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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 1–1 AZ Alkmaar

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 7.50 fair 3.10
Draw ✓ 5.00 fair 4.41
Away 1.40 fair 2.22
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.81
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.55

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior AZ Alkmaar
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 7
11 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (89 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.81
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 1–2 9% 2–1 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.70scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:18
AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
2.78points / match
2.78scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 25:4
Excelsior all matches all matches AZ Alkmaar

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 2.78
1.80 Goals conceded 0.44
3.50 Total goals 3.22
11.20 Shots 14.78
4.30 Shots on target 6.11
13.70 Shots faced 7.11
3.30 Corners 7.33
6.40 Corners against 2.56
9.10 Fouls 9.33
1.70 Yellow cards 1.11
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.11

How often Full Time

30% Wins 89%
40% Draws 11%
30% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 67%
60% Over 3.5 goals 33%
20% Over 4.5 goals 11%
20% Over 5.5 goals 11%
70% Both teams scored 44%
30% Clean sheets 56%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 78%
40% Draws 11%
10% Losses 11%
70% Over 0.5 goals 89%
30% Over 1.5 goals 22%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
AZ Alkmaar all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.20points / match
1.60scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:9
AZ Alkmaar before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:2
Excelsior at home away AZ Alkmaar

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 2.50
1.80 Goals conceded 0.50
3.40 Total goals 3.00
13.80 Shots 14.50
4.60 Shots on target 5.75
12.80 Shots faced 6.00
2.40 Corners 7.25
6.40 Corners against 2.25
7.20 Fouls 10.50
1.40 Yellow cards 1.25
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

20% Wins 100%
60% Draws 0%
20% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 75%
60% Over 3.5 goals 25%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 50%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 50%
60% Draws 25%
0% Losses 25%
60% Over 0.5 goals 75%
20% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
AZ Alkmaar away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.50 2.50
22.10.23 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–4 (1–0) 2.304.002.75 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Vitesse – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.334.00 1.65 2.20
01.10.23 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.602.05 1.67 2.15
23.09.23 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.53 2.40
17.09.23 Excelsior – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.35
02.09.23 Heracles – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.33 1.57 2.35
26.08.23 Excelsior – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 2.403.752.70 1.65 2.20
19.08.23 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
13.08.23 Nijmegen – Excelsior 3–4 (2–1) 1.504.336.50 1.57 2.35

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.7510.00 1.53 2.40
08.10.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.802.90 1.53 2.40
01.10.23 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 4–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.53 2.40
28.09.23 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.295.759.50 1.48 2.60
24.09.23 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.08
17.09.23 AZ Alkmaar – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 1.62 2.25
03.09.23 Vitesse – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.65 2.20
20.08.23 Waalwijk – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 (1–0) 5.754.001.57 1.53 2.40
13.08.23 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 5–1 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.60 2.30
28.05.23 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–0) 2.633.752.45 1.53 2.40

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.23 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–4 (1–0) 2.304.002.75 1.70 2.10
01.10.23 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.602.05 1.67 2.15
17.09.23 Excelsior – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.35
26.08.23 Excelsior – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 2.403.752.70 1.65 2.20
19.08.23 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
21.05.23 Excelsior – For Sittard 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.60 2.30
07.05.23 Excelsior – Feyenoord 0–2 (0–1) 9.508.001.22 1.33 3.40
14.04.23 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.80 2.05
01.04.23 Excelsior – Twente 0–0 (0–0) 5.504.331.53 1.60 2.30
19.03.23 Excelsior – Cambuur 4–1 (4–0) 2.633.602.55 1.85 2.00

AZ Alkmaar away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.802.90 1.53 2.40
24.09.23 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.08
03.09.23 Vitesse – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.65 2.20
20.08.23 Waalwijk – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 (1–0) 5.754.001.57 1.53 2.40
21.05.23 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 4.333.801.80 1.60 2.30
06.05.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.53 2.40
16.04.23 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.801.75 1.70 2.10
19.03.23 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.25 1.90 1.95
03.03.23 Vitesse – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.25 1.88 1.98
18.02.23 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsAZ Alkmaar wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 5–0 (5–0) 1.296.508.00 1.40 2.88
23.10.22N1 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 11 0 0 41 5 +36 33
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 8 1 0 25 4 +21 25
3 Twente 10 8 1 1 21 7 +14 25
4 Feyenoord 10 7 2 1 33 8 +25 23
5 Go Ahead Eagles 10 4 3 3 17 15 +2 15
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 3 3 12 13 -1 15
7 Excelsior 10 3 4 3 17 18 -1 13
8 Heracles 11 3 3 5 14 28 -14 12
9 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 12 17 -5 11
10 Heerenveen 10 3 1 6 13 21 -8 10
11 For Sittard 10 2 4 4 8 17 -9 10
12 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 14 16 -2 9
13 Waalwijk 9 3 0 6 7 17 -10 9
14 Almere City 10 2 3 5 8 19 -11 9
15 Ajax 9 2 2 5 15 21 -6 8
16 Vitesse 10 2 2 6 7 16 -9 8
17 Volendam 10 2 1 7 11 21 -10 7
18 Utrecht 10 2 1 7 8 20 -12 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 6 0 0 20 4 +16 18
2 Twente 5 5 0 0 10 3 +7 15
3 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 19 3 +16 13
4 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 0 15 2 +13 13
5 Go Ahead Eagles 5 4 1 0 14 3 +11 13
6 Heracles 6 3 1 2 10 14 -4 10
7 For Sittard 5 2 2 1 5 5 0 8
8 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 2 1 6 7 -1 8
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 11 8 +3 7
10 Heerenveen 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
11 Volendam 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
12 Ajax 4 2 0 2 7 7 0 6
13 Excelsior 5 1 3 1 8 9 -1 6
14 Waalwijk 4 2 0 2 4 8 -4 6
15 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
16 Almere City 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
17 Utrecht 4 1 0 3 5 12 -7 3
18 Vitesse 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 21 1 +20 15
2 AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 10 2 +8 12
3 Feyenoord 5 3 1 1 14 5 +9 10
4 Twente 5 3 1 1 11 4 +7 10
5 Excelsior 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
6 Zwolle 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
7 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
8 Vitesse 5 2 0 3 5 8 -3 6
9 Almere City 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
10 Utrecht 6 1 1 4 3 8 -5 4
11 Waalwijk 5 1 0 4 3 9 -6 3
12 Heerenveen 5 1 0 4 5 13 -8 3
13 Nijmegen 4 0 2 2 3 8 -5 2
14 Ajax 5 0 2 3 8 14 -6 2
15 For Sittard 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
16 Go Ahead Eagles 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
17 Heracles 5 0 2 3 4 14 -10 2
18 Volendam 5 0 0 5 4 14 -10 0

Excelsior   AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 11 1 10 3.7 0.5 11 0 0 41 5 33
2 8 Heracles 11 1 10 1.3 2.5 3 3 5 14 28 12
3 4 Feyenoord 10 2 8 3.3 0.8 7 2 1 33 8 23
4 7 Excelsior 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 3 4 3 17 18 13
5 5 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 7 1.7 1.5 4 3 3 17 15 15
6 10 Heerenveen 10 3 7 1.3 2.1 3 1 6 13 21 10
7 11 For Sittard 10 3 7 0.8 1.7 2 4 4 8 17 10
8 15 Ajax 9 2 7 1.7 2.3 2 2 5 15 21 8
9 17 Volendam 10 3 7 1.1 2.1 2 1 7 11 21 7
10 2 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 6 2.8 0.4 8 1 0 25 4 25
11 3 Twente 10 4 6 2.1 0.7 8 1 1 21 7 25
12 9 Zwolle 10 4 6 1.2 1.7 3 2 5 12 17 11
13 12 Nijmegen 9 3 6 1.6 1.8 2 3 4 14 16 9
14 6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 4 3 3 12 13 15
15 13 Waalwijk 9 4 5 0.8 1.9 3 0 6 7 17 9
16 14 Almere City 10 5 5 0.8 1.9 2 3 5 8 19 9
17 16 Vitesse 10 6 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 6 7 16 8
18 18 Utrecht 10 6 4 0.8 2.0 2 1 7 8 20 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Heracles 6 0 6 1.7 2.3 3 1 2 10 14 10
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.3 0.7 6 0 0 20 4 18
3 4 Feyenoord 5 1 4 3.8 0.6 4 1 0 19 3 13
4 5 Go Ahead Eagles 5 1 4 2.8 0.6 4 1 0 14 3 13
5 7 Excelsior 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 1 3 1 8 9 6
6 10 Heerenveen 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
7 12 Nijmegen 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 2 1 2 11 8 7
8 2 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 3 3.0 0.4 4 1 0 15 2 13
9 3 Twente 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 5 0 0 10 3 15
10 11 For Sittard 5 2 3 1.0 1.0 2 2 1 5 5 8
11 13 Waalwijk 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 2 0 2 4 8 6
12 14 Almere City 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
13 15 Ajax 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 2 0 2 7 7 6
14 17 Volendam 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
15 6 Sparta Rotterdam 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 2 1 6 7 8
16 9 Zwolle 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
17 18 Utrecht 4 2 2 1.2 3.0 1 0 3 5 12 3
18 16 Vitesse 5 4 1 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 0 5 4.2 0.2 5 0 0 21 1 15
2 4 Feyenoord 5 1 4 2.8 1.0 3 1 1 14 5 10
3 7 Excelsior 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
4 8 Heracles 5 1 4 0.8 2.8 0 2 3 4 14 2
5 9 Zwolle 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
6 11 For Sittard 5 1 4 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
7 15 Ajax 5 1 4 1.6 2.8 0 2 3 8 14 2
8 17 Volendam 5 1 4 0.8 2.8 0 0 5 4 14 0
9 2 AZ Alkmaar 4 1 3 2.5 0.5 4 0 0 10 2 12
10 3 Twente 5 2 3 2.2 0.8 3 1 1 11 4 10
11 5 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
12 6 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
13 10 Heerenveen 5 2 3 1.0 2.6 1 0 4 5 13 3
14 16 Vitesse 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 2 0 3 5 8 6
15 12 Nijmegen 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 2 2 3 8 2
16 13 Waalwijk 5 3 2 0.6 1.8 1 0 4 3 9 3
17 14 Almere City 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
18 18 Utrecht 6 4 2 0.5 1.3 1 1 4 3 8 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51