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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–0 Napoli

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 1.99
Draw 3.60 fair 4.18
Away 3.80 fair 3.89
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Napoli
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 2
9 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (234 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawNapoli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.13points / match
2.00scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 46:27
Napoli before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.45scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:26
Milan all matches all matches Napoli

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.45
1.17 Goals conceded 1.18
3.17 Total goals 2.64
13.52 Shots 16.73
5.09 Shots on target 5.32
14.04 Shots faced 10.27
4.48 Corners 6.32
4.26 Corners against 3.64
11.48 Fouls 10.23
2.43 Yellow cards 2.50
1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

65% Wins 45%
17% Draws 23%
17% Losses 32%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
74% Over 1.5 goals 77%
65% Over 2.5 goals 64%
52% Over 3.5 goals 32%
22% Over 4.5 goals 5%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 50%
35% Clean sheets 27%
9% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 32%
43% Draws 50%
4% Losses 18%
78% Over 0.5 goals 64%
57% Over 1.5 goals 32%
9% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Napoli all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.27points / match
1.82scored / match
0.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 20:7
Napoli before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.45scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:11
Milan at home away Napoli

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.45
0.64 Goals conceded 1.00
2.45 Total goals 2.45
13.45 Shots 13.36
4.82 Shots on target 4.55
13.82 Shots faced 10.45
4.82 Corners 4.91
4.27 Corners against 4.18
11.82 Fouls 11.00
1.91 Yellow cards 2.64
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

73% Wins 45%
9% Draws 27%
18% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
55% Over 1.5 goals 73%
45% Over 2.5 goals 55%
36% Over 3.5 goals 36%
9% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 36%
45% Clean sheets 36%
18% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 45%
45% Draws 36%
0% Losses 18%
64% Over 0.5 goals 64%
27% Over 1.5 goals 18%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Napoli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
22.12.23 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 8.004.501.44 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.24 Napoli – Verona 2–1 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.87 2.03
28.01.24 Lazio – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.25 1.62
13.01.24 Napoli – Salernitana 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.008.50 1.57 2.35
07.01.24 Torino – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.65
29.12.23 Napoli – Monza 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 Roma – Napoli 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.102.50 2.15 1.67
16.12.23 Napoli – Cagliari 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.57 2.35
08.12.23 Juventus – Napoli 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.70
03.12.23 Napoli – Inter 0–3 (0–1) 2.803.502.40 1.75 2.05
25.11.23 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.63 1.88 2.02

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
30.09.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
23.09.23 Milan – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10

Napoli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Lazio – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.25 1.62
07.01.24 Torino – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.65
23.12.23 Roma – Napoli 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.102.50 2.15 1.67
08.12.23 Juventus – Napoli 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.70
25.11.23 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.63 1.88 2.02
04.11.23 Salernitana – Napoli 0–2 (0–1) 7.004.751.44 1.53 2.40
21.10.23 Verona – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 5.503.751.65 1.91 1.99
30.09.23 Lecce – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.753.801.75 2.01 1.89
24.09.23 Bologna – Napoli 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.91 1.85 2.05
16.09.23 Genoa – Napoli 2–2 (1–0) 5.503.801.67 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsNapoli wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23I1 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
02.04.23I1 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.09.22I1 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
06.03.22I1 Napoli – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.04 1.86
19.12.21I1 Milan – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 23 19 3 1 55 12 +43 60
2 Juventus 23 16 5 2 36 14 +22 53
3 Milan 23 15 4 4 46 27 +19 49
4 Atalanta 23 13 3 7 44 23 +21 42
5 Bologna 23 10 9 4 33 22 +11 39
6 Roma 24 11 5 8 42 30 +12 38
7 Fiorentina 23 11 4 8 36 26 +10 37
8 Lazio 23 11 4 8 28 24 +4 37
9 Napoli 22 10 5 7 32 26 +6 35
10 Torino 23 8 9 6 21 20 +1 33
11 Monza 24 7 9 8 21 28 -7 30
12 Genoa 24 7 8 9 25 30 -5 29
13 Lecce 24 5 9 10 24 37 -13 24
14 Frosinone 24 6 5 13 32 49 -17 23
15 Empoli 24 5 6 13 18 37 -19 21
16 Sassuolo 23 5 5 13 29 42 -13 20
17 Verona 24 4 7 13 21 32 -11 19
18 Udinese 23 2 13 8 23 37 -14 19
19 Cagliari 24 4 6 14 22 45 -23 18
20 Salernitana 24 2 7 15 20 47 -27 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bologna 12 9 2 1 22 7 +15 29
2 Inter 11 9 1 1 26 6 +20 28
3 Atalanta 12 9 1 2 27 8 +19 28
4 Roma 13 8 3 2 30 13 +17 27
5 Juventus 11 8 3 0 17 5 +12 27
6 Milan 11 8 1 2 20 7 +13 25
7 Fiorentina 12 7 2 3 22 12 +10 23
8 Lazio 11 6 3 2 12 7 +5 21
9 Torino 11 5 5 1 12 6 +6 20
10 Frosinone 12 6 2 4 22 19 +3 20
11 Lecce 12 5 4 3 15 17 -2 19
12 Napoli 11 5 2 4 16 15 +1 17
13 Monza 12 4 5 3 12 11 +1 17
14 Genoa 12 4 5 3 15 16 -1 17
15 Cagliari 12 4 3 5 15 21 -6 15
16 Verona 11 3 4 4 12 14 -2 13
17 Sassuolo 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12
18 Udinese 12 1 7 4 15 19 -4 10
19 Empoli 12 2 3 7 8 17 -9 9
20 Salernitana 13 1 4 8 13 27 -14 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 12 10 2 0 29 6 +23 32
2 Juventus 12 8 2 2 19 9 +10 26
3 Milan 12 7 3 2 26 20 +6 24
4 Napoli 11 5 3 3 16 11 +5 18
5 Lazio 12 5 1 6 16 17 -1 16
6 Atalanta 11 4 2 5 17 15 +2 14
7 Fiorentina 11 4 2 5 14 14 0 14
8 Torino 12 3 4 5 9 14 -5 13
9 Monza 12 3 4 5 9 17 -8 13
10 Genoa 12 3 3 6 10 14 -4 12
11 Empoli 12 3 3 6 10 20 -10 12
12 Roma 11 3 2 6 12 17 -5 11
13 Bologna 11 1 7 3 11 15 -4 10
14 Udinese 11 1 6 4 8 18 -10 9
15 Sassuolo 12 2 2 8 15 26 -11 8
16 Verona 13 1 3 9 9 18 -9 6
17 Salernitana 11 1 3 7 7 20 -13 6
18 Lecce 12 0 5 7 9 20 -11 5
19 Cagliari 12 0 3 9 7 24 -17 3
20 Frosinone 12 0 3 9 10 30 -20 3

Milan   Napoli

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Frosinone 24 7 17 1.3 2.0 6 5 13 32 49 23
2 20 Salernitana 24 8 16 0.8 2.0 2 7 15 20 47 13
3 3 Milan 23 8 15 2.0 1.2 15 4 4 46 27 49
4 19 Cagliari 24 9 15 0.9 1.9 4 6 14 22 45 18
5 6 Roma 24 10 14 1.8 1.2 11 5 8 42 30 38
6 9 Napoli 22 8 14 1.5 1.2 10 5 7 32 26 35
7 4 Atalanta 23 10 13 1.9 1.0 13 3 7 44 23 42
8 16 Sassuolo 23 10 13 1.3 1.8 5 5 13 29 42 20
9 1 Inter 23 11 12 2.4 0.5 19 3 1 55 12 60
10 5 Bologna 23 12 11 1.4 1.0 10 9 4 33 22 39
11 7 Fiorentina 23 12 11 1.6 1.1 11 4 8 36 26 37
12 13 Lecce 24 13 11 1.0 1.5 5 9 10 24 37 24
13 17 Verona 24 13 11 0.9 1.3 4 7 13 21 32 19
14 18 Udinese 23 12 11 1.0 1.6 2 13 8 23 37 19
15 12 Genoa 24 14 10 1.0 1.2 7 8 9 25 30 29
16 2 Juventus 23 14 9 1.6 0.6 16 5 2 36 14 53
17 8 Lazio 23 14 9 1.2 1.0 11 4 8 28 24 37
18 15 Empoli 24 15 9 0.8 1.5 5 6 13 18 37 21
19 11 Monza 24 16 8 0.9 1.2 7 9 8 21 28 30
20 10 Torino 23 16 7 0.9 0.9 8 9 6 21 20 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Frosinone 12 2 10 1.8 1.6 6 2 4 22 19 20
2 20 Salernitana 13 3 10 1.0 2.1 1 4 8 13 27 7
3 6 Roma 13 5 8 2.3 1.0 8 3 2 30 13 27
4 9 Napoli 11 3 8 1.5 1.4 5 2 4 16 15 17
5 19 Cagliari 12 4 8 1.2 1.8 4 3 5 15 21 15
6 4 Atalanta 12 5 7 2.2 0.7 9 1 2 27 8 28
7 7 Fiorentina 12 5 7 1.8 1.0 7 2 3 22 12 23
8 18 Udinese 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 1 7 4 15 19 10
9 1 Inter 11 5 6 2.4 0.5 9 1 1 26 6 28
10 13 Lecce 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 5 4 3 15 17 19
11 3 Milan 11 6 5 1.8 0.6 8 1 2 20 7 25
12 5 Bologna 12 7 5 1.8 0.6 9 2 1 22 7 29
13 12 Genoa 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 4 5 3 15 16 17
14 16 Sassuolo 11 6 5 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12
15 17 Verona 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 3 4 4 12 14 13
16 10 Torino 11 7 4 1.1 0.5 5 5 1 12 6 20
17 15 Empoli 12 8 4 0.7 1.4 2 3 7 8 17 9
18 2 Juventus 11 8 3 1.5 0.5 8 3 0 17 5 27
19 11 Monza 12 9 3 1.0 0.9 4 5 3 12 11 17
20 8 Lazio 11 9 2 1.1 0.6 6 3 2 12 7 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 12 2 10 2.2 1.7 7 3 2 26 20 24
2 16 Sassuolo 12 4 8 1.2 2.2 2 2 8 15 26 8
3 8 Lazio 12 5 7 1.3 1.4 5 1 6 16 17 16
4 14 Frosinone 12 5 7 0.8 2.5 0 3 9 10 30 3
5 19 Cagliari 12 5 7 0.6 2.0 0 3 9 7 24 3
6 1 Inter 12 6 6 2.4 0.5 10 2 0 29 6 32
7 2 Juventus 12 6 6 1.6 0.8 8 2 2 19 9 26
8 4 Atalanta 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 5 17 15 14
9 5 Bologna 11 5 6 1.0 1.4 1 7 3 11 15 10
10 6 Roma 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 17 11
11 9 Napoli 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 3 16 11 18
12 17 Verona 13 7 6 0.7 1.4 1 3 9 9 18 6
13 20 Salernitana 11 5 6 0.6 1.8 1 3 7 7 20 6
14 11 Monza 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 3 4 5 9 17 13
15 12 Genoa 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 3 6 10 14 12
16 13 Lecce 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 0 5 7 9 20 5
17 15 Empoli 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 3 6 10 20 12
18 7 Fiorentina 11 7 4 1.3 1.3 4 2 5 14 14 14
19 18 Udinese 11 7 4 0.7 1.6 1 6 4 8 18 9
20 10 Torino 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 9 14 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40