Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel – Germany 2. Bundesliga, 17 May 2026

Match facts

Dresden Holstein Kiel

10 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 9

14 Fouls 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).

Result Dresden to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.64

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.35

Home / Draw / Away

47% 24% 30%

DresdenDrawHolstein Kiel

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

39% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Dresden before this match, all matches

1.15points / match

1.58scored / match

1.58conceded / match

10 8 15

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 52:52

Holstein Kiel before this match, all matches

1.24points / match

1.30scored / match

1.39conceded / match

11 8 14

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 43:46

Dresden all matches all matches Holstein Kiel

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.30

1.58 Goals conceded 1.39

3.15 Total goals 2.70

13.06 Shots 12.00

4.33 Shots on target 3.67

14.06 Shots faced 14.15

5.09 Corners 5.06

5.64 Corners against 5.03

10.67 Fouls 14.21

1.82 Yellow cards 2.94

0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

30% Wins 33%

24% Draws 24%

45% Losses 42%

97% Over 0.5 goals 97%

88% Over 1.5 goals 82%

70% Over 2.5 goals 52%

36% Over 3.5 goals 24%

15% Over 4.5 goals 12%

9% Over 5.5 goals 3%

70% Both teams scored 61%

18% Clean sheets 27%

15% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 30%

30% Draws 42%

27% Losses 27%

82% Over 0.5 goals 67%

48% Over 1.5 goals 39%

24% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dresden all matches

3

1

W

3

D

6

W

1

2

L

1

L

2

W

2

W

1

3

L

1

W

1

2

L

Holstein Kiel all matches

1

D

2

L

2

3

L

3

2

W

D

2

1

W

3

W

1

W

2

W

1

3

L

Dresden before this match, at home

1.31points / match

1.75scored / match

1.31conceded / match

6 3 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:21

Holstein Kiel before this match, away

1.19points / match

1.31scored / match

1.69conceded / match

5 4 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:27

Dresden at home away Holstein Kiel

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.31

1.31 Goals conceded 1.69

3.06 Total goals 3.00

12.81 Shots 10.75

4.50 Shots on target 3.13

13.19 Shots faced 16.81

4.94 Corners 3.94

5.06 Corners against 5.25

11.06 Fouls 15.38

2.00 Yellow cards 3.75

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

38% Wins 31%

19% Draws 25%

44% Losses 44%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

81% Over 1.5 goals 81%

63% Over 2.5 goals 56%

31% Over 3.5 goals 38%

19% Over 4.5 goals 19%

13% Over 5.5 goals 6%

63% Both teams scored 69%

25% Clean sheets 19%

13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 31%

38% Draws 31%

19% Losses 38%

81% Over 0.5 goals 75%

50% Over 1.5 goals 38%

25% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dresden at home

2

1

W

2

3

L

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

6

W

1

L

2

W

1

W

Holstein Kiel away

1

4

L

1

D

3

D

2

D

1

3

L

1

3

L

2

L

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Dresden all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.05.26	Braunschweig – Dresden	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.75	2.05
02.05.26	Dresden – Kaiserslautern	1–0 (0–0)	1.75	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
24.04.26	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Dresden	3–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.40	2.80	1.70	2.10
18.04.26	Dresden – Bochum	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.80	2.70	1.57	2.35
11.04.26	Nurnberg – Dresden	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.60	3.25	1.70	2.10
04.04.26	Dresden – Hertha	0–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.50	2.55	1.65	2.20
21.03.26	Paderborn – Dresden	2–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.75	4.33	1.62	2.25
15.03.26	Dresden – Preußen Münster	6–0 (3–0)	2.05	3.60	3.25	1.75	2.05
08.03.26	Karlsruhe – Dresden	3–3 (1–3)	2.50	3.40	2.63	1.73	2.08
27.02.26	Dresden – Darmstadt	3–1 (2–0)	2.75	3.50	2.35	1.75	2.05

Holstein Kiel all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel – Magdeburg	1–3 (0–2)	3.00	4.00	2.10	1.40	2.88
02.05.26	Holstein Kiel – Braunschweig	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	3.10	1.80	2.00
25.04.26	Hertha – Holstein Kiel	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.90	3.20	1.57	2.35
17.04.26	Holstein Kiel – Kaiserslautern	3–0 (3–0)	2.15	3.80	3.00	1.65	2.20
10.04.26	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Holstein Kiel	1–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.60	3.20	1.70	2.10
05.04.26	Holstein Kiel – Preußen Münster	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.80	3.80	1.70	2.10
22.03.26	Bochum – Holstein Kiel	2–3 (1–2)	2.00	3.50	3.60	1.70	2.10
14.03.26	Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg	2–3 (2–2)	2.35	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.15
07.03.26	Darmstadt – Holstein Kiel	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.70	3.60	1.70	2.10
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel – Elversberg	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.50	2.15	1.70	2.10

Dresden at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.05.26	Dresden – Kaiserslautern	1–0 (0–0)	1.75	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
18.04.26	Dresden – Bochum	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.80	2.70	1.57	2.35
04.04.26	Dresden – Hertha	0–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.50	2.55	1.65	2.20
15.03.26	Dresden – Preußen Münster	6–0 (3–0)	2.05	3.60	3.25	1.75	2.05
27.02.26	Dresden – Darmstadt	3–1 (2–0)	2.75	3.50	2.35	1.75	2.05
14.02.26	Dresden – Elversberg	1–2 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.75	2.05
01.02.26	Dresden – Bielefeld	1–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.80	1.95	1.85
17.01.26	Dresden – Greuther Furth	2–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.90	3.75	1.60	2.30
12.12.25	Dresden – Braunschweig	2–3 (0–2)	2.25	3.10	3.40	1.88	1.93
30.11.25	Dresden – Fortuna Dusseldorf	2–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.60	2.80	1.60	2.30

Holstein Kiel away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.04.26	Hertha – Holstein Kiel	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.90	3.20	1.57	2.35
10.04.26	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Holstein Kiel	1–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.60	3.20	1.70	2.10
22.03.26	Bochum – Holstein Kiel	2–3 (1–2)	2.00	3.50	3.60	1.70	2.10
07.03.26	Darmstadt – Holstein Kiel	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.70	3.60	1.70	2.10
21.02.26	Karlsruhe – Holstein Kiel	3–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.55	1.70	2.10
08.02.26	Hannover – Holstein Kiel	3–1 (2–0)	1.75	3.50	4.75	1.70	2.10
23.01.26	Bielefeld – Holstein Kiel	2–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.25	3.50	2.03	1.78
13.12.25	Magdeburg – Holstein Kiel	3–3 (2–1)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.57	2.35
07.12.25	Braunschweig – Holstein Kiel	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.80	2.30	1.70	2.10
23.11.25	Kaiserslautern – Holstein Kiel	4–1 (4–1)	2.25	3.50	3.00	1.70	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Dresden winsDrawsHolstein Kiel wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.12.25D2	Holstein Kiel – Dresden	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.67	2.15
16.04.22D2	Dresden – Holstein Kiel	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.80	1.83	2.02
05.11.21D2	Holstein Kiel – Dresden	2–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.50	4.20	1.85	1.95

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Schalke 04	33	20	7	6	49	31	+18	67
2	Elversberg	33	17	8	8	61	39	+22	59
3	Hannover	33	16	11	6	57	41	+16	59
4	Paderborn	33	17	8	8	57	45	+12	59
5	Darmstadt	33	13	13	7	57	43	+14	52
6	Hertha	33	14	9	10	46	38	+8	51
7	Kaiserslautern	33	15	4	14	51	47	+4	49
8	Nurnberg	33	12	9	12	44	42	+2	45
9	Karlsruhe	33	12	8	13	52	62	-10	44
10	Bochum	33	10	11	12	47	46	+1	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	11	8	14	43	46	-3	41
12	Magdeburg	33	12	3	18	52	57	-5	39
13	Dresden	33	10	8	15	52	52	0	38
14	Braunschweig	33	10	7	16	36	53	-17	37
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	33	11	4	18	33	50	-17	37
16	Bielefeld	33	9	9	15	47	50	-3	36
17	Greuther Furth	33	9	7	17	46	68	-22	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	6	12	15	38	58	-20	30

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Schalke 04	16	12	3	1	28	14	+14	39
2	Darmstadt	16	10	5	1	32	15	+17	35
3	Elversberg	16	10	4	2	32	14	+18	34
4	Kaiserslautern	17	11	1	5	35	19	+16	34
5	Paderborn	17	10	3	4	35	27	+8	33
6	Nurnberg	17	9	4	4	27	17	+10	31
7	Karlsruhe	16	9	3	4	33	27	+6	30
8	Bochum	17	8	5	4	30	21	+9	29
9	Hannover	16	7	5	4	24	20	+4	26
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	7	3	7	22	26	-4	24
11	Bielefeld	16	6	5	5	28	20	+8	23
12	Hertha	17	6	5	6	16	18	-2	23
13	Braunschweig	17	6	5	6	20	26	-6	23
14	Holstein Kiel	17	6	4	7	22	19	+3	22
15	Dresden	16	6	3	7	28	21	+7	21
16	Greuther Furth	16	5	5	6	23	31	-8	20
17	Magdeburg	16	5	2	9	23	27	-4	17
18	Preußen Münster	17	3	8	6	22	26	-4	17

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hannover	17	9	6	2	33	21	+12	33
2	Hertha	16	8	4	4	30	20	+10	28
3	Schalke 04	17	8	4	5	21	17	+4	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	5	4	22	18	+4	26
5	Elversberg	17	7	4	6	29	25	+4	25
6	Magdeburg	17	7	1	9	29	30	-1	22
7	Holstein Kiel	16	5	4	7	21	27	-6	19
8	Darmstadt	17	3	8	6	25	28	-3	17
9	Dresden	17	4	5	8	24	31	-7	17
10	Kaiserslautern	16	4	3	9	16	28	-12	15
11	Nurnberg	16	3	5	8	17	25	-8	14
12	Braunschweig	16	4	2	10	16	27	-11	14
13	Greuther Furth	17	4	2	11	23	37	-14	14
14	Karlsruhe	17	3	5	9	19	35	-16	14
15	Bielefeld	17	3	4	10	19	30	-11	13
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	4	1	11	11	24	-13	13
17	Preußen Münster	16	3	4	9	16	32	-16	13
18	Bochum	16	2	6	8	17	25	-8	12

Dresden Holstein Kiel

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Karlsruhe	33	8	25	1.6	1.9	12	8	13	52	62	44
2	13	Dresden	33	10	23	1.6	1.6	10	8	15	52	52	38
3	3	Hannover	33	11	22	1.7	1.2	16	11	6	57	41	59
4	17	Greuther Furth	33	11	22	1.4	2.1	9	7	17	46	68	34
5	4	Paderborn	33	12	21	1.7	1.4	17	8	8	57	45	59
6	7	Kaiserslautern	33	13	20	1.5	1.4	15	4	14	51	47	49
7	18	Preußen Münster	33	13	20	1.2	1.8	6	12	15	38	58	30
8	2	Elversberg	33	14	19	1.8	1.2	17	8	8	61	39	59
9	5	Darmstadt	33	14	19	1.7	1.3	13	13	7	57	43	52
10	12	Magdeburg	33	15	18	1.6	1.7	12	3	18	52	57	39
11	15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	33	15	18	1.0	1.5	11	4	18	33	50	37
12	8	Nurnberg	33	16	17	1.3	1.3	12	9	12	44	42	45
13	11	Holstein Kiel	33	16	17	1.3	1.4	11	8	14	43	46	41
14	14	Braunschweig	33	16	17	1.1	1.6	10	7	16	36	53	37
15	16	Bielefeld	33	16	17	1.4	1.5	9	9	15	47	50	36
16	1	Schalke 04	33	17	16	1.5	0.9	20	7	6	49	31	67
17	10	Bochum	33	17	16	1.4	1.4	10	11	12	47	46	41
18	6	Hertha	33	18	15	1.4	1.2	14	9	10	46	38	51

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Paderborn	17	4	13	2.1	1.6	10	3	4	35	27	33
2	9	Karlsruhe	16	3	13	2.1	1.7	9	3	4	33	27	30
3	7	Kaiserslautern	17	6	11	2.1	1.1	11	1	5	35	19	34
4	15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	6	11	1.3	1.5	7	3	7	22	26	24
5	2	Elversberg	16	6	10	2.0	0.9	10	4	2	32	14	34
6	3	Hannover	16	6	10	1.5	1.2	7	5	4	24	20	26
7	13	Dresden	16	6	10	1.8	1.3	6	3	7	28	21	21
8	16	Bielefeld	16	6	10	1.8	1.2	6	5	5	28	20	23
9	18	Preußen Münster	17	7	10	1.3	1.5	3	8	6	22	26	17
10	8	Nurnberg	17	8	9	1.6	1.0	9	4	4	27	17	31
11	10	Bochum	17	8	9	1.8	1.2	8	5	4	30	21	29
12	14	Braunschweig	17	8	9	1.2	1.5	6	5	6	20	26	23
13	17	Greuther Furth	16	7	9	1.4	1.9	5	5	6	23	31	20
14	1	Schalke 04	16	8	8	1.8	0.9	12	3	1	28	14	39
15	5	Darmstadt	16	8	8	2.0	0.9	10	5	1	32	15	35
16	11	Holstein Kiel	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	6	4	7	22	19	22
17	12	Magdeburg	16	8	8	1.4	1.7	5	2	9	23	27	17
18	6	Hertha	17	12	5	0.9	1.1	6	5	6	16	18	23

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Dresden	17	4	13	1.4	1.8	4	5	8	24	31	17
2	17	Greuther Furth	17	4	13	1.4	2.2	4	2	11	23	37	14
3	3	Hannover	17	5	12	1.9	1.2	9	6	2	33	21	33
4	9	Karlsruhe	17	5	12	1.1	2.1	3	5	9	19	35	14
5	5	Darmstadt	17	6	11	1.5	1.6	3	8	6	25	28	17
6	6	Hertha	16	6	10	1.9	1.2	8	4	4	30	20	28
7	12	Magdeburg	17	7	10	1.7	1.8	7	1	9	29	30	22
8	18	Preußen Münster	16	6	10	1.0	2.0	3	4	9	16	32	13
9	2	Elversberg	17	8	9	1.7	1.5	7	4	6	29	25	25
10	7	Kaiserslautern	16	7	9	1.0	1.8	4	3	9	16	28	15
11	11	Holstein Kiel	16	7	9	1.3	1.7	5	4	7	21	27	19
12	1	Schalke 04	17	9	8	1.2	1.0	8	4	5	21	17	28
13	4	Paderborn	16	8	8	1.4	1.1	7	5	4	22	18	26
14	8	Nurnberg	16	8	8	1.1	1.6	3	5	8	17	25	14
15	14	Braunschweig	16	8	8	1.0	1.7	4	2	10	16	27	14
16	10	Bochum	16	9	7	1.1	1.6	2	6	8	17	25	12
17	15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	9	7	0.7	1.5	4	1	11	11	24	13
18	16	Bielefeld	17	10	7	1.1	1.8	3	4	10	19	30	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.