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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

St Pauli 1–2 Mainz

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.63 fair 2.82
Draw 3.30 fair 3.97
Away ✓ 2.60 fair 2.55
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

St Pauli Mainz
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 7
10 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (285 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
St PauliDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 0–1 8.7% 1–2 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

St Pauli before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
0.84scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 26:53
Mainz before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.26scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 39:49
St Pauli all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 1.26
1.71 Goals conceded 1.58
2.55 Total goals 2.84
10.35 Shots 11.77
3.42 Shots on target 3.97
12.03 Shots faced 14.16
4.58 Corners 5.00
5.03 Corners against 4.35
9.74 Fouls 11.03
1.58 Yellow cards 2.13
0.35 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

19% Wins 26%
26% Draws 32%
55% Losses 42%
90% Over 0.5 goals 97%
81% Over 1.5 goals 81%
52% Over 2.5 goals 52%
19% Over 3.5 goals 32%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
52% Both teams scored 61%
16% Clean sheets 10%
42% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 32%
42% Draws 35%
39% Losses 32%
74% Over 0.5 goals 81%
23% Over 1.5 goals 39%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli all matches
Mainz all matches
St Pauli before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.00scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:26
Mainz before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.27scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:27
St Pauli at home away Mainz

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.27
1.73 Goals conceded 1.80
2.73 Total goals 3.07
10.73 Shots 9.87
4.40 Shots on target 3.73
11.33 Shots faced 16.20
5.67 Corners 3.80
3.87 Corners against 5.27
9.73 Fouls 10.13
1.67 Yellow cards 2.53
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

27% Wins 27%
33% Draws 33%
40% Losses 40%
87% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 93%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
13% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 67%
13% Clean sheets 7%
40% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 27%
53% Draws 40%
27% Losses 33%
60% Over 0.5 goals 87%
20% Over 1.5 goals 53%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Pauli at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

St Pauli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Heidenheim – St Pauli 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.91 1.91
17.04.26 St Pauli – FC Koln 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.302.45 2.03 1.83
11.04.26 St Pauli – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.53 2.50
05.04.26 Union Berlin – St Pauli 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.253.75 2.50 1.53
22.03.26 St Pauli – Freiburg 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.30 1.62
13.03.26 M'gladbach – St Pauli 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 St Pauli – Ein Frankfurt 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.60 2.00 1.85
28.02.26 Hoffenheim – St Pauli 0–1 (0–1) 1.484.756.00 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 St Pauli – Werder Bremen 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
14.02.26 Leverkusen – St Pauli 4–0 (2–0) 1.453.756.50 1.88 1.98

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–4 (3–0) 4.334.501.67 1.44 2.75
19.04.26 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.90 1.95
12.04.26 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.50 1.88 1.98
04.04.26 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.57 2.38
22.03.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.703.25 1.73 2.10
15.03.26 Werder Bremen – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
07.03.26 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.62 2.30
28.02.26 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–1 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.67 2.20
20.02.26 Mainz – Hamburg 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
13.02.26 Dortmund – Mainz 4–0 (3–0) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50

St Pauli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.04.26 St Pauli – FC Koln 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.302.45 2.03 1.83
11.04.26 St Pauli – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.53 2.50
22.03.26 St Pauli – Freiburg 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.30 1.62
08.03.26 St Pauli – Ein Frankfurt 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.60 2.00 1.85
22.02.26 St Pauli – Werder Bremen 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
07.02.26 St Pauli – Stuttgart 2–1 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.93 1.93
27.01.26 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.80 2.10 1.73
23.01.26 St Pauli – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.75 2.63 1.50
13.12.25 St Pauli – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
23.11.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.90 1.95
04.04.26 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.75 1.57 2.38
15.03.26 Werder Bremen – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–1 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.67 2.20
13.02.26 Dortmund – Mainz 4–0 (3–0) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
31.01.26 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.53 2.50
17.01.26 FC Koln – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.25 1.73 2.10
10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.70 2.20 1.65
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

St Pauli winsDrawsMainz wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25D1 Mainz – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
22.02.25D1 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
05.10.24D1 St Pauli – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.302.90 1.88 2.02

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 32 26 5 1 116 35 +81 83
2 Dortmund 31 20 7 4 65 31 +34 67
3 RB Leipzig 32 19 5 8 63 42 +21 62
4 Leverkusen 32 17 7 8 66 43 +23 58
5 Stuttgart 32 17 7 8 66 46 +20 58
6 Hoffenheim 32 17 7 8 64 48 +16 58
7 Ein Frankfurt 32 11 10 11 57 60 -3 43
8 Freiburg 31 12 7 12 44 52 -8 43
9 Augsburg 32 11 7 14 42 56 -14 40
10 Mainz 31 8 10 13 39 49 -10 34
11 Hamburg 32 8 10 14 36 51 -15 34
12 Union Berlin 32 8 9 15 37 57 -20 33
13 FC Koln 32 7 11 14 47 55 -8 32
14 M'gladbach 31 7 11 13 36 50 -14 32
15 Werder Bremen 32 8 8 16 37 57 -20 32
16 St Pauli 31 6 8 17 26 53 -27 26
17 Wolfsburg 31 6 7 18 41 66 -25 25
18 Heidenheim 32 5 8 19 38 69 -31 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 16 13 2 1 63 18 +45 41
2 Dortmund 16 12 2 2 37 14 +23 38
3 Stuttgart 16 11 3 2 27 15 +12 36
4 RB Leipzig 16 11 2 3 38 19 +19 35
5 Leverkusen 16 9 3 4 37 18 +19 30
6 Hoffenheim 16 9 2 5 34 21 +13 29
7 Freiburg 15 8 4 3 28 20 +8 28
8 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 3 6 27 25 +2 24
9 Augsburg 16 6 5 5 22 27 -5 23
10 Hamburg 16 5 6 5 22 20 +2 21
11 FC Koln 16 5 4 7 29 27 +2 19
12 Union Berlin 16 4 7 5 22 26 -4 19
13 Werder Bremen 16 5 4 7 19 29 -10 19
14 M'gladbach 15 4 6 5 19 24 -5 18
15 Mainz 16 4 5 7 20 22 -2 17
16 St Pauli 15 4 5 6 15 26 -11 17
17 Heidenheim 16 4 5 7 23 35 -12 17
18 Wolfsburg 16 2 4 10 21 31 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 16 13 3 0 53 17 +36 42
2 Dortmund 15 8 5 2 28 17 +11 29
3 Hoffenheim 16 8 5 3 30 27 +3 29
4 Leverkusen 16 8 4 4 29 25 +4 28
5 RB Leipzig 16 8 3 5 25 23 +2 27
6 Stuttgart 16 6 4 6 39 31 +8 22
7 Ein Frankfurt 16 4 7 5 30 35 -5 19
8 Mainz 15 4 5 6 19 27 -8 17
9 Augsburg 16 5 2 9 20 29 -9 17
10 Wolfsburg 15 4 3 8 20 35 -15 15
11 Freiburg 16 4 3 9 16 32 -16 15
12 M'gladbach 16 3 5 8 17 26 -9 14
13 Union Berlin 16 4 2 10 15 31 -16 14
14 FC Koln 16 2 7 7 18 28 -10 13
15 Werder Bremen 16 3 4 9 18 28 -10 13
16 Hamburg 16 3 4 9 14 31 -17 13
17 St Pauli 16 2 3 11 11 27 -16 9
18 Heidenheim 16 1 3 12 15 34 -19 6

St Pauli   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 32 1 31 3.6 1.1 26 5 1 116 35 83
2 5 Stuttgart 32 9 23 2.1 1.4 17 7 8 66 46 58
3 6 Hoffenheim 32 9 23 2.0 1.5 17 7 8 64 48 58
4 3 RB Leipzig 32 10 22 2.0 1.3 19 5 8 63 42 62
5 18 Heidenheim 32 10 22 1.2 2.2 5 8 19 38 69 23
6 7 Ein Frankfurt 32 11 21 1.8 1.9 11 10 11 57 60 43
7 17 Wolfsburg 31 10 21 1.3 2.1 6 7 18 41 66 25
8 8 Freiburg 31 11 20 1.4 1.7 12 7 12 44 52 43
9 13 FC Koln 32 12 20 1.5 1.7 7 11 14 47 55 32
10 4 Leverkusen 32 13 19 2.1 1.3 17 7 8 66 43 58
11 9 Augsburg 32 13 19 1.3 1.8 11 7 14 42 56 40
12 12 Union Berlin 32 13 19 1.2 1.8 8 9 15 37 57 33
13 2 Dortmund 31 13 18 2.1 1.0 20 7 4 65 31 67
14 11 Hamburg 32 14 18 1.1 1.6 8 10 14 36 51 34
15 15 Werder Bremen 32 14 18 1.2 1.8 8 8 16 37 57 32
16 10 Mainz 31 15 16 1.3 1.6 8 10 13 39 49 34
17 14 M'gladbach 31 15 16 1.2 1.6 7 11 13 36 50 32
18 16 St Pauli 31 15 16 0.8 1.7 6 8 17 26 53 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 16 0 16 3.9 1.1 13 2 1 63 18 41
2 3 RB Leipzig 16 4 12 2.4 1.2 11 2 3 38 19 35
3 6 Hoffenheim 16 4 12 2.1 1.3 9 2 5 34 21 29
4 13 FC Koln 16 4 12 1.8 1.7 5 4 7 29 27 19
5 18 Heidenheim 16 4 12 1.4 2.2 4 5 7 23 35 17
6 8 Freiburg 15 4 11 1.9 1.3 8 4 3 28 20 28
7 12 Union Berlin 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 4 7 5 22 26 19
8 17 Wolfsburg 16 5 11 1.3 1.9 2 4 10 21 31 10
9 7 Ein Frankfurt 16 6 10 1.7 1.6 7 3 6 27 25 24
10 16 St Pauli 15 5 10 1.0 1.7 4 5 6 15 26 17
11 2 Dortmund 16 7 9 2.3 0.9 12 2 2 37 14 38
12 4 Leverkusen 16 7 9 2.3 1.1 9 3 4 37 18 30
13 15 Werder Bremen 16 7 9 1.2 1.8 5 4 7 19 29 19
14 9 Augsburg 16 8 8 1.4 1.7 6 5 5 22 27 23
15 11 Hamburg 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 5 6 5 22 20 21
16 14 M'gladbach 15 7 8 1.3 1.6 4 6 5 19 24 18
17 5 Stuttgart 16 9 7 1.7 0.9 11 3 2 27 15 36
18 10 Mainz 16 10 6 1.2 1.4 4 5 7 20 22 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Stuttgart 16 0 16 2.4 1.9 6 4 6 39 31 22
2 1 Bayern Munich 16 1 15 3.3 1.1 13 3 0 53 17 42
3 6 Hoffenheim 16 5 11 1.9 1.7 8 5 3 30 27 29
4 7 Ein Frankfurt 16 5 11 1.9 2.2 4 7 5 30 35 19
5 9 Augsburg 16 5 11 1.2 1.8 5 2 9 20 29 17
6 3 RB Leipzig 16 6 10 1.6 1.4 8 3 5 25 23 27
7 4 Leverkusen 16 6 10 1.8 1.6 8 4 4 29 25 28
8 10 Mainz 15 5 10 1.3 1.8 4 5 6 19 27 17
9 11 Hamburg 16 6 10 0.9 1.9 3 4 9 14 31 13
10 17 Wolfsburg 15 5 10 1.3 2.3 4 3 8 20 35 15
11 18 Heidenheim 16 6 10 0.9 2.1 1 3 12 15 34 6
12 2 Dortmund 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 8 5 2 28 17 29
13 8 Freiburg 16 7 9 1.0 2.0 4 3 9 16 32 15
14 15 Werder Bremen 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 3 4 9 18 28 13
15 12 Union Berlin 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 4 2 10 15 31 14
16 13 FC Koln 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 2 7 7 18 28 13
17 14 M'gladbach 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 3 5 8 17 26 14
18 16 St Pauli 16 10 6 0.7 1.7 2 3 11 11 27 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51