Dresden	2–0 (1–0)	1.62	4.10	4.00	1.48	2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Paderborn winsDrawsDresden wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.10.25D2	Dresden – Paderborn	1–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.90	2.05	1.60	2.30
12.02.22D2	Paderborn – Dresden	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.50	4.00	1.83	2.02
29.08.21D2	Dresden – Paderborn	0–3 (0–3)	2.37	3.30	2.90	1.72	2.07

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Schalke 04	26	15	6	5	37	23	+14	51
2	Darmstadt	26	13	10	3	48	29	+19	49
3	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46	34	+12	49
4	Elversberg	26	14	6	6	44	28	+16	48
5	Paderborn	26	14	6	6	43	30	+13	48
6	Hertha	26	11	8	7	37	31	+6	41
7	Kaiserslautern	26	12	4	10	45	38	+7	40
8	Karlsruhe	27	10	7	10	43	51	-8	37
9	Bochum	26	8	9	9	36	33	+3	33
10	Nurnberg	26	9	6	11	34	37	-3	33
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	9	4	13	24	35	-11	31
12	Dresden	26	7	8	11	44	44	0	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29	44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40	59	-19	29
15	Bielefeld	26	7	7	12	38	36	+2	28
16	Preußen Münster	26	6	8	12	30	44	-14	26
17	Holstein Kiel	26	6	7	13	31	40	-9	25
18	Magdeburg	26	7	3	16	36	49	-13	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Darmstadt	13	10	3	0	28	9	+19	33
2	Schalke 04	13	9	3	1	22	13	+9	30
3	Kaiserslautern	14	9	1	4	30	17	+13	28
4	Paderborn	13	8	2	3	25	18	+7	26
5	Elversberg	12	7	4	1	20	10	+10	25
6	Karlsruhe	13	7	3	3	26	22	+4	24
7	Hannover	13	7	2	4	19	15	+4	23
8	Bochum	13	6	4	3	21	15	+6	22
9	Nurnberg	13	6	4	3	20	15	+5	22
10	Hertha	14	5	5	4	14	15	-1	20
11	Bielefeld	13	5	3	5	24	17	+7	18
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	5	3	5	13	17	-4	18
13	Braunschweig	14	5	3	6	16	23	-7	18
14	Greuther Furth	13	4	4	5	19	26	-7	16
15	Dresden	13	4	3	6	25	20	+5	15
16	Holstein Kiel	13	4	3	6	16	16	0	15
17	Preußen Münster	13	3	6	4	18	19	-1	15
18	Magdeburg	13	2	2	9	16	26	-10	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hannover	14	7	5	2	27	19	+8	26
2	Elversberg	14	7	2	5	24	18	+6	23
3	Paderborn	13	6	4	3	18	12	+6	22
4	Hertha	12	6	3	3	23	16	+7	21
5	Schalke 04	13	6	3	4	15	10	+5	21
6	Darmstadt	13	3	7	3	20	20	0	16
7	Magdeburg	13	5	1	7	20	23	-3	16
8	Dresden	13	3	5	5	19	24	-5	14
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	1	8	11	18	-7	13
10	Greuther Furth	14	4	1	9	21	33	-12	13
11	Karlsruhe	14	3	4	7	17	29	-12	13
12	Kaiserslautern	12	3	3	6	15	21	-6	12
13	Bochum	13	2	5	6	15	18	-3	11
14	Nurnberg	13	3	2	8	14	22	-8	11
15	Braunschweig	13	3	2	8	13	21	-8	11
16	Preußen Münster	13	3	2	8	12	25	-13	11
17	Bielefeld	13	2	4	7	14	19	-5	10
18	Holstein Kiel	13	2	4	7	15	24	-9	10

Paderborn Dresden

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Hannover	27	7	20	1.7	1.3	14	7	6	46	34	49
2	8	Karlsruhe	27	7	20	1.6	1.9	10	7	10	43	51	37
3	12	Dresden	26	6	20	1.7	1.7	7	8	11	44	44	29
4	14	Greuther Furth	27	8	19	1.5	2.2	8	5	14	40	59	29
5	7	Kaiserslautern	26	9	17	1.7	1.5	12	4	10	45	38	40
6	5	Paderborn	26	10	16	1.7	1.2	14	6	6	43	30	48
7	16	Preußen Münster	26	10	16	1.2	1.7	6	8	12	30	44	26
8	2	Darmstadt	26	11	15	1.8	1.1	13	10	3	48	29	49
9	10	Nurnberg	26	11	15	1.3	1.4	9	6	11	34	37	33
10	13	Braunschweig	27	12	15	1.1	1.6	8	5	14	29	44	29
11	18	Magdeburg	26	12	14	1.4	1.9	7	3	16	36	49	24
12	4	Elversberg	26	13	13	1.7	1.1	14	6	6	44	28	48
13	6	Hertha	26	13	13	1.4	1.2	11	8	7	37	31	41
14	11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	13	13	0.9	1.3	9	4	13	24	35	31
15	15	Bielefeld	26	13	13	1.5	1.4	7	7	12	38	36	28
16	17	Holstein Kiel	26	13	13	1.2	1.5	6	7	13	31	40	25
17	1	Schalke 04	26	14	12	1.4	0.9	15	6	5	37	23	51
18	9	Bochum	26	14	12	1.4	1.3	8	9	9	36	33	33

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Kaiserslautern	14	4	10	2.1	1.2	9	1	4	30	17	28
2	8	Karlsruhe	13	3	10	2.0	1.7	7	3	3	26	22	24
3	12	Dresden	13	3	10	1.9	1.5	4	3	6	25	20	15
4	3	Hannover	13	4	9	1.5	1.2	7	2	4	19	15	23
5	5	Paderborn	13	4	9	1.9	1.4	8	2	3	25	18	26
6	15	Bielefeld	13	4	9	1.8	1.3	5	3	5	24	17	18
7	13	Braunschweig	14	6	8	1.1	1.6	5	3	6	16	23	18
8	14	Greuther Furth	13	5	8	1.5	2.0	4	4	5	19	26	16
9	16	Preußen Münster	13	5	8	1.4	1.5	3	6	4	18	19	15
10	1	Schalke 04	13	6	7	1.7	1.0	9	3	1	22	13	30
11	2	Darmstadt	13	6	7	2.2	0.7	10	3	0	28	9	33
12	10	Nurnberg	13	6	7	1.5	1.2	6	4	3	20	15	22
13	11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	7	1.0	1.3	5	3	5	13	17	18
14	18	Magdeburg	13	6	7	1.2	2.0	2	2	9	16	26	8
15	4	Elversberg	12	6	6	1.7	0.8	7	4	1	20	10	25
16	9	Bochum	13	7	6	1.6	1.2	6	4	3	21	15	22
17	17	Holstein Kiel	13	7	6	1.2	1.2	4	3	6	16	16	15
18	6	Hertha	14	10	4	1.0	1.1	5	5	4	14	15	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Hannover	14	3	11	1.9	1.4	7	5	2	27	19	26
2	14	Greuther Furth	14	3	11	1.5	2.4	4	1	9	21	33	13
3	8	Karlsruhe	14	4	10	1.2	2.1	3	4	7	17	29	13
4	12	Dresden	13	3	10	1.5	1.8	3	5	5	19	24	14
5	6	Hertha	12	3	9	1.9	1.3	6	3	3	23	16	21
6	2	Darmstadt	13	5	8	1.5	1.5	3	7	3	20	20	16
7	10	Nurnberg	13	5	8	1.1	1.7	3	2	8	14	22	11
8	16	Preußen Münster	13	5	8	0.9	1.9	3	2	8	12	25	11
9	4	Elversberg	14	7	7	1.7	1.3	7	2	5	24	18	23
10	5	Paderborn	13	6	7	1.4	0.9	6	4	3	18	12	22
11	7	Kaiserslautern	12	5	7	1.2	1.8	3	3	6	15	21	12
12	13	Braunschweig	13	6	7	1.0	1.6	3	2	8	13	21	11
13	17	Holstein Kiel	13	6	7	1.2	1.8	2	4	7	15	24	10
14	18	Magdeburg	13	6	7	1.5	1.8	5	1	7	20	23	16
15	9	Bochum	13	7	6	1.2	1.4	2	5	6	15	18	11
16	11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	7	6	0.8	1.4	4	1	8	11	18	13
17	1	Schalke 04	13	8	5	1.2	0.8	6	3	4	15	10	21
18	15	Bielefeld	13	9	4	1.1	1.5	2	4	7	14	19	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.