St Pauli 1–2 Freiburg – Germany Bundesliga, 22 Mar 2026

Match facts

St Pauli Freiburg

12 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

3 Corners 2

9 Fouls 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (241 league matches this season so far).

Result St Pauli to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.72

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.39

Home / Draw / Away

40% 25% 35%

St PauliDrawFreiburg

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.6% 2–1 8.7% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

St Pauli before this match, all matches

0.92points / match

0.88scored / match

1.62conceded / match

6 6 14

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 23:42

Freiburg before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.42scored / match

1.65conceded / match

9 7 10

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 37:43

St Pauli all matches all matches Freiburg

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.42

1.62 Goals conceded 1.65

2.50 Total goals 3.08

10.35 Shots 12.65

3.38 Shots on target 4.27

11.54 Shots faced 13.73

4.62 Corners 4.54

5.08 Corners against 4.04

10.15 Fouls 9.38

1.54 Yellow cards 1.62

0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

23% Wins 35%

23% Draws 27%

54% Losses 38%

88% Over 0.5 goals 92%

77% Over 1.5 goals 81%

54% Over 2.5 goals 62%

19% Over 3.5 goals 35%

8% Over 4.5 goals 15%

4% Over 5.5 goals 12%

50% Both teams scored 58%

19% Clean sheets 19%

42% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 27%

46% Draws 50%

38% Losses 23%

73% Over 0.5 goals 65%

27% Over 1.5 goals 31%

0% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli all matches

2

3

L

D

1

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

4

L

2

1

W

1

W

D

2

L

Freiburg all matches

2

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

L

1

W

3

L

2

1

W

2

L

3

D

1

L

St Pauli before this match, at home

1.33points / match

1.08scored / match

1.50conceded / match

4 4 4

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:18

Freiburg before this match, away

0.69points / match

1.00scored / match

2.08conceded / match

2 3 8

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:27

St Pauli at home away Freiburg

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.00

1.50 Goals conceded 2.08

2.58 Total goals 3.08

10.75 Shots 10.69

4.33 Shots on target 3.08

10.42 Shots faced 16.31

5.92 Corners 4.08

3.92 Corners against 4.77

10.17 Fouls 10.00

1.58 Yellow cards 1.46

0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

33% Wins 15%

33% Draws 23%

33% Losses 62%

83% Over 0.5 goals 85%

75% Over 1.5 goals 77%

67% Over 2.5 goals 54%

17% Over 3.5 goals 31%

8% Over 4.5 goals 23%

8% Over 5.5 goals 15%

58% Both teams scored 38%

17% Clean sheets 23%

42% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 15%

58% Draws 69%

25% Losses 15%

58% Over 0.5 goals 46%

25% Over 1.5 goals 15%

0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli at home

1

2

L

3

L

4

L

1

L

2

1

W

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

D

Freiburg away

2

L

D

2

6

L

1

2

L

4

3

W

2

L

2

D

1

L

3

L

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

St Pauli all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.03.26	M'gladbach – St Pauli	2–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67
08.03.26	St Pauli – Ein Frankfurt	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.60	2.00	1.85
28.02.26	Hoffenheim – St Pauli	0–1 (0–1)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.80	2.00
22.02.26	St Pauli – Werder Bremen	2–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.10	2.75	2.30	1.62
14.02.26	Leverkusen – St Pauli	4–0 (2–0)	1.45	3.75	6.50	1.88	1.98
07.02.26	St Pauli – Stuttgart	2–1 (1–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.93	1.93
31.01.26	Augsburg – St Pauli	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	4.10	2.30	1.62
27.01.26	St Pauli – RB Leipzig	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	3.50	1.80	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	St Pauli – Hamburg	0–0 (0–0)	2.88	2.90	2.75	2.63	1.50
17.01.26	Dortmund – St Pauli	3–2 (1–0)	1.33	5.25	10.00	1.67	2.20

Freiburg all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.26	Freiburg – Union Berlin	0–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.73
07.03.26	Freiburg – Leverkusen	3–3 (2–2)	2.90	3.30	2.40	1.91	1.91
01.03.26	Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.80	2.00
22.02.26	Freiburg – M'gladbach	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.25	4.33	1.88	1.98
14.02.26	Hoffenheim – Freiburg	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.90	4.50	1.67	2.20
07.02.26	Freiburg – Werder Bremen	1–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.80	2.00
01.02.26	Stuttgart – Freiburg	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	4.10	4.75	1.62	2.30
25.01.26	Freiburg – FC Koln	2–1 (2–1)	1.90	3.75	3.80	1.80	2.00
18.01.26	Augsburg – Freiburg	2–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.30	2.45	1.98	1.88
14.01.26	RB Leipzig – Freiburg	2–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.57	2.38

St Pauli at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.26	St Pauli – Ein Frankfurt	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.60	2.00	1.85
22.02.26	St Pauli – Werder Bremen	2–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.10	2.75	2.30	1.62
07.02.26	St Pauli – Stuttgart	2–1 (1–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.93	1.93
27.01.26	St Pauli – RB Leipzig	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	3.50	1.80	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	St Pauli – Hamburg	0–0 (0–0)	2.88	2.90	2.75	2.63	1.50
13.12.25	St Pauli – Heidenheim	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.20	1.67
23.11.25	St Pauli – Union Berlin	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.73
01.11.25	St Pauli – M'gladbach	0–4 (0–2)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.88	1.98
19.10.25	St Pauli – Hoffenheim	0–3 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.80	2.00
27.09.25	St Pauli – Leverkusen	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.88	1.98

Freiburg away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.26	Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.80	2.00
14.02.26	Hoffenheim – Freiburg	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.90	4.50	1.67	2.20
01.02.26	Stuttgart – Freiburg	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	4.10	4.75	1.62	2.30
18.01.26	Augsburg – Freiburg	2–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.30	2.45	1.98	1.88
14.01.26	RB Leipzig – Freiburg	2–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.57	2.38
20.12.25	Wolfsburg – Freiburg	3–4 (1–1)	2.50	3.60	2.75	1.80	2.00
06.12.25	Heidenheim – Freiburg	2–1 (0–1)	3.90	3.60	1.91	1.91	1.91
22.11.25	Bayern Munich – Freiburg	6–2 (2–2)	1.17	8.00	13.00	1.33	3.40
01.11.25	Union Berlin – Freiburg	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
26.10.25	Leverkusen – Freiburg	2–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

St Pauli winsDrawsFreiburg wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.11.25D1	Freiburg – St Pauli	2–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.00	1.80
15.02.25D1	St Pauli – Freiburg	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.25	2.88	2.20	1.67
28.09.24D1	Freiburg – St Pauli	0–3 (0–2)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.84	2.06

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	27	22	4	1	97	25	+72	70
2	Dortmund	27	18	7	2	58	28	+30	61
3	RB Leipzig	27	15	5	7	53	35	+18	50
4	Stuttgart	26	15	5	6	51	34	+17	50
5	Hoffenheim	27	15	5	7	54	39	+15	50
6	Leverkusen	27	13	7	7	52	36	+16	46
7	Ein Frankfurt	27	10	8	9	50	51	-1	38
8	Freiburg	26	9	7	10	37	43	-6	34
9	Augsburg	26	9	4	13	31	45	-14	31
10	Union Berlin	27	8	7	12	31	46	-15	31
11	Mainz	27	7	9	11	33	42	-9	30
12	Hamburg	27	7	9	11	31	40	-9	30
13	M'gladbach	27	7	8	12	33	46	-13	29
14	Werder Bremen	27	7	7	13	30	47	-17	28
15	FC Koln	27	6	8	13	38	47	-9	26
16	St Pauli	26	6	6	14	23	42	-19	24
17	Wolfsburg	27	5	6	16	35	57	-22	21
18	Heidenheim	27	3	6	18	27	61	-34	15

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	14	12	1	1	56	13	+43	37
2	Dortmund	14	11	2	1	33	13	+20	35
3	Stuttgart	13	10	2	1	22	12	+10	32
4	RB Leipzig	14	9	2	3	34	18	+16	29
5	Hoffenheim	13	8	1	4	28	15	+13	25
6	Freiburg	13	7	4	2	24	16	+8	25
7	Leverkusen	13	7	3	3	26	12	+14	24
8	Ein Frankfurt	13	7	2	4	23	18	+5	23
9	Augsburg	13	6	3	4	17	19	-2	21
10	Hamburg	14	5	5	4	20	17	+3	20
11	Mainz	14	4	5	5	17	17	0	17
12	Union Berlin	13	4	5	4	18	21	-3	17
13	FC Koln	14	4	4	6	25	24	+1	16
14	M'gladbach	13	4	4	5	16	21	-5	16
15	St Pauli	12	4	4	4	13	18	-5	16
16	Werder Bremen	13	4	4	5	14	23	-9	16
17	Heidenheim	14	2	5	7	18	34	-16	11
18	Wolfsburg	14	2	3	9	20	29	-9	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	3	0	41	12	+29	33
2	Dortmund	13	7	5	1	25	15	+10	26
3	Hoffenheim	14	7	4	3	26	24	+2	25
4	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	26	24	+2	22
5	RB Leipzig	13	6	3	4	19	17	+2	21
6	Stuttgart	13	5	3	5	29	22	+7	18
7	Ein Frankfurt	14	3	6	5	27	33	-6	15
8	Union Berlin	14	4	2	8	13	25	-12	14
9	M'gladbach	14	3	4	7	17	25	-8	13
10	Mainz	13	3	4	6	16	25	-9	13
11	Werder Bremen	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8	12
12	Wolfsburg	13	3	3	7	15	28	-13	12
13	FC Koln	13	2	4	7	13	23	-10	10
14	Augsburg	13	3	1	9	14	26	-12	10
15	Hamburg	13	2	4	7	11	23	-12	10
16	Freiburg	13	2	3	8	13	27	-14	9
17	St Pauli	14	2	2	10	10	24	-14	8
18	Heidenheim	13	1	1	11	9	27	-18	4

St Pauli Freiburg

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	27	1	26	3.6	0.9	22	4	1	97	25	70
2	4	Stuttgart	26	7	19	2.0	1.3	15	5	6	51	34	50
3	3	RB Leipzig	27	9	18	2.0	1.3	15	5	7	53	35	50
4	5	Hoffenheim	27	9	18	2.0	1.4	15	5	7	54	39	50
5	17	Wolfsburg	27	9	18	1.3	2.1	5	6	16	35	57	21
6	18	Heidenheim	27	9	18	1.0	2.3	3	6	18	27	61	15
7	7	Ein Frankfurt	27	10	17	1.9	1.9	10	8	9	50	51	38
8	2	Dortmund	27	11	16	2.1	1.0	18	7	2	58	28	61
9	8	Freiburg	26	10	16	1.4	1.7	9	7	10	37	43	34
10	15	FC Koln	27	11	16	1.4	1.7	6	8	13	38	47	26
11	6	Leverkusen	27	12	15	1.9	1.3	13	7	7	52	36	46
12	9	Augsburg	26	11	15	1.2	1.7	9	4	13	31	45	31
13	10	Union Berlin	27	12	15	1.1	1.7	8	7	12	31	46	31
14	13	M'gladbach	27	12	15	1.2	1.7	7	8	12	33	46	29
15	11	Mainz	27	13	14	1.2	1.6	7	9	11	33	42	30
16	12	Hamburg	27	13	14	1.1	1.5	7	9	11	31	40	30
17	14	Werder Bremen	27	13	14	1.1	1.7	7	7	13	30	47	28
18	16	St Pauli	26	12	14	0.9	1.6	6	6	14	23	42	24

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	14	0	14	4.0	0.9	12	1	1	56	13	37
2	3	RB Leipzig	14	3	11	2.4	1.3	9	2	3	34	18	29
3	18	Heidenheim	14	3	11	1.3	2.4	2	5	7	18	34	11
4	15	FC Koln	14	4	10	1.8	1.7	4	4	6	25	24	16
5	17	Wolfsburg	14	4	10	1.4	2.1	2	3	9	20	29	9
6	5	Hoffenheim	13	4	9	2.2	1.2	8	1	4	28	15	25
7	8	Freiburg	13	4	9	1.8	1.2	7	4	2	24	16	25
8	10	Union Berlin	13	4	9	1.4	1.6	4	5	4	18	21	17
9	2	Dortmund	14	6	8	2.4	0.9	11	2	1	33	13	35
10	16	St Pauli	12	4	8	1.1	1.5	4	4	4	13	18	16
11	7	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	7	1.8	1.4	7	2	4	23	18	23
12	12	Hamburg	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	5	5	4	20	17	20
13	13	M'gladbach	13	6	7	1.2	1.6	4	4	5	16	21	16
14	4	Stuttgart	13	7	6	1.7	0.9	10	2	1	22	12	32
15	6	Leverkusen	13	7	6	2.0	0.9	7	3	3	26	12	24
16	9	Augsburg	13	7	6	1.3	1.5	6	3	4	17	19	21
17	14	Werder Bremen	13	7	6	1.1	1.8	4	4	5	14	23	16
18	11	Mainz	14	9	5	1.2	1.2	4	5	5	17	17	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Stuttgart	13	0	13	2.2	1.7	5	3	5	29	22	18
2	1	Bayern Munich	13	1	12	3.2	0.9	10	3	0	41	12	33
3	7	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	10	1.9	2.4	3	6	5	27	33	15
4	5	Hoffenheim	14	5	9	1.9	1.7	7	4	3	26	24	25
5	6	Leverkusen	14	5	9	1.9	1.7	6	4	4	26	24	22
6	9	Augsburg	13	4	9	1.1	2.0	3	1	9	14	26	10
7	11	Mainz	13	4	9	1.2	1.9	3	4	6	16	25	13
8	2	Dortmund	13	5	8	1.9	1.2	7	5	1	25	15	26
9	13	M'gladbach	14	6	8	1.2	1.8	3	4	7	17	25	13
10	14	Werder Bremen	14	6	8	1.1	1.7	3	3	8	16	24	12
11	17	Wolfsburg	13	5	8	1.2	2.2	3	3	7	15	28	12
12	3	RB Leipzig	13	6	7	1.5	1.3	6	3	4	19	17	21
13	8	Freiburg	13	6	7	1.0	2.1	2	3	8	13	27	9
14	12	Hamburg	13	6	7	0.8	1.8	2	4	7	11	23	10
15	18	Heidenheim	13	6	7	0.7	2.1	1	1	11	9	27	4
16	10	Union Berlin	14	8	6	0.9	1.8	4	2	8	13	25	14
17	15	FC Koln	13	7	6	1.0	1.8	2	4	7	13	23	10
18	16	St Pauli	14	8	6	0.7	1.7	2	2	10	10	24	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.