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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 2–1 Milan

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.77
Draw 3.30 fair 3.90
Away 2.55 fair 2.62
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.06
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.94

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Milan
16 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 6
11 Corners 5
12 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (243 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 9% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 27:30
Milan before this match, all matches
1.96points / match
1.71scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 41:30
Fiorentina all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.71
1.25 Goals conceded 1.25
2.38 Total goals 2.96
16.04 Shots 14.58
4.92 Shots on target 5.00
9.58 Shots faced 11.08
6.50 Corners 4.08
3.08 Corners against 4.63
12.75 Fouls 12.58
2.50 Yellow cards 2.71
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

29% Wins 58%
29% Draws 21%
42% Losses 21%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
75% Over 1.5 goals 79%
42% Over 2.5 goals 63%
13% Over 3.5 goals 33%
8% Over 4.5 goals 17%
4% Over 5.5 goals 8%
54% Both teams scored 63%
21% Clean sheets 29%
33% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
38% Draws 38%
38% Losses 25%
79% Over 0.5 goals 79%
33% Over 1.5 goals 42%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Milan all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:18
Milan before this match, away
1.58points / match
1.17scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:14
Fiorentina at home away Milan

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.17
1.50 Goals conceded 1.17
2.83 Total goals 2.33
18.42 Shots 13.50
5.83 Shots on target 4.75
9.33 Shots faced 11.50
6.83 Corners 3.83
2.50 Corners against 5.33
12.25 Fouls 11.83
2.08 Yellow cards 2.33
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

33% Wins 42%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 25%
92% Over 0.5 goals 83%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 58%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 58%
17% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 25%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 42%
83% Over 0.5 goals 75%
42% Over 1.5 goals 42%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.23 Verona – Fiorentina 0–3 (0–2) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
19.02.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 1.604.005.75 1.87 2.03
12.02.23 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.07 1.83
05.02.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
29.01.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.04 1.86
21.01.23 Fiorentina – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67
15.01.23 Roma – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
07.01.23 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.23 Fiorentina – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 1.91 1.99
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.23 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
18.02.23 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
10.02.23 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
05.02.23 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
29.01.23 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 1.604.005.75 1.87 2.03
05.02.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
21.01.23 Fiorentina – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67
07.01.23 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.23 Fiorentina – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 1.91 1.99
09.11.22 Fiorentina – Salernitana 2–1 (1–0) 1.534.206.25 1.72 2.10
22.10.22 Fiorentina – Inter 3–4 (1–2) 3.603.502.05 1.80 2.00
10.10.22 Fiorentina – Lazio 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.502.80 1.91 1.99
18.09.22 Fiorentina – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.804.50 1.80 2.00
03.09.22 Fiorentina – Juventus 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.10 1.72

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
05.02.23 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
10.09.22 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsMilan wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22I1 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
01.05.22I1 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10
20.11.21I1 Fiorentina – Milan 4–3 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.87 2.03

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 25 21 2 2 58 16 +42 65
2 Juventus 24 15 5 4 40 19 +21 50
3 Lazio 25 14 6 5 41 19 +22 48
4 Inter 24 15 2 7 44 28 +16 47
5 Milan 24 14 5 5 41 30 +11 47
6 Roma 24 13 5 6 31 21 +10 44
7 Atalanta 25 12 6 7 42 28 +14 42
8 Bologna 24 10 5 9 31 33 -2 35
9 Udinese 25 7 11 7 33 30 +3 32
10 Monza 25 9 5 11 30 35 -5 32
11 Torino 24 8 7 9 26 29 -3 31
12 Fiorentina 24 7 7 10 27 30 -3 28
13 Empoli 25 6 10 9 23 33 -10 28
14 Lecce 24 6 9 9 24 27 -3 27
15 Sassuolo 24 7 6 11 27 35 -8 27
16 Salernitana 24 6 6 12 28 44 -16 24
17 Spezia 24 4 8 12 21 41 -20 20
18 Verona 24 4 5 15 20 37 -17 17
19 Cremonese 24 1 9 14 19 43 -24 12
20 Sampdoria 24 2 5 17 11 39 -28 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 12 10 1 1 31 9 +22 31
2 Juventus 13 9 3 1 29 10 +19 30
3 Inter 12 10 0 2 25 6 +19 30
4 Milan 12 9 1 2 27 16 +11 28
5 Lazio 13 7 3 3 22 12 +10 24
6 Roma 11 7 1 3 13 5 +8 22
7 Bologna 13 6 4 3 17 10 +7 22
8 Atalanta 12 5 3 4 22 15 +7 18
9 Monza 13 5 3 5 18 15 +3 18
10 Udinese 12 3 7 2 19 14 +5 16
11 Torino 11 4 4 3 10 8 +2 16
12 Fiorentina 12 4 4 4 16 18 -2 16
13 Empoli 12 4 4 4 12 14 -2 16
14 Salernitana 13 4 3 6 17 18 -1 15
15 Sassuolo 11 4 2 5 13 13 0 14
16 Verona 13 4 1 8 14 21 -7 13
17 Lecce 12 2 6 4 13 15 -2 12
18 Spezia 12 2 6 4 13 19 -6 12
19 Cremonese 12 1 3 8 7 20 -13 6
20 Sampdoria 12 0 3 9 3 18 -15 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 13 11 1 1 27 7 +20 34
2 Lazio 12 7 3 2 19 7 +12 24
3 Atalanta 13 7 3 3 20 13 +7 24
4 Roma 13 6 4 3 18 16 +2 22
5 Juventus 11 6 2 3 11 9 +2 20
6 Milan 12 5 4 3 14 14 0 19
7 Inter 12 5 2 5 19 22 -3 17
8 Udinese 13 4 4 5 14 16 -2 16
9 Lecce 12 4 3 5 11 12 -1 15
10 Torino 13 4 3 6 16 21 -5 15
11 Monza 12 4 2 6 12 20 -8 14
12 Sassuolo 13 3 4 6 14 22 -8 13
13 Bologna 11 4 1 6 14 23 -9 13
14 Fiorentina 12 3 3 6 11 12 -1 12
15 Empoli 13 2 6 5 11 19 -8 12
16 Salernitana 11 2 3 6 11 26 -15 9
17 Sampdoria 12 2 2 8 8 21 -13 8
18 Spezia 12 2 2 8 8 22 -14 8
19 Cremonese 12 0 6 6 12 23 -11 6
20 Verona 11 0 4 7 6 16 -10 4

Fiorentina   Milan

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 24 9 15 1.8 1.2 15 2 7 44 28 47
2 5 Milan 24 9 15 1.7 1.2 14 5 5 41 30 47
3 16 Salernitana 24 9 15 1.2 1.8 6 6 12 28 44 24
4 1 Napoli 25 11 14 2.3 0.6 21 2 2 58 16 65
5 8 Bologna 24 11 13 1.3 1.4 10 5 9 31 33 35
6 9 Udinese 25 12 13 1.3 1.2 7 11 7 33 30 32
7 10 Monza 25 12 13 1.2 1.4 9 5 11 30 35 32
8 15 Sassuolo 24 11 13 1.1 1.5 7 6 11 27 35 27
9 17 Spezia 24 11 13 0.9 1.7 4 8 12 21 41 20
10 19 Cremonese 24 12 12 0.8 1.8 1 9 14 19 43 12
11 3 Lazio 25 14 11 1.6 0.8 14 6 5 41 19 48
12 7 Atalanta 25 14 11 1.7 1.1 12 6 7 42 28 42
13 11 Torino 24 14 10 1.1 1.2 8 7 9 26 29 31
14 12 Fiorentina 24 14 10 1.1 1.2 7 7 10 27 30 28
15 2 Juventus 24 15 9 1.7 0.8 15 5 4 40 19 50
16 6 Roma 24 15 9 1.3 0.9 13 5 6 31 21 44
17 18 Verona 24 15 9 0.8 1.5 4 5 15 20 37 17
18 20 Sampdoria 24 15 9 0.5 1.6 2 5 17 11 39 11
19 13 Empoli 25 17 8 0.9 1.3 6 10 9 23 33 28
20 14 Lecce 24 16 8 1.0 1.1 6 9 9 24 27 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Napoli 12 4 8 2.6 0.8 10 1 1 31 9 31
2 5 Milan 12 4 8 2.2 1.3 9 1 2 27 16 28
3 16 Salernitana 13 5 8 1.3 1.4 4 3 6 17 18 15
4 2 Juventus 13 6 7 2.2 0.8 9 3 1 29 10 30
5 3 Lazio 13 6 7 1.7 0.9 7 3 3 22 12 24
6 9 Udinese 12 5 7 1.6 1.2 3 7 2 19 14 16
7 10 Monza 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 5 3 5 18 15 18
8 17 Spezia 12 5 7 1.1 1.6 2 6 4 13 19 12
9 18 Verona 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 4 1 8 14 21 13
10 4 Inter 12 6 6 2.1 0.5 10 0 2 25 6 30
11 7 Atalanta 12 6 6 1.8 1.2 5 3 4 22 15 18
12 12 Fiorentina 12 6 6 1.3 1.5 4 4 4 16 18 16
13 19 Cremonese 12 6 6 0.6 1.7 1 3 8 7 20 6
14 14 Lecce 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 2 6 4 13 15 12
15 15 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 4 2 5 13 13 14
16 8 Bologna 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 6 4 3 17 10 22
17 13 Empoli 12 8 4 1.0 1.2 4 4 4 12 14 16
18 20 Sampdoria 12 9 3 0.2 1.5 0 3 9 3 18 3
19 6 Roma 11 9 2 1.2 0.5 7 1 3 13 5 22
20 11 Torino 11 9 2 0.9 0.7 4 4 3 10 8 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 5 2 5 19 22 17
2 8 Bologna 11 2 9 1.3 2.1 4 1 6 14 23 13
3 11 Torino 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 4 3 6 16 21 15
4 15 Sassuolo 13 5 8 1.1 1.7 3 4 6 14 22 13
5 5 Milan 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 5 4 3 14 14 19
6 6 Roma 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 6 4 3 18 16 22
7 16 Salernitana 11 4 7 1.0 2.4 2 3 6 11 26 9
8 1 Napoli 13 7 6 2.1 0.5 11 1 1 27 7 34
9 9 Udinese 13 7 6 1.1 1.2 4 4 5 14 16 16
10 10 Monza 12 6 6 1.0 1.7 4 2 6 12 20 14
11 17 Spezia 12 6 6 0.7 1.8 2 2 8 8 22 8
12 19 Cremonese 12 6 6 1.0 1.9 0 6 6 12 23 6
13 20 Sampdoria 12 6 6 0.7 1.8 2 2 8 8 21 8
14 7 Atalanta 13 8 5 1.5 1.0 7 3 3 20 13 24
15 3 Lazio 12 8 4 1.6 0.6 7 3 2 19 7 24
16 12 Fiorentina 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 3 3 6 11 12 12
17 13 Empoli 13 9 4 0.8 1.5 2 6 5 11 19 12
18 14 Lecce 12 9 3 0.9 1.0 4 3 5 11 12 15
19 2 Juventus 11 9 2 1.0 0.8 6 2 3 11 9 20
20 18 Verona 11 9 2 0.5 1.5 0 4 7 6 16 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51