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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Willem II

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.69
Draw 5.25 fair 4.96
Away 9.00 fair 4.83
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.96
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Willem II
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 2
11 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (146 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 2.18 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawWillem II
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.7% 1–1 8.9% 2–0 7.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.88scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:22
Willem II before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.06scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:31
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Willem II

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.06
1.38 Goals conceded 1.94
3.25 Total goals 3.00
13.31 Shots 11.06
5.50 Shots on target 3.31
10.75 Shots faced 14.63
5.31 Corners 4.56
3.13 Corners against 5.06
9.94 Fouls 9.06
1.69 Yellow cards 1.63
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 31%
13% Draws 19%
38% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
81% Over 1.5 goals 81%
69% Over 2.5 goals 69%
50% Over 3.5 goals 31%
25% Over 4.5 goals 19%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
63% Both teams scored 56%
13% Clean sheets 19%
31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 13%
44% Draws 56%
31% Losses 31%
81% Over 0.5 goals 56%
56% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Willem II all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
2.29points / match
2.71scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 19:9
Willem II before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:17
AZ Alkmaar at home away Willem II

Per match

2.71 Goals scored 1.25
1.29 Goals conceded 2.13
4.00 Total goals 3.38
14.43 Shots 10.50
6.86 Shots on target 3.38
7.57 Shots faced 15.25
5.86 Corners 3.75
1.71 Corners against 5.50
9.00 Fouls 10.13
1.29 Yellow cards 2.13
1.43 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

71% Wins 25%
14% Draws 25%
14% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
100% Over 1.5 goals 88%
86% Over 2.5 goals 75%
57% Over 3.5 goals 38%
43% Over 4.5 goals 38%
14% Over 5.5 goals 13%
71% Both teams scored 63%
14% Clean sheets 25%
14% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 13%
29% Draws 50%
29% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 63%
71% Over 1.5 goals 50%
43% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 8 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Willem II away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.12.21 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.30 3.50
05.12.21 AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (2–1) 1.444.757.00 1.70 2.10
02.12.21 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 2–1 (1–1) 1.285.5011.00 1.57 2.35
28.11.21 Vitesse – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
20.11.21 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.009.00 1.60 2.30
07.11.21 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.753.80 1.57 2.35
30.10.21 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 3–2 (2–2) 1.226.5011.00 1.50 2.50
24.10.21 Groningen – AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (1–0) 4.753.601.72 1.75 2.05
17.10.21 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 5–1 (3–0) 2.003.503.50 1.65 2.20
03.10.21 Cambuur – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 (0–2) 3.604.001.83 1.53 2.40

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.21 Willem II – Cambuur 1–3 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.65 2.20
02.12.21 Ajax – Willem II 5–0 (3–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.22 4.20
27.11.21 Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.50 1.88 1.98
21.11.21 Heerenveen – Willem II 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.70 2.10
06.11.21 Willem II – Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.503.20 1.90 1.90
31.10.21 Utrecht – Willem II 5–1 (2–1) 1.364.757.50 1.53 2.40
22.10.21 Willem II – For Sittard 1–1 (0–0) 1.904.003.60 1.85 1.95
17.10.21 Twente – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.70 2.10
02.10.21 Heracles – Willem II 3–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.00 1.80 2.00
25.09.21 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 2–1 (1–1) 5.504.501.44 1.60 2.30

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.21 AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (2–1) 1.444.757.00 1.70 2.10
02.12.21 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 2–1 (1–1) 1.285.5011.00 1.57 2.35
20.11.21 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.009.00 1.60 2.30
30.10.21 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 3–2 (2–2) 1.226.5011.00 1.50 2.50
17.10.21 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 5–1 (3–0) 2.003.503.50 1.65 2.20
26.09.21 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 5–0 (2–0) 1.285.259.00 1.50 2.50
11.09.21 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–1) 3.254.002.00 1.60 2.30

Willem II away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.21 Ajax – Willem II 5–0 (3–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.22 4.20
21.11.21 Heerenveen – Willem II 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.70 2.10
31.10.21 Utrecht – Willem II 5–1 (2–1) 1.364.757.50 1.53 2.40
17.10.21 Twente – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.70 2.10
02.10.21 Heracles – Willem II 3–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.00 1.80 2.00
21.09.21 Waalwijk – Willem II 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.75 1.72 2.07
12.09.21 Nijmegen – Willem II 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.50 1.85 1.95
22.08.21 Vitesse – Willem II 0–3 (0–2) 1.613.755.50 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 1 3 40 23 +17 37
2 Ajax 16 11 3 2 49 4 +45 36
3 Feyenoord 16 11 3 2 39 15 +24 36
4 Vitesse 17 9 3 5 24 25 -1 30
5 Utrecht 17 8 4 5 32 22 +10 28
6 Twente 16 8 4 4 24 20 +4 28
7 Cambuur 16 9 0 7 30 36 -6 27
8 AZ Alkmaar 16 8 2 6 30 22 +8 26
9 Heerenveen 16 6 4 6 18 21 -3 22
10 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 3 7 19 25 -6 21
11 Groningen 16 4 7 5 18 22 -4 19
12 Nijmegen 16 5 4 7 21 26 -5 19
13 Willem II 16 5 3 8 17 31 -14 18
14 Waalwijk 16 3 6 7 17 25 -8 15
15 Heracles 16 4 2 10 16 23 -7 14
16 For Sittard 17 3 4 10 19 41 -22 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 14 26 -12 12
18 Zwolle 16 1 3 12 8 28 -20 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 8 7 1 0 24 7 +17 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 8 7 0 1 25 12 +13 21
3 Utrecht 8 6 2 0 22 6 +16 20
4 Ajax 9 6 1 2 33 3 +30 19
5 AZ Alkmaar 7 5 1 1 19 9 +10 16
6 Twente 8 4 3 1 10 6 +4 15
7 Heracles 8 4 1 3 10 9 +1 13
8 Go Ahead Eagles 8 4 0 4 13 11 +2 12
9 Cambuur 8 4 0 4 16 18 -2 12
10 Heerenveen 9 3 2 4 11 14 -3 11
11 Vitesse 8 3 2 3 9 13 -4 11
12 Waalwijk 8 3 1 4 7 12 -5 10
13 Willem II 8 3 1 4 7 14 -7 10
14 Groningen 8 1 6 1 7 6 +1 9
15 Nijmegen 8 2 2 4 9 10 -1 8
16 For Sittard 8 2 2 4 10 21 -11 8
17 Sparta Rotterdam 9 1 4 4 8 13 -5 7
18 Zwolle 8 1 2 5 3 8 -5 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Vitesse 9 6 1 2 15 12 +3 19
2 Ajax 7 5 2 0 16 1 +15 17
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 5 1 2 15 11 +4 16
4 Cambuur 8 5 0 3 14 18 -4 15
5 Feyenoord 8 4 2 2 15 8 +7 14
6 Twente 8 4 1 3 14 14 0 13
7 Heerenveen 7 3 2 2 7 7 0 11
8 Nijmegen 8 3 2 3 12 16 -4 11
9 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 1 5 11 13 -2 10
10 Groningen 8 3 1 4 11 16 -5 10
11 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 3 3 6 14 -8 9
12 Utrecht 9 2 2 5 10 16 -6 8
13 Willem II 8 2 2 4 10 17 -7 8
14 Waalwijk 8 0 5 3 10 13 -3 5
15 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 2 5 6 13 -7 5
16 For Sittard 9 1 2 6 9 20 -11 5
17 Heracles 8 0 1 7 6 14 -8 1
18 Zwolle 8 0 1 7 5 20 -15 1

AZ Alkmaar   Willem II

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 3 13 2.5 1.4 12 1 3 40 23 37
2 7 Cambuur 16 3 13 1.9 2.2 9 0 7 30 36 27
3 5 Utrecht 17 5 12 1.9 1.3 8 4 5 32 22 28
4 16 For Sittard 17 5 12 1.1 2.4 3 4 10 19 41 13
5 3 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.4 0.9 11 3 2 39 15 36
6 4 Vitesse 17 6 11 1.4 1.5 9 3 5 24 25 30
7 8 AZ Alkmaar 16 5 11 1.9 1.4 8 2 6 30 22 26
8 13 Willem II 16 5 11 1.1 1.9 5 3 8 17 31 18
9 2 Ajax 16 7 9 3.1 0.2 11 3 2 49 4 36
10 12 Nijmegen 16 7 9 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 26 19
11 14 Waalwijk 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 3 6 7 17 25 15
12 6 Twente 16 8 8 1.5 1.2 8 4 4 24 20 28
13 9 Heerenveen 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 6 4 6 18 21 22
14 10 Go Ahead Eagles 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 3 7 19 25 21
15 15 Heracles 16 9 7 1.0 1.4 4 2 10 16 23 14
16 17 Sparta Rotterdam 17 10 7 0.8 1.5 2 6 9 14 26 12
17 11 Groningen 16 10 6 1.1 1.4 4 7 5 18 22 19
18 18 Zwolle 16 11 5 0.5 1.8 1 3 12 8 28 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 3.1 1.5 7 0 1 25 12 21
2 2 Ajax 9 2 7 3.7 0.3 6 1 2 33 3 19
3 7 Cambuur 8 1 7 2.0 2.2 4 0 4 16 18 12
4 16 For Sittard 8 1 7 1.2 2.6 2 2 4 10 21 8
5 3 Feyenoord 8 2 6 3.0 0.9 7 1 0 24 7 22
6 4 Vitesse 8 2 6 1.1 1.6 3 2 3 9 13 11
7 5 Utrecht 8 2 6 2.8 0.8 6 2 0 22 6 20
8 8 AZ Alkmaar 7 1 6 2.7 1.3 5 1 1 19 9 16
9 9 Heerenveen 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 3 2 4 11 14 11
10 13 Willem II 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 3 1 4 7 14 10
11 10 Go Ahead Eagles 8 4 4 1.6 1.4 4 0 4 13 11 12
12 12 Nijmegen 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 2 4 9 10 8
13 14 Waalwijk 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 3 1 4 7 12 10
14 6 Twente 8 5 3 1.2 0.8 4 3 1 10 6 15
15 15 Heracles 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 4 1 3 10 9 13
16 17 Sparta Rotterdam 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 1 4 4 8 13 7
17 18 Zwolle 8 7 1 0.4 1.0 1 2 5 3 8 5
18 11 Groningen 8 8 0 0.9 0.8 1 6 1 7 6 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 2 6 1.9 1.4 5 1 2 15 11 16
2 5 Utrecht 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 2 2 5 10 16 8
3 7 Cambuur 8 2 6 1.8 2.2 5 0 3 14 18 15
4 11 Groningen 8 2 6 1.4 2.0 3 1 4 11 16 10
5 13 Willem II 8 2 6 1.2 2.1 2 2 4 10 17 8
6 3 Feyenoord 8 3 5 1.9 1.0 4 2 2 15 8 14
7 4 Vitesse 9 4 5 1.7 1.3 6 1 2 15 12 19
8 6 Twente 8 3 5 1.8 1.8 4 1 3 14 14 13
9 8 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 1.2 1.4 3 1 5 11 13 10
10 12 Nijmegen 8 3 5 1.5 2.0 3 2 3 12 16 11
11 14 Waalwijk 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 0 5 3 10 13 5
12 16 For Sittard 9 4 5 1.0 2.2 1 2 6 9 20 5
13 15 Heracles 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 0 1 7 6 14 1
14 17 Sparta Rotterdam 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 1 2 5 6 13 5
15 18 Zwolle 8 4 4 0.6 2.5 0 1 7 5 20 1
16 10 Go Ahead Eagles 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 2 3 3 6 14 9
17 2 Ajax 7 5 2 2.3 0.1 5 2 0 16 1 17
18 9 Heerenveen 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 3 2 2 7 7 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51