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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

RB Leipzig 2–0 St Pauli

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 2.12
Draw 4.20 fair 4.07
Away 5.25 fair 3.54
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

RB Leipzig St Pauli
11 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 4
12 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (188 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
RB LeipzigDrawSt Pauli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.70scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 34:29
St Pauli before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
0.90scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 18:22
RB Leipzig all matches all matches St Pauli

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 0.90
1.45 Goals conceded 1.10
3.15 Total goals 2.00
10.95 Shots 11.45
4.45 Shots on target 3.30
15.30 Shots faced 11.40
3.95 Corners 3.80
5.00 Corners against 5.10
11.25 Fouls 10.70
1.95 Yellow cards 1.55
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

45% Wins 30%
30% Draws 15%
25% Losses 55%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 65%
60% Over 2.5 goals 35%
45% Over 3.5 goals 10%
30% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 25%
45% Clean sheets 35%
20% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 35%
40% Draws 25%
25% Losses 40%
70% Over 0.5 goals 75%
55% Over 1.5 goals 20%
35% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches
St Pauli all matches
RB Leipzig before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.89scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:11
St Pauli before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.10scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:11
RB Leipzig at home away St Pauli

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.10
1.22 Goals conceded 1.10
3.11 Total goals 2.20
13.22 Shots 10.40
5.56 Shots on target 3.20
11.78 Shots faced 13.30
6.44 Corners 3.60
3.78 Corners against 6.10
10.56 Fouls 11.70
1.44 Yellow cards 2.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

56% Wins 40%
33% Draws 0%
11% Losses 60%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 70%
67% Over 2.5 goals 40%
56% Over 3.5 goals 10%
22% Over 4.5 goals 0%
22% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 30%
44% Clean sheets 40%
22% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 40%
44% Draws 20%
33% Losses 40%
67% Over 0.5 goals 80%
56% Over 1.5 goals 30%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home
St Pauli away

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.10
25.01.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–2) 3.703.901.90 1.49 2.45
18.01.25 Bochum – RB Leipzig 3–3 (0–3) 3.703.602.00 1.73 2.10
15.01.25 Stuttgart – RB Leipzig 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.903.40 1.44 2.75
12.01.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 4–2 (2–1) 1.754.004.20 1.53 2.50
20.12.24 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 5–1 (3–1) 1.207.5011.00 1.29 3.75
15.12.24 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.20 1.53 2.50
07.12.24 Holstein Kiel – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.201.57 1.49 2.45
30.11.24 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 1–5 (0–3) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
23.11.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 4–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 St Pauli – Augsburg 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 2.20 1.67
26.01.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 3–0 (1–0) 2.553.103.00 2.20 1.67
18.01.25 Heidenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.502.80 1.97 1.93
15.01.25 Bochum – St Pauli 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.75 2.00 1.80
11.01.25 St Pauli – Ein Frankfurt 0–1 (0–1) 3.703.502.05 1.85 2.05
21.12.24 Stuttgart – St Pauli 0–1 (0–1) 1.454.756.50 1.67 2.20
14.12.24 St Pauli – Werder Bremen 0–2 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.95
07.12.24 Leverkusen – St Pauli 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
29.11.24 St Pauli – Holstein Kiel 3–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.25 1.95 1.95
24.11.24 M'gladbach – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00

RB Leipzig at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–2) 3.703.901.90 1.49 2.45
12.01.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 4–2 (2–1) 1.754.004.20 1.53 2.50
15.12.24 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.20 1.53 2.50
30.11.24 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 1–5 (0–3) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
09.11.24 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.335.25 1.40 3.00
26.10.24 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.104.50 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 RB Leipzig – Augsburg 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
14.09.24 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.67 2.20
24.08.24 RB Leipzig – Bochum 1–0 (0–0) 1.257.009.00 1.36 3.20
11.05.24 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 1–1 (0–1) 1.296.508.00 1.29 3.75

St Pauli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Heidenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.502.80 1.97 1.93
15.01.25 Bochum – St Pauli 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.75 2.00 1.80
21.12.24 Stuttgart – St Pauli 0–1 (0–1) 1.454.756.50 1.67 2.20
07.12.24 Leverkusen – St Pauli 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
24.11.24 M'gladbach – St Pauli 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00
02.11.24 Hoffenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.804.00 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Dortmund – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.50 2.63
28.09.24 Freiburg – St Pauli 0–3 (0–2) 1.624.005.50 1.84 2.06
15.09.24 Augsburg – St Pauli 3–1 (0–0) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
30.08.24 Union Berlin – St Pauli 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.10 2.03 1.87

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig winsDrawsSt Pauli wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.09.24D1 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 5.753.901.62 1.67 2.20

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 21 17 3 1 65 19 +46 54
2 Leverkusen 21 13 7 1 49 27 +22 46
3 Ein Frankfurt 21 11 6 4 46 28 +18 39
4 Stuttgart 21 10 5 6 39 31 +8 35
5 RB Leipzig 20 9 6 5 34 29 +5 33
6 Freiburg 21 10 3 8 28 36 -8 33
7 Mainz 21 9 5 7 33 24 +9 32
8 M'gladbach 21 9 4 8 33 31 +2 31
9 Wolfsburg 21 8 6 7 43 35 +8 30
10 Werder Bremen 21 8 6 7 34 39 -5 30
11 Dortmund 21 8 5 8 37 36 +1 29
12 Augsburg 21 7 6 8 24 35 -11 27
13 Union Berlin 21 6 5 10 19 28 -9 23
14 St Pauli 20 6 3 11 18 22 -4 21
15 Hoffenheim 21 4 6 11 26 44 -18 18
16 Heidenheim 21 4 2 15 25 43 -18 14
17 Holstein Kiel 21 3 4 14 33 54 -21 13
18 Bochum 21 3 4 14 20 45 -25 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 11 10 1 0 37 9 +28 31
2 Leverkusen 11 8 2 1 29 15 +14 26
3 Freiburg 10 7 1 2 19 13 +6 22
4 Ein Frankfurt 10 6 3 1 26 13 +13 21
5 Dortmund 11 6 3 2 25 15 +10 21
6 Stuttgart 11 6 2 3 25 15 +10 20
7 M'gladbach 11 6 2 3 22 13 +9 20
8 RB Leipzig 9 5 3 1 17 11 +6 18
9 Mainz 11 5 3 3 14 10 +4 18
10 Augsburg 10 5 2 3 14 12 +2 17
11 Union Berlin 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15
12 Wolfsburg 11 3 4 4 21 21 0 13
13 Werder Bremen 10 3 4 3 14 17 -3 13
14 Hoffenheim 11 3 2 6 18 26 -8 11
15 Holstein Kiel 11 3 1 7 16 27 -11 10
16 St Pauli 10 2 3 5 7 11 -4 9
17 Bochum 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9
18 Heidenheim 10 2 1 7 9 18 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 7 2 1 28 10 +18 23
2 Leverkusen 10 5 5 0 20 12 +8 20
3 Ein Frankfurt 11 5 3 3 20 15 +5 18
4 Wolfsburg 10 5 2 3 22 14 +8 17
5 Werder Bremen 11 5 2 4 20 22 -2 17
6 RB Leipzig 11 4 3 4 17 18 -1 15
7 Stuttgart 10 4 3 3 14 16 -2 15
8 Mainz 10 4 2 4 19 14 +5 14
9 St Pauli 10 4 0 6 11 11 0 12
10 M'gladbach 10 3 2 5 11 18 -7 11
11 Freiburg 11 3 2 6 9 23 -14 11
12 Augsburg 11 2 4 5 10 23 -13 10
13 Union Berlin 11 2 2 7 10 18 -8 8
14 Dortmund 10 2 2 6 12 21 -9 8
15 Heidenheim 11 2 1 8 16 25 -9 7
16 Hoffenheim 10 1 4 5 8 18 -10 7
17 Bochum 11 1 1 9 10 27 -17 4
18 Holstein Kiel 10 0 3 7 17 27 -10 3

RB Leipzig   St Pauli

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Holstein Kiel 21 4 17 1.6 2.6 3 4 14 33 54 13
2 1 Bayern Munich 21 5 16 3.1 0.9 17 3 1 65 19 54
3 2 Leverkusen 21 6 15 2.3 1.3 13 7 1 49 27 46
4 4 Stuttgart 21 6 15 1.9 1.5 10 5 6 39 31 35
5 11 Dortmund 21 6 15 1.8 1.7 8 5 8 37 36 29
6 6 Freiburg 21 7 14 1.3 1.7 10 3 8 28 36 33
7 9 Wolfsburg 21 7 14 2.0 1.7 8 6 7 43 35 30
8 10 Werder Bremen 21 7 14 1.6 1.9 8 6 7 34 39 30
9 3 Ein Frankfurt 21 8 13 2.2 1.3 11 6 4 46 28 39
10 15 Hoffenheim 21 8 13 1.2 2.1 4 6 11 26 44 18
11 5 RB Leipzig 20 8 12 1.7 1.4 9 6 5 34 29 33
12 8 M'gladbach 21 9 12 1.6 1.5 9 4 8 33 31 31
13 12 Augsburg 21 9 12 1.1 1.7 7 6 8 24 35 27
14 16 Heidenheim 21 9 12 1.2 2.0 4 2 15 25 43 14
15 7 Mainz 21 11 10 1.6 1.1 9 5 7 33 24 32
16 18 Bochum 21 11 10 1.0 2.1 3 4 14 20 45 13
17 13 Union Berlin 21 12 9 0.9 1.3 6 5 10 19 28 23
18 14 St Pauli 20 13 7 0.9 1.1 6 3 11 18 22 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 11 2 9 3.4 0.8 10 1 0 37 9 31
2 2 Leverkusen 11 2 9 2.6 1.4 8 2 1 29 15 26
3 4 Stuttgart 11 3 8 2.3 1.4 6 2 3 25 15 20
4 6 Freiburg 10 2 8 1.9 1.3 7 1 2 19 13 22
5 9 Wolfsburg 11 3 8 1.9 1.9 3 4 4 21 21 13
6 11 Dortmund 11 3 8 2.3 1.4 6 3 2 25 15 21
7 15 Hoffenheim 11 3 8 1.6 2.4 3 2 6 18 26 11
8 17 Holstein Kiel 11 4 7 1.5 2.5 3 1 7 16 27 10
9 3 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 6 2.6 1.3 6 3 1 26 13 21
10 5 RB Leipzig 9 3 6 1.9 1.2 5 3 1 17 11 18
11 8 M'gladbach 11 5 6 2.0 1.2 6 2 3 22 13 20
12 10 Werder Bremen 10 4 6 1.4 1.7 3 4 3 14 17 13
13 12 Augsburg 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 5 2 3 14 12 17
14 16 Heidenheim 10 4 6 0.9 1.8 2 1 7 9 18 7
15 13 Union Berlin 10 6 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 3 9 10 15
16 18 Bochum 10 6 4 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9
17 7 Mainz 11 8 3 1.3 0.9 5 3 3 14 10 18
18 14 St Pauli 10 7 3 0.7 1.1 2 3 5 7 11 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Holstein Kiel 10 0 10 1.7 2.7 0 3 7 17 27 3
2 10 Werder Bremen 11 3 8 1.8 2.0 5 2 4 20 22 17
3 1 Bayern Munich 10 3 7 2.8 1.0 7 2 1 28 10 23
4 3 Ein Frankfurt 11 4 7 1.8 1.4 5 3 3 20 15 18
5 4 Stuttgart 10 3 7 1.4 1.6 4 3 3 14 16 15
6 7 Mainz 10 3 7 1.9 1.4 4 2 4 19 14 14
7 11 Dortmund 10 3 7 1.2 2.1 2 2 6 12 21 8
8 2 Leverkusen 10 4 6 2.0 1.2 5 5 0 20 12 20
9 5 RB Leipzig 11 5 6 1.5 1.6 4 3 4 17 18 15
10 6 Freiburg 11 5 6 0.8 2.1 3 2 6 9 23 11
11 8 M'gladbach 10 4 6 1.1 1.8 3 2 5 11 18 11
12 9 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 2.2 1.4 5 2 3 22 14 17
13 12 Augsburg 11 5 6 0.9 2.1 2 4 5 10 23 10
14 16 Heidenheim 11 5 6 1.5 2.3 2 1 8 16 25 7
15 18 Bochum 11 5 6 0.9 2.5 1 1 9 10 27 4
16 13 Union Berlin 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 2 7 10 18 8
17 15 Hoffenheim 10 5 5 0.8 1.8 1 4 5 8 18 7
18 14 St Pauli 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 4 0 6 11 11 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44