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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lecce 3–2 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.75 fair 2.87
Draw 3.20 fair 3.70
Away 2.10 fair 2.63
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lecce Fiorentina
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 3
13 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (216 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
LecceDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 0–1 10.6% 1–0 10.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Lecce before this match, all matches
0.95points / match
0.95scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 21:31
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.38scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:22
Lecce all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.38
1.41 Goals conceded 1.05
2.36 Total goals 2.43
13.18 Shots 13.10
3.86 Shots on target 4.48
13.86 Shots faced 10.05
4.18 Corners 5.05
4.64 Corners against 3.38
13.45 Fouls 12.48
2.68 Yellow cards 2.10
0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

18% Wins 48%
41% Draws 19%
41% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 62%
41% Over 2.5 goals 43%
18% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 38%
9% Clean sheets 29%
32% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 38%
55% Draws 24%
32% Losses 38%
59% Over 0.5 goals 86%
23% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Lecce before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.09scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:15
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.20scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:11
Lecce at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.20
1.36 Goals conceded 1.10
2.45 Total goals 2.30
15.18 Shots 11.80
4.55 Shots on target 4.30
11.73 Shots faced 11.00
4.73 Corners 5.50
3.55 Corners against 3.40
12.55 Fouls 13.20
2.27 Yellow cards 2.60
0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

36% Wins 40%
36% Draws 20%
27% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 60%
45% Over 2.5 goals 30%
18% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 40%
18% Clean sheets 20%
27% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 40%
36% Draws 20%
45% Losses 40%
73% Over 0.5 goals 90%
18% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.104.00 2.60 1.48
21.01.24 Lecce – Juventus 0–3 (0–0) 6.003.501.65 2.35 1.57
14.01.24 Lazio – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.10 1.70
06.01.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.20 1.65
30.12.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98
23.12.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.65 2.20
16.12.23 Lecce – Frosinone 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.08 1.82
11.12.23 Empoli – Lecce 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.203.00 2.08 1.73
03.12.23 Lecce – Bologna 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65
27.11.23 Verona – Lecce 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.88 2.50 1.50

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Fiorentina – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.97 1.93
14.01.24 Fiorentina – Udinese 2–2 (0–1) 1.673.755.50 2.06 1.84
06.01.24 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.08
29.12.23 Fiorentina – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.60 2.35 1.57
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
17.12.23 Fiorentina – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67
03.12.23 Fiorentina – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.757.00 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
12.11.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.403.80 2.05 1.85

Lecce at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.24 Lecce – Juventus 0–3 (0–0) 6.003.501.65 2.35 1.57
06.01.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.20 1.65
16.12.23 Lecce – Frosinone 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.08 1.82
03.12.23 Lecce – Bologna 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
28.10.23 Lecce – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.50
06.10.23 Lecce – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Lecce – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.753.801.75 2.01 1.89
22.09.23 Lecce – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.10 2.30 1.62
03.09.23 Lecce – Salernitana 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.67

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.24 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.08
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
10.12.23 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
30.10.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 1.99 1.91
08.10.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
28.09.23 Frosinone – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.87 2.03
24.09.23 Udinese – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.25 1.99 1.91
03.09.23 Inter – Fiorentina 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 1.80 2.00
19.08.23 Genoa – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–3) 3.403.252.20 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lecce winsDrawsFiorentina wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.23I1 Fiorentina – Lecce 2–2 (2–0) 1.574.205.75 2.10 1.73
19.03.23I1 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73
17.10.22I1 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.402.05 2.10 1.72

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 21 17 3 1 50 10 +40 54
2 Juventus 22 16 5 1 36 13 +23 53
3 Milan 22 14 4 4 43 25 +18 46
4 Atalanta 21 11 3 7 37 21 +16 36
5 Roma 22 10 5 7 36 26 +10 35
6 Fiorentina 21 10 4 7 29 22 +7 34
7 Lazio 21 10 4 7 24 20 +4 34
8 Bologna 21 8 9 4 25 20 +5 33
9 Napoli 21 9 5 7 30 25 +5 32
10 Torino 21 8 7 6 20 19 +1 31
11 Genoa 22 7 7 8 24 26 -2 28
12 Monza 22 7 7 8 21 28 -7 28
13 Frosinone 22 6 5 11 29 41 -12 23
14 Lecce 22 4 9 9 21 31 -10 21
15 Sassuolo 21 5 4 12 26 37 -11 19
16 Verona 22 4 6 12 20 30 -10 18
17 Udinese 22 2 12 8 23 37 -14 18
18 Cagliari 22 4 6 12 21 38 -17 18
19 Empoli 22 4 5 13 15 36 -21 17
20 Salernitana 22 2 6 14 19 44 -25 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 11 8 3 0 17 5 +12 27
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 25 6 +19 25
3 Atalanta 11 8 1 2 24 7 +17 25
4 Milan 11 8 1 2 20 7 +13 25
5 Roma 11 7 3 1 24 9 +15 24
6 Bologna 10 7 2 1 14 5 +9 23
7 Lazio 11 6 3 2 12 7 +5 21
8 Fiorentina 11 6 2 3 17 11 +6 20
9 Frosinone 11 6 2 3 20 16 +4 20
10 Torino 10 5 4 1 12 6 +6 19
11 Genoa 11 4 5 2 14 12 +2 17
12 Monza 11 4 4 3 12 11 +1 16
13 Lecce 11 4 4 3 12 15 -3 16
14 Cagliari 11 4 3 4 14 18 -4 15
15 Napoli 10 4 2 4 14 14 0 14
16 Verona 11 3 4 4 12 14 -2 13
17 Sassuolo 10 3 2 5 13 15 -2 11
18 Udinese 11 1 6 4 15 19 -4 9
19 Empoli 11 2 2 7 8 17 -9 8
20 Salernitana 12 1 4 7 12 24 -12 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 11 9 2 0 25 4 +21 29
2 Juventus 11 8 2 1 19 8 +11 26
3 Milan 11 6 3 2 23 18 +5 21
4 Napoli 11 5 3 3 16 11 +5 18
5 Fiorentina 10 4 2 4 12 11 +1 14
6 Lazio 10 4 1 5 12 13 -1 13
7 Torino 11 3 3 5 8 13 -5 12
8 Monza 11 3 3 5 9 17 -8 12
9 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 13 14 -1 11
10 Genoa 11 3 2 6 10 14 -4 11
11 Roma 11 3 2 6 12 17 -5 11
12 Bologna 11 1 7 3 11 15 -4 10
13 Udinese 11 1 6 4 8 18 -10 9
14 Empoli 11 2 3 6 7 19 -12 9
15 Sassuolo 11 2 2 7 13 22 -9 8
16 Lecce 11 0 5 6 9 16 -7 5
17 Verona 11 1 2 8 8 16 -8 5
18 Salernitana 10 1 2 7 7 20 -13 5
19 Cagliari 11 0 3 8 7 20 -13 3
20 Frosinone 11 0 3 8 9 25 -16 3

Lecce   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Frosinone 22 7 15 1.3 1.9 6 5 11 29 41 23
2 20 Salernitana 22 7 15 0.9 2.0 2 6 14 19 44 12
3 3 Milan 22 8 14 2.0 1.1 14 4 4 43 25 46
4 9 Napoli 21 8 13 1.4 1.2 9 5 7 30 25 32
5 18 Cagliari 22 9 13 1.0 1.7 4 6 12 21 38 18
6 5 Roma 22 10 12 1.6 1.2 10 5 7 36 26 35
7 15 Sassuolo 21 9 12 1.2 1.8 5 4 12 26 37 19
8 1 Inter 21 10 11 2.4 0.5 17 3 1 50 10 54
9 4 Atalanta 21 10 11 1.8 1.0 11 3 7 37 21 36
10 17 Udinese 22 11 11 1.0 1.7 2 12 8 23 37 18
11 16 Verona 22 12 10 0.9 1.4 4 6 12 20 30 18
12 2 Juventus 22 13 9 1.6 0.6 16 5 1 36 13 53
13 6 Fiorentina 21 12 9 1.4 1.0 10 4 7 29 22 34
14 8 Bologna 21 12 9 1.2 1.0 8 9 4 25 20 33
15 11 Genoa 22 13 9 1.1 1.2 7 7 8 24 26 28
16 14 Lecce 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 4 9 9 21 31 21
17 12 Monza 22 14 8 1.0 1.3 7 7 8 21 28 28
18 19 Empoli 22 14 8 0.7 1.6 4 5 13 15 36 17
19 7 Lazio 21 14 7 1.1 1.0 10 4 7 24 20 34
20 10 Torino 21 14 7 1.0 0.9 8 7 6 20 19 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Frosinone 11 2 9 1.8 1.5 6 2 3 20 16 20
2 20 Salernitana 12 3 9 1.0 2.0 1 4 7 12 24 7
3 9 Napoli 10 3 7 1.4 1.4 4 2 4 14 14 14
4 17 Udinese 11 4 7 1.4 1.7 1 6 4 15 19 9
5 18 Cagliari 11 4 7 1.3 1.6 4 3 4 14 18 15
6 1 Inter 10 4 6 2.5 0.6 8 1 1 25 6 25
7 4 Atalanta 11 5 6 2.2 0.6 8 1 2 24 7 25
8 5 Roma 11 5 6 2.2 0.8 7 3 1 24 9 24
9 6 Fiorentina 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 17 11 20
10 3 Milan 11 6 5 1.8 0.6 8 1 2 20 7 25
11 14 Lecce 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 4 4 3 12 15 16
12 15 Sassuolo 10 5 5 1.3 1.5 3 2 5 13 15 11
13 16 Verona 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 3 4 4 12 14 13
14 10 Torino 10 6 4 1.2 0.6 5 4 1 12 6 19
15 11 Genoa 11 7 4 1.3 1.1 4 5 2 14 12 17
16 19 Empoli 11 7 4 0.7 1.5 2 2 7 8 17 8
17 2 Juventus 11 8 3 1.5 0.5 8 3 0 17 5 27
18 8 Bologna 10 7 3 1.4 0.5 7 2 1 14 5 23
19 12 Monza 11 8 3 1.1 1.0 4 4 3 12 11 16
20 7 Lazio 11 9 2 1.1 0.6 6 3 2 12 7 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 11 2 9 2.1 1.6 6 3 2 23 18 21
2 15 Sassuolo 11 4 7 1.2 2.0 2 2 7 13 22 8
3 2 Juventus 11 5 6 1.7 0.7 8 2 1 19 8 26
4 5 Roma 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 17 11
5 8 Bologna 11 5 6 1.0 1.4 1 7 3 11 15 10
6 9 Napoli 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 3 16 11 18
7 13 Frosinone 11 5 6 0.8 2.3 0 3 8 9 25 3
8 18 Cagliari 11 5 6 0.6 1.8 0 3 8 7 20 3
9 20 Salernitana 10 4 6 0.7 2.0 1 2 7 7 20 5
10 1 Inter 11 6 5 2.3 0.4 9 2 0 25 4 29
11 4 Atalanta 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 3 2 5 13 14 11
12 7 Lazio 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 4 1 5 12 13 13
13 11 Genoa 11 6 5 0.9 1.3 3 2 6 10 14 11
14 12 Monza 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 3 3 5 9 17 12
15 16 Verona 11 6 5 0.7 1.5 1 2 8 8 16 5
16 14 Lecce 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 0 5 6 9 16 5
17 17 Udinese 11 7 4 0.7 1.6 1 6 4 8 18 9
18 19 Empoli 11 7 4 0.6 1.7 2 3 6 7 19 9
19 6 Fiorentina 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 4 2 4 12 11 14
20 10 Torino 11 8 3 0.7 1.2 3 3 5 8 13 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51