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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Bayern Munich 5–1 RB Leipzig

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.20 fair 1.86
Draw 7.50 fair 4.64
Away 11.00 fair 4.04
Under 2.5 3.75 fair 2.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.29 fair 1.55

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bayern Munich RB Leipzig
22 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 1
9 Fouls 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (126 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 2.01 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 9.5% 2–0 7.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.36points / match
3.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 42:12
RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.64scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 23:15
Bayern Munich all matches all matches RB Leipzig

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.64
0.86 Goals conceded 1.07
3.86 Total goals 2.71
18.71 Shots 11.86
7.86 Shots on target 4.93
5.14 Shots faced 15.36
6.43 Corners 4.21
2.00 Corners against 5.21
8.43 Fouls 11.29
1.29 Yellow cards 1.93
1.21 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

71% Wins 57%
21% Draws 21%
7% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 79%
93% Over 1.5 goals 64%
71% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 36%
43% Over 4.5 goals 21%
21% Over 5.5 goals 14%
50% Both teams scored 43%
50% Clean sheets 57%
0% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 29%
29% Draws 50%
14% Losses 21%
86% Over 0.5 goals 64%
43% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bayern Munich all matches
RB Leipzig all matches
Bayern Munich before this match, at home
2.67points / match
2.83scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 17:3
RB Leipzig before this match, away
1.86points / match
1.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:8
Bayern Munich at home away RB Leipzig

Per match

2.83 Goals scored 1.71
0.50 Goals conceded 1.14
3.33 Total goals 2.86
20.17 Shots 10.43
8.00 Shots on target 4.29
4.50 Shots faced 18.43
6.33 Corners 1.71
2.00 Corners against 6.14
7.50 Fouls 11.71
0.50 Yellow cards 2.14
0.83 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

83% Wins 57%
17% Draws 14%
0% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
100% Over 1.5 goals 71%
67% Over 2.5 goals 43%
33% Over 3.5 goals 29%
17% Over 4.5 goals 29%
17% Over 5.5 goals 14%
33% Both teams scored 43%
67% Clean sheets 57%
0% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 43%
50% Draws 43%
0% Losses 14%
67% Over 0.5 goals 71%
33% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bayern Munich at home
RB Leipzig away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Mainz – Bayern Munich 2–1 (1–0) 6.504.501.48 1.53 2.50
07.12.24 Bayern Munich – Heidenheim 4–2 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.25 3.75
30.11.24 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.101.67 1.40 3.00
22.11.24 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.29 3.75
09.11.24 St Pauli – Bayern Munich 0–1 (0–1) 9.007.001.25 1.40 3.00
02.11.24 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin 3–0 (2–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75
27.10.24 Bochum – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–2) 12.009.501.17 1.22 4.33
19.10.24 Bayern Munich – Stuttgart 4–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.30 3.50
06.10.24 Ein Frankfurt – Bayern Munich 3–3 (2–2) 5.504.501.53 1.36 3.20
28.09.24 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 1–1 (1–1) 1.734.334.20 1.30 3.50

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.20 1.53 2.50
07.12.24 Holstein Kiel – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.201.57 1.49 2.45
30.11.24 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 1–5 (0–3) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
23.11.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 4–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.335.25 1.40 3.00
02.11.24 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.803.00 1.50 2.63
26.10.24 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.104.50 1.67 2.20
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
06.10.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.331.67 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 RB Leipzig – Augsburg 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75

Bayern Munich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Bayern Munich – Heidenheim 4–2 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.25 3.75
22.11.24 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.29 3.75
02.11.24 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin 3–0 (2–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75
19.10.24 Bayern Munich – Stuttgart 4–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.30 3.50
28.09.24 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 1–1 (1–1) 1.734.334.20 1.30 3.50
01.09.24 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
12.05.24 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 2–0 (2–0) 1.336.007.50 1.36 3.20
27.04.24 Bayern Munich – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 1.405.257.00 1.36 3.20
13.04.24 Bayern Munich – FC Koln 2–0 (0–0) 1.227.5011.00 1.33 3.40
30.03.24 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 1.405.756.00 1.25 4.00

RB Leipzig away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Holstein Kiel – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.201.57 1.49 2.45
23.11.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 4–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38
02.11.24 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.803.00 1.50 2.63
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
06.10.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.331.67 1.57 2.38
22.09.24 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 5.753.901.62 1.67 2.20
31.08.24 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 2–3 (2–1) 1.754.204.10 1.50 2.63
18.05.24 Ein Frankfurt – RB Leipzig 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.802.30 1.50 2.63
03.05.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 5.255.001.50 1.25 4.00
20.04.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 5.755.251.45 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bayern Munich winsDrawsRB Leipzig wins
6matches
3.83goals / match
83%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24D1 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
30.09.23D1 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 2–2 (2–0) 3.404.201.91 1.40 3.00
20.05.23D1 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–0) 1.505.005.50 1.36 3.20
20.01.23D1 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–1 (0–1) 3.604.331.85 1.50 2.63
05.02.22D1 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 3–2 (2–1) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.20
11.09.21D1 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 3.003.802.20 1.44 2.75

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 10 3 1 42 12 +30 33
2 Leverkusen 14 8 5 1 32 20 +12 29
3 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 3 3 34 20 +14 27
4 RB Leipzig 14 8 3 3 23 15 +8 27
5 Freiburg 14 7 3 4 20 19 +1 24
6 Stuttgart 14 6 5 3 29 24 +5 23
7 Mainz 14 6 4 4 25 19 +6 22
8 Dortmund 14 6 4 4 25 21 +4 22
9 Werder Bremen 14 6 4 4 22 24 -2 22
10 Wolfsburg 14 6 3 5 31 25 +6 21
11 M'gladbach 14 6 3 5 23 19 +4 21
12 Union Berlin 14 4 4 6 12 16 -4 16
13 Augsburg 14 4 4 6 16 27 -11 16
14 Hoffenheim 14 3 5 6 19 26 -7 14
15 St Pauli 14 3 2 9 11 19 -8 11
16 Heidenheim 14 3 1 10 18 31 -13 10
17 Bochum 14 1 2 11 12 34 -22 5
18 Holstein Kiel 14 1 2 11 14 37 -23 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dortmund 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20
2 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 17 3 +14 16
3 M'gladbach 8 5 1 2 18 11 +7 16
4 Freiburg 7 5 1 1 14 9 +5 16
5 Ein Frankfurt 6 4 2 0 18 8 +10 14
6 Stuttgart 7 4 2 1 18 11 +7 14
7 Leverkusen 7 4 2 1 17 12 +5 14
8 RB Leipzig 7 4 2 1 11 7 +4 14
9 Augsburg 8 4 2 2 12 10 +2 14
10 Mainz 8 3 2 3 10 10 0 11
11 Union Berlin 7 3 2 2 7 7 0 11
12 Hoffenheim 7 3 1 3 15 17 -2 10
13 Wolfsburg 7 2 2 3 13 15 -2 8
14 Werder Bremen 6 1 3 2 6 11 -5 6
15 St Pauli 7 1 2 4 3 9 -6 5
16 Heidenheim 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4
17 Holstein Kiel 7 1 0 6 4 19 -15 3
18 Bochum 6 0 2 4 4 14 -10 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 2 1 25 9 +16 17
2 Werder Bremen 8 5 1 2 16 13 +3 16
3 Leverkusen 7 4 3 0 15 8 +7 15
4 Wolfsburg 7 4 1 2 18 10 +8 13
5 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 1 3 16 12 +4 13
6 RB Leipzig 7 4 1 2 12 8 +4 13
7 Mainz 6 3 2 1 15 9 +6 11
8 Stuttgart 7 2 3 2 11 13 -2 9
9 Freiburg 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
10 St Pauli 7 2 0 5 8 10 -2 6
11 Heidenheim 7 2 0 5 12 17 -5 6
12 M'gladbach 6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5
13 Union Berlin 7 1 2 4 5 9 -4 5
14 Hoffenheim 7 0 4 3 4 9 -5 4
15 Bochum 8 1 0 7 8 20 -12 3
16 Holstein Kiel 7 0 2 5 10 18 -8 2
17 Dortmund 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2
18 Augsburg 6 0 2 4 4 17 -13 2

Bayern Munich   RB Leipzig

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stuttgart 14 3 11 2.1 1.7 6 5 3 29 24 23
2 1 Bayern Munich 14 4 10 3.0 0.9 10 3 1 42 12 33
3 2 Leverkusen 14 4 10 2.3 1.4 8 5 1 32 20 29
4 3 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 10 2.4 1.4 8 3 3 34 20 27
5 10 Wolfsburg 14 4 10 2.2 1.8 6 3 5 31 25 21
6 13 Augsburg 14 4 10 1.1 1.9 4 4 6 16 27 16
7 18 Holstein Kiel 14 4 10 1.0 2.6 1 2 11 14 37 5
8 5 Freiburg 14 5 9 1.4 1.4 7 3 4 20 19 24
9 8 Dortmund 14 5 9 1.8 1.5 6 4 4 25 21 22
10 9 Werder Bremen 14 5 9 1.6 1.7 6 4 4 22 24 22
11 16 Heidenheim 14 5 9 1.3 2.2 3 1 10 18 31 10
12 7 Mainz 14 6 8 1.8 1.4 6 4 4 25 19 22
13 4 RB Leipzig 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 8 3 3 23 15 27
14 11 M'gladbach 14 7 7 1.6 1.4 6 3 5 23 19 21
15 14 Hoffenheim 14 7 7 1.4 1.9 3 5 6 19 26 14
16 17 Bochum 14 7 7 0.9 2.4 1 2 11 12 34 5
17 15 St Pauli 14 8 6 0.8 1.4 3 2 9 11 19 11
18 12 Union Berlin 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 4 4 6 12 16 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Leverkusen 7 1 6 2.4 1.7 4 2 1 17 12 14
2 5 Freiburg 7 1 6 2.0 1.3 5 1 1 14 9 16
3 6 Stuttgart 7 2 5 2.6 1.6 4 2 1 18 11 14
4 8 Dortmund 8 3 5 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20
5 10 Wolfsburg 7 2 5 1.9 2.1 2 2 3 13 15 8
6 11 M'gladbach 8 3 5 2.2 1.4 5 1 2 18 11 16
7 13 Augsburg 8 3 5 1.5 1.2 4 2 2 12 10 14
8 14 Hoffenheim 7 2 5 2.1 2.4 3 1 3 15 17 10
9 16 Heidenheim 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
10 1 Bayern Munich 6 2 4 2.8 0.5 5 1 0 17 3 16
11 3 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 4 3.0 1.3 4 2 0 18 8 14
12 4 RB Leipzig 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 4 2 1 11 7 14
13 9 Werder Bremen 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 3 2 6 11 6
14 7 Mainz 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 3 2 3 10 10 11
15 12 Union Berlin 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 3 2 2 7 7 11
16 17 Bochum 6 3 3 0.7 2.3 0 2 4 4 14 2
17 18 Holstein Kiel 7 4 3 0.6 2.7 1 0 6 4 19 3
18 15 St Pauli 7 5 2 0.4 1.3 1 2 4 3 9 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 7 0 7 1.4 2.6 0 2 5 10 18 2
2 1 Bayern Munich 8 2 6 3.1 1.1 5 2 1 25 9 17
3 3 Ein Frankfurt 8 2 6 2.0 1.5 4 1 3 16 12 13
4 6 Stuttgart 7 1 6 1.6 1.9 2 3 2 11 13 9
5 7 Mainz 6 1 5 2.5 1.5 3 2 1 15 9 11
6 9 Werder Bremen 8 3 5 2.0 1.6 5 1 2 16 13 16
7 10 Wolfsburg 7 2 5 2.6 1.4 4 1 2 18 10 13
8 13 Augsburg 6 1 5 0.7 2.8 0 2 4 4 17 2
9 2 Leverkusen 7 3 4 2.1 1.1 4 3 0 15 8 15
10 8 Dortmund 6 2 4 0.8 2.2 0 2 4 5 13 2
11 15 St Pauli 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 0 5 8 10 6
12 16 Heidenheim 7 3 4 1.7 2.4 2 0 5 12 17 6
13 17 Bochum 8 4 4 1.0 2.5 1 0 7 8 20 3
14 4 RB Leipzig 7 4 3 1.7 1.1 4 1 2 12 8 13
15 5 Freiburg 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
16 11 M'gladbach 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 2 3 5 8 5
17 12 Union Berlin 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 4 5 9 5
18 14 Hoffenheim 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 0 4 3 4 9 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51