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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–1 Roma

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.25 fair 2.04
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.99
Away 3.20 fair 3.85
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.97 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 1.93 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Roma
21 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 5
17 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (175 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 11% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.56scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:16
Roma before this match, all matches
1.12points / match
1.35scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:23
Milan all matches all matches Roma

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.35
1.00 Goals conceded 1.35
2.56 Total goals 2.71
14.25 Shots 13.53
5.31 Shots on target 4.18
10.38 Shots faced 11.76
5.69 Corners 3.94
3.56 Corners against 3.82
10.69 Fouls 11.53
1.50 Yellow cards 1.82
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

44% Wins 29%
31% Draws 24%
25% Losses 47%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
69% Over 1.5 goals 71%
63% Over 2.5 goals 47%
25% Over 3.5 goals 29%
6% Over 4.5 goals 29%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 47%
50% Clean sheets 29%
19% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 24%
31% Draws 47%
25% Losses 29%
81% Over 0.5 goals 59%
44% Over 1.5 goals 24%
19% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Roma all matches
Milan before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.63scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:4
Roma before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.63scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 5:13
Milan at home away Roma

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 0.63
0.50 Goals conceded 1.63
2.13 Total goals 2.25
14.75 Shots 11.38
4.88 Shots on target 3.00
8.88 Shots faced 12.88
6.25 Corners 3.25
3.00 Corners against 4.75
9.50 Fouls 11.50
1.38 Yellow cards 2.13
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
38% Draws 50%
13% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
63% Over 1.5 goals 63%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
13% Both teams scored 50%
75% Clean sheets 25%
38% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 13%
25% Draws 63%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 38%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.24 Verona – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.101.57 1.73 2.10
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
06.12.24 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
19.10.24 Milan – Udinese 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24 Roma – Parma 5–0 (2–0) 1.534.206.25 1.62 2.30
15.12.24 Como – Roma 2–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
07.12.24 Roma – Lecce 4–1 (1–1) 1.574.006.25 2.00 1.80
02.12.24 Roma – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.87 2.03
24.11.24 Napoli – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
10.11.24 Roma – Bologna 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.67
03.11.24 Verona – Roma 3–2 (2–1) 5.003.501.80 2.04 1.86
31.10.24 Roma – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.99 1.91
27.10.24 Fiorentina – Roma 5–1 (3–1) 2.553.402.75 2.07 1.83
20.10.24 Roma – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.701.85 1.73 2.10

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
19.10.24 Milan – Udinese 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Milan – Venezia 4–0 (4–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
17.08.24 Milan – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.95 1.95
25.05.24 Milan – Salernitana 3–3 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.25 4.00
11.05.24 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Como – Roma 2–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
24.11.24 Napoli – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
03.11.24 Verona – Roma 3–2 (2–1) 5.003.501.80 2.04 1.86
27.10.24 Fiorentina – Roma 5–1 (3–1) 2.553.402.75 2.07 1.83
06.10.24 Monza – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 2.10 1.73
15.09.24 Genoa – Roma 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.67
01.09.24 Juventus – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.00 1.80
18.08.24 Cagliari – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 1.99 1.91
26.05.24 Empoli – Roma 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.60 1.88 2.02
12.05.24 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.88 2.02

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsRoma wins
6matches
3.33goals / match
83%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.24I1 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
01.09.23I1 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
29.04.23I1 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
08.01.23I1 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
06.01.22I1 Milan – Roma 3–1 (2–1) 1.903.703.80 1.72 2.10
31.10.21I1 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 18 13 2 3 43 20 +23 41
2 Napoli 18 13 2 3 27 12 +15 41
3 Inter 17 12 4 1 45 15 +30 40
4 Lazio 18 11 2 5 33 25 +8 35
5 Fiorentina 17 9 5 3 31 15 +16 32
6 Juventus 18 7 11 0 30 15 +15 32
7 Bologna 16 7 7 2 23 18 +5 28
8 Milan 16 7 5 4 25 16 +9 26
9 Udinese 18 7 3 8 23 28 -5 24
10 Torino 18 5 5 8 19 24 -5 20
11 Roma 17 5 4 8 23 23 0 19
12 Empoli 18 4 7 7 17 21 -4 19
13 Genoa 18 4 7 7 16 27 -11 19
14 Parma 18 4 6 8 25 34 -9 18
15 Lecce 17 4 4 9 11 29 -18 16
16 Como 17 3 6 8 18 30 -12 15
17 Verona 17 5 0 12 21 40 -19 15
18 Cagliari 18 3 5 10 16 31 -15 14
19 Venezia 18 3 4 11 17 31 -14 13
20 Monza 18 1 7 10 16 25 -9 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 8 7 0 1 25 11 +14 21
2 Napoli 9 7 0 2 13 6 +7 21
3 Inter 9 6 2 1 21 10 +11 20
4 Lazio 9 6 2 1 18 13 +5 20
5 Fiorentina 8 5 2 1 16 8 +8 17
6 Juventus 10 3 7 0 15 9 +6 16
7 Milan 8 4 3 1 13 4 +9 15
8 Roma 9 5 0 4 18 10 +8 15
9 Bologna 7 3 4 0 8 3 +5 13
10 Udinese 9 4 1 4 11 13 -2 13
11 Lecce 9 3 3 3 9 17 -8 12
12 Parma 10 3 2 5 16 18 -2 11
13 Venezia 8 3 1 4 10 11 -1 10
14 Como 7 2 3 2 10 13 -3 9
15 Cagliari 10 2 3 5 8 18 -10 9
16 Verona 9 3 0 6 11 22 -11 9
17 Torino 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
18 Empoli 9 1 4 4 3 8 -5 7
19 Genoa 10 0 6 4 9 16 -7 6
20 Monza 9 0 3 6 7 13 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 8 6 2 0 24 5 +19 20
2 Atalanta 10 6 2 2 18 9 +9 20
3 Napoli 9 6 2 1 14 6 +8 20
4 Juventus 8 4 4 0 15 6 +9 16
5 Fiorentina 9 4 3 2 15 7 +8 15
6 Lazio 9 5 0 4 15 12 +3 15
7 Bologna 9 4 3 2 15 15 0 15
8 Genoa 8 4 1 3 7 11 -4 13
9 Empoli 9 3 3 3 14 13 +1 12
10 Torino 10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
11 Milan 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
12 Udinese 9 3 2 4 12 15 -3 11
13 Monza 9 1 4 4 9 12 -3 7
14 Parma 8 1 4 3 9 16 -7 7
15 Verona 8 2 0 6 10 18 -8 6
16 Como 10 1 3 6 8 17 -9 6
17 Cagliari 8 1 2 5 8 13 -5 5
18 Roma 8 0 4 4 5 13 -8 4
19 Lecce 8 1 1 6 2 12 -10 4
20 Venezia 10 0 3 7 7 20 -13 3

Milan   Roma

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 18 4 14 1.8 1.4 11 2 5 33 25 35
2 14 Parma 18 5 13 1.4 1.9 4 6 8 25 34 18
3 17 Verona 17 4 13 1.2 2.4 5 0 12 21 40 15
4 1 Atalanta 18 6 12 2.4 1.1 13 2 3 43 20 41
5 3 Inter 17 6 11 2.6 0.9 12 4 1 45 15 40
6 19 Venezia 18 7 11 0.9 1.7 3 4 11 17 31 13
7 8 Milan 16 6 10 1.6 1.0 7 5 4 25 16 26
8 9 Udinese 18 8 10 1.3 1.6 7 3 8 23 28 24
9 5 Fiorentina 17 8 9 1.8 0.9 9 5 3 31 15 32
10 6 Juventus 18 9 9 1.7 0.8 7 11 0 30 15 32
11 2 Napoli 18 10 8 1.5 0.7 13 2 3 27 12 41
12 7 Bologna 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 7 7 2 23 18 28
13 11 Roma 17 9 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 8 23 23 19
14 13 Genoa 18 10 8 0.9 1.5 4 7 7 16 27 19
15 18 Cagliari 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 3 5 10 16 31 14
16 20 Monza 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 1 7 10 16 25 10
17 10 Torino 18 11 7 1.1 1.3 5 5 8 19 24 20
18 12 Empoli 18 11 7 0.9 1.2 4 7 7 17 21 19
19 15 Lecce 17 10 7 0.6 1.7 4 4 9 11 29 16
20 16 Como 17 10 7 1.1 1.8 3 6 8 18 30 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 9 1 8 2.0 1.4 6 2 1 18 13 20
2 17 Verona 9 1 8 1.2 2.4 3 0 6 11 22 9
3 1 Atalanta 8 1 7 3.1 1.4 7 0 1 25 11 21
4 14 Parma 10 3 7 1.6 1.8 3 2 5 16 18 11
5 5 Fiorentina 8 2 6 2.0 1.0 5 2 1 16 8 17
6 11 Roma 9 3 6 2.0 1.1 5 0 4 18 10 15
7 3 Inter 9 4 5 2.3 1.1 6 2 1 21 10 20
8 6 Juventus 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 3 7 0 15 9 16
9 13 Genoa 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 0 6 4 9 16 6
10 15 Lecce 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 3 3 3 9 17 12
11 2 Napoli 9 5 4 1.4 0.7 7 0 2 13 6 21
12 8 Milan 8 4 4 1.6 0.5 4 3 1 13 4 15
13 9 Udinese 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 4 1 4 11 13 13
14 18 Cagliari 10 6 4 0.8 1.8 2 3 5 8 18 9
15 19 Venezia 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 3 1 4 10 11 10
16 20 Monza 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 0 3 6 7 13 3
17 16 Como 7 4 3 1.4 1.9 2 3 2 10 13 9
18 10 Torino 8 6 2 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
19 12 Empoli 9 7 2 0.3 0.9 1 4 4 3 8 7
20 7 Bologna 7 6 1 1.1 0.4 3 4 0 8 3 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bologna 9 2 7 1.7 1.7 4 3 2 15 15 15
2 19 Venezia 10 3 7 0.7 2.0 0 3 7 7 20 3
3 3 Inter 8 2 6 3.0 0.6 6 2 0 24 5 20
4 4 Lazio 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 5 0 4 15 12 15
5 8 Milan 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
6 9 Udinese 9 3 6 1.3 1.7 3 2 4 12 15 11
7 14 Parma 8 2 6 1.1 2.0 1 4 3 9 16 7
8 1 Atalanta 10 5 5 1.8 0.9 6 2 2 18 9 20
9 10 Torino 10 5 5 1.3 1.5 3 3 4 13 15 12
10 12 Empoli 9 4 5 1.6 1.4 3 3 3 14 13 12
11 17 Verona 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 2 0 6 10 18 6
12 2 Napoli 9 5 4 1.6 0.7 6 2 1 14 6 20
13 6 Juventus 8 4 4 1.9 0.8 4 4 0 15 6 16
14 16 Como 10 6 4 0.8 1.7 1 3 6 8 17 6
15 18 Cagliari 8 4 4 1.0 1.6 1 2 5 8 13 5
16 20 Monza 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 1 4 4 9 12 7
17 5 Fiorentina 9 6 3 1.7 0.8 4 3 2 15 7 15
18 13 Genoa 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 4 1 3 7 11 13
19 11 Roma 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 0 4 4 5 13 4
20 15 Lecce 8 6 2 0.2 1.5 1 1 6 2 12 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51