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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 2–3 Werder Bremen

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.73 fair 1.90
Draw 4.00 fair 4.92
Away ✓ 4.50 fair 3.68
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 3.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Werder Bremen
18 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 8
1.70 Expected goals (xG) 2.69
6 Corners 6
7 Fouls 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (55 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.42
Expected goals 2.22 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawWerder Bremen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.7% 1–1 7.9% 2–2 6.9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:10
Werder Bremen before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 12:12
Mainz all matches all matches Werder Bremen

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 2.00
1.67 Goals conceded 2.00
4.00 Total goals 4.00
2.29 xG created 1.61
1.41 xG allowed 1.63
17.67 Shots 14.00
6.00 Shots on target 6.83
12.50 Shots faced 15.33
4.83 Corners 3.67
4.00 Corners against 5.83
13.83 Fouls 12.00
2.33 Yellow cards 1.17
1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.17
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
17% Draws 50%
33% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 83%
67% Over 3.5 goals 83%
50% Over 4.5 goals 33%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 17%
33% Draws 17%
17% Losses 67%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Werder Bremen all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.33points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:7
Werder Bremen before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:7
Mainz at home away Werder Bremen

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33
2.33 Goals conceded 2.33
3.67 Total goals 3.67
2.07 xG created 0.91
1.49 xG allowed 2.00
20.67 Shots 11.33
4.67 Shots on target 4.00
12.33 Shots faced 18.33
6.33 Corners 4.33
3.33 Corners against 7.67
10.00 Fouls 12.67
1.33 Yellow cards 1.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
67% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
67% Over 3.5 goals 67%
33% Over 4.5 goals 33%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 100%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Werder Bremen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Schalke 04 – Mainz 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.752.25 1.62 2.30
10.10.26 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (2–2) 3.003.802.20 1.44 2.75
19.09.26 M'gladbach – Mainz 3–4 (1–2) 3.003.702.20 1.53 2.50
12.09.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 1.954.003.40 1.50 2.63
06.09.26 Hamburg – Mainz 0–5 (0–2) 2.883.502.40 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Mainz – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.67 2.20
16.05.26 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–2) 1.914.333.40 1.44 2.75
10.05.26 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–3 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.20
03.05.26 St Pauli – Mainz 1–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.60 2.10 1.73
25.04.26 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–4 (3–0) 4.334.501.67 1.44 2.75

Werder Bremen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Werder Bremen – Paderborn 2–2 (0–2) 1.754.204.10 1.53 2.50
09.10.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.40 3.00
19.09.26 Werder Bremen – Augsburg 3–2 (0–1) 2.303.802.80 1.44 2.75
12.09.26 FC Koln – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.803.30 1.53 2.50
05.09.26 Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig 3–1 (1–0) 4.334.001.73 1.50 2.63
30.08.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
16.05.26 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 0–2 (0–0) 3.504.001.95 1.40 3.00
09.05.26 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.455.005.75 1.36 3.20
02.05.26 Werder Bremen – Augsburg 1–3 (0–2) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30
26.04.26 Stuttgart – Werder Bremen 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.335.50 1.44 2.75

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (2–2) 3.003.802.20 1.44 2.75
12.09.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 1.954.003.40 1.50 2.63
29.08.26 Mainz – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.67 2.20
10.05.26 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–3 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–4 (3–0) 4.334.501.67 1.44 2.75
12.04.26 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.50 1.88 1.98
22.03.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.703.25 1.73 2.10
07.03.26 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.62 2.30
20.02.26 Mainz – Hamburg 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Mainz – Augsburg 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00

Werder Bremen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.10.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.40 3.00
12.09.26 FC Koln – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.803.30 1.53 2.50
30.08.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
09.05.26 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.455.005.75 1.36 3.20
26.04.26 Stuttgart – Werder Bremen 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.335.50 1.44 2.75
12.04.26 FC Koln – Werder Bremen 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Wolfsburg – Werder Bremen 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.602.80 1.73 2.10
08.03.26 Union Berlin – Werder Bremen 1–4 (1–2) 2.253.403.25 2.00 1.80
22.02.26 St Pauli – Werder Bremen 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
07.02.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsWerder Bremen wins
8matches
2.38goals / match
38%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26D1 Werder Bremen – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
01.11.25D1 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.57 2.38
31.01.25D1 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
15.09.24D1 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.703.50 1.73 2.10
03.02.24D1 Mainz – Werder Bremen 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.90
02.09.23D1 Werder Bremen – Mainz 4–0 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 1.73 2.10
08.04.23D1 Mainz – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
15.10.22D1 Werder Bremen – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.602.87 1.72 2.10

Germany Bundesliga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 4 2 0 22 5 +17 14
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 15 6 +9 13
4 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 16 9 +7 13
5 Mainz 6 3 1 2 14 10 +4 10
6 Elversberg 6 3 1 2 12 11 +1 10
7 RB Leipzig 6 3 0 3 16 11 +5 9
8 Werder Bremen 6 2 3 1 12 12 0 9
9 Hamburg 6 3 0 3 6 15 -9 9
10 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 16 12 +4 8
11 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 10 16 -6 8
12 FC Koln 6 2 1 3 8 11 -3 7
13 Hoffenheim 6 2 0 4 11 14 -3 6
14 Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 10 13 -3 6
15 Schalke 04 6 1 2 3 4 7 -3 5
16 Paderborn 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5
17 Union Berlin 6 1 2 3 5 17 -12 5
18 M'gladbach 7 1 0 6 11 22 -11 3
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to 2. Bundesliga

DFB-Pokal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 18 2 +16 9
2 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 14 0 +14 9
3 Freiburg 3 3 0 0 11 2 +9 9
4 Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9
5 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
6 Werder Bremen 3 2 1 0 8 5 +3 7
7 FC Koln 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7
8 Elversberg 3 2 0 1 8 7 +1 6
9 Hamburg 3 2 0 1 3 6 -3 6
10 Augsburg 3 1 2 0 7 4 +3 5
11 Union Berlin 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
12 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4
13 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 6 5 +1 3
14 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 6 7 -1 3
15 Paderborn 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
16 Schalke 04 3 0 2 1 0 1 -1 2
17 Mainz 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1
18 M'gladbach 3 0 0 3 7 10 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mainz 3 3 0 0 10 3 +7 9
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
3 Bayern Munich 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
4 Leverkusen 3 1 1 1 8 8 0 4
5 Elversberg 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
6 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
7 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 6 10 -4 4
8 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 9 8 +1 3
9 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 5 7 -2 3
10 Schalke 04 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
11 Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
12 Hamburg 3 1 0 2 3 9 -6 3
13 M'gladbach 4 1 0 3 4 12 -8 3
14 Werder Bremen 3 0 2 1 4 7 -3 2
15 Paderborn 3 0 2 1 2 5 -3 2
16 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 2 7 -5 0
17 RB Leipzig 3 0 0 3 2 11 -9 0
18 Union Berlin 2 0 0 2 0 11 -11 0

Mainz   Werder Bremen

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 M'gladbach 7 0 7 1.6 3.1 1 0 6 11 22 3
2 10 Augsburg 6 0 6 2.7 2.0 2 2 2 16 12 8
3 13 Hoffenheim 6 0 6 1.8 2.3 2 0 4 11 14 6
4 1 Bayern Munich 6 1 5 3.7 0.8 4 2 0 22 5 14
5 3 Freiburg 6 1 5 2.5 1.0 4 1 1 15 6 13
6 4 Leverkusen 6 1 5 2.7 1.5 4 1 1 16 9 13
7 7 RB Leipzig 6 1 5 2.7 1.8 3 0 3 16 11 9
8 8 Werder Bremen 6 1 5 2.0 2.0 2 3 1 12 12 9
9 11 Ein Frankfurt 6 1 5 1.7 2.7 2 2 2 10 16 8
10 5 Mainz 6 2 4 2.3 1.7 3 1 2 14 10 10
11 6 Elversberg 6 2 4 2.0 1.8 3 1 2 12 11 10
12 9 Hamburg 6 2 4 1.0 2.5 3 0 3 6 15 9
13 12 FC Koln 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 2 1 3 8 11 7
14 14 Stuttgart 7 3 4 1.4 1.9 2 0 5 10 13 6
15 17 Union Berlin 6 2 4 0.8 2.8 1 2 3 5 17 5
16 2 Dortmund 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14
17 15 Schalke 04 6 3 3 0.7 1.2 1 2 3 4 7 5
18 16 Paderborn 6 3 3 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 3 0 3 6.0 0.7 3 0 0 18 2 9
2 3 Freiburg 3 0 3 3.7 0.7 3 0 0 11 2 9
3 6 Elversberg 3 0 3 2.7 2.3 2 0 1 8 7 6
4 7 RB Leipzig 3 0 3 4.7 0.0 3 0 0 14 0 9
5 8 Werder Bremen 3 0 3 2.7 1.7 2 1 0 8 5 7
6 10 Augsburg 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 1 2 0 7 4 5
7 13 Hoffenheim 3 0 3 2.0 2.3 1 0 2 6 7 3
8 18 M'gladbach 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 0 0 3 7 10 0
9 2 Dortmund 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
10 4 Leverkusen 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9
11 5 Mainz 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1
12 9 Hamburg 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 2 0 1 3 6 6
13 11 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4
14 12 FC Koln 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 1 0 6 4 7
15 14 Stuttgart 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 0 2 6 5 3
16 17 Union Berlin 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
17 16 Paderborn 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
18 15 Schalke 04 3 3 0 0.0 0.3 0 2 1 0 1 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 M'gladbach 4 0 4 1.0 3.0 1 0 3 4 12 3
2 4 Leverkusen 3 0 3 2.7 2.7 1 1 1 8 8 4
3 10 Augsburg 3 0 3 3.0 2.7 1 0 2 9 8 3
4 11 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 3 2.0 3.3 1 1 1 6 10 4
5 13 Hoffenheim 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 0 2 5 7 3
6 15 Schalke 04 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
7 1 Bayern Munich 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
8 3 Freiburg 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
9 5 Mainz 3 1 2 3.3 1.0 3 0 0 10 3 9
10 7 RB Leipzig 3 1 2 0.7 3.7 0 0 3 2 11 0
11 8 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 2 1 4 7 2
12 9 Hamburg 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 1 0 2 3 9 3
13 12 FC Koln 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 0 3 2 7 0
14 14 Stuttgart 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
15 16 Paderborn 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 0 2 1 2 5 2
16 17 Union Berlin 2 0 2 0.0 5.5 0 0 2 0 11 0
17 2 Dortmund 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
18 6 Elversberg 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38