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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.40 fair 3.05
Draw 3.50 fair 4.23
Away 2.10 fair 2.30
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.49
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim RB Leipzig
20 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 3
14 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (91 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.67
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 1–2 9% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.30scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:19
RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:5
Hoffenheim all matches all matches RB Leipzig

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.50
1.90 Goals conceded 0.50
3.20 Total goals 2.00
11.40 Shots 11.50
4.80 Shots on target 4.50
15.30 Shots faced 14.90
4.80 Corners 4.20
6.10 Corners against 5.30
10.70 Fouls 10.70
2.30 Yellow cards 2.00
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.60
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

20% Wins 60%
30% Draws 30%
50% Losses 10%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
80% Over 1.5 goals 50%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
50% Over 3.5 goals 30%
30% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 30%
20% Clean sheets 70%
30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
30% Draws 60%
40% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
RB Leipzig all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
1.20points / match
2.00scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:13
RB Leipzig before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:4
Hoffenheim at home away RB Leipzig

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.40
2.60 Goals conceded 0.80
4.60 Total goals 2.20
13.60 Shots 10.00
6.20 Shots on target 3.80
14.60 Shots faced 18.40
5.00 Corners 1.60
5.60 Corners against 6.60
9.80 Fouls 11.40
1.60 Yellow cards 2.20
1.40 1st-half goals scored 0.80
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 60%
0% Draws 20%
60% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
80% Over 2.5 goals 40%
80% Over 3.5 goals 20%
60% Over 4.5 goals 20%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 40%
0% Clean sheets 60%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
20% Draws 60%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
RB Leipzig away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.753.25 1.57 2.38
02.11.24 Hoffenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.804.00 1.62 2.30
27.10.24 Heidenheim – Hoffenheim 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.53 2.50
19.10.24 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.504.20 1.40 3.00
06.10.24 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 1.306.008.00 1.25 4.00
29.09.24 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 3–4 (3–3) 2.383.802.70 1.44 2.75
21.09.24 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.70 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 1–4 (1–2) 5.754.501.48 1.33 3.40
31.08.24 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.804.203.90 1.44 2.75
24.08.24 Hoffenheim – Holstein Kiel 3–2 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.53 2.50

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.335.25 1.40 3.00
02.11.24 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.803.00 1.50 2.63
26.10.24 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.104.50 1.67 2.20
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
06.10.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.331.67 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 RB Leipzig – Augsburg 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
22.09.24 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 5.753.901.62 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.67 2.20
31.08.24 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 2–3 (2–1) 1.754.204.10 1.50 2.63
24.08.24 RB Leipzig – Bochum 1–0 (0–0) 1.257.009.00 1.36 3.20

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Hoffenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.804.00 1.62 2.30
19.10.24 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.504.20 1.40 3.00
29.09.24 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 3–4 (3–3) 2.383.802.70 1.44 2.75
14.09.24 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 1–4 (1–2) 5.754.501.48 1.33 3.40
24.08.24 Hoffenheim – Holstein Kiel 3–2 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.53 2.50
18.05.24 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 4–2 (1–2) 2.884.502.00 1.25 4.00
03.05.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 5.255.001.50 1.25 4.00
20.04.24 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 4–3 (1–1) 2.104.003.10 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–1 (2–0) 2.204.002.90 1.44 2.75
16.03.24 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 0–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.83 1.44 2.75

RB Leipzig away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.803.00 1.50 2.63
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
06.10.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.331.67 1.57 2.38
22.09.24 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 5.753.901.62 1.67 2.20
31.08.24 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 2–3 (2–1) 1.754.204.10 1.50 2.63
18.05.24 Ein Frankfurt – RB Leipzig 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.802.30 1.50 2.63
03.05.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 5.255.001.50 1.25 4.00
20.04.24 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 5.755.251.45 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 1–4 (0–3) 4.754.331.65 1.53 2.50
15.03.24 FC Koln – RB Leipzig 1–5 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hoffenheim winsDrawsRB Leipzig wins
6matches
2.67goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.24D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 5.255.001.50 1.25 4.00
16.12.23D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 1.455.006.00 1.36 3.20
29.04.23D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
05.11.22D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–3 (0–1) 2.903.752.25 1.66 2.20
10.04.22D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–0 (3–0) 1.504.756.00 1.44 2.75
20.11.21D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 2–0 (1–0) 4.004.331.75 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 11 9 2 0 36 7 +29 29
2 RB Leipzig 10 6 3 1 15 5 +10 21
3 Ein Frankfurt 10 6 2 2 26 16 +10 20
4 Leverkusen 10 4 5 1 21 16 +5 17
5 Freiburg 10 5 2 3 13 11 +2 17
6 Union Berlin 10 4 4 2 9 8 +1 16
7 Dortmund 10 5 1 4 18 18 0 16
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 17 21 -4 15
9 M'gladbach 10 4 2 4 15 14 +1 14
10 Mainz 10 3 4 3 15 14 +1 13
11 Stuttgart 10 3 4 3 19 19 0 13
12 Wolfsburg 10 3 3 4 19 18 +1 12
13 Augsburg 11 3 3 5 13 23 -10 12
14 Heidenheim 10 3 1 6 13 15 -2 10
15 Hoffenheim 10 2 3 5 13 19 -6 9
16 St Pauli 10 2 2 6 7 12 -5 8
17 Holstein Kiel 10 1 2 7 12 25 -13 5
18 Bochum 10 0 2 8 10 30 -20 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dortmund 5 5 0 0 14 6 +8 15
2 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 13 1 +12 13
3 RB Leipzig 5 3 2 0 8 1 +7 11
4 Augsburg 6 3 2 1 11 8 +3 11
5 Union Berlin 5 3 2 0 6 3 +3 11
6 Ein Frankfurt 4 3 1 0 15 6 +9 10
7 Freiburg 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
8 M'gladbach 5 3 0 2 11 9 +2 9
9 Stuttgart 5 2 2 1 13 9 +4 8
10 Leverkusen 5 2 2 1 10 9 +1 8
11 Hoffenheim 5 2 0 3 10 13 -3 6
12 Mainz 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
13 Werder Bremen 5 1 2 2 4 9 -5 5
14 Heidenheim 5 1 1 3 5 7 -2 4
15 Holstein Kiel 5 1 0 4 4 14 -10 3
16 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 8 12 -4 2
17 St Pauli 5 0 2 3 0 6 -6 2
18 Bochum 5 0 2 3 4 13 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 23 6 +17 16
2 Wolfsburg 5 3 1 1 11 6 +5 10
3 RB Leipzig 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
4 Werder Bremen 5 3 1 1 13 12 +1 10
5 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 11 10 +1 10
6 Leverkusen 5 2 3 0 11 7 +4 9
7 Mainz 4 2 2 0 9 5 +4 8
8 Freiburg 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
9 St Pauli 5 2 0 3 7 6 +1 6
10 Heidenheim 5 2 0 3 8 8 0 6
11 M'gladbach 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
12 Union Berlin 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
13 Stuttgart 5 1 2 2 6 10 -4 5
14 Hoffenheim 5 0 3 2 3 6 -3 3
15 Holstein Kiel 5 0 2 3 8 11 -3 2
16 Dortmund 5 0 1 4 4 12 -8 1
17 Augsburg 5 0 1 4 2 15 -13 1
18 Bochum 5 0 0 5 6 17 -11 0

Hoffenheim   RB Leipzig

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Augsburg 11 2 9 1.2 2.1 3 3 5 13 23 12
2 1 Bayern Munich 11 3 8 3.3 0.6 9 2 0 36 7 29
3 7 Dortmund 10 2 8 1.8 1.8 5 1 4 18 18 16
4 8 Werder Bremen 10 2 8 1.7 2.1 4 3 3 17 21 15
5 11 Stuttgart 10 2 8 1.9 1.9 3 4 3 19 19 13
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 10 3 7 2.6 1.6 6 2 2 26 16 20
7 4 Leverkusen 10 3 7 2.1 1.6 4 5 1 21 16 17
8 12 Wolfsburg 10 3 7 1.9 1.8 3 3 4 19 18 12
9 17 Holstein Kiel 10 3 7 1.2 2.5 1 2 7 12 25 5
10 18 Bochum 10 3 7 1.0 3.0 0 2 8 10 30 2
11 5 Freiburg 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 5 2 3 13 11 17
12 15 Hoffenheim 10 4 6 1.3 1.9 2 3 5 13 19 9
13 9 M'gladbach 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 4 2 4 15 14 14
14 10 Mainz 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 4 3 15 14 13
15 14 Heidenheim 10 5 5 1.3 1.5 3 1 6 13 15 10
16 2 RB Leipzig 10 6 4 1.5 0.5 6 3 1 15 5 21
17 16 St Pauli 10 6 4 0.7 1.2 2 2 6 7 12 8
18 6 Union Berlin 10 7 3 0.9 0.8 4 4 2 9 8 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Augsburg 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 3 2 1 11 8 11
2 4 Leverkusen 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 2 2 1 10 9 8
3 5 Freiburg 5 1 4 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
4 7 Dortmund 5 1 4 2.8 1.2 5 0 0 14 6 15
5 9 M'gladbach 5 1 4 2.2 1.8 3 0 2 11 9 9
6 11 Stuttgart 5 1 4 2.6 1.8 2 2 1 13 9 8
7 12 Wolfsburg 5 1 4 1.6 2.4 0 2 3 8 12 2
8 15 Hoffenheim 5 1 4 2.0 2.6 2 0 3 10 13 6
9 1 Bayern Munich 5 2 3 2.6 0.2 4 1 0 13 1 13
10 3 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 3 3.8 1.5 3 1 0 15 6 10
11 8 Werder Bremen 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 2 2 4 9 5
12 14 Heidenheim 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 1 3 5 7 4
13 18 Bochum 5 2 3 0.8 2.6 0 2 3 4 13 2
14 2 RB Leipzig 5 3 2 1.6 0.2 3 2 0 8 1 11
15 6 Union Berlin 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 3 2 0 6 3 11
16 10 Mainz 6 4 2 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
17 17 Holstein Kiel 5 3 2 0.8 2.8 1 0 4 4 14 3
18 16 St Pauli 5 4 1 0.0 1.2 0 2 3 0 6 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 6 1 5 3.8 1.0 5 1 0 23 6 16
2 8 Werder Bremen 5 0 5 2.6 2.4 3 1 1 13 12 10
3 17 Holstein Kiel 5 0 5 1.6 2.2 0 2 3 8 11 2
4 3 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 4 1.8 1.7 3 1 2 11 10 10
5 7 Dortmund 5 1 4 0.8 2.4 0 1 4 4 12 1
6 11 Stuttgart 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 1 2 2 6 10 5
7 13 Augsburg 5 1 4 0.4 3.0 0 1 4 2 15 1
8 18 Bochum 5 1 4 1.2 3.4 0 0 5 6 17 0
9 4 Leverkusen 5 2 3 2.2 1.4 2 3 0 11 7 9
10 10 Mainz 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 2 2 0 9 5 8
11 12 Wolfsburg 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 3 1 1 11 6 10
12 16 St Pauli 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 0 3 7 6 6
13 2 RB Leipzig 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
14 5 Freiburg 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
15 14 Heidenheim 5 3 2 1.6 1.6 2 0 3 8 8 6
16 15 Hoffenheim 5 3 2 0.6 1.2 0 3 2 3 6 3
17 6 Union Berlin 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
18 9 M'gladbach 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51