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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 3–0 Freiburg

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 1.85
Draw 3.90 fair 4.75
Away 4.50 fair 4.02
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 3.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.49

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim Freiburg
25 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 6
8 Fouls 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (189 league matches this season so far).
Result Hoffenheim to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 2.09 – 1.37
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.4% 1–1 9% 2–0 6.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.10scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 44:28
Freiburg before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.52scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:33
Hoffenheim all matches all matches Freiburg

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 1.52
1.33 Goals conceded 1.57
3.43 Total goals 3.10
12.67 Shots 12.48
4.86 Shots on target 4.05
13.19 Shots faced 13.29
4.95 Corners 4.38
5.62 Corners against 4.14
14.38 Fouls 9.76
2.00 Yellow cards 1.67
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

62% Wins 38%
14% Draws 29%
24% Losses 33%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
86% Over 1.5 goals 81%
67% Over 2.5 goals 62%
52% Over 3.5 goals 38%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 10%
67% Both teams scored 62%
24% Clean sheets 24%
14% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 29%
24% Draws 43%
29% Losses 29%
90% Over 0.5 goals 71%
57% Over 1.5 goals 33%
19% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
Freiburg all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
2.10points / match
2.40scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 24:13
Freiburg before this match, away
0.82points / match
1.18scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:22
Hoffenheim at home away Freiburg

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 1.18
1.30 Goals conceded 2.00
3.70 Total goals 3.18
14.30 Shots 11.09
5.50 Shots on target 3.18
12.50 Shots faced 15.64
5.40 Corners 3.73
4.80 Corners against 4.64
15.00 Fouls 10.27
1.70 Yellow cards 1.45
1.60 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

70% Wins 18%
0% Draws 27%
30% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
80% Over 1.5 goals 73%
80% Over 2.5 goals 55%
70% Over 3.5 goals 36%
30% Over 4.5 goals 27%
10% Over 5.5 goals 18%
70% Both teams scored 45%
20% Clean sheets 27%
10% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 18%
0% Draws 64%
30% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 55%
70% Over 1.5 goals 18%
30% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
Freiburg away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 5–1 (3–1) 1.297.007.50 1.25 4.00
31.01.26 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
27.01.26 Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim 0–2 (0–1) 3.703.602.00 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 1–3 (1–0) 2.803.752.30 1.53 2.50
17.01.26 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.802.70 1.50 2.63
14.01.26 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 5–1 (4–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.803.40 1.50 2.63
13.12.25 Hoffenheim – Hamburg 4–1 (2–0) 1.704.334.20 1.50 2.63
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.334.50 1.53 2.50

Freiburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Stuttgart – Freiburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
25.01.26 Freiburg – FC Koln 2–1 (2–1) 1.903.753.80 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Augsburg – Freiburg 2–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.45 1.98 1.88
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
10.01.26 Freiburg – Hamburg 2–1 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 1.83 2.03
20.12.25 Wolfsburg – Freiburg 3–4 (1–1) 2.503.602.75 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.83 2.03
06.12.25 Heidenheim – Freiburg 2–1 (0–1) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
17.01.26 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.802.70 1.50 2.63
14.01.26 Hoffenheim – M'gladbach 5–1 (4–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
13.12.25 Hoffenheim – Hamburg 4–1 (2–0) 1.704.334.20 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.334.50 1.53 2.50
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00
25.10.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.63
03.10.25 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.703.75 1.57 2.38
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75
30.08.25 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 2.883.752.25 1.50 2.63

Freiburg away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Stuttgart – Freiburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
18.01.26 Augsburg – Freiburg 2–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.45 1.98 1.88
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 Wolfsburg – Freiburg 3–4 (1–1) 2.503.602.75 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Heidenheim – Freiburg 2–1 (0–1) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 6–2 (2–2) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
01.11.25 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.75 2.10 1.73
26.10.25 Leverkusen – Freiburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 M'gladbach – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.603.00 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Werder Bremen – Freiburg 0–3 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hoffenheim winsDrawsFreiburg wins
9matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
89%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25D1 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.10 1.62 2.30
19.04.25D1 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 3–2 (2–2) 1.913.703.75 1.73 2.10
08.12.24D1 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
20.01.24D1 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 3–2 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.62 2.30
19.08.23D1 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.602.90 1.67 2.20
12.03.23D1 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
18.09.22D1 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.603.20 1.57 2.37
30.04.22D1 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–4 (1–1) 2.503.502.75 1.66 2.20
11.12.21D1 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.61 2.30

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 21 17 3 1 79 19 +60 54
2 Dortmund 22 15 6 1 47 20 +27 51
3 Hoffenheim 21 13 3 5 44 28 +16 42
4 RB Leipzig 21 12 3 6 40 28 +12 39
5 Stuttgart 21 12 3 6 38 28 +10 39
6 Leverkusen 20 11 3 6 39 27 +12 36
7 Freiburg 21 8 6 7 32 33 -1 30
8 Ein Frankfurt 21 7 7 7 41 46 -5 28
9 Union Berlin 21 6 7 8 26 34 -8 25
10 FC Koln 21 6 5 10 30 34 -4 23
11 Hamburg 20 5 7 8 21 29 -8 22
12 M'gladbach 21 5 7 9 25 34 -9 22
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 24 39 -15 22
14 Mainz 22 5 6 11 25 37 -12 21
15 Wolfsburg 21 5 4 12 29 44 -15 19
16 Werder Bremen 21 4 7 10 22 39 -17 19
17 St Pauli 21 4 5 12 20 35 -15 17
18 Heidenheim 21 3 4 14 19 47 -28 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dortmund 11 9 2 0 26 8 +18 29
2 Bayern Munich 11 9 1 1 45 10 +35 28
3 Stuttgart 10 7 2 1 14 11 +3 23
4 Hoffenheim 10 7 0 3 24 13 +11 21
5 RB Leipzig 10 7 0 3 23 13 +10 21
6 Freiburg 10 6 3 1 19 11 +8 21
7 Leverkusen 10 6 1 3 20 10 +10 19
8 Hamburg 10 4 4 2 15 11 +4 16
9 Augsburg 11 4 3 4 14 19 -5 15
10 FC Koln 11 4 2 5 19 17 +2 14
11 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 2 4 17 18 -1 14
12 Union Berlin 11 3 5 3 16 17 -1 14
13 Werder Bremen 10 3 4 3 12 18 -6 13
14 Mainz 11 3 3 5 12 13 -1 12
15 St Pauli 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12
16 M'gladbach 11 2 4 5 13 21 -8 10
17 Wolfsburg 11 2 3 6 17 23 -6 9
18 Heidenheim 11 2 3 6 10 24 -14 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 8 2 0 34 9 +25 26
2 Dortmund 11 6 4 1 21 12 +9 22
3 Hoffenheim 11 6 3 2 20 15 +5 21
4 RB Leipzig 11 5 3 3 17 15 +2 18
5 Leverkusen 10 5 2 3 19 17 +2 17
6 Stuttgart 11 5 1 5 24 17 +7 16
7 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 5 3 24 28 -4 14
8 M'gladbach 10 3 3 4 12 13 -1 12
9 Union Berlin 10 3 2 5 10 17 -7 11
10 Wolfsburg 10 3 1 6 12 21 -9 10
11 FC Koln 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9
12 Freiburg 11 2 3 6 13 22 -9 9
13 Mainz 11 2 3 6 13 24 -11 9
14 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 10 20 -10 7
15 Werder Bremen 11 1 3 7 10 21 -11 6
16 Hamburg 10 1 3 6 6 18 -12 6
17 St Pauli 11 1 2 8 9 18 -9 5
18 Heidenheim 10 1 1 8 9 23 -14 4

Hoffenheim   Freiburg

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 21 0 21 3.8 0.9 17 3 1 79 19 54
2 5 Stuttgart 21 6 15 1.8 1.3 12 3 6 38 28 39
3 18 Heidenheim 21 6 15 0.9 2.2 3 4 14 19 47 13
4 3 Hoffenheim 21 7 14 2.1 1.3 13 3 5 44 28 42
5 8 Ein Frankfurt 21 7 14 2.0 2.2 7 7 7 41 46 28
6 15 Wolfsburg 21 7 14 1.4 2.1 5 4 12 29 44 19
7 4 RB Leipzig 21 8 13 1.9 1.3 12 3 6 40 28 39
8 7 Freiburg 21 8 13 1.5 1.6 8 6 7 32 33 30
9 13 Augsburg 21 8 13 1.1 1.9 6 4 11 24 39 22
10 2 Dortmund 22 10 12 2.1 0.9 15 6 1 47 20 51
11 6 Leverkusen 20 8 12 1.9 1.4 11 3 6 39 27 36
12 9 Union Berlin 21 9 12 1.2 1.6 6 7 8 26 34 25
13 10 FC Koln 21 9 12 1.4 1.6 6 5 10 30 34 23
14 14 Mainz 22 10 12 1.1 1.7 5 6 11 25 37 21
15 17 St Pauli 21 9 12 1.0 1.7 4 5 12 20 35 17
16 12 M'gladbach 21 10 11 1.2 1.6 5 7 9 25 34 22
17 16 Werder Bremen 21 10 11 1.0 1.9 4 7 10 22 39 19
18 11 Hamburg 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 5 7 8 21 29 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 11 0 11 4.1 0.9 9 1 1 45 10 28
2 3 Hoffenheim 10 2 8 2.4 1.3 7 0 3 24 13 21
3 9 Union Berlin 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 3 5 3 16 17 14
4 15 Wolfsburg 11 3 8 1.5 2.1 2 3 6 17 23 9
5 18 Heidenheim 11 3 8 0.9 2.2 2 3 6 10 24 9
6 4 RB Leipzig 10 3 7 2.3 1.3 7 0 3 23 13 21
7 7 Freiburg 10 3 7 1.9 1.1 6 3 1 19 11 21
8 10 FC Koln 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 4 2 5 19 17 14
9 12 M'gladbach 11 4 7 1.2 1.9 2 4 5 13 21 10
10 17 St Pauli 10 3 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12
11 2 Dortmund 11 5 6 2.4 0.7 9 2 0 26 8 29
12 8 Ein Frankfurt 10 4 6 1.7 1.8 4 2 4 17 18 14
13 13 Augsburg 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 4 3 4 14 19 15
14 6 Leverkusen 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 1 3 20 10 19
15 11 Hamburg 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 2 15 11 16
16 16 Werder Bremen 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 4 3 12 18 13
17 5 Stuttgart 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 7 2 1 14 11 23
18 14 Mainz 11 8 3 1.1 1.2 3 3 5 12 13 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Stuttgart 11 0 11 2.2 1.5 5 1 5 24 17 16
2 1 Bayern Munich 10 0 10 3.4 0.9 8 2 0 34 9 26
3 14 Mainz 11 2 9 1.2 2.2 2 3 6 13 24 9
4 8 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 8 2.2 2.5 3 5 3 24 28 14
5 6 Leverkusen 10 3 7 1.9 1.7 5 2 3 19 17 17
6 13 Augsburg 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 2 1 7 10 20 7
7 18 Heidenheim 10 3 7 0.9 2.3 1 1 8 9 23 4
8 2 Dortmund 11 5 6 1.9 1.1 6 4 1 21 12 22
9 3 Hoffenheim 11 5 6 1.8 1.4 6 3 2 20 15 21
10 4 RB Leipzig 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 3 3 17 15 18
11 7 Freiburg 11 5 6 1.2 2.0 2 3 6 13 22 9
12 15 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 1.2 2.1 3 1 6 12 21 10
13 16 Werder Bremen 11 5 6 0.9 1.9 1 3 7 10 21 6
14 10 FC Koln 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9
15 11 Hamburg 10 5 5 0.6 1.8 1 3 6 6 18 6
16 17 St Pauli 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 1 2 8 9 18 5
17 9 Union Berlin 10 6 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 5 10 17 11
18 12 M'gladbach 10 6 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 4 12 13 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51