Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce – Italy Serie A, 28 Feb 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Fiorentina Lecce

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 2

10 Fouls 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (260 league matches this season so far).

Result Fiorentina to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.74 – 0.92

Home / Draw / Away

57% 24% 20%

FiorentinaDrawLecce

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.1% 1–1 11.2% 2–0 10.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches

1.62points / match

1.58scored / match

1.08conceded / match

12 6 8

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 41:28

Lecce before this match, all matches

0.96points / match

0.69scored / match

1.62conceded / match

6 7 13

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 18:42

Fiorentina all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 0.69

1.08 Goals conceded 1.62

2.65 Total goals 2.31

11.69 Shots 11.58

4.54 Shots on target 3.31

11.69 Shots faced 14.04

4.04 Corners 4.23

4.12 Corners against 6.04

11.69 Fouls 12.62

2.08 Yellow cards 1.54

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

46% Wins 23%

23% Draws 27%

31% Losses 50%

92% Over 0.5 goals 85%

73% Over 1.5 goals 58%

58% Over 2.5 goals 42%

23% Over 3.5 goals 31%

12% Over 4.5 goals 12%

8% Over 5.5 goals 4%

54% Both teams scored 35%

31% Clean sheets 27%

23% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 19%

35% Draws 50%

27% Losses 31%

77% Over 0.5 goals 58%

35% Over 1.5 goals 31%

15% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches

2

D

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

Lecce all matches

1

2

L

2

L

D

3

1

W

1

4

L

4

L

3

1

W

D

1

L

Fiorentina before this match, at home

1.85points / match

1.69scored / match

1.15conceded / match

7 3 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:15

Lecce before this match, away

0.85points / match

0.69scored / match

1.54conceded / match

3 2 8

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 9:20

Fiorentina at home away Lecce

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 0.69

1.15 Goals conceded 1.54

2.85 Total goals 2.23

12.54 Shots 10.69

5.08 Shots on target 3.23

10.77 Shots faced 15.62

4.85 Corners 3.46

4.00 Corners against 6.54

11.85 Fouls 13.69

1.92 Yellow cards 2.15

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

54% Wins 23%

23% Draws 15%

23% Losses 62%

92% Over 0.5 goals 85%

85% Over 1.5 goals 54%

69% Over 2.5 goals 38%

23% Over 3.5 goals 31%

8% Over 4.5 goals 15%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

62% Both teams scored 31%

23% Clean sheets 23%

23% Failed to score 62%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 15%

23% Draws 69%

31% Losses 15%

85% Over 0.5 goals 46%

31% Over 1.5 goals 31%

15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home

2

1

W

5

1

W

3

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

3

L

1

D

2

1

W

3

W

2

L

Lecce away

1

L

1

L

1

L

1

W

1

4

L

2

L

3

1

W

1

4

L

3

1

W

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.02.25	Verona – Fiorentina	1–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.40	1.90	2.03	1.87
16.02.25	Fiorentina – Como	0–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.97	1.93
10.02.25	Inter – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–1)	1.48	4.75	6.50	1.67	2.20
06.02.25	Fiorentina – Inter	3–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.80	2.00
02.02.25	Fiorentina – Genoa	2–1 (2–0)	1.65	3.90	5.25	2.00	1.80
26.01.25	Lazio – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.04	1.86
19.01.25	Fiorentina – Torino	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.40	5.50	2.20	1.67
13.01.25	Monza – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–0)	4.20	3.50	1.85	2.04	1.86
04.01.25	Fiorentina – Napoli	0–3 (0–1)	2.88	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Juventus – Fiorentina	2–2 (1–1)	1.95	3.30	4.20	2.10	1.73

Lecce all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.25	Lecce – Udinese	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.00	2.60	2.30	1.62
16.02.25	Monza – Lecce	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.30	1.62
09.02.25	Lecce – Bologna	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.20	1.67
31.01.25	Parma – Lecce	1–3 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.50	1.86	2.04
26.01.25	Lecce – Inter	0–4 (0–2)	9.50	5.25	1.33	1.67	2.20
19.01.25	Cagliari – Lecce	4–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.30	4.10	2.05	1.85
11.01.25	Empoli – Lecce	1–3 (0–2)	2.00	3.10	4.33	2.50	1.53
05.01.25	Lecce – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.00	2.90	2.38	1.57
30.12.24	Como – Lecce	2–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.80
21.12.24	Lecce – Lazio	1–2 (0–1)	5.00	3.60	1.73	2.00	1.80

Fiorentina at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.02.25	Fiorentina – Como	0–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.97	1.93
06.02.25	Fiorentina – Inter	3–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.80	2.00
02.02.25	Fiorentina – Genoa	2–1 (2–0)	1.65	3.90	5.25	2.00	1.80
19.01.25	Fiorentina – Torino	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.40	5.50	2.20	1.67
04.01.25	Fiorentina – Napoli	0–3 (0–1)	2.88	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
23.12.24	Fiorentina – Udinese	1–2 (1–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	1.91	1.99
08.12.24	Fiorentina – Cagliari	1–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.67	2.20
10.11.24	Fiorentina – Verona	3–1 (1–1)	1.44	4.50	7.00	1.80	2.00
27.10.24	Fiorentina – Roma	5–1 (3–1)	2.55	3.40	2.75	2.07	1.83
06.10.24	Fiorentina – Milan	2–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.73	2.10

Lecce away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.02.25	Monza – Lecce	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.30	1.62
31.01.25	Parma – Lecce	1–3 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.50	1.86	2.04
19.01.25	Cagliari – Lecce	4–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.30	4.10	2.05	1.85
11.01.25	Empoli – Lecce	1–3 (0–2)	2.00	3.10	4.33	2.50	1.53
30.12.24	Como – Lecce	2–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.80
07.12.24	Roma – Lecce	4–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.00	6.25	2.00	1.80
25.11.24	Venezia – Lecce	0–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.10	1.73
02.11.24	Bologna – Lecce	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.50	6.50	2.20	1.67
26.10.24	Napoli – Lecce	1–0 (0–0)	1.25	6.00	12.00	1.73	2.10
05.10.24	Udinese – Lecce	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 1

Fiorentina winsDrawsLecce wins

5matches

3.60goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.10.24I1	Lecce – Fiorentina	0–6 (0–3)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.04	1.86
02.02.24I1	Lecce – Fiorentina	3–2 (1–0)	3.75	3.20	2.10	2.15	1.67
27.08.23I1	Fiorentina – Lecce	2–2 (2–0)	1.57	4.20	5.75	2.10	1.73
19.03.23I1	Fiorentina – Lecce	1–0 (1–0)	1.60	3.75	5.75	2.10	1.73
17.10.22I1	Lecce – Fiorentina	1–1 (1–0)	3.75	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.72

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	26	17	6	3	59	24	+35	57
2	Napoli	26	17	5	4	42	21	+21	56
3	Atalanta	26	16	6	4	59	26	+33	54
4	Juventus	26	12	13	1	43	21	+22	49
5	Lazio	26	14	5	7	47	34	+13	47
6	Bologna	26	11	11	4	40	32	+8	44
7	Fiorentina	26	12	6	8	41	28	+13	42
8	Milan	26	11	8	7	38	28	+10	41
9	Roma	26	11	7	8	40	29	+11	40
10	Udinese	26	10	6	10	33	37	-4	36
11	Torino	26	7	10	9	29	32	-3	31
12	Genoa	26	7	9	10	24	34	-10	30
13	Como	26	7	7	12	32	41	-9	28
14	Verona	26	8	2	16	27	54	-27	26
15	Cagliari	26	6	7	13	26	40	-14	25
16	Lecce	26	6	7	13	18	42	-24	25
17	Parma	26	5	8	13	32	45	-13	23
18	Empoli	26	4	9	13	22	43	-21	21
19	Venezia	26	3	8	15	22	41	-19	17
20	Monza	26	2	8	16	21	43	-22	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	13	9	3	1	29	14	+15	30
2	Napoli	12	9	1	2	18	8	+10	28
3	Bologna	13	7	5	1	22	12	+10	26
4	Roma	13	8	1	4	28	12	+16	25
5	Juventus	13	6	7	0	22	10	+12	25
6	Lazio	13	7	4	2	27	19	+8	25
7	Atalanta	12	7	3	2	29	16	+13	24
8	Milan	13	6	6	1	20	9	+11	24
9	Fiorentina	13	7	3	3	22	15	+7	24
10	Udinese	13	6	2	5	18	17	+1	20
11	Como	13	5	3	5	21	21	0	18
12	Torino	13	4	5	4	12	12	0	17
13	Genoa	13	3	6	4	14	16	-2	15
14	Parma	14	4	3	7	20	23	-3	15
15	Cagliari	14	4	3	7	15	23	-8	15
16	Lecce	13	3	5	5	9	22	-13	14
17	Venezia	13	3	4	6	12	15	-3	13
18	Verona	13	4	1	8	12	30	-18	13
19	Empoli	13	1	5	7	5	19	-14	8
20	Monza	13	1	4	8	10	17	-7	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	14	9	3	2	30	10	+20	30
2	Napoli	14	8	4	2	24	13	+11	28
3	Inter	13	8	3	2	30	10	+20	27
4	Juventus	13	6	6	1	21	11	+10	24
5	Lazio	13	7	1	5	20	15	+5	22
6	Fiorentina	13	5	3	5	19	13	+6	18
7	Bologna	13	4	6	3	18	20	-2	18
8	Milan	13	5	2	6	18	19	-1	17
9	Udinese	13	4	4	5	15	20	-5	16
10	Roma	13	3	6	4	12	17	-5	15
11	Genoa	13	4	3	6	10	18	-8	15
12	Torino	13	3	5	5	17	20	-3	14
13	Empoli	13	3	4	6	17	24	-7	13
14	Verona	13	4	1	8	15	24	-9	13
15	Lecce	13	3	2	8	9	20	-11	11
16	Cagliari	12	2	4	6	11	17	-6	10
17	Como	13	2	4	7	11	20	-9	10
18	Parma	12	1	5	6	12	22	-10	8
19	Monza	13	1	4	8	11	26	-15	7
20	Venezia	13	0	4	9	10	26	-16	4

Fiorentina Lecce

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Lazio	26	7	19	1.8	1.3	14	5	7	47	34	47
2	1	Inter	26	10	16	2.3	0.9	17	6	3	59	24	57
3	3	Atalanta	26	10	16	2.3	1.0	16	6	4	59	26	54
4	14	Verona	26	10	16	1.0	2.1	8	2	16	27	54	26
5	17	Parma	26	10	16	1.2	1.7	5	8	13	32	45	23
6	7	Fiorentina	26	11	15	1.6	1.1	12	6	8	41	28	42
7	6	Bologna	26	12	14	1.5	1.2	11	11	4	40	32	44
8	8	Milan	26	12	14	1.5	1.1	11	8	7	38	28	41
9	10	Udinese	26	12	14	1.3	1.4	10	6	10	33	37	36
10	2	Napoli	26	13	13	1.6	0.8	17	5	4	42	21	56
11	20	Monza	26	13	13	0.8	1.7	2	8	16	21	43	14
12	4	Juventus	26	14	12	1.7	0.8	12	13	1	43	21	49
13	9	Roma	26	14	12	1.5	1.1	11	7	8	40	29	40
14	13	Como	26	14	12	1.2	1.6	7	7	12	32	41	28
15	15	Cagliari	26	14	12	1.0	1.5	6	7	13	26	40	25
16	18	Empoli	26	14	12	0.8	1.7	4	9	13	22	43	21
17	19	Venezia	26	14	12	0.8	1.6	3	8	15	22	41	17
18	16	Lecce	26	15	11	0.7	1.6	6	7	13	18	42	25
19	12	Genoa	26	16	10	0.9	1.3	7	9	10	24	34	30
20	11	Torino	26	17	9	1.1	1.2	7	10	9	29	32	31

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Lazio	13	2	11	2.1	1.5	7	4	2	27	19	25
2	14	Verona	13	3	10	0.9	2.3	4	1	8	12	30	13
3	7	Fiorentina	13	4	9	1.7	1.2	7	3	3	22	15	24
4	1	Inter	13	5	8	2.2	1.1	9	3	1	29	14	30
5	3	Atalanta	12	4	8	2.4	1.3	7	3	2	29	16	24
6	9	Roma	13	5	8	2.2	0.9	8	1	4	28	12	25
7	13	Como	13	5	8	1.6	1.6	5	3	5	21	21	18
8	17	Parma	14	6	8	1.4	1.6	4	3	7	20	23	15
9	10	Udinese	13	6	7	1.4	1.3	6	2	5	18	17	20
10	15	Cagliari	14	7	7	1.1	1.6	4	3	7	15	23	15
11	4	Juventus	13	7	6	1.7	0.8	6	7	0	22	10	25
12	6	Bologna	13	7	6	1.7	0.9	7	5	1	22	12	26
13	16	Lecce	13	7	6	0.7	1.7	3	5	5	9	22	14
14	20	Monza	13	7	6	0.8	1.3	1	4	8	10	17	7
15	2	Napoli	12	7	5	1.5	0.7	9	1	2	18	8	28
16	8	Milan	13	8	5	1.5	0.7	6	6	1	20	9	24
17	12	Genoa	13	8	5	1.1	1.2	3	6	4	14	16	15
18	18	Empoli	13	9	4	0.4	1.5	1	5	7	5	19	8
19	19	Venezia	13	9	4	0.9	1.2	3	4	6	12	15	13
20	11	Torino	13	10	3	0.9	0.9	4	5	4	12	12	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Milan	13	4	9	1.4	1.5	5	2	6	18	19	17
2	1	Inter	13	5	8	2.3	0.8	8	3	2	30	10	27
3	2	Napoli	14	6	8	1.7	0.9	8	4	2	24	13	28
4	3	Atalanta	14	6	8	2.1	0.7	9	3	2	30	10	30
5	5	Lazio	13	5	8	1.5	1.2	7	1	5	20	15	22
6	6	Bologna	13	5	8	1.4	1.5	4	6	3	18	20	18
7	17	Parma	12	4	8	1.0	1.8	1	5	6	12	22	8
8	18	Empoli	13	5	8	1.3	1.8	3	4	6	17	24	13
9	19	Venezia	13	5	8	0.8	2.0	0	4	9	10	26	4
10	10	Udinese	13	6	7	1.2	1.5	4	4	5	15	20	16
11	20	Monza	13	6	7	0.8	2.0	1	4	8	11	26	7
12	4	Juventus	13	7	6	1.6	0.8	6	6	1	21	11	24
13	7	Fiorentina	13	7	6	1.5	1.0	5	3	5	19	13	18
14	11	Torino	13	7	6	1.3	1.5	3	5	5	17	20	14
15	14	Verona	13	7	6	1.2	1.8	4	1	8	15	24	13
16	12	Genoa	13	8	5	0.8	1.4	4	3	6	10	18	15
17	15	Cagliari	12	7	5	0.9	1.4	2	4	6	11	17	10
18	16	Lecce	13	8	5	0.7	1.5	3	2	8	9	20	11
19	9	Roma	13	9	4	0.9	1.3	3	6	4	12	17	15
20	13	Como	13	9	4	0.8	1.5	2	4	7	11	20	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.