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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–0 Monza

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.08
Draw 4.33 fair 3.86
Away 5.00 fair 3.85
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.16

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Monza
17 Shots 21
9 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 5
8 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (154 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawMonza
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 12% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.73scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:18
Monza before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.07scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:14
Milan all matches all matches Monza

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.07
1.20 Goals conceded 0.93
2.93 Total goals 2.00
12.07 Shots 13.40
4.67 Shots on target 4.00
13.93 Shots faced 14.27
4.27 Corners 5.80
4.20 Corners against 4.73
11.60 Fouls 11.60
2.73 Yellow cards 2.20
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

60% Wins 33%
13% Draws 40%
27% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
67% Over 1.5 goals 73%
53% Over 2.5 goals 27%
47% Over 3.5 goals 7%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 47%
33% Clean sheets 33%
13% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 27%
33% Draws 47%
7% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 67%
47% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Monza all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.14points / match
1.57scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:4
Monza before this match, away
1.14points / match
0.86scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:9
Milan at home away Monza

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 0.86
0.57 Goals conceded 1.29
2.14 Total goals 2.14
11.43 Shots 12.00
4.71 Shots on target 3.71
13.14 Shots faced 17.29
5.29 Corners 5.00
4.43 Corners against 6.14
12.29 Fouls 11.00
1.86 Yellow cards 2.00
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

71% Wins 29%
0% Draws 29%
29% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
43% Over 1.5 goals 71%
29% Over 2.5 goals 29%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 43%
43% Clean sheets 14%
29% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 14%
43% Draws 43%
0% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 71%
14% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Monza away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
27.09.23 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91

Monza all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23 Monza – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.75 2.30 1.60
01.12.23 Monza – Juventus 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.301.95 2.15 1.67
26.11.23 Cagliari – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.252.50 2.00 1.90
11.11.23 Monza – Torino 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.25 1.62
05.11.23 Verona – Monza 1–3 (0–1) 3.203.252.30 2.05 1.75
29.10.23 Monza – Udinese 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.92 1.98
22.10.23 Roma – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.95 1.95
08.10.23 Monza – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 2.02
02.10.23 Sassuolo – Monza 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.752.88 1.57 2.35
28.09.23 Monza – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.04 1.86

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
30.09.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
23.09.23 Milan – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Milan – Torino 4–1 (3–1) 1.653.805.00 2.20 1.67
04.06.23 Milan – Verona 3–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.50 1.94 1.99
20.05.23 Milan – Sampdoria 5–1 (3–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.57 2.38
06.05.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67

Monza away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Cagliari – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.252.50 2.00 1.90
05.11.23 Verona – Monza 1–3 (0–1) 3.203.252.30 2.05 1.75
22.10.23 Roma – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.95 1.95
02.10.23 Sassuolo – Monza 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.752.88 1.57 2.35
23.09.23 Lazio – Monza 1–1 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.90 2.00
02.09.23 Atalanta – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
19.08.23 Inter – Monza 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.57 2.38
04.06.23 Atalanta – Monza 5–2 (2–0) 1.574.505.00 1.53 2.50
19.05.23 Sassuolo – Monza 1–2 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.10
07.05.23 Torino – Monza 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsMonza wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23I1 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
22.10.22I1 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 12 2 1 37 7 +30 38
2 Juventus 16 11 4 1 24 10 +14 37
3 Milan 15 9 2 4 26 18 +8 29
4 Napoli 16 8 3 5 28 19 +9 27
5 Roma 15 7 4 4 28 17 +11 25
6 Bologna 15 6 7 2 18 12 +6 25
7 Fiorentina 15 7 3 5 24 18 +6 24
8 Atalanta 15 7 2 6 24 18 +6 23
9 Torino 16 6 5 5 14 16 -2 23
10 Monza 15 5 6 4 16 14 +2 21
11 Lazio 15 6 3 6 16 16 0 21
12 Lecce 16 4 8 4 19 21 -2 20
13 Frosinone 16 5 4 7 21 26 -5 19
14 Genoa 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16
15 Sassuolo 15 4 3 8 22 28 -6 15
16 Cagliari 16 3 4 9 16 29 -13 13
17 Udinese 15 1 9 5 12 25 -13 12
18 Empoli 16 3 3 10 10 28 -18 12
19 Verona 15 2 5 8 13 22 -9 11
20 Salernitana 15 1 5 9 11 30 -19 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
2 Inter 8 6 1 1 21 5 +16 19
3 Roma 8 5 2 1 19 7 +12 17
4 Frosinone 8 5 2 1 14 10 +4 17
5 Bologna 7 5 1 1 10 4 +6 16
6 Milan 7 5 0 2 11 4 +7 15
7 Torino 8 4 3 1 8 5 +3 15
8 Lecce 9 4 3 2 11 11 0 15
9 Lazio 7 4 2 1 8 4 +4 14
10 Atalanta 7 4 1 2 12 6 +6 13
11 Fiorentina 7 4 1 2 13 8 +5 13
12 Monza 8 3 4 1 10 5 +5 13
13 Genoa 8 3 3 2 11 10 +1 12
14 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 11 15 -4 11
15 Napoli 8 3 1 4 12 13 -1 10
16 Sassuolo 8 2 2 4 11 13 -2 8
17 Verona 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
18 Salernitana 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
19 Udinese 7 0 5 2 7 12 -5 5
20 Empoli 8 1 2 5 5 12 -7 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 7 6 1 0 16 2 +14 19
2 Napoli 8 5 2 1 16 6 +10 17
3 Juventus 8 5 2 1 12 6 +6 17
4 Milan 8 4 2 2 15 14 +1 14
5 Fiorentina 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
6 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 12 12 0 10
7 Bologna 8 1 6 1 8 8 0 9
8 Roma 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
9 Monza 7 2 2 3 6 9 -3 8
10 Torino 8 2 2 4 6 11 -5 8
11 Sassuolo 7 2 1 4 11 15 -4 7
12 Lazio 8 2 1 5 8 12 -4 7
13 Udinese 8 1 4 3 5 13 -8 7
14 Empoli 8 2 1 5 5 16 -11 7
15 Lecce 7 0 5 2 8 10 -2 5
16 Verona 8 1 2 5 6 11 -5 5
17 Genoa 8 1 1 6 5 11 -6 4
18 Frosinone 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
19 Cagliari 8 0 2 6 5 14 -9 2
20 Salernitana 7 0 2 5 4 14 -10 2

Milan   Monza

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Napoli 16 5 11 1.8 1.2 8 3 5 28 19 27
2 13 Frosinone 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 26 19
3 16 Cagliari 16 6 10 1.0 1.8 3 4 9 16 29 13
4 1 Inter 15 6 9 2.5 0.5 12 2 1 37 7 38
5 5 Roma 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 7 4 4 28 17 25
6 8 Atalanta 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 7 2 6 24 18 23
7 15 Sassuolo 15 6 9 1.5 1.9 4 3 8 22 28 15
8 20 Salernitana 15 6 9 0.7 2.0 1 5 9 11 30 8
9 3 Milan 15 7 8 1.7 1.2 9 2 4 26 18 29
10 7 Fiorentina 15 7 8 1.6 1.2 7 3 5 24 18 24
11 12 Lecce 16 9 7 1.2 1.3 4 8 4 19 21 20
12 19 Verona 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 2 5 8 13 22 11
13 6 Bologna 15 9 6 1.2 0.8 6 7 2 18 12 25
14 14 Genoa 16 10 6 1.0 1.3 4 4 8 16 21 16
15 17 Udinese 15 9 6 0.8 1.7 1 9 5 12 25 12
16 2 Juventus 16 11 5 1.5 0.6 11 4 1 24 10 37
17 9 Torino 16 11 5 0.9 1.0 6 5 5 14 16 23
18 11 Lazio 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 16 21
19 18 Empoli 16 11 5 0.6 1.8 3 3 10 10 28 12
20 10 Monza 15 11 4 1.1 0.9 5 6 4 16 14 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Napoli 8 2 6 1.5 1.6 3 1 4 12 13 10
2 13 Frosinone 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 2 1 14 10 17
3 1 Inter 8 3 5 2.6 0.6 6 1 1 21 5 19
4 5 Roma 8 3 5 2.4 0.9 5 2 1 19 7 17
5 7 Fiorentina 7 2 5 1.9 1.1 4 1 2 13 8 13
6 16 Cagliari 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 2 3 11 15 11
7 20 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
8 8 Atalanta 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 4 1 2 12 6 13
9 12 Lecce 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 3 2 11 11 15
10 15 Sassuolo 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 2 2 4 11 13 8
11 19 Verona 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
12 6 Bologna 7 4 3 1.4 0.6 5 1 1 10 4 16
13 9 Torino 8 5 3 1.0 0.6 4 3 1 8 5 15
14 14 Genoa 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 3 2 11 10 12
15 17 Udinese 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 0 5 2 7 12 5
16 2 Juventus 8 6 2 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
17 3 Milan 7 5 2 1.6 0.6 5 0 2 11 4 15
18 10 Monza 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 3 4 1 10 5 13
19 18 Empoli 8 6 2 0.6 1.5 1 2 5 5 12 5
20 11 Lazio 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 1 8 4 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 4 2 2 15 14 14
2 4 Napoli 8 3 5 2.0 0.8 5 2 1 16 6 17
3 8 Atalanta 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 3 1 4 12 12 10
4 15 Sassuolo 7 2 5 1.6 2.1 2 1 4 11 15 7
5 16 Cagliari 8 3 5 0.6 1.8 0 2 6 5 14 2
6 1 Inter 7 3 4 2.3 0.3 6 1 0 16 2 19
7 5 Roma 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
8 11 Lazio 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 5 8 12 7
9 13 Frosinone 8 4 4 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
10 20 Salernitana 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 0 2 5 4 14 2
11 2 Juventus 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 2 1 12 6 17
12 6 Bologna 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 1 6 1 8 8 9
13 7 Fiorentina 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
14 12 Lecce 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 0 5 2 8 10 5
15 14 Genoa 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 1 1 6 5 11 4
16 17 Udinese 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 4 3 5 13 7
17 18 Empoli 8 5 3 0.6 2.0 2 1 5 5 16 7
18 19 Verona 8 5 3 0.8 1.4 1 2 5 6 11 5
19 9 Torino 8 6 2 0.8 1.4 2 2 4 6 11 8
20 10 Monza 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 2 2 3 6 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40