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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Monza 0–1 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.88 fair 2.49
Draw 3.20 fair 3.69
Away ✓ 2.55 fair 3.06
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.81
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.23

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Monza Fiorentina
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
1 Corners 4
12 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (162 league matches this season so far).
Result Monza to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
MonzaDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 11.1% 0–1 9.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Monza before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.00scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:17
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.56scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:18
Monza all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.56
1.06 Goals conceded 1.13
2.06 Total goals 2.69
13.88 Shots 13.50
4.00 Shots on target 4.75
14.44 Shots faced 10.69
5.75 Corners 4.94
4.69 Corners against 3.56
11.38 Fouls 12.56
2.19 Yellow cards 1.94
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

31% Wins 50%
38% Draws 19%
31% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
31% Over 2.5 goals 50%
6% Over 3.5 goals 31%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 44%
31% Clean sheets 25%
31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 44%
44% Draws 25%
31% Losses 31%
69% Over 0.5 goals 88%
31% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Monza all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Monza before this match, at home
1.63points / match
1.25scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:5
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.38scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:10
Monza at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.38
0.63 Goals conceded 1.25
1.88 Total goals 2.63
14.63 Shots 11.88
4.25 Shots on target 4.38
11.63 Shots faced 12.00
6.50 Corners 5.38
3.50 Corners against 4.00
12.13 Fouls 12.75
2.38 Yellow cards 2.50
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

38% Wins 38%
50% Draws 25%
13% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 38%
0% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 13%
13% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
50% Draws 25%
13% Losses 38%
63% Over 0.5 goals 88%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Monza at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Monza all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
10.12.23 Monza – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.75 2.30 1.60
01.12.23 Monza – Juventus 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.301.95 2.15 1.67
26.11.23 Cagliari – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.252.50 2.00 1.90
11.11.23 Monza – Torino 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.25 1.62
05.11.23 Verona – Monza 1–3 (0–1) 3.203.252.30 2.05 1.75
29.10.23 Monza – Udinese 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.92 1.98
22.10.23 Roma – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.95 1.95
08.10.23 Monza – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 2.02
02.10.23 Sassuolo – Monza 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.752.88 1.57 2.35

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 Fiorentina – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67
03.12.23 Fiorentina – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.757.00 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
12.11.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.403.80 2.05 1.85
05.11.23 Fiorentina – Juventus 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.55 2.06 1.84
30.10.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 1.99 1.91
23.10.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 0–2 (0–1) 1.444.338.00 1.62 2.25
08.10.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
02.10.23 Fiorentina – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 1.504.207.00 1.88 2.02

Monza at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23 Monza – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.75 2.30 1.60
01.12.23 Monza – Juventus 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.301.95 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Monza – Torino 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.25 1.62
29.10.23 Monza – Udinese 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.92 1.98
08.10.23 Monza – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 2.02
28.09.23 Monza – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.04 1.86
17.09.23 Monza – Lecce 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.73
26.08.23 Monza – Empoli 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 2.07 1.83
28.05.23 Monza – Lecce 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.30 1.62
14.05.23 Monza – Napoli 2–0 (1–0) 4.753.751.73 1.92 1.98

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
30.10.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 1.99 1.91
08.10.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
28.09.23 Frosinone – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.87 2.03
24.09.23 Udinese – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.25 1.99 1.91
03.09.23 Inter – Fiorentina 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 1.80 2.00
19.08.23 Genoa – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–3) 3.403.252.20 2.10 1.73
02.06.23 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.44 2.75
21.05.23 Torino – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Monza winsDrawsFiorentina wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.23I1 Monza – Fiorentina 3–2 (2–2) 3.703.402.05 2.00 1.80
04.01.23I1 Fiorentina – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 1.91 1.99

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 13 2 1 39 7 +32 41
2 Juventus 16 11 4 1 24 10 +14 37
3 Milan 16 10 2 4 29 18 +11 32
4 Bologna 16 7 7 2 20 12 +8 28
5 Napoli 16 8 3 5 28 19 +9 27
6 Fiorentina 16 8 3 5 25 18 +7 27
7 Atalanta 16 8 2 6 28 19 +9 26
8 Roma 16 7 4 5 28 19 +9 25
9 Lazio 17 7 3 7 18 18 0 24
10 Torino 16 6 5 5 14 16 -2 23
11 Monza 16 5 6 5 16 17 -1 21
12 Lecce 16 4 8 4 19 21 -2 20
13 Genoa 17 5 4 8 18 22 -4 19
14 Frosinone 16 5 4 7 21 26 -5 19
15 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 25 32 -7 16
16 Cagliari 16 3 4 9 16 29 -13 13
17 Udinese 16 1 10 5 14 27 -13 13
18 Empoli 17 3 3 11 10 30 -20 12
19 Verona 16 2 5 9 13 23 -10 11
20 Salernitana 16 1 5 10 12 34 -22 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
2 Inter 8 6 1 1 21 5 +16 19
3 Bologna 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19
4 Milan 8 6 0 2 14 4 +10 18
5 Roma 8 5 2 1 19 7 +12 17
6 Frosinone 8 5 2 1 14 10 +4 17
7 Atalanta 8 5 1 2 16 7 +9 16
8 Fiorentina 8 5 1 2 14 8 +6 16
9 Torino 8 4 3 1 8 5 +3 15
10 Lecce 9 4 3 2 11 11 0 15
11 Lazio 8 4 2 2 8 6 +2 14
12 Monza 8 3 4 1 10 5 +5 13
13 Genoa 8 3 3 2 11 10 +1 12
14 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 11 15 -4 11
15 Napoli 8 3 1 4 12 13 -1 10
16 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 12 15 -3 8
17 Verona 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
18 Udinese 8 0 6 2 9 14 -5 6
19 Salernitana 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
20 Empoli 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 8 7 1 0 18 2 +16 22
2 Napoli 8 5 2 1 16 6 +10 17
3 Juventus 8 5 2 1 12 6 +6 17
4 Milan 8 4 2 2 15 14 +1 14
5 Fiorentina 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
6 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 12 12 0 10
7 Lazio 9 3 1 5 10 12 -2 10
8 Bologna 8 1 6 1 8 8 0 9
9 Roma 8 2 2 4 9 12 -3 8
10 Sassuolo 8 2 2 4 13 17 -4 8
11 Torino 8 2 2 4 6 11 -5 8
12 Monza 8 2 2 4 6 12 -6 8
13 Genoa 9 2 1 6 7 12 -5 7
14 Udinese 8 1 4 3 5 13 -8 7
15 Empoli 8 2 1 5 5 16 -11 7
16 Lecce 7 0 5 2 8 10 -2 5
17 Verona 9 1 2 6 6 12 -6 5
18 Frosinone 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
19 Cagliari 8 0 2 6 5 14 -9 2
20 Salernitana 8 0 2 6 5 18 -13 2

Monza   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Napoli 16 5 11 1.8 1.2 8 3 5 28 19 27
2 15 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.5 1.9 4 4 9 25 32 16
3 7 Atalanta 16 6 10 1.8 1.2 8 2 6 28 19 26
4 14 Frosinone 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 26 19
5 16 Cagliari 16 6 10 1.0 1.8 3 4 9 16 29 13
6 20 Salernitana 16 6 10 0.8 2.1 1 5 10 12 34 8
7 1 Inter 16 7 9 2.4 0.4 13 2 1 39 7 41
8 3 Milan 16 7 9 1.8 1.1 10 2 4 29 18 32
9 8 Roma 16 7 9 1.8 1.2 7 4 5 28 19 25
10 6 Fiorentina 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 8 3 5 25 18 27
11 12 Lecce 16 9 7 1.2 1.3 4 8 4 19 21 20
12 13 Genoa 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 5 4 8 18 22 19
13 17 Udinese 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 1 10 5 14 27 13
14 19 Verona 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 2 5 9 13 23 11
15 4 Bologna 16 10 6 1.2 0.8 7 7 2 20 12 28
16 2 Juventus 16 11 5 1.5 0.6 11 4 1 24 10 37
17 9 Lazio 17 12 5 1.1 1.1 7 3 7 18 18 24
18 10 Torino 16 11 5 0.9 1.0 6 5 5 14 16 23
19 11 Monza 16 11 5 1.0 1.1 5 6 5 16 17 21
20 18 Empoli 17 12 5 0.6 1.8 3 3 11 10 30 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Napoli 8 2 6 1.5 1.6 3 1 4 12 13 10
2 14 Frosinone 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 2 1 14 10 17
3 1 Inter 8 3 5 2.6 0.6 6 1 1 21 5 19
4 6 Fiorentina 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 5 1 2 14 8 16
5 7 Atalanta 8 3 5 2.0 0.9 5 1 2 16 7 16
6 8 Roma 8 3 5 2.4 0.9 5 2 1 19 7 17
7 15 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 2 2 5 12 15 8
8 16 Cagliari 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 2 3 11 15 11
9 20 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
10 12 Lecce 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 3 2 11 11 15
11 17 Udinese 8 4 4 1.1 1.8 0 6 2 9 14 6
12 19 Verona 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
13 3 Milan 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 6 0 2 14 4 18
14 4 Bologna 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19
15 10 Torino 8 5 3 1.0 0.6 4 3 1 8 5 15
16 13 Genoa 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 3 2 11 10 12
17 2 Juventus 8 6 2 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
18 11 Monza 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 3 4 1 10 5 13
19 18 Empoli 9 7 2 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
20 9 Lazio 8 7 1 1.0 0.8 4 2 2 8 6 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 4 2 2 15 14 14
2 15 Sassuolo 8 2 6 1.6 2.1 2 2 4 13 17 8
3 5 Napoli 8 3 5 2.0 0.8 5 2 1 16 6 17
4 7 Atalanta 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 3 1 4 12 12 10
5 16 Cagliari 8 3 5 0.6 1.8 0 2 6 5 14 2
6 20 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.6 2.2 0 2 6 5 18 2
7 1 Inter 8 4 4 2.2 0.2 7 1 0 18 2 22
8 8 Roma 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 2 2 4 9 12 8
9 9 Lazio 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 3 1 5 10 12 10
10 13 Genoa 9 5 4 0.8 1.3 2 1 6 7 12 7
11 14 Frosinone 8 4 4 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
12 2 Juventus 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 2 1 12 6 17
13 4 Bologna 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 1 6 1 8 8 9
14 6 Fiorentina 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
15 11 Monza 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 2 2 4 6 12 8
16 12 Lecce 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 0 5 2 8 10 5
17 17 Udinese 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 4 3 5 13 7
18 18 Empoli 8 5 3 0.6 2.0 2 1 5 5 16 7
19 19 Verona 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 1 2 6 6 12 5
20 10 Torino 8 6 2 0.8 1.4 2 2 4 6 11 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51