Parma 1–0 Fiorentina – Italy Serie A, 27 Dec 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Parma Fiorentina

13 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 6

10 Fouls 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (156 league matches this season so far).

Result Parma to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.92

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.09

Home / Draw / Away

41% 28% 32%

ParmaDrawFiorentina

Under / Over 2.5 goals

58% 42%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13% 1–0 11.9% 0–1 10.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Parma before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

0.67scored / match

1.20conceded / match

3 5 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 10:18

Fiorentina before this match, all matches

0.56points / match

1.06scored / match

1.69conceded / match

1 6 9

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:27

Parma all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.06

1.20 Goals conceded 1.69

1.87 Total goals 2.75

11.33 Shots 12.69

3.07 Shots on target 3.00

13.67 Shots faced 13.19

3.07 Corners 4.44

4.87 Corners against 4.56

11.00 Fouls 13.56

1.93 Yellow cards 2.38

0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

20% Wins 6%

33% Draws 38%

47% Losses 56%

80% Over 0.5 goals 88%

60% Over 1.5 goals 81%

33% Over 2.5 goals 63%

13% Over 3.5 goals 31%

0% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

40% Both teams scored 69%

27% Clean sheets 13%

53% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 13%

53% Draws 38%

27% Losses 50%

53% Over 0.5 goals 69%

13% Over 1.5 goals 31%

7% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma all matches

1

L

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

2

D

2

1

W

2

L

1

W

1

L

Fiorentina all matches

1

2

L

2

D

3

L

1

L

2

D

1

D

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

5

1

W

Parma before this match, at home

0.75points / match

0.75scored / match

1.38conceded / match

1 3 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:11

Fiorentina before this match, away

0.50points / match

0.63scored / match

1.63conceded / match

4 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 5:13

Parma at home away Fiorentina

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 0.63

1.38 Goals conceded 1.63

2.13 Total goals 2.25

12.13 Shots 10.00

2.75 Shots on target 2.13

12.50 Shots faced 14.00

3.25 Corners 4.00

4.75 Corners against 4.63

11.38 Fouls 13.75

1.63 Yellow cards 2.38

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

13% Wins 0%

38% Draws 50%

50% Losses 50%

88% Over 0.5 goals 75%

63% Over 1.5 goals 75%

38% Over 2.5 goals 50%

25% Over 3.5 goals 25%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 50%

13% Clean sheets 25%

50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 0%

50% Draws 75%

38% Losses 25%

63% Over 0.5 goals 38%

25% Over 1.5 goals 25%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Parma at home

1

L

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

L

D

1

3

L

2

D

2

L

1

L

Fiorentina away

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

L

2

D

2

L

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Parma all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.12.25	Parma – Lazio	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.30	1.62
08.12.25	Pisa – Parma	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.00	3.30	2.50	1.53
29.11.25	Parma – Udinese	0–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.00	2.80	2.30	1.62
23.11.25	Verona – Parma	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.00	3.60	2.50	1.53
08.11.25	Parma – Milan	2–2 (1–2)	5.75	4.00	1.57	2.10	1.73
02.11.25	Parma – Bologna	1–3 (1–1)	4.20	3.00	2.05	2.50	1.53
29.10.25	Roma – Parma	2–1 (0–0)	1.53	3.75	7.50	2.10	1.73
25.10.25	Parma – Como	0–0 (0–0)	3.90	3.50	1.95	2.05	1.75
19.10.25	Genoa – Parma	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.00	4.00	2.50	1.53
04.10.25	Parma – Lecce	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.70	4.10	2.20	1.67

Fiorentina all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.12.25	Fiorentina – Udinese	5–1 (3–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.73
14.12.25	Fiorentina – Verona	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.40	4.75	2.20	1.67
06.12.25	Sassuolo – Fiorentina	3–1 (2–1)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.10	1.73
30.11.25	Atalanta – Fiorentina	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.75	4.75	1.91	1.91
22.11.25	Fiorentina – Juventus	1–1 (0–1)	3.90	3.40	2.00	2.10	1.73
09.11.25	Genoa – Fiorentina	2–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
02.11.25	Fiorentina – Lecce	0–1 (0–1)	1.62	3.80	5.75	2.20	1.67
29.10.25	Inter – Fiorentina	3–0 (0–0)	1.38	4.50	8.50	1.73	2.10
26.10.25	Fiorentina – Bologna	2–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.75	2.20	1.67
19.10.25	Milan – Fiorentina	2–1 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.88	1.98

Parma at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.12.25	Parma – Lazio	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.30	1.62
29.11.25	Parma – Udinese	0–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.00	2.80	2.30	1.62
08.11.25	Parma – Milan	2–2 (1–2)	5.75	4.00	1.57	2.10	1.73
02.11.25	Parma – Bologna	1–3 (1–1)	4.20	3.00	2.05	2.50	1.53
25.10.25	Parma – Como	0–0 (0–0)	3.90	3.50	1.95	2.05	1.75
04.10.25	Parma – Lecce	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.70	4.10	2.20	1.67
29.09.25	Parma – Torino	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.10	3.40	2.20	1.67
30.08.25	Parma – Atalanta	1–1 (0–0)	4.10	3.50	1.91	1.93	1.93
18.05.25	Parma – Napoli	0–0 (0–0)	6.25	4.20	1.50	1.95	1.95
03.05.25	Parma – Como	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.91	1.99

Fiorentina away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.12.25	Sassuolo – Fiorentina	3–1 (2–1)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.10	1.73
30.11.25	Atalanta – Fiorentina	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.75	4.75	1.91	1.91
09.11.25	Genoa – Fiorentina	2–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.53
29.10.25	Inter – Fiorentina	3–0 (0–0)	1.38	4.50	8.50	1.73	2.10
19.10.25	Milan – Fiorentina	2–1 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.88	1.98
28.09.25	Pisa – Fiorentina	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.25	2.25	2.20	1.67
31.08.25	Torino – Fiorentina	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.62
24.08.25	Cagliari – Fiorentina	1–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.73
25.05.25	Udinese – Fiorentina	2–3 (1–0)	3.70	3.60	2.00	1.98	1.88
12.05.25	Venezia – Fiorentina	2–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.20	2.38	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2

Parma winsDrawsFiorentina wins

2matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.04.25I1	Fiorentina – Parma	0–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.98	1.92
17.08.24I1	Parma – Fiorentina	1–1 (1–0)	3.50	3.20	2.20	1.90	2.00

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	15	11	0	4	34	14	+20	33
2	Milan	15	9	5	1	24	13	+11	32
3	Napoli	15	10	1	4	22	13	+9	31
4	Roma	16	10	0	6	17	10	+7	30
5	Juventus	16	8	5	3	21	15	+6	29
6	Bologna	15	7	4	4	23	13	+10	25
7	Como	15	6	6	3	19	12	+7	24
8	Lazio	16	6	5	5	17	11	+6	23
9	Atalanta	16	5	7	4	20	18	+2	22
10	Sassuolo	16	6	3	7	21	20	+1	21
11	Cremonese	16	5	6	5	18	18	0	21
12	Udinese	16	6	3	7	17	27	-10	21
13	Torino	16	5	5	6	16	26	-10	20
14	Lecce	15	4	4	7	11	19	-8	16
15	Cagliari	16	3	6	7	17	23	-6	15
16	Genoa	16	3	5	8	16	24	-8	14
17	Parma	15	3	5	7	10	18	-8	14
18	Verona	15	2	6	7	13	22	-9	12
19	Pisa	16	1	8	7	12	22	-10	11
20	Fiorentina	16	1	6	9	17	27	-10	9

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Napoli	7	6	1	0	14	6	+8	19
2	Inter	8	6	0	2	21	5	+16	18
3	Juventus	8	5	3	0	14	7	+7	18
4	Milan	8	5	2	1	12	8	+4	17
5	Lazio	8	4	3	1	13	5	+8	15
6	Como	7	4	3	0	11	3	+8	15
7	Roma	8	5	0	3	8	4	+4	15
8	Bologna	7	4	1	2	10	5	+5	13
9	Atalanta	8	3	4	1	11	8	+3	13
10	Udinese	8	3	2	3	8	12	-4	11
11	Torino	8	3	2	3	9	14	-5	11
12	Sassuolo	8	3	1	4	10	10	0	10
13	Cremonese	7	2	3	2	9	9	0	9
14	Cagliari	8	2	3	3	10	12	-2	9
15	Lecce	8	2	3	3	6	8	-2	9
16	Verona	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
17	Pisa	8	1	3	4	1	5	-4	6
18	Parma	8	1	3	4	6	11	-5	6
19	Genoa	9	1	3	5	5	12	-7	6
20	Fiorentina	8	1	2	5	12	14	-2	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Milan	7	4	3	0	12	5	+7	15
2	Inter	7	5	0	2	13	9	+4	15
3	Roma	8	5	0	3	9	6	+3	15
4	Bologna	8	3	3	2	13	8	+5	12
5	Napoli	8	4	0	4	8	7	+1	12
6	Cremonese	9	3	3	3	9	9	0	12
7	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	11	10	+1	11
8	Juventus	8	3	2	3	7	8	-1	11
9	Udinese	8	3	1	4	9	15	-6	10
10	Atalanta	8	2	3	3	9	10	-1	9
11	Como	8	2	3	3	8	9	-1	9
12	Torino	8	2	3	3	7	12	-5	9
13	Genoa	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
14	Lazio	8	2	2	4	4	6	-2	8
15	Parma	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
16	Lecce	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
17	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	7	11	-4	6
18	Verona	8	1	3	4	5	13	-8	6
19	Pisa	8	0	5	3	11	17	-6	5
20	Fiorentina	8	0	4	4	5	13	-8	4

Parma Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Inter	15	5	10	2.3	0.9	11	0	4	34	14	33
2	16	Genoa	16	6	10	1.0	1.5	3	5	8	16	24	14
3	20	Fiorentina	16	6	10	1.1	1.7	1	6	9	17	27	9
4	10	Sassuolo	16	7	9	1.3	1.2	6	3	7	21	20	21
5	13	Torino	16	7	9	1.0	1.6	5	5	6	16	26	20
6	2	Milan	15	7	8	1.6	0.9	9	5	1	24	13	32
7	12	Udinese	16	8	8	1.1	1.7	6	3	7	17	27	21
8	18	Verona	15	7	8	0.9	1.5	2	6	7	13	22	12
9	3	Napoli	15	8	7	1.5	0.9	10	1	4	22	13	31
10	6	Bologna	15	8	7	1.5	0.9	7	4	4	23	13	25
11	15	Cagliari	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	3	6	7	17	23	15
12	5	Juventus	16	10	6	1.3	0.9	8	5	3	21	15	29
13	9	Atalanta	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	5	7	4	20	18	22
14	11	Cremonese	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	5	6	5	18	18	21
15	19	Pisa	16	10	6	0.8	1.4	1	8	7	12	22	11
16	14	Lecce	15	10	5	0.7	1.3	4	4	7	11	19	16
17	17	Parma	15	10	5	0.7	1.2	3	5	7	10	18	14
18	4	Roma	16	12	4	1.1	0.6	10	0	6	17	10	30
19	7	Como	15	11	4	1.3	0.8	6	6	3	19	12	24
20	8	Lazio	16	13	3	1.1	0.7	6	5	5	17	11	23

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Inter	8	2	6	2.6	0.6	6	0	2	21	5	18
2	20	Fiorentina	8	2	6	1.5	1.8	1	2	5	12	14	5
3	2	Milan	8	3	5	1.5	1.0	5	2	1	12	8	17
4	3	Napoli	7	2	5	2.0	0.9	6	1	0	14	6	19
5	13	Torino	8	3	5	1.1	1.8	3	2	3	9	14	11
6	5	Juventus	8	4	4	1.8	0.9	5	3	0	14	7	18
7	10	Sassuolo	8	4	4	1.2	1.2	3	1	4	10	10	10
8	12	Udinese	8	4	4	1.0	1.5	3	2	3	8	12	11
9	16	Genoa	9	5	4	0.6	1.3	1	3	5	5	12	6
10	18	Verona	7	3	4	1.1	1.3	1	3	3	8	9	6
11	6	Bologna	7	4	3	1.4	0.7	4	1	2	10	5	13
12	9	Atalanta	8	5	3	1.4	1.0	3	4	1	11	8	13
13	11	Cremonese	7	4	3	1.3	1.3	2	3	2	9	9	9
14	14	Lecce	8	5	3	0.8	1.0	2	3	3	6	8	9
15	15	Cagliari	8	5	3	1.2	1.5	2	3	3	10	12	9
16	17	Parma	8	5	3	0.8	1.4	1	3	4	6	11	6
17	8	Lazio	8	6	2	1.6	0.6	4	3	1	13	5	15
18	4	Roma	8	7	1	1.0	0.5	5	0	3	8	4	15
19	7	Como	7	6	1	1.6	0.4	4	3	0	11	3	15
20	19	Pisa	8	8	0	0.1	0.6	1	3	4	1	5	6

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Genoa	7	1	6	1.6	1.7	2	2	3	11	12	8
2	19	Pisa	8	2	6	1.4	2.1	0	5	3	11	17	5
3	10	Sassuolo	8	3	5	1.4	1.2	3	2	3	11	10	11
4	1	Inter	7	3	4	1.9	1.3	5	0	2	13	9	15
5	6	Bologna	8	4	4	1.6	1.0	3	3	2	13	8	12
6	12	Udinese	8	4	4	1.1	1.9	3	1	4	9	15	10
7	13	Torino	8	4	4	0.9	1.5	2	3	3	7	12	9
8	15	Cagliari	8	4	4	0.9	1.4	1	3	4	7	11	6
9	18	Verona	8	4	4	0.6	1.6	1	3	4	5	13	6
10	20	Fiorentina	8	4	4	0.6	1.6	0	4	4	5	13	4
11	2	Milan	7	4	3	1.7	0.7	4	3	0	12	5	15
12	4	Roma	8	5	3	1.1	0.8	5	0	3	9	6	15
13	7	Como	8	5	3	1.0	1.1	2	3	3	8	9	9
14	9	Atalanta	8	5	3	1.1	1.2	2	3	3	9	10	9
15	11	Cremonese	9	6	3	1.0	1.0	3	3	3	9	9	12
16	3	Napoli	8	6	2	1.0	0.9	4	0	4	8	7	12
17	5	Juventus	8	6	2	0.9	1.0	3	2	3	7	8	11
18	14	Lecce	7	5	2	0.7	1.6	2	1	4	5	11	7
19	17	Parma	7	5	2	0.6	1.0	2	2	3	4	7	8
20	8	Lazio	8	7	1	0.5	0.8	2	2	4	4	6	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.