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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 1–2 Milan

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.88 fair 2.47
Draw 3.30 fair 4.20
Away ✓ 2.50 fair 2.80
Under 2.5 1.89 fair 2.49
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.01 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Milan
17 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 10
7 Corners 5
8 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (293 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.46scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 41:32
Milan before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
1.90scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 55:33
Fiorentina all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.90
1.14 Goals conceded 1.14
2.61 Total goals 3.03
13.39 Shots 13.93
4.50 Shots on target 5.24
10.14 Shots faced 13.31
5.11 Corners 4.59
3.11 Corners against 4.10
12.57 Fouls 11.72
2.18 Yellow cards 2.38
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

43% Wins 66%
25% Draws 17%
32% Losses 17%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 69%
46% Over 2.5 goals 59%
32% Over 3.5 goals 48%
14% Over 4.5 goals 21%
4% Over 5.5 goals 7%
46% Both teams scored 55%
25% Clean sheets 38%
32% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 52%
21% Draws 41%
39% Losses 7%
86% Over 0.5 goals 79%
29% Over 1.5 goals 52%
11% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Milan all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
1.93points / match
1.86scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:15
Milan before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.13scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 32:25
Fiorentina at home away Milan

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 2.13
1.07 Goals conceded 1.67
2.93 Total goals 3.80
15.14 Shots 14.07
5.00 Shots on target 5.40
9.07 Shots faced 13.93
5.29 Corners 4.20
3.29 Corners against 4.20
12.21 Fouls 11.40
1.64 Yellow cards 3.00
0.93 1st-half goals scored 1.07
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

57% Wins 60%
21% Draws 20%
21% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 87%
64% Over 2.5 goals 80%
36% Over 3.5 goals 67%
14% Over 4.5 goals 33%
7% Over 5.5 goals 13%
50% Both teams scored 73%
29% Clean sheets 27%
21% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 47%
21% Draws 40%
36% Losses 13%
86% Over 0.5 goals 87%
43% Over 1.5 goals 73%
14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
02.03.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
26.02.24 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.103.50 2.20 1.65
18.02.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.70
14.02.24 Bologna – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.20 1.65
11.02.24 Fiorentina – Frosinone 5–1 (3–0) 1.504.336.50 1.75 2.05
02.02.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 3–2 (1–0) 3.753.202.10 2.15 1.67
28.01.24 Fiorentina – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.97 1.93
14.01.24 Fiorentina – Udinese 2–2 (0–1) 1.673.755.50 2.06 1.84
06.01.24 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.08

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Fiorentina – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.07 1.83
26.02.24 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.103.50 2.20 1.65
11.02.24 Fiorentina – Frosinone 5–1 (3–0) 1.504.336.50 1.75 2.05
28.01.24 Fiorentina – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.97 1.93
14.01.24 Fiorentina – Udinese 2–2 (0–1) 1.673.755.50 2.06 1.84
29.12.23 Fiorentina – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.60 2.35 1.57
17.12.23 Fiorentina – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.75 2.05
03.12.23 Fiorentina – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.757.00 1.67 2.15
12.11.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.403.80 2.05 1.85
05.11.23 Fiorentina – Juventus 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.55 2.06 1.84

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
22.12.23 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 8.004.501.44 1.65 2.20
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
29.10.23 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsMilan wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23I1 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
04.03.23I1 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
13.11.22I1 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
01.05.22I1 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.72 2.10
20.11.21I1 Fiorentina – Milan 4–3 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.87 2.03

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 29 24 4 1 71 14 +57 76
2 Milan 29 19 5 5 55 33 +22 62
3 Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 +20 59
4 Bologna 29 15 9 5 42 25 +17 54
5 Roma 29 15 6 8 55 35 +20 51
6 Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 +22 50
7 Lazio 30 14 4 12 37 33 +4 46
8 Napoli 30 12 9 9 44 36 +8 45
9 Torino 30 11 11 8 29 26 +3 44
10 Fiorentina 28 12 7 9 41 32 +9 43
11 Monza 30 11 9 10 32 37 -5 42
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce 29 6 10 13 26 45 -19 28
14 Udinese 29 4 15 10 28 44 -16 27
15 Verona 29 6 8 15 26 39 -13 26
16 Cagliari 29 6 8 15 29 50 -21 26
17 Empoli 29 6 7 16 22 43 -21 25
18 Frosinone 30 6 7 17 38 61 -23 25
19 Sassuolo 29 6 5 18 33 56 -23 23
20 Salernitana 29 2 8 19 23 59 -36 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 12 2 1 37 8 +29 38
2 Bologna 15 11 2 2 26 8 +18 35
3 Roma 15 10 3 2 34 15 +19 33
4 Milan 14 10 2 2 23 8 +15 32
5 Juventus 15 9 5 1 22 10 +12 32
6 Atalanta 14 10 1 3 31 10 +21 31
7 Fiorentina 14 8 3 3 26 15 +11 27
8 Torino 15 7 6 2 15 8 +7 27
9 Lazio 15 7 3 5 15 12 +3 24
10 Monza 15 6 5 4 18 17 +1 23
11 Napoli 15 6 4 5 20 21 -1 22
12 Genoa 15 5 6 4 20 20 0 21
13 Frosinone 15 6 3 6 25 26 -1 21
14 Cagliari 14 5 4 5 20 24 -4 19
15 Lecce 14 5 4 5 15 22 -7 19
16 Verona 14 4 5 5 16 19 -3 17
17 Sassuolo 14 4 3 7 18 25 -7 15
18 Udinese 15 1 9 5 17 23 -6 12
19 Empoli 15 2 4 9 9 20 -11 10
20 Salernitana 15 1 4 10 13 30 -17 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 14 12 2 0 34 6 +28 38
2 Milan 15 9 3 3 32 25 +7 30
3 Juventus 15 8 3 4 22 14 +8 27
4 Napoli 15 6 5 4 24 15 +9 23
5 Lazio 15 7 1 7 22 21 +1 22
6 Atalanta 15 5 4 6 23 22 +1 19
7 Bologna 14 4 7 3 16 17 -1 19
8 Monza 15 5 4 6 14 20 -6 19
9 Roma 14 5 3 6 21 20 +1 18
10 Torino 15 4 5 6 14 18 -4 17
11 Fiorentina 14 4 4 6 15 17 -2 16
12 Empoli 14 4 3 7 13 23 -10 15
13 Udinese 14 3 6 5 11 21 -10 15
14 Genoa 15 3 5 7 12 17 -5 14
15 Verona 15 2 3 10 10 20 -10 9
16 Lecce 15 1 6 8 11 23 -12 9
17 Sassuolo 15 2 2 11 15 31 -16 8
18 Cagliari 15 1 4 10 9 26 -17 7
19 Salernitana 14 1 4 9 10 29 -19 7
20 Frosinone 15 0 4 11 13 35 -22 4

Fiorentina   Milan

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Frosinone 30 10 20 1.3 2.0 6 7 17 38 61 25
2 5 Roma 29 11 18 1.9 1.2 15 6 8 55 35 51
3 6 Atalanta 29 11 18 1.9 1.1 15 5 9 54 32 50
4 20 Salernitana 29 11 18 0.8 2.0 2 8 19 23 59 14
5 2 Milan 29 12 17 1.9 1.1 19 5 5 55 33 62
6 8 Napoli 30 13 17 1.5 1.2 12 9 9 44 36 45
7 1 Inter 29 13 16 2.4 0.5 24 4 1 71 14 76
8 16 Cagliari 29 13 16 1.0 1.7 6 8 15 29 50 26
9 19 Sassuolo 29 13 16 1.1 1.9 6 5 18 33 56 23
10 3 Juventus 30 17 13 1.5 0.8 17 8 5 44 24 59
11 4 Bologna 29 16 13 1.4 0.9 15 9 5 42 25 54
12 7 Lazio 30 17 13 1.2 1.1 14 4 12 37 33 46
13 10 Fiorentina 28 15 13 1.5 1.1 12 7 9 41 32 43
14 15 Verona 29 16 13 0.9 1.3 6 8 15 26 39 26
15 12 Genoa 30 18 12 1.1 1.2 8 11 11 32 37 35
16 13 Lecce 29 17 12 0.9 1.6 6 10 13 26 45 28
17 14 Udinese 29 17 12 1.0 1.5 4 15 10 28 44 27
18 11 Monza 30 19 11 1.1 1.2 11 9 10 32 37 42
19 17 Empoli 29 19 10 0.8 1.5 6 7 16 22 43 25
20 9 Torino 30 22 8 1.0 0.9 11 11 8 29 26 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Frosinone 15 3 12 1.7 1.7 6 3 6 25 26 21
2 8 Napoli 15 5 10 1.3 1.4 6 4 5 20 21 22
3 20 Salernitana 15 5 10 0.9 2.0 1 4 10 13 30 7
4 1 Inter 15 6 9 2.5 0.5 12 2 1 37 8 38
5 5 Roma 15 6 9 2.3 1.0 10 3 2 34 15 33
6 6 Atalanta 14 5 9 2.2 0.7 10 1 3 31 10 31
7 10 Fiorentina 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 3 3 26 15 27
8 16 Cagliari 14 5 9 1.4 1.7 5 4 5 20 24 19
9 13 Lecce 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 5 4 5 15 22 19
10 14 Udinese 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 1 9 5 17 23 12
11 15 Verona 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 4 5 5 16 19 17
12 19 Sassuolo 14 7 7 1.3 1.8 4 3 7 18 25 15
13 12 Genoa 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 20 21
14 2 Milan 14 9 5 1.6 0.6 10 2 2 23 8 32
15 3 Juventus 15 10 5 1.5 0.7 9 5 1 22 10 32
16 4 Bologna 15 10 5 1.7 0.5 11 2 2 26 8 35
17 11 Monza 15 10 5 1.2 1.1 6 5 4 18 17 23
18 7 Lazio 15 11 4 1.0 0.8 7 3 5 15 12 24
19 9 Torino 15 11 4 1.0 0.5 7 6 2 15 8 27
20 17 Empoli 15 11 4 0.6 1.3 2 4 9 9 20 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 15 3 12 2.1 1.7 9 3 3 32 25 30
2 5 Roma 14 5 9 1.5 1.4 5 3 6 21 20 18
3 6 Atalanta 15 6 9 1.5 1.5 5 4 6 23 22 19
4 7 Lazio 15 6 9 1.5 1.4 7 1 7 22 21 22
5 19 Sassuolo 15 6 9 1.0 2.1 2 2 11 15 31 8
6 3 Juventus 15 7 8 1.5 0.9 8 3 4 22 14 27
7 4 Bologna 14 6 8 1.1 1.2 4 7 3 16 17 19
8 18 Frosinone 15 7 8 0.9 2.3 0 4 11 13 35 4
9 20 Salernitana 14 6 8 0.7 2.1 1 4 9 10 29 7
10 1 Inter 14 7 7 2.4 0.4 12 2 0 34 6 38
11 8 Napoli 15 8 7 1.6 1.0 6 5 4 24 15 23
12 16 Cagliari 15 8 7 0.6 1.7 1 4 10 9 26 7
13 11 Monza 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 5 4 6 14 20 19
14 12 Genoa 15 9 6 0.8 1.1 3 5 7 12 17 14
15 15 Verona 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 2 3 10 10 20 9
16 17 Empoli 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 4 3 7 13 23 15
17 13 Lecce 15 10 5 0.7 1.5 1 6 8 11 23 9
18 14 Udinese 14 9 5 0.8 1.5 3 6 5 11 21 15
19 9 Torino 15 11 4 0.9 1.2 4 5 6 14 18 17
20 10 Fiorentina 14 10 4 1.1 1.2 4 4 6 15 17 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51