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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–1 Cagliari

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.33 fair 1.91
Draw ✓ 5.00 fair 4.10
Away 9.50 fair 4.28
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Cagliari
24 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 1
9 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (189 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawCagliari
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–0 11.3% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.53scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 26:17
Cagliari before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.95scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 18:32
Milan all matches all matches Cagliari

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 0.95
1.00 Goals conceded 1.68
2.53 Total goals 2.63
14.65 Shots 12.95
5.41 Shots on target 3.58
10.47 Shots faced 14.00
5.71 Corners 5.74
3.65 Corners against 4.63
11.06 Fouls 13.63
1.65 Yellow cards 2.05
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

41% Wins 21%
35% Draws 26%
24% Losses 53%
88% Over 0.5 goals 95%
71% Over 1.5 goals 74%
59% Over 2.5 goals 47%
24% Over 3.5 goals 26%
6% Over 4.5 goals 16%
6% Over 5.5 goals 5%
47% Both teams scored 47%
47% Clean sheets 11%
18% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 11%
35% Draws 42%
24% Losses 47%
82% Over 0.5 goals 79%
47% Over 1.5 goals 26%
18% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Cagliari all matches
Milan before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.56scored / match
0.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:5
Cagliari before this match, away
0.89points / match
1.11scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:14
Milan at home away Cagliari

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.11
0.56 Goals conceded 1.56
2.11 Total goals 2.67
15.44 Shots 11.33
5.11 Shots on target 3.00
9.22 Shots faced 15.00
6.22 Corners 5.11
3.22 Corners against 4.56
10.33 Fouls 13.56
1.67 Yellow cards 2.89
1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

44% Wins 22%
44% Draws 22%
11% Losses 56%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 78%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
22% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
22% Both teams scored 67%
67% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 11%
33% Draws 33%
22% Losses 56%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 33%
22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Cagliari away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
20.12.24 Verona – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.101.57 1.73 2.10
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
06.12.24 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 5.003.601.70 1.90 2.00
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
19.10.24 Milan – Udinese 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.57 2.38

Cagliari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.25 Monza – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.03 1.87
28.12.24 Cagliari – Inter 0–3 (0–0) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
22.12.24 Venezia – Cagliari 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.92 1.98
14.12.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.331.55 1.62 2.30
08.12.24 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.67 2.20
29.11.24 Cagliari – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.10 1.89 2.01
24.11.24 Genoa – Cagliari 2–2 (1–1) 2.633.102.90 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
04.11.24 Lazio – Cagliari 2–1 (1–1) 1.503.757.50 1.84 2.06
29.10.24 Cagliari – Bologna 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.252.35 2.10 1.73

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
19.10.24 Milan – Udinese 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Milan – Venezia 4–0 (4–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
17.08.24 Milan – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.95 1.95
25.05.24 Milan – Salernitana 3–3 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.25 4.00

Cagliari away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.25 Monza – Cagliari 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.03 1.87
22.12.24 Venezia – Cagliari 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.92 1.98
08.12.24 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.67 2.20
24.11.24 Genoa – Cagliari 2–2 (1–1) 2.633.102.90 2.20 1.67
04.11.24 Lazio – Cagliari 2–1 (1–1) 1.503.757.50 1.84 2.06
25.10.24 Udinese – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.73
06.10.24 Juventus – Cagliari 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.99 1.91
30.09.24 Parma – Cagliari 2–3 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
19.05.24 Sassuolo – Cagliari 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.303.10 1.84 2.06

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsCagliari wins
5matches
4.40goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24I1 Cagliari – Milan 3–3 (1–2) 5.504.101.60 1.67 2.20
11.05.24I1 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.23I1 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
19.03.22I1 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.254.001.60 1.92 1.98
29.08.21I1 Milan – Cagliari 4–1 (4–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 19 14 2 3 30 12 +18 44
2 Atalanta 19 13 3 3 43 20 +23 42
3 Inter 17 12 4 1 45 15 +30 40
4 Lazio 20 11 3 6 34 28 +6 36
5 Juventus 19 7 12 0 31 16 +15 33
6 Fiorentina 18 9 5 4 31 18 +13 32
7 Bologna 17 7 7 3 25 21 +4 28
8 Milan 17 7 6 4 26 17 +9 27
9 Udinese 20 7 5 8 23 28 -5 26
10 Roma 19 6 5 8 26 24 +2 23
11 Torino 20 5 7 8 20 25 -5 22
12 Empoli 20 4 8 8 19 25 -6 20
13 Genoa 19 4 8 7 16 27 -11 20
14 Lecce 20 5 5 10 14 32 -18 20
15 Parma 19 4 7 8 25 34 -9 19
16 Como 19 4 7 8 21 31 -10 19
17 Verona 19 6 1 12 24 42 -18 19
18 Cagliari 19 4 5 10 18 32 -14 17
19 Venezia 19 3 5 11 18 32 -14 14
20 Monza 19 1 7 11 17 27 -10 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 8 7 0 1 25 11 +14 21
2 Napoli 9 7 0 2 13 6 +7 21
3 Lazio 10 6 3 1 19 14 +5 21
4 Inter 9 6 2 1 21 10 +11 20
5 Roma 10 6 0 4 20 10 +10 18
6 Fiorentina 9 5 2 2 16 11 +5 17
7 Milan 9 4 4 1 14 5 +9 16
8 Juventus 10 3 7 0 15 9 +6 16
9 Udinese 10 4 2 4 11 13 -2 14
10 Bologna 8 3 4 1 10 6 +4 13
11 Lecce 10 3 4 3 9 17 -8 13
12 Como 8 3 3 2 12 13 -1 12
13 Venezia 9 3 2 4 11 12 -1 11
14 Parma 10 3 2 5 16 18 -2 11
15 Torino 10 2 4 4 7 10 -3 10
16 Verona 10 3 1 6 11 22 -11 10
17 Cagliari 10 2 3 5 8 18 -10 9
18 Empoli 10 1 4 5 4 11 -7 7
19 Genoa 10 0 6 4 9 16 -7 6
20 Monza 10 0 3 7 8 15 -7 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 7 2 1 17 6 +11 23
2 Atalanta 11 6 3 2 18 9 +9 21
3 Inter 8 6 2 0 24 5 +19 20
4 Juventus 9 4 5 0 16 7 +9 17
5 Fiorentina 9 4 3 2 15 7 +8 15
6 Lazio 10 5 0 5 15 14 +1 15
7 Bologna 9 4 3 2 15 15 0 15
8 Genoa 9 4 2 3 7 11 -4 14
9 Empoli 10 3 4 3 15 14 +1 13
10 Torino 10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
11 Udinese 10 3 3 4 12 15 -3 12
12 Milan 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
13 Verona 9 3 0 6 13 20 -7 9
14 Cagliari 9 2 2 5 10 14 -4 8
15 Parma 9 1 5 3 9 16 -7 8
16 Monza 9 1 4 4 9 12 -3 7
17 Como 11 1 4 6 9 18 -9 7
18 Lecce 10 2 1 7 5 15 -10 7
19 Roma 9 0 5 4 6 14 -8 5
20 Venezia 10 0 3 7 7 20 -13 3

Milan   Cagliari

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 20 6 14 1.7 1.4 11 3 6 34 28 36
2 17 Verona 19 5 14 1.3 2.2 6 1 12 24 42 19
3 15 Parma 19 6 13 1.3 1.8 4 7 8 25 34 19
4 2 Atalanta 19 7 12 2.3 1.1 13 3 3 43 20 42
5 3 Inter 17 6 11 2.6 0.9 12 4 1 45 15 40
6 19 Venezia 19 8 11 0.9 1.7 3 5 11 18 32 14
7 6 Fiorentina 18 8 10 1.7 1.0 9 5 4 31 18 32
8 8 Milan 17 7 10 1.5 1.0 7 6 4 26 17 27
9 9 Udinese 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 7 5 8 23 28 26
10 1 Napoli 19 10 9 1.6 0.6 14 2 3 30 12 44
11 5 Juventus 19 10 9 1.6 0.8 7 12 0 31 16 33
12 7 Bologna 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 7 7 3 25 21 28
13 18 Cagliari 19 10 9 0.9 1.7 4 5 10 18 32 17
14 20 Monza 19 10 9 0.9 1.4 1 7 11 17 27 10
15 10 Roma 19 11 8 1.4 1.3 6 5 8 26 24 23
16 12 Empoli 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 4 8 8 19 25 20
17 13 Genoa 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 4 8 7 16 27 20
18 14 Lecce 20 12 8 0.7 1.6 5 5 10 14 32 20
19 11 Torino 20 13 7 1.0 1.2 5 7 8 20 25 22
20 16 Como 19 12 7 1.1 1.6 4 7 8 21 31 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Lazio 10 2 8 1.9 1.4 6 3 1 19 14 21
2 17 Verona 10 2 8 1.1 2.2 3 1 6 11 22 10
3 2 Atalanta 8 1 7 3.1 1.4 7 0 1 25 11 21
4 6 Fiorentina 9 2 7 1.8 1.2 5 2 2 16 11 17
5 15 Parma 10 3 7 1.6 1.8 3 2 5 16 18 11
6 10 Roma 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 6 0 4 20 10 18
7 3 Inter 9 4 5 2.3 1.1 6 2 1 21 10 20
8 5 Juventus 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 3 7 0 15 9 16
9 13 Genoa 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 0 6 4 9 16 6
10 14 Lecce 10 5 5 0.9 1.7 3 4 3 9 17 13
11 20 Monza 10 5 5 0.8 1.5 0 3 7 8 15 3
12 1 Napoli 9 5 4 1.4 0.7 7 0 2 13 6 21
13 8 Milan 9 5 4 1.6 0.6 4 4 1 14 5 16
14 9 Udinese 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 4 2 4 11 13 14
15 18 Cagliari 10 6 4 0.8 1.8 2 3 5 8 18 9
16 19 Venezia 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 2 4 11 12 11
17 12 Empoli 10 7 3 0.4 1.1 1 4 5 4 11 7
18 16 Como 8 5 3 1.5 1.6 3 3 2 12 13 12
19 7 Bologna 8 6 2 1.2 0.8 3 4 1 10 6 13
20 11 Torino 10 8 2 0.7 1.0 2 4 4 7 10 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bologna 9 2 7 1.7 1.7 4 3 2 15 15 15
2 19 Venezia 10 3 7 0.7 2.0 0 3 7 7 20 3
3 3 Inter 8 2 6 3.0 0.6 6 2 0 24 5 20
4 4 Lazio 10 4 6 1.5 1.4 5 0 5 15 14 15
5 8 Milan 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
6 9 Udinese 10 4 6 1.2 1.5 3 3 4 12 15 12
7 15 Parma 9 3 6 1.0 1.8 1 5 3 9 16 8
8 17 Verona 9 3 6 1.4 2.2 3 0 6 13 20 9
9 1 Napoli 10 5 5 1.7 0.6 7 2 1 17 6 23
10 2 Atalanta 11 6 5 1.6 0.8 6 3 2 18 9 21
11 11 Torino 10 5 5 1.3 1.5 3 3 4 13 15 12
12 12 Empoli 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 4 3 15 14 13
13 18 Cagliari 9 4 5 1.1 1.6 2 2 5 10 14 8
14 5 Juventus 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 4 5 0 16 7 17
15 16 Como 11 7 4 0.8 1.6 1 4 6 9 18 7
16 20 Monza 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 1 4 4 9 12 7
17 6 Fiorentina 9 6 3 1.7 0.8 4 3 2 15 7 15
18 13 Genoa 9 6 3 0.8 1.2 4 2 3 7 11 14
19 14 Lecce 10 7 3 0.5 1.5 2 1 7 5 15 7
20 10 Roma 9 7 2 0.7 1.6 0 5 4 6 14 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51