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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.29 fair 1.63
Draw 6.00 fair 5.27
Away 9.50 fair 5.10
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 3.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Excelsior
16 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 0
3 Corners 0
5 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (220 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 2.36 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.3% 1–1 7.9% 3–1 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.88scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 45:23
Excelsior before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.58scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 38:52
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.58
0.96 Goals conceded 2.17
2.83 Total goals 3.75
13.83 Shots 10.83
4.96 Shots on target 4.38
10.33 Shots faced 15.00
6.29 Corners 3.21
3.25 Corners against 6.75
9.33 Fouls 8.13
1.38 Yellow cards 1.50
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 17%
29% Draws 38%
21% Losses 46%
96% Over 0.5 goals 92%
88% Over 1.5 goals 92%
58% Over 2.5 goals 79%
29% Over 3.5 goals 54%
8% Over 4.5 goals 25%
4% Over 5.5 goals 25%
54% Both teams scored 79%
33% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%
25% Draws 50%
25% Losses 21%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
25% Over 1.5 goals 46%
4% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Excelsior all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
1.92points / match
2.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 27:12
Excelsior before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.75scored / match
2.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:31
AZ Alkmaar at home away Excelsior

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 1.75
1.00 Goals conceded 2.58
3.25 Total goals 4.33
14.58 Shots 8.75
5.50 Shots on target 4.08
9.17 Shots faced 16.75
6.67 Corners 3.08
2.92 Corners against 7.17
8.33 Fouls 9.08
1.25 Yellow cards 1.92
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.08

How often Full Time

58% Wins 17%
17% Draws 25%
25% Losses 58%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 92%
67% Over 2.5 goals 92%
42% Over 3.5 goals 75%
17% Over 4.5 goals 33%
8% Over 5.5 goals 33%
42% Both teams scored 83%
42% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%
8% Draws 33%
25% Losses 33%
92% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 58%
8% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.93 1.93
25.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
17.02.24 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 4.333.601.85 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Almere City – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.75 2.05
04.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 1.73 2.08
28.01.24 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.75 2.05
20.01.24 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–2 (0–0) 1.336.007.50 1.53 2.40
13.01.24 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.40 1.93 1.93
17.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–3) 4.203.751.83 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – Almere City 4–1 (1–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.48 2.60

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.24 For Sittard – Excelsior 5–2 (4–0) 1.913.803.80 1.88 1.98
25.02.24 Excelsior – Vitesse 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 4–2 (2–2) 1.853.604.20 1.73 2.08
10.02.24 Excelsior – Twente 0–3 (0–3) 5.504.331.55 1.70 2.10
02.02.24 Almere City – Excelsior 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.05 1.80
27.01.24 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10
19.01.24 Excelsior – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.752.20 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
16.12.23 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.62 2.25
08.12.23 Twente – Excelsior 4–2 (1–2) 1.226.5012.00 1.48 2.60

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
04.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–2 (0–0) 1.336.007.50 1.53 2.40
17.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–3) 4.203.751.83 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – Almere City 4–1 (1–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.48 2.60
06.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–2) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
26.11.23 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.36 3.10
21.10.23 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.7510.00 1.53 2.40
01.10.23 AZ Alkmaar – For Sittard 4–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.53 2.40
28.09.23 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.295.759.50 1.48 2.60

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.24 For Sittard – Excelsior 5–2 (4–0) 1.913.803.80 1.88 1.98
17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 4–2 (2–2) 1.853.604.20 1.73 2.08
02.02.24 Almere City – Excelsior 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.05 1.80
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
08.12.23 Twente – Excelsior 4–2 (1–2) 1.226.5012.00 1.48 2.60
02.12.23 Waalwijk – Excelsior 2–2 (1–0) 2.054.003.25 1.57 2.35
12.11.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 2–2 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
29.10.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.50 2.50
07.10.23 Vitesse – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.334.00 1.65 2.20
23.09.23 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsExcelsior wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23N1 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.40
10.02.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 5–0 (5–0) 1.296.508.00 1.40 2.88
23.10.22N1 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 25 22 3 0 80 13 +67 69
2 Feyenoord 24 17 5 2 60 19 +41 56
3 Twente 25 16 5 4 49 24 +25 53
4 AZ Alkmaar 24 12 7 5 45 23 +22 43
5 Ajax 24 11 6 7 53 43 +10 39
6 Go Ahead Eagles 25 10 7 8 38 33 +5 37
7 Nijmegen 24 9 9 6 48 39 +9 36
8 Utrecht 25 8 9 8 30 33 -3 33
9 Heerenveen 24 9 4 11 40 44 -4 31
10 Sparta Rotterdam 25 8 6 11 31 36 -5 30
11 For Sittard 24 8 6 10 28 41 -13 30
12 Almere City 25 7 8 10 25 42 -17 29
13 Zwolle 24 7 6 11 32 43 -11 27
14 Heracles 24 6 5 13 31 55 -24 23
15 Excelsior 24 4 9 11 38 52 -14 21
16 Waalwijk 25 6 3 16 23 42 -19 21
17 Vitesse 25 4 4 17 20 52 -32 16
18 Volendam 24 3 4 17 25 62 -37 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 11 1 0 35 7 +28 34
2 Twente 13 10 1 2 27 14 +13 31
3 Feyenoord 12 8 3 1 29 8 +21 27
4 Ajax 12 7 3 2 29 15 +14 24
5 AZ Alkmaar 12 7 2 3 27 12 +15 23
6 Go Ahead Eagles 13 6 3 4 26 16 +10 21
7 Nijmegen 12 6 3 3 26 16 +10 21
8 For Sittard 12 6 3 3 22 16 +6 21
9 Heerenveen 12 6 2 4 22 16 +6 20
10 Utrecht 12 4 5 3 20 20 0 17
11 Heracles 12 4 3 5 18 28 -10 15
12 Waalwijk 13 4 2 7 16 21 -5 14
13 Almere City 13 3 5 5 13 21 -8 14
14 Sparta Rotterdam 12 3 4 5 15 20 -5 13
15 Excelsior 12 2 6 4 17 21 -4 12
16 Zwolle 12 3 2 7 11 23 -12 11
17 Vitesse 12 1 4 7 8 18 -10 7
18 Volendam 12 2 1 9 11 32 -21 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 11 2 0 45 6 +39 35
2 Feyenoord 12 9 2 1 31 11 +20 29
3 Twente 12 6 4 2 22 10 +12 22
4 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 5 2 18 11 +7 20
5 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 16 16 0 17
6 Zwolle 12 4 4 4 21 20 +1 16
7 Utrecht 13 4 4 5 10 13 -3 16
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 4 4 12 17 -5 16
9 Nijmegen 12 3 6 3 22 23 -1 15
10 Ajax 12 4 3 5 24 28 -4 15
11 Almere City 12 4 3 5 12 21 -9 15
12 Heerenveen 12 3 2 7 18 28 -10 11
13 Excelsior 12 2 3 7 21 31 -10 9
14 For Sittard 12 2 3 7 6 25 -19 9
15 Vitesse 13 3 0 10 12 34 -22 9
16 Heracles 12 2 2 8 13 27 -14 8
17 Waalwijk 12 2 1 9 7 21 -14 7
18 Volendam 12 1 3 8 14 30 -16 6

AZ Alkmaar   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 24 5 19 2.2 1.8 11 6 7 53 43 39
2 15 Excelsior 24 5 19 1.6 2.2 4 9 11 38 52 21
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 25 7 18 3.2 0.5 22 3 0 80 13 69
4 9 Heerenveen 24 6 18 1.7 1.8 9 4 11 40 44 31
5 14 Heracles 24 6 18 1.3 2.3 6 5 13 31 55 23
6 3 Twente 25 8 17 2.0 1.0 16 5 4 49 24 53
7 7 Nijmegen 24 7 17 2.0 1.6 9 9 6 48 39 36
8 18 Volendam 24 7 17 1.0 2.6 3 4 17 25 62 13
9 2 Feyenoord 24 8 16 2.5 0.8 17 5 2 60 19 56
10 11 For Sittard 24 9 15 1.2 1.7 8 6 10 28 41 30
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 24 10 14 1.9 1.0 12 7 5 45 23 43
12 13 Zwolle 24 10 14 1.3 1.8 7 6 11 32 43 27
13 17 Vitesse 25 11 14 0.8 2.1 4 4 17 20 52 16
14 12 Almere City 25 12 13 1.0 1.7 7 8 10 25 42 29
15 16 Waalwijk 25 12 13 0.9 1.7 6 3 16 23 42 21
16 6 Go Ahead Eagles 25 13 12 1.5 1.3 10 7 8 38 33 37
17 10 Sparta Rotterdam 25 13 12 1.2 1.4 8 6 11 31 36 30
18 8 Utrecht 25 17 8 1.2 1.3 8 9 8 30 33 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Twente 13 3 10 2.1 1.1 10 1 2 27 14 31
2 14 Heracles 12 2 10 1.5 2.3 4 3 5 18 28 15
3 5 Ajax 12 3 9 2.4 1.2 7 3 2 29 15 24
4 9 Heerenveen 12 3 9 1.8 1.3 6 2 4 22 16 20
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 12 4 8 2.9 0.6 11 1 0 35 7 34
6 4 AZ Alkmaar 12 4 8 2.2 1.0 7 2 3 27 12 23
7 6 Go Ahead Eagles 13 5 8 2.0 1.2 6 3 4 26 16 21
8 7 Nijmegen 12 4 8 2.2 1.3 6 3 3 26 16 21
9 11 For Sittard 12 4 8 1.8 1.3 6 3 3 22 16 21
10 15 Excelsior 12 4 8 1.4 1.8 2 6 4 17 21 12
11 16 Waalwijk 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 4 2 7 16 21 14
12 18 Volendam 12 4 8 0.9 2.7 2 1 9 11 32 7
13 2 Feyenoord 12 5 7 2.4 0.7 8 3 1 29 8 27
14 12 Almere City 13 6 7 1.0 1.6 3 5 5 13 21 14
15 10 Sparta Rotterdam 12 6 6 1.2 1.7 3 4 5 15 20 13
16 13 Zwolle 12 6 6 0.9 1.9 3 2 7 11 23 11
17 8 Utrecht 12 7 5 1.7 1.7 4 5 3 20 20 17
18 17 Vitesse 12 8 4 0.7 1.5 1 4 7 8 18 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Excelsior 12 1 11 1.8 2.6 2 3 7 21 31 9
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 3 10 3.5 0.5 11 2 0 45 6 35
3 5 Ajax 12 2 10 2.0 2.3 4 3 5 24 28 15
4 17 Vitesse 13 3 10 0.9 2.6 3 0 10 12 34 9
5 2 Feyenoord 12 3 9 2.6 0.9 9 2 1 31 11 29
6 7 Nijmegen 12 3 9 1.8 1.9 3 6 3 22 23 15
7 9 Heerenveen 12 3 9 1.5 2.3 3 2 7 18 28 11
8 18 Volendam 12 3 9 1.2 2.5 1 3 8 14 30 6
9 13 Zwolle 12 4 8 1.8 1.7 4 4 4 21 20 16
10 14 Heracles 12 4 8 1.1 2.2 2 2 8 13 27 8
11 3 Twente 12 5 7 1.8 0.8 6 4 2 22 10 22
12 11 For Sittard 12 5 7 0.5 2.1 2 3 7 6 25 9
13 4 AZ Alkmaar 12 6 6 1.5 0.9 5 5 2 18 11 20
14 10 Sparta Rotterdam 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 2 6 16 16 17
15 12 Almere City 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 4 3 5 12 21 15
16 16 Waalwijk 12 7 5 0.6 1.8 2 1 9 7 21 7
17 6 Go Ahead Eagles 12 8 4 1.0 1.4 4 4 4 12 17 16
18 8 Utrecht 13 10 3 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 10 13 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51