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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 2–2 Roma

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.83 fair 2.03
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.06
Away 4.33 fair 3.81
Under 2.5 1.81 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.09 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Roma
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 4
19 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (167 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
1.94scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 31:16
Roma before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.19scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:14
Milan all matches all matches Roma

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 1.19
1.00 Goals conceded 0.88
2.94 Total goals 2.06
16.63 Shots 13.56
5.44 Shots on target 4.69
11.06 Shots faced 11.00
4.69 Corners 4.75
4.00 Corners against 3.50
12.13 Fouls 11.75
2.44 Yellow cards 1.81
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

69% Wins 56%
19% Draws 19%
13% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 56%
69% Over 2.5 goals 38%
25% Over 3.5 goals 13%
19% Over 4.5 goals 0%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 44%
25% Clean sheets 31%
13% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 25%
50% Draws 50%
13% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
44% Over 1.5 goals 31%
6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Roma all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.63points / match
2.50scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 20:9
Roma before this match, away
2.13points / match
1.38scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:9
Milan at home away Roma

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded 1.13
3.63 Total goals 2.50
18.00 Shots 11.75
5.75 Shots on target 4.38
11.50 Shots faced 12.75
5.00 Corners 3.88
3.63 Corners against 4.00
13.38 Fouls 11.88
2.75 Yellow cards 2.13
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

88% Wins 63%
0% Draws 25%
13% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
38% Over 3.5 goals 25%
38% Over 4.5 goals 0%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 63%
25% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
50% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.23 Roma – Bologna 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.805.50 2.00 1.80
13.11.22 Roma – Torino 1–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.33 2.20 1.66
09.11.22 Sassuolo – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.83 2.07
06.11.22 Roma – Lazio 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.80 1.95 1.95
31.10.22 Verona – Roma 1–3 (1–1) 4.333.601.83 1.98 1.92
23.10.22 Roma – Napoli 0–1 (0–0) 2.873.502.40 1.80 2.00
17.10.22 Sampdoria – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.72 1.99 1.91
09.10.22 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.50 1.84 2.06
01.10.22 Inter – Roma 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 1.80 2.00
18.09.22 Roma – Atalanta 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.50 1.87 2.03

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
03.09.22 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30
13.08.22 Milan – Udinese 4–2 (2–2) 1.444.757.00 1.72 2.10
15.05.22 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
01.05.22 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.22 Sassuolo – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.83 2.07
31.10.22 Verona – Roma 1–3 (1–1) 4.333.601.83 1.98 1.92
17.10.22 Sampdoria – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.72 1.99 1.91
01.10.22 Inter – Roma 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 1.80 2.00
12.09.22 Empoli – Roma 1–2 (1–1) 5.003.801.70 1.80 2.00
04.09.22 Udinese – Roma 4–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.86 2.04
27.08.22 Juventus – Roma 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
14.08.22 Salernitana – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.72 2.10
20.05.22 Torino – Roma 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.602.10 1.72 2.10
09.05.22 Fiorentina – Roma 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 1.91 1.99

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsRoma wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.22I1 Milan – Roma 3–1 (2–1) 1.903.703.80 1.72 2.10
31.10.21I1 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 17 14 2 1 39 13 +26 44
2 Juventus 17 11 4 2 26 7 +19 37
3 Milan 16 11 3 2 31 16 +15 36
4 Inter 17 11 1 5 37 24 +13 34
5 Lazio 17 9 4 4 29 15 +14 31
6 Roma 16 9 3 4 19 14 +5 30
7 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 24 17 +7 28
8 Udinese 17 6 7 4 25 19 +6 25
9 Fiorentina 17 6 5 6 21 22 -1 23
10 Torino 17 6 5 6 18 19 -1 23
11 Lecce 17 4 7 6 16 18 -2 19
12 Bologna 16 5 4 7 20 26 -6 19
13 Empoli 17 4 7 6 15 22 -7 19
14 Salernitana 17 4 6 7 21 27 -6 18
15 Monza 17 5 3 9 19 25 -6 18
16 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 17 26 -9 16
17 Spezia 17 3 6 8 16 28 -12 15
18 Sampdoria 17 2 3 12 8 30 -22 9
19 Cremonese 16 0 7 9 11 27 -16 7
20 Verona 16 1 3 12 13 30 -17 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 9 7 2 0 21 3 +18 23
2 Napoli 8 7 1 0 21 6 +15 22
3 Inter 8 7 0 1 20 4 +16 21
4 Milan 8 7 0 1 20 9 +11 21
5 Lazio 9 5 2 2 16 9 +7 17
6 Bologna 8 4 3 1 12 6 +6 15
7 Fiorentina 9 4 3 2 14 14 0 15
8 Udinese 8 3 4 1 13 7 +6 13
9 Monza 9 4 1 4 13 10 +3 13
10 Roma 8 4 1 3 8 5 +3 13
11 Salernitana 9 3 3 3 14 11 +3 12
12 Torino 8 3 3 2 7 5 +2 12
13 Spezia 9 2 6 1 13 12 +1 12
14 Sassuolo 8 3 2 3 12 9 +3 11
15 Atalanta 8 3 2 3 11 11 0 11
16 Empoli 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
17 Lecce 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
18 Verona 8 1 0 7 8 17 -9 3
19 Cremonese 8 0 3 5 2 12 -10 3
20 Sampdoria 9 0 2 7 2 15 -13 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 9 7 1 1 18 7 +11 22
2 Atalanta 8 5 2 1 13 6 +7 17
3 Roma 8 5 2 1 11 9 +2 17
4 Milan 8 4 3 1 11 7 +4 15
5 Lazio 8 4 2 2 13 6 +7 14
6 Juventus 8 4 2 2 5 4 +1 14
7 Inter 9 4 1 4 17 20 -3 13
8 Udinese 9 3 3 3 12 12 0 12
9 Torino 9 3 2 4 11 14 -3 11
10 Lecce 9 2 3 4 7 9 -2 9
11 Fiorentina 8 2 2 4 7 8 -1 8
12 Empoli 9 1 5 3 8 14 -6 8
13 Sampdoria 8 2 1 5 6 15 -9 7
14 Salernitana 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
15 Monza 8 1 2 5 6 15 -9 5
16 Sassuolo 9 1 2 6 5 17 -12 5
17 Cremonese 8 0 4 4 9 15 -6 4
18 Bologna 8 1 1 6 8 20 -12 4
19 Verona 8 0 3 5 5 13 -8 3
20 Spezia 8 1 0 7 3 16 -13 3

Milan   Roma

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 17 4 13 2.2 1.4 11 1 5 37 24 34
2 3 Milan 16 5 11 1.9 1.0 11 3 2 31 16 36
3 14 Salernitana 17 6 11 1.2 1.6 4 6 7 21 27 18
4 16 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.0 1.5 4 4 9 17 26 16
5 1 Napoli 17 7 10 2.3 0.8 14 2 1 39 13 44
6 5 Lazio 17 7 10 1.7 0.9 9 4 4 29 15 31
7 17 Spezia 17 7 10 0.9 1.6 3 6 8 16 28 15
8 8 Udinese 17 8 9 1.5 1.1 6 7 4 25 19 25
9 12 Bologna 16 7 9 1.2 1.6 5 4 7 20 26 19
10 15 Monza 17 8 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 9 19 25 18
11 9 Fiorentina 17 9 8 1.2 1.3 6 5 6 21 22 23
12 20 Verona 16 8 8 0.8 1.9 1 3 12 13 30 6
13 7 Atalanta 16 9 7 1.5 1.1 8 4 4 24 17 28
14 10 Torino 17 10 7 1.1 1.1 6 5 6 18 19 23
15 18 Sampdoria 17 10 7 0.5 1.8 2 3 12 8 30 9
16 19 Cremonese 16 9 7 0.7 1.7 0 7 9 11 27 7
17 6 Roma 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 9 3 4 19 14 30
18 2 Juventus 17 12 5 1.5 0.4 11 4 2 26 7 37
19 11 Lecce 17 12 5 0.9 1.1 4 7 6 16 18 19
20 13 Empoli 17 12 5 0.9 1.3 4 7 6 15 22 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 7 0 1 20 9 21
2 5 Lazio 9 3 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 2 16 9 17
3 14 Salernitana 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 3 3 3 14 11 12
4 17 Spezia 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 2 6 1 13 12 12
5 20 Verona 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 1 0 7 8 17 3
6 1 Napoli 8 3 5 2.6 0.8 7 1 0 21 6 22
7 2 Juventus 9 4 5 2.3 0.3 7 2 0 21 3 23
8 4 Inter 8 3 5 2.5 0.5 7 0 1 20 4 21
9 9 Fiorentina 9 4 5 1.6 1.6 4 3 2 14 14 15
10 15 Monza 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 4 13 10 13
11 16 Sassuolo 8 3 5 1.5 1.1 3 2 3 12 9 11
12 7 Atalanta 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 2 3 11 11 11
13 8 Udinese 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 3 4 1 13 7 13
14 11 Lecce 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
15 12 Bologna 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 4 3 1 12 6 15
16 19 Cremonese 8 5 3 0.2 1.5 0 3 5 2 12 3
17 6 Roma 8 6 2 1.0 0.6 4 1 3 8 5 13
18 13 Empoli 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
19 18 Sampdoria 9 7 2 0.2 1.7 0 2 7 2 15 2
20 10 Torino 8 7 1 0.9 0.6 3 3 2 7 5 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 9 1 8 1.9 2.2 4 1 4 17 20 13
2 10 Torino 9 3 6 1.2 1.6 3 2 4 11 14 11
3 12 Bologna 8 2 6 1.0 2.5 1 1 6 8 20 4
4 16 Sassuolo 9 3 6 0.6 1.9 1 2 6 5 17 5
5 1 Napoli 9 4 5 2.0 0.8 7 1 1 18 7 22
6 3 Milan 8 3 5 1.4 0.9 4 3 1 11 7 15
7 8 Udinese 9 4 5 1.3 1.3 3 3 3 12 12 12
8 14 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
9 18 Sampdoria 8 3 5 0.8 1.9 2 1 5 6 15 7
10 5 Lazio 8 4 4 1.6 0.8 4 2 2 13 6 14
11 6 Roma 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 5 2 1 11 9 17
12 15 Monza 8 4 4 0.8 1.9 1 2 5 6 15 5
13 17 Spezia 8 4 4 0.4 2.0 1 0 7 3 16 3
14 19 Cremonese 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 0 4 4 9 15 4
15 7 Atalanta 8 5 3 1.6 0.8 5 2 1 13 6 17
16 9 Fiorentina 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 2 2 4 7 8 8
17 13 Empoli 9 6 3 0.9 1.6 1 5 3 8 14 8
18 11 Lecce 9 7 2 0.8 1.0 2 3 4 7 9 9
19 20 Verona 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 5 5 13 3
20 2 Juventus 8 8 0 0.6 0.5 4 2 2 5 4 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51