Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–2 Lazio

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.05 fair 2.41
Draw 3.60 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 3.50 fair 3.01
Under 2.5 2.04 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.86 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Lazio
15 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 5
14 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (268 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawLazio
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.2% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.46scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 38:28
Lazio before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.81scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 47:34
Milan all matches all matches Lazio

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.81
1.08 Goals conceded 1.31
2.54 Total goals 3.12
15.00 Shots 14.12
5.42 Shots on target 5.19
10.65 Shots faced 10.27
6.23 Corners 6.23
3.92 Corners against 4.19
10.96 Fouls 11.58
1.77 Yellow cards 2.31
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

42% Wins 54%
31% Draws 19%
27% Losses 27%
92% Over 0.5 goals 96%
77% Over 1.5 goals 85%
54% Over 2.5 goals 73%
19% Over 3.5 goals 31%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
4% Over 5.5 goals 12%
54% Both teams scored 65%
38% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 50%
46% Draws 27%
19% Losses 23%
69% Over 0.5 goals 85%
35% Over 1.5 goals 38%
12% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Lazio all matches
Milan before this match, at home
1.85points / match
1.54scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:9
Lazio before this match, away
1.69points / match
1.54scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:15
Milan at home away Lazio

Per match

1.54 Goals scored 1.54
0.69 Goals conceded 1.15
2.23 Total goals 2.69
15.77 Shots 13.38
5.31 Shots on target 5.38
9.54 Shots faced 12.15
6.92 Corners 6.38
4.00 Corners against 4.85
10.15 Fouls 12.23
1.38 Yellow cards 2.38
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

46% Wins 54%
46% Draws 8%
8% Losses 38%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
69% Over 1.5 goals 69%
38% Over 2.5 goals 62%
23% Over 3.5 goals 23%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
38% Both teams scored 54%
54% Clean sheets 31%
23% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 54%
46% Draws 23%
15% Losses 23%
69% Over 0.5 goals 77%
46% Over 1.5 goals 23%
15% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Lazio away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.25 Bologna – Milan 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.50 1.96 1.82
22.02.25 Torino – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.903.302.00 2.10 1.73
15.02.25 Milan – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.57 2.38
08.02.25 Empoli – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 5.503.801.65 1.95 1.95
02.02.25 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Juventus – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Como – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 1.84 2.06
11.01.25 Milan – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
29.12.24 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97

Lazio all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Venezia – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
15.02.25 Lazio – Napoli 2–2 (1–1) 2.633.202.80 2.10 1.73
09.02.25 Lazio – Monza 5–1 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
03.02.25 Cagliari – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 3.903.402.00 1.91 1.99
26.01.25 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
19.01.25 Verona – Lazio 0–3 (0–2) 5.003.501.75 2.05 1.85
10.01.25 Lazio – Como 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.10 1.73
05.01.25 Roma – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 2.553.103.00 2.04 1.86
28.12.24 Lazio – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 1.80 2.00
21.12.24 Lecce – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 5.003.601.73 2.00 1.80

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 Milan – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.57 2.38
02.02.25 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
11.01.25 Milan – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
29.12.24 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
19.10.24 Milan – Udinese 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.57 2.38

Lazio away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Venezia – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
03.02.25 Cagliari – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 3.903.402.00 1.91 1.99
19.01.25 Verona – Lazio 0–3 (0–2) 5.003.501.75 2.05 1.85
05.01.25 Roma – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 2.553.103.00 2.04 1.86
21.12.24 Lecce – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 5.003.601.73 2.00 1.80
08.12.24 Napoli – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.73
01.12.24 Parma – Lazio 3–1 (1–0) 4.203.801.80 1.67 2.20
10.11.24 Monza – Lazio 0–1 (0–1) 4.103.801.83 2.10 1.73
31.10.24 Como – Lazio 1–5 (0–2) 2.883.302.45 2.01 1.89
19.10.24 Juventus – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsLazio wins
7matches
2.57goals / match
43%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24I1 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.90 2.00
01.03.24I1 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
30.09.23I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
06.05.23I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
24.01.23I1 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
24.04.22I1 Lazio – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.91 1.99
12.09.21I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 17 7 3 60 25 +35 58
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 +21 57
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 +33 55
4 Juventus 26 12 13 1 43 21 +22 49
5 Lazio 26 14 5 7 47 34 +13 47
6 Bologna 27 12 11 4 42 33 +9 47
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 +14 45
8 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 +12 43
9 Milan 26 11 8 7 38 28 +10 41
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39
11 Torino 27 8 10 9 31 32 -1 34
12 Genoa 27 7 10 10 25 35 -10 31
13 Como 27 7 7 13 33 43 -10 28
14 Verona 26 8 2 16 27 54 -27 26
15 Cagliari 27 6 7 14 27 42 -15 25
16 Lecce 27 6 7 14 18 43 -25 25
17 Parma 27 5 8 14 32 46 -14 23
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22
19 Venezia 27 3 9 15 22 41 -19 18
20 Monza 27 2 8 17 21 45 -24 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 9 3 1 29 14 +15 30
2 Bologna 14 8 5 1 24 13 +11 29
3 Napoli 13 9 2 2 19 9 +10 29
4 Roma 14 9 1 4 30 13 +17 28
5 Fiorentina 14 8 3 3 23 15 +8 27
6 Atalanta 13 7 4 2 29 16 +13 25
7 Juventus 13 6 7 0 22 10 +12 25
8 Lazio 13 7 4 2 27 19 +8 25
9 Milan 13 6 6 1 20 9 +11 24
10 Udinese 14 7 2 5 19 17 +2 23
11 Como 13 5 3 5 21 21 0 18
12 Torino 13 4 5 4 12 12 0 17
13 Genoa 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
14 Parma 14 4 3 7 20 23 -3 15
15 Cagliari 14 4 3 7 15 23 -8 15
16 Lecce 13 3 5 5 9 22 -13 14
17 Venezia 13 3 4 6 12 15 -3 13
18 Verona 13 4 1 8 12 30 -18 13
19 Empoli 13 1 5 7 5 19 -14 8
20 Monza 14 1 4 9 10 19 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 14 9 3 2 30 10 +20 30
2 Inter 14 8 4 2 31 11 +20 28
3 Napoli 14 8 4 2 24 13 +11 28
4 Juventus 13 6 6 1 21 11 +10 24
5 Lazio 13 7 1 5 20 15 +5 22
6 Fiorentina 13 5 3 5 19 13 +6 18
7 Bologna 13 4 6 3 18 20 -2 18
8 Torino 14 4 5 5 19 20 -1 17
9 Milan 13 5 2 6 18 19 -1 17
10 Udinese 13 4 4 5 15 20 -5 16
11 Roma 13 3 6 4 12 17 -5 15
12 Genoa 13 4 3 6 10 18 -8 15
13 Empoli 14 3 5 6 18 25 -7 14
14 Verona 13 4 1 8 15 24 -9 13
15 Lecce 14 3 2 9 9 21 -12 11
16 Cagliari 13 2 4 7 12 19 -7 10
17 Como 14 2 4 8 12 22 -10 10
18 Parma 13 1 5 7 12 23 -11 8
19 Monza 13 1 4 8 11 26 -15 7
20 Venezia 14 0 5 9 10 26 -16 5

Milan   Lazio

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 26 7 19 1.8 1.3 14 5 7 47 34 47
2 1 Inter 27 11 16 2.2 0.9 17 7 3 60 25 58
3 3 Atalanta 27 11 16 2.2 1.0 16 7 4 59 26 55
4 14 Verona 26 10 16 1.0 2.1 8 2 16 27 54 26
5 17 Parma 27 11 16 1.2 1.7 5 8 14 32 46 23
6 6 Bologna 27 12 15 1.6 1.2 12 11 4 42 33 47
7 7 Fiorentina 27 12 15 1.6 1.0 13 6 8 42 28 45
8 9 Milan 26 12 14 1.5 1.1 11 8 7 38 28 41
9 10 Udinese 27 13 14 1.3 1.4 11 6 10 34 37 39
10 2 Napoli 27 14 13 1.6 0.8 17 6 4 43 22 57
11 8 Roma 27 14 13 1.6 1.1 12 7 8 42 30 43
12 13 Como 27 14 13 1.2 1.6 7 7 13 33 43 28
13 15 Cagliari 27 14 13 1.0 1.6 6 7 14 27 42 25
14 20 Monza 27 14 13 0.8 1.7 2 8 17 21 45 14
15 4 Juventus 26 14 12 1.7 0.8 12 13 1 43 21 49
16 18 Empoli 27 15 12 0.9 1.6 4 10 13 23 44 22
17 19 Venezia 27 15 12 0.8 1.5 3 9 15 22 41 18
18 16 Lecce 27 16 11 0.7 1.6 6 7 14 18 43 25
19 12 Genoa 27 17 10 0.9 1.3 7 10 10 25 35 31
20 11 Torino 27 18 9 1.1 1.2 8 10 9 31 32 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 13 2 11 2.1 1.5 7 4 2 27 19 25
2 14 Verona 13 3 10 0.9 2.3 4 1 8 12 30 13
3 7 Fiorentina 14 5 9 1.6 1.1 8 3 3 23 15 27
4 8 Roma 14 5 9 2.1 0.9 9 1 4 30 13 28
5 1 Inter 13 5 8 2.2 1.1 9 3 1 29 14 30
6 3 Atalanta 13 5 8 2.2 1.2 7 4 2 29 16 25
7 13 Como 13 5 8 1.6 1.6 5 3 5 21 21 18
8 17 Parma 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 4 3 7 20 23 15
9 6 Bologna 14 7 7 1.7 0.9 8 5 1 24 13 29
10 10 Udinese 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 7 2 5 19 17 23
11 15 Cagliari 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 4 3 7 15 23 15
12 4 Juventus 13 7 6 1.7 0.8 6 7 0 22 10 25
13 16 Lecce 13 7 6 0.7 1.7 3 5 5 9 22 14
14 20 Monza 14 8 6 0.7 1.4 1 4 9 10 19 7
15 2 Napoli 13 8 5 1.5 0.7 9 2 2 19 9 29
16 9 Milan 13 8 5 1.5 0.7 6 6 1 20 9 24
17 12 Genoa 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 3 7 4 15 17 16
18 18 Empoli 13 9 4 0.4 1.5 1 5 7 5 19 8
19 19 Venezia 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 3 4 6 12 15 13
20 11 Torino 13 10 3 0.9 0.9 4 5 4 12 12 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Milan 13 4 9 1.4 1.5 5 2 6 18 19 17
2 1 Inter 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 8 4 2 31 11 28
3 2 Napoli 14 6 8 1.7 0.9 8 4 2 24 13 28
4 3 Atalanta 14 6 8 2.1 0.7 9 3 2 30 10 30
5 5 Lazio 13 5 8 1.5 1.2 7 1 5 20 15 22
6 6 Bologna 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 4 6 3 18 20 18
7 17 Parma 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 1 5 7 12 23 8
8 18 Empoli 14 6 8 1.3 1.8 3 5 6 18 25 14
9 19 Venezia 14 6 8 0.7 1.9 0 5 9 10 26 5
10 10 Udinese 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 4 4 5 15 20 16
11 20 Monza 13 6 7 0.8 2.0 1 4 8 11 26 7
12 4 Juventus 13 7 6 1.6 0.8 6 6 1 21 11 24
13 7 Fiorentina 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 5 19 13 18
14 11 Torino 14 8 6 1.4 1.4 4 5 5 19 20 17
15 14 Verona 13 7 6 1.2 1.8 4 1 8 15 24 13
16 15 Cagliari 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 4 7 12 19 10
17 12 Genoa 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 4 3 6 10 18 15
18 13 Como 14 9 5 0.9 1.6 2 4 8 12 22 10
19 16 Lecce 14 9 5 0.6 1.5 3 2 9 9 21 11
20 8 Roma 13 9 4 0.9 1.3 3 6 4 12 17 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51