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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 2–1 Roma

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.48
Draw 3.50 fair 3.71
Away 3.60 fair 3.06
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Roma
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 4
11 Fouls 12
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (363 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 1–0 11% 0–1 9.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.33scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 48:41
Roma before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.31scored / match
0.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 47:35
Fiorentina all matches all matches Roma

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.31
1.14 Goals conceded 0.97
2.47 Total goals 2.28
15.86 Shots 13.03
4.75 Shots on target 4.39
9.28 Shots faced 10.28
6.19 Corners 4.94
3.08 Corners against 3.83
12.81 Fouls 11.61
2.36 Yellow cards 2.14
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

36% Wins 47%
31% Draws 25%
33% Losses 28%
94% Over 0.5 goals 97%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
39% Over 2.5 goals 39%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
14% Over 4.5 goals 3%
6% Over 5.5 goals 3%
53% Both teams scored 44%
28% Clean sheets 39%
25% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 28%
44% Draws 42%
28% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
31% Over 1.5 goals 25%
8% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Roma all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.56scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:21
Roma before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.17scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:21
Fiorentina at home away Roma

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.17
1.17 Goals conceded 1.17
2.72 Total goals 2.33
18.50 Shots 11.33
5.83 Shots on target 3.72
8.17 Shots faced 10.72
6.72 Corners 4.00
2.56 Corners against 3.89
12.33 Fouls 11.56
1.94 Yellow cards 2.28
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

44% Wins 39%
33% Draws 33%
22% Losses 28%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
83% Over 1.5 goals 72%
44% Over 2.5 goals 44%
22% Over 3.5 goals 22%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
61% Both teams scored 61%
28% Clean sheets 28%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 22%
33% Draws 44%
28% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 28%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.05.23 Torino – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67
14.05.23 Fiorentina – Udinese 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.92 1.98
07.05.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.10
03.05.23 Salernitana – Fiorentina 3–3 (1–1) 4.753.751.73 1.93 1.97
30.04.23 Fiorentina – Sampdoria 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.62 2.30
23.04.23 Monza – Fiorentina 3–2 (2–2) 3.703.402.05 2.00 1.80
17.04.23 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.90 1.89 2.01
08.04.23 Fiorentina – Spezia 1–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 Inter – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.80 2.00
19.03.23 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.05.23 Roma – Salernitana 2–2 (0–1) 1.454.207.50 2.01 1.89
14.05.23 Bologna – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.50 1.53
06.05.23 Roma – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
03.05.23 Monza – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 3.753.102.15 2.50 1.53
29.04.23 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
24.04.23 Atalanta – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
16.04.23 Roma – Udinese 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.404.50 2.30 1.62
08.04.23 Torino – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.002.38 2.75 1.44
02.04.23 Roma – Sampdoria 3–0 (0–0) 1.444.209.00 2.08 1.82
19.03.23 Lazio – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.63 1.50

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.23 Fiorentina – Udinese 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.92 1.98
30.04.23 Fiorentina – Sampdoria 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.62 2.30
17.04.23 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.90 1.89 2.01
08.04.23 Fiorentina – Spezia 1–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
19.03.23 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
19.02.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 1.604.005.75 1.87 2.03
05.02.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
21.01.23 Fiorentina – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67
07.01.23 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.23 Bologna – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.50 1.53
03.05.23 Monza – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 3.753.102.15 2.50 1.53
24.04.23 Atalanta – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
08.04.23 Torino – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.002.38 2.75 1.44
19.03.23 Lazio – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.63 1.50
28.02.23 Cremonese – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 5.253.401.75 2.38 1.57
11.02.23 Lecce – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 4.333.251.95 2.50 1.53
29.01.23 Napoli – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.605.25 2.04 1.86
22.01.23 Spezia – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.501.83 2.06 1.84
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsRoma wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.23I1 Roma – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
09.05.22I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 1.91 1.99
22.08.21I1 Roma – Fiorentina 3–1 (1–0) 1.723.804.75 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 27 5 4 73 26 +47 86
2 Juventus 36 21 6 9 55 32 +23 69
3 Lazio 36 20 8 8 55 28 +27 68
4 Inter 36 21 3 12 67 40 +27 66
5 Milan 36 18 10 8 60 42 +18 64
6 Atalanta 36 18 7 11 59 43 +16 61
7 Roma 36 17 9 10 47 35 +12 60
8 Torino 37 14 11 12 42 40 +2 53
9 Monza 36 14 10 12 46 46 0 52
10 Fiorentina 36 13 11 12 48 41 +7 50
11 Bologna 36 13 11 12 48 45 +3 50
12 Udinese 37 11 13 13 47 47 0 46
13 Sassuolo 37 12 9 16 46 58 -12 45
14 Empoli 36 10 12 14 36 46 -10 42
15 Salernitana 37 9 15 13 48 60 -12 42
16 Lecce 36 7 12 17 30 43 -13 33
17 Spezia 37 6 13 18 30 60 -30 31
18 Verona 36 7 9 20 29 55 -26 30
19 Cremonese 36 4 12 20 32 66 -34 24
20 Sampdoria 37 3 10 24 24 69 -45 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 18 13 3 2 38 14 +24 42
2 Napoli 18 13 3 2 38 15 +23 42
3 Milan 18 12 4 2 38 19 +19 40
4 Inter 18 13 0 5 34 12 +22 39
5 Lazio 18 10 4 4 29 16 +13 34
6 Roma 18 10 3 5 26 14 +12 33
7 Atalanta 18 9 3 6 33 24 +9 30
8 Fiorentina 18 8 6 4 28 21 +7 30
9 Bologna 18 7 8 3 22 12 +10 29
10 Sassuolo 18 8 4 6 23 20 +3 28
11 Empoli 18 8 4 6 22 21 +1 28
12 Udinese 18 6 9 3 30 19 +11 27
13 Salernitana 19 7 6 6 30 26 +4 27
14 Monza 18 7 5 6 25 21 +4 26
15 Torino 18 5 7 6 15 18 -3 22
16 Verona 18 6 2 10 19 31 -12 20
17 Spezia 19 4 8 7 18 30 -12 20
18 Lecce 18 3 8 7 16 21 -5 17
19 Cremonese 18 3 4 11 13 31 -18 13
20 Sampdoria 19 1 7 11 12 28 -16 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 18 14 2 2 35 11 +24 44
2 Lazio 18 10 4 4 26 12 +14 34
3 Atalanta 18 9 4 5 26 19 +7 31
4 Torino 19 9 4 6 27 22 +5 31
5 Inter 18 8 3 7 33 28 +5 27
6 Roma 18 7 6 5 21 21 0 27
7 Juventus 18 8 3 7 17 18 -1 27
8 Monza 18 7 5 6 21 25 -4 26
9 Milan 18 6 6 6 22 23 -1 24
10 Bologna 18 6 3 9 26 33 -7 21
11 Fiorentina 18 5 5 8 20 20 0 20
12 Udinese 19 5 4 10 17 28 -11 19
13 Sassuolo 19 4 5 10 23 38 -15 17
14 Lecce 18 4 4 10 14 22 -8 16
15 Salernitana 18 2 9 7 18 34 -16 15
16 Empoli 18 2 8 8 14 25 -11 14
17 Cremonese 18 1 8 9 19 35 -16 11
18 Spezia 18 2 5 11 12 30 -18 11
19 Verona 18 1 7 10 10 24 -14 10
20 Sampdoria 18 2 3 13 12 41 -29 9

Fiorentina   Roma

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 36 15 21 1.9 1.1 21 3 12 67 40 66
2 13 Sassuolo 37 16 21 1.2 1.6 12 9 16 46 58 45
3 15 Salernitana 37 16 21 1.3 1.6 9 15 13 48 60 42
4 5 Milan 36 17 19 1.7 1.2 18 10 8 60 42 64
5 12 Udinese 37 18 19 1.3 1.3 11 13 13 47 47 46
6 1 Napoli 36 18 18 2.0 0.7 27 5 4 73 26 86
7 11 Bologna 36 18 18 1.3 1.2 13 11 12 48 45 50
8 6 Atalanta 36 19 17 1.6 1.2 18 7 11 59 43 61
9 17 Spezia 37 20 17 0.8 1.6 6 13 18 30 60 31
10 19 Cremonese 36 19 17 0.9 1.8 4 12 20 32 66 24
11 9 Monza 36 20 16 1.3 1.3 14 10 12 46 46 52
12 20 Sampdoria 37 21 16 0.6 1.9 3 10 24 24 69 19
13 3 Lazio 36 21 15 1.5 0.8 20 8 8 55 28 68
14 7 Roma 36 22 14 1.3 1.0 17 9 10 47 35 60
15 10 Fiorentina 36 22 14 1.3 1.1 13 11 12 48 41 50
16 14 Empoli 36 22 14 1.0 1.3 10 12 14 36 46 42
17 18 Verona 36 22 14 0.8 1.5 7 9 20 29 55 30
18 2 Juventus 36 23 13 1.5 0.9 21 6 9 55 32 69
19 8 Torino 37 24 13 1.1 1.1 14 11 12 42 40 53
20 16 Lecce 36 25 11 0.8 1.2 7 12 17 30 43 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Salernitana 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 7 6 6 30 26 27
2 1 Napoli 18 8 10 2.1 0.8 13 3 2 38 15 42
3 6 Atalanta 18 8 10 1.8 1.3 9 3 6 33 24 30
4 12 Udinese 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 6 9 3 30 19 27
5 17 Spezia 19 9 10 0.9 1.6 4 8 7 18 30 20
6 18 Verona 18 8 10 1.1 1.7 6 2 10 19 31 20
7 2 Juventus 18 9 9 2.1 0.8 13 3 2 38 14 42
8 3 Lazio 18 9 9 1.6 0.9 10 4 4 29 16 34
9 5 Milan 18 9 9 2.1 1.1 12 4 2 38 19 40
10 4 Inter 18 10 8 1.9 0.7 13 0 5 34 12 39
11 9 Monza 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 7 5 6 25 21 26
12 10 Fiorentina 18 10 8 1.6 1.2 8 6 4 28 21 30
13 13 Sassuolo 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 8 4 6 23 20 28
14 14 Empoli 18 10 8 1.2 1.2 8 4 6 22 21 28
15 19 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.7 1.7 3 4 11 13 31 13
16 7 Roma 18 12 6 1.4 0.8 10 3 5 26 14 33
17 16 Lecce 18 12 6 0.9 1.2 3 8 7 16 21 17
18 20 Sampdoria 19 13 6 0.6 1.5 1 7 11 12 28 10
19 11 Bologna 18 13 5 1.2 0.7 7 8 3 22 12 29
20 8 Torino 18 14 4 0.8 1.0 5 7 6 15 18 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 18 5 13 1.8 1.6 8 3 7 33 28 27
2 11 Bologna 18 5 13 1.4 1.8 6 3 9 26 33 21
3 13 Sassuolo 19 6 13 1.2 2.0 4 5 10 23 38 17
4 5 Milan 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 6 6 22 23 24
5 20 Sampdoria 18 8 10 0.7 2.3 2 3 13 12 41 9
6 8 Torino 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 9 4 6 27 22 31
7 12 Udinese 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 5 4 10 17 28 19
8 15 Salernitana 18 9 9 1.0 1.9 2 9 7 18 34 15
9 19 Cremonese 18 9 9 1.1 1.9 1 8 9 19 35 11
10 1 Napoli 18 10 8 1.9 0.6 14 2 2 35 11 44
11 7 Roma 18 10 8 1.2 1.2 7 6 5 21 21 27
12 9 Monza 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 7 5 6 21 25 26
13 6 Atalanta 18 11 7 1.4 1.1 9 4 5 26 19 31
14 17 Spezia 18 11 7 0.7 1.7 2 5 11 12 30 11
15 3 Lazio 18 12 6 1.4 0.7 10 4 4 26 12 34
16 10 Fiorentina 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 5 5 8 20 20 20
17 14 Empoli 18 12 6 0.8 1.4 2 8 8 14 25 14
18 16 Lecce 18 13 5 0.8 1.2 4 4 10 14 22 16
19 2 Juventus 18 14 4 0.9 1.0 8 3 7 17 18 27
20 18 Verona 18 14 4 0.6 1.3 1 7 10 10 24 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51