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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 2–2 Napoli

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.25 fair 2.25
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.07
Away 3.10 fair 3.23
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Napoli
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
16 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (359 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.51points / match
1.51scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 53:40
Napoli before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.47scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 53:46
Fiorentina all matches all matches Napoli

Per match

1.51 Goals scored 1.47
1.14 Goals conceded 1.28
2.66 Total goals 2.75
13.91 Shots 16.97
4.77 Shots on target 5.56
9.66 Shots faced 10.36
5.29 Corners 6.47
3.00 Corners against 3.53
11.89 Fouls 9.92
2.09 Yellow cards 2.11
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.51 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

43% Wins 36%
23% Draws 33%
34% Losses 31%
97% Over 0.5 goals 92%
71% Over 1.5 goals 81%
49% Over 2.5 goals 56%
29% Over 3.5 goals 31%
14% Over 4.5 goals 8%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
51% Both teams scored 58%
23% Clean sheets 17%
29% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 28%
29% Draws 44%
37% Losses 28%
83% Over 0.5 goals 64%
29% Over 1.5 goals 28%
9% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Napoli all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
1.89points / match
1.94scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 35:20
Napoli before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.61scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 29:19
Fiorentina at home away Napoli

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 1.61
1.11 Goals conceded 1.06
3.06 Total goals 2.67
15.89 Shots 13.67
5.44 Shots on target 4.50
8.89 Shots faced 10.06
5.72 Corners 5.28
3.11 Corners against 3.94
11.39 Fouls 10.33
1.61 Yellow cards 1.94
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

56% Wins 39%
22% Draws 33%
22% Losses 28%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 72%
67% Over 2.5 goals 44%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
61% Both teams scored 50%
22% Clean sheets 22%
17% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 33%
28% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
39% Over 1.5 goals 17%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Napoli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.24 Fiorentina – Monza 2–1 (1–1) 1.554.205.75 1.73 2.10
05.05.24 Verona – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.302.30 2.10 1.73
28.04.24 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 5–1 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Salernitana – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
15.04.24 Fiorentina – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.15 1.67
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
10.03.24 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
02.03.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
26.02.24 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.103.50 2.20 1.65

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Napoli – Bologna 0–2 (0–2) 2.103.403.50 1.99 1.91
06.05.24 Udinese – Napoli 1–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.88 2.02
28.04.24 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.92 1.98
20.04.24 Empoli – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
14.04.24 Napoli – Frosinone 2–2 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.50
07.04.24 Monza – Napoli 2–4 (1–0) 4.003.801.85 1.80 2.00
30.03.24 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.103.603.40 1.80 2.00
17.03.24 Inter – Napoli 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.73 2.08
08.03.24 Napoli – Torino 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.65
03.03.24 Napoli – Juventus 2–1 (1–0) 2.383.103.30 2.35 1.57

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.24 Fiorentina – Monza 2–1 (1–1) 1.554.205.75 1.73 2.10
28.04.24 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 5–1 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
15.04.24 Fiorentina – Genoa 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 2.10 1.73
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
10.03.24 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
26.02.24 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.103.50 2.20 1.65
11.02.24 Fiorentina – Frosinone 5–1 (3–0) 1.504.336.50 1.75 2.05
28.01.24 Fiorentina – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.97 1.93
14.01.24 Fiorentina – Udinese 2–2 (0–1) 1.673.755.50 2.06 1.84
29.12.23 Fiorentina – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.60 2.35 1.57

Napoli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.24 Udinese – Napoli 1–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.88 2.02
20.04.24 Empoli – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
07.04.24 Monza – Napoli 2–4 (1–0) 4.003.801.85 1.80 2.00
17.03.24 Inter – Napoli 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.73 2.08
28.02.24 Sassuolo – Napoli 1–6 (1–3) 4.003.801.80 1.70 2.10
25.02.24 Cagliari – Napoli 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.88 2.02
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
28.01.24 Lazio – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.25 1.62
07.01.24 Torino – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.65
23.12.23 Roma – Napoli 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.102.50 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsNapoli wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
07.05.23I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.10
28.08.22I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 3.253.602.15 1.66 2.20
10.04.22I1 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
03.10.21I1 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–2 (1–1) 3.903.501.95 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 36 29 5 2 86 19 +67 92
2 Milan 36 22 8 6 72 43 +29 74
3 Bologna 36 18 13 5 51 27 +24 67
4 Juventus 36 18 13 5 49 28 +21 67
5 Atalanta 35 19 6 10 65 39 +26 63
6 Roma 36 17 9 10 63 44 +19 60
7 Lazio 36 18 5 13 47 37 +10 59
8 Fiorentina 35 15 8 12 53 40 +13 53
9 Napoli 36 13 12 11 53 46 +7 51
10 Torino 36 12 14 10 33 32 +1 50
11 Genoa 36 11 13 12 43 44 -1 46
12 Monza 36 11 12 13 39 48 -9 45
13 Lecce 36 8 13 15 32 52 -20 37
14 Verona 36 8 10 18 34 48 -14 34
15 Udinese 36 5 18 13 35 52 -17 33
16 Cagliari 36 7 12 17 38 65 -27 33
17 Frosinone 36 7 11 18 43 68 -25 32
18 Empoli 36 8 8 20 26 52 -26 32
19 Sassuolo 36 7 8 21 42 72 -30 29
20 Salernitana 36 2 10 24 28 76 -48 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 3 1 43 10 +33 45
2 Bologna 18 12 4 2 30 9 +21 40
3 Milan 18 12 3 3 35 14 +21 39
4 Atalanta 17 12 2 3 37 13 +24 38
5 Roma 18 11 4 3 37 19 +18 37
6 Juventus 18 10 7 1 24 11 +13 37
7 Fiorentina 18 10 4 4 35 20 +15 34
8 Lazio 18 10 3 5 22 13 +9 33
9 Torino 18 7 9 2 15 8 +7 30
10 Genoa 18 7 6 5 25 22 +3 27
11 Frosinone 18 7 4 7 28 31 -3 25
12 Cagliari 18 6 7 5 26 29 -3 25
13 Monza 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24
14 Napoli 18 6 6 6 24 27 -3 24
15 Lecce 18 6 6 6 17 25 -8 24
16 Verona 18 6 5 7 21 24 -3 23
17 Sassuolo 18 5 5 8 23 32 -9 20
18 Empoli 18 4 5 9 13 22 -9 17
19 Udinese 18 1 10 7 20 28 -8 13
20 Salernitana 18 1 5 12 16 36 -20 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 15 2 1 43 9 +34 47
2 Milan 18 10 5 3 37 29 +8 35
3 Juventus 18 8 6 4 25 17 +8 30
4 Napoli 18 7 6 5 29 19 +10 27
5 Bologna 18 6 9 3 21 18 +3 27
6 Lazio 18 8 2 8 25 24 +1 26
7 Atalanta 18 7 4 7 28 26 +2 25
8 Roma 18 6 5 7 26 25 +1 23
9 Monza 18 5 6 7 16 23 -7 21
10 Torino 18 5 5 8 18 24 -6 20
11 Udinese 18 4 8 6 15 24 -9 20
12 Fiorentina 17 5 4 8 18 20 -2 19
13 Genoa 18 4 7 7 18 22 -4 19
14 Empoli 18 4 3 11 13 30 -17 15
15 Lecce 18 2 7 9 15 27 -12 13
16 Verona 18 2 5 11 13 24 -11 11
17 Sassuolo 18 2 3 13 19 40 -21 9
18 Cagliari 18 1 5 12 12 36 -24 8
19 Salernitana 18 1 5 12 12 40 -28 8
20 Frosinone 18 0 7 11 15 37 -22 7

Fiorentina   Napoli

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 36 13 23 2.0 1.2 22 8 6 72 43 74
2 5 Atalanta 35 12 23 1.9 1.1 19 6 10 65 39 63
3 17 Frosinone 36 13 23 1.2 1.9 7 11 18 43 68 32
4 20 Salernitana 36 13 23 0.8 2.1 2 10 24 28 76 16
5 6 Roma 36 14 22 1.8 1.2 17 9 10 63 44 60
6 16 Cagliari 36 15 21 1.1 1.8 7 12 17 38 65 33
7 19 Sassuolo 36 15 21 1.2 2.0 7 8 21 42 72 29
8 1 Inter 36 16 20 2.4 0.5 29 5 2 86 19 92
9 9 Napoli 36 16 20 1.5 1.3 13 12 11 53 46 51
10 8 Fiorentina 35 18 17 1.5 1.1 15 8 12 53 40 53
11 14 Verona 36 19 17 0.9 1.3 8 10 18 34 48 34
12 11 Genoa 36 20 16 1.2 1.2 11 13 12 43 44 46
13 3 Bologna 36 21 15 1.4 0.8 18 13 5 51 27 67
14 7 Lazio 36 21 15 1.3 1.0 18 5 13 47 37 59
15 12 Monza 36 21 15 1.1 1.3 11 12 13 39 48 45
16 4 Juventus 36 22 14 1.4 0.8 18 13 5 49 28 67
17 13 Lecce 36 22 14 0.9 1.4 8 13 15 32 52 37
18 15 Udinese 36 22 14 1.0 1.4 5 18 13 35 52 33
19 18 Empoli 36 25 11 0.7 1.4 8 8 20 26 52 32
20 10 Torino 36 26 10 0.9 0.9 12 14 10 33 32 50
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Frosinone 18 4 14 1.6 1.7 7 4 7 28 31 25
2 8 Fiorentina 18 6 12 1.9 1.1 10 4 4 35 20 34
3 9 Napoli 18 6 12 1.3 1.5 6 6 6 24 27 24
4 20 Salernitana 18 6 12 0.9 2.0 1 5 12 16 36 8
5 5 Atalanta 17 6 11 2.2 0.8 12 2 3 37 13 38
6 16 Cagliari 18 7 11 1.4 1.6 6 7 5 26 29 25
7 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.6 14 3 1 43 10 45
8 6 Roma 18 8 10 2.1 1.1 11 4 3 37 19 37
9 14 Verona 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 5 7 21 24 23
10 2 Milan 18 9 9 1.9 0.8 12 3 3 35 14 39
11 15 Udinese 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 1 10 7 20 28 13
12 19 Sassuolo 18 9 9 1.3 1.8 5 5 8 23 32 20
13 11 Genoa 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 7 6 5 25 22 27
14 12 Monza 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24
15 13 Lecce 18 11 7 0.9 1.4 6 6 6 17 25 24
16 3 Bologna 18 12 6 1.7 0.5 12 4 2 30 9 40
17 4 Juventus 18 13 5 1.3 0.6 10 7 1 24 11 37
18 7 Lazio 18 13 5 1.2 0.7 10 3 5 22 13 33
19 18 Empoli 18 13 5 0.7 1.2 4 5 9 13 22 17
20 10 Torino 18 14 4 0.8 0.4 7 9 2 15 8 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 18 4 14 2.1 1.6 10 5 3 37 29 35
2 5 Atalanta 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 7 4 7 28 26 25
3 6 Roma 18 6 12 1.4 1.4 6 5 7 26 25 23
4 19 Sassuolo 18 6 12 1.1 2.2 2 3 13 19 40 9
5 20 Salernitana 18 7 11 0.7 2.2 1 5 12 12 40 8
6 1 Inter 18 8 10 2.4 0.5 15 2 1 43 9 47
7 7 Lazio 18 8 10 1.4 1.3 8 2 8 25 24 26
8 16 Cagliari 18 8 10 0.7 2.0 1 5 12 12 36 8
9 3 Bologna 18 9 9 1.2 1.0 6 9 3 21 18 27
10 4 Juventus 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 8 6 4 25 17 30
11 17 Frosinone 18 9 9 0.8 2.1 0 7 11 15 37 7
12 9 Napoli 18 10 8 1.6 1.1 7 6 5 29 19 27
13 11 Genoa 18 10 8 1.0 1.2 4 7 7 18 22 19
14 12 Monza 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 16 23 21
15 13 Lecce 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 9 15 27 13
16 14 Verona 18 11 7 0.7 1.3 2 5 11 13 24 11
17 10 Torino 18 12 6 1.0 1.3 5 5 8 18 24 20
18 18 Empoli 18 12 6 0.7 1.7 4 3 11 13 30 15
19 8 Fiorentina 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 5 4 8 18 20 19
20 15 Udinese 18 13 5 0.8 1.3 4 8 6 15 24 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40