Utrecht 1–0 Nijmegen – Netherlands Eredivisie, 17 Mar 2024

Match facts

Utrecht Nijmegen

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 4

9 Fouls 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (230 league matches this season so far).

Result Utrecht to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.53

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.64

Home / Draw / Away

39% 23% 38%

UtrechtDrawNijmegen

Under / Over 2.5 goals

36% 64%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

35% 65%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

12% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

24% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.1% 2–1 8.3% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Utrecht before this match, all matches

1.32points / match

1.20scored / match

1.32conceded / match

8 9 8

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 30:33

Nijmegen before this match, all matches

1.56points / match

2.00scored / match

1.56conceded / match

10 9 6

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 50:39

Utrecht all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 2.00

1.32 Goals conceded 1.56

2.52 Total goals 3.56

12.40 Shots 13.32

4.12 Shots on target 5.88

12.92 Shots faced 15.60

5.88 Corners 4.44

4.52 Corners against 6.64

10.76 Fouls 9.08

1.48 Yellow cards 1.56

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.84

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

32% Wins 40%

36% Draws 36%

32% Losses 24%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

76% Over 1.5 goals 96%

32% Over 2.5 goals 68%

24% Over 3.5 goals 48%

12% Over 4.5 goals 20%

12% Over 5.5 goals 16%

48% Both teams scored 72%

24% Clean sheets 20%

36% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 40%

52% Draws 32%

24% Losses 28%

64% Over 0.5 goals 80%

36% Over 1.5 goals 48%

8% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht all matches

1

D

1

D

1

D

4

2

W

4

W

1

W

1

W

2

L

1

D

Nijmegen all matches

4

1

W

2

D

1

W

2

D

3

1

W

2

L

2

D

2

W

5

2

W

2

W

Utrecht before this match, at home

1.42points / match

1.67scored / match

1.67conceded / match

4 5 3

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:20

Nijmegen before this match, away

1.25points / match

1.83scored / match

1.92conceded / match

3 6 3

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 22:23

Utrecht at home away Nijmegen

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.83

1.67 Goals conceded 1.92

3.33 Total goals 3.75

14.08 Shots 12.33

5.33 Shots on target 5.42

12.17 Shots faced 19.08

7.25 Corners 4.08

4.00 Corners against 7.33

11.50 Fouls 10.00

1.33 Yellow cards 1.92

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.83

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

33% Wins 25%

42% Draws 50%

25% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

92% Over 1.5 goals 100%

42% Over 2.5 goals 75%

42% Over 3.5 goals 58%

25% Over 4.5 goals 17%

25% Over 5.5 goals 17%

67% Both teams scored 83%

17% Clean sheets 0%

17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 42%

50% Draws 17%

25% Losses 42%

67% Over 0.5 goals 92%

33% Over 1.5 goals 50%

17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht at home

2

L

4

3

W

1

D

2

D

1

D

1

D

1

D

4

2

W

4

W

1

W

Nijmegen away

4

L

1

D

3

D

2

1

W

3

1

W

2

D

2

D

2

L

2

D

5

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Utrecht all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Almere City – Utrecht	1–1 (1–1)	3.75	3.50	2.00	2.10	1.70
03.03.24	Ajax – Utrecht	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
23.02.24	Utrecht – Heracles	1–0 (0–0)	1.36	4.75	8.00	1.53	2.40
18.02.24	Twente – Utrecht	0–1 (0–1)	1.62	4.20	5.25	1.83	2.03
11.02.24	Utrecht – For Sittard	4–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.80	4.75	1.95	1.90
04.02.24	Utrecht – Volendam	4–2 (2–1)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.60	2.30
27.01.24	Excelsior – Utrecht	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.70	2.10
21.01.24	Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven	1–1 (0–1)	8.00	5.50	1.33	1.40	2.88
14.01.24	Vitesse – Utrecht	0–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.75	2.05
16.12.23	Utrecht – Waalwijk	1–1 (1–1)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.65	2.20

Nijmegen all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.03.24	Nijmegen – Heerenveen	2–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.75	3.40	1.70	2.10
01.03.24	Volendam – Nijmegen	2–5 (0–3)	5.25	4.50	1.55	1.53	2.40
24.02.24	Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.75	2.05
18.02.24	Ajax – Nijmegen	2–2 (1–0)	1.40	5.50	6.00	1.36	3.10
09.02.24	Waalwijk – Nijmegen	2–0 (2–0)	2.80	3.75	2.40	1.73	2.08
03.02.24	Nijmegen – Heracles	3–1 (0–1)	1.73	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.25
28.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen	2–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.70	2.10
20.01.24	Nijmegen – Twente	1–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.65	2.20
14.01.24	Feyenoord – Nijmegen	2–2 (2–1)	1.17	7.50	17.00	1.33	3.40
15.12.23	Nijmegen – For Sittard	4–1 (2–0)	1.91	3.60	3.80	1.95	1.90

Utrecht at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.02.24	Utrecht – Heracles	1–0 (0–0)	1.36	4.75	8.00	1.53	2.40
11.02.24	Utrecht – For Sittard	4–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.80	4.75	1.95	1.90
04.02.24	Utrecht – Volendam	4–2 (2–1)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.60	2.30
21.01.24	Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven	1–1 (0–1)	8.00	5.50	1.33	1.40	2.88
16.12.23	Utrecht – Waalwijk	1–1 (1–1)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.65	2.20
03.12.23	Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar	1–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.75	1.83	1.85	2.00
12.11.23	Utrecht – Excelsior	2–2 (0–0)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.67	2.15
05.11.23	Utrecht – Twente	1–1 (1–1)	5.00	4.00	1.67	1.70	2.10
22.10.23	Utrecht – Ajax	4–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.91	1.53	2.40
30.09.23	Utrecht – Almere City	0–2 (0–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	1.60	2.30

Nijmegen away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.24	Volendam – Nijmegen	2–5 (0–3)	5.25	4.50	1.55	1.53	2.40
18.02.24	Ajax – Nijmegen	2–2 (1–0)	1.40	5.50	6.00	1.36	3.10
09.02.24	Waalwijk – Nijmegen	2–0 (2–0)	2.80	3.75	2.40	1.73	2.08
28.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen	2–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.70	2.10
14.01.24	Feyenoord – Nijmegen	2–2 (2–1)	1.17	7.50	17.00	1.33	3.40
09.12.23	Zwolle – Nijmegen	1–3 (0–1)	2.38	3.50	2.90	1.80	2.00
06.12.23	AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen	1–2 (0–2)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.53	2.40
11.11.23	Twente – Nijmegen	3–3 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	10.00	1.57	2.35
07.10.23	Heerenveen – Nijmegen	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.67	2.15
16.09.23	PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen	4–0 (2–0)	1.17	8.00	15.00	1.33	3.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 1

Utrecht winsDrawsNijmegen wins

5matches

2.20goals / match

60%over 2.5

20%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.09.23N1	Nijmegen – Utrecht	3–0 (2–0)	2.75	3.60	2.45	1.62	2.25
12.03.23N1	Nijmegen – Utrecht	2–2 (1–0)	2.40	3.50	2.88	1.95	1.90
16.09.22N1	Utrecht – Nijmegen	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	1.70	2.10
29.04.22N1	Utrecht – Nijmegen	1–0 (0–0)	1.72	3.40	5.50	1.83	2.02
22.09.21N1	Nijmegen – Utrecht	0–3 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.66	1.75	2.05

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	22	3	0	80	13	+67	69
2	Feyenoord	25	18	5	2	63	19	+44	59
3	Twente	25	16	5	4	49	24	+25	53
4	AZ Alkmaar	26	14	7	5	53	23	+30	49
5	Ajax	25	11	7	7	55	45	+10	40
6	Nijmegen	25	10	9	6	50	39	+11	39
7	Go Ahead Eagles	26	10	7	9	38	35	+3	37
8	For Sittard	26	9	7	10	33	44	-11	34
9	Utrecht	25	8	9	8	30	33	-3	33
10	Heerenveen	25	9	4	12	40	46	-6	31
11	Sparta Rotterdam	25	8	6	11	31	36	-5	30
12	Almere City	26	7	9	10	26	43	-17	30
13	Zwolle	26	7	7	12	34	47	-13	28
14	Heracles	26	7	5	14	33	58	-25	26
15	Excelsior	26	4	10	12	39	57	-18	22
16	Waalwijk	26	6	4	16	24	43	-19	22
17	Vitesse	26	4	5	17	21	53	-32	17
18	Volendam	26	3	5	18	26	67	-41	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	11	1	0	35	7	+28	34
2	Twente	13	10	1	2	27	14	+13	31
3	Feyenoord	13	9	3	1	32	8	+24	30
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	31	12	+19	26
5	Ajax	13	7	4	2	31	17	+14	25
6	Nijmegen	13	7	3	3	28	16	+12	24
7	For Sittard	13	7	3	3	25	17	+8	24
8	Go Ahead Eagles	13	6	3	4	26	16	+10	21
9	Heerenveen	12	6	2	4	22	16	+6	20
10	Heracles	13	5	3	5	20	28	-8	18
11	Utrecht	12	4	5	3	20	20	0	17
12	Waalwijk	13	4	2	7	16	21	-5	14
13	Almere City	13	3	5	5	13	21	-8	14
14	Excelsior	13	2	7	4	18	22	-4	13
15	Sparta Rotterdam	12	3	4	5	15	20	-5	13
16	Zwolle	13	3	3	7	12	24	-12	12
17	Vitesse	13	1	5	7	9	19	-10	8
18	Volendam	13	2	1	10	11	36	-25	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	11	2	0	45	6	+39	35
2	Feyenoord	12	9	2	1	31	11	+20	29
3	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	5	2	22	11	+11	23
4	Twente	12	6	4	2	22	10	+12	22
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	2	6	16	16	0	17
6	Zwolle	13	4	4	5	22	23	-1	16
7	Utrecht	13	4	4	5	10	13	-3	16
8	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	4	5	12	19	-7	16
9	Almere City	13	4	4	5	13	22	-9	16
10	Nijmegen	12	3	6	3	22	23	-1	15
11	Ajax	12	4	3	5	24	28	-4	15
12	Heerenveen	13	3	2	8	18	30	-12	11
13	For Sittard	13	2	4	7	8	27	-19	10
14	Excelsior	13	2	3	8	21	35	-14	9
15	Vitesse	13	3	0	10	12	34	-22	9
16	Waalwijk	13	2	2	9	8	22	-14	8
17	Heracles	13	2	2	9	13	30	-17	8
18	Volendam	13	1	4	8	15	31	-16	7

Utrecht Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Ajax	25	5	20	2.2	1.8	11	7	7	55	45	40
2	15	Excelsior	26	6	20	1.5	2.2	4	10	12	39	57	22
3	14	Heracles	26	7	19	1.3	2.2	7	5	14	33	58	26
4	1	PSV Eindhoven	25	7	18	3.2	0.5	22	3	0	80	13	69
5	10	Heerenveen	25	7	18	1.6	1.8	9	4	12	40	46	31
6	18	Volendam	26	8	18	1.0	2.6	3	5	18	26	67	14
7	2	Feyenoord	25	8	17	2.5	0.8	18	5	2	63	19	59
8	3	Twente	25	8	17	2.0	1.0	16	5	4	49	24	53
9	6	Nijmegen	25	8	17	2.0	1.6	10	9	6	50	39	39
10	8	For Sittard	26	9	17	1.3	1.7	9	7	10	33	44	34
11	4	AZ Alkmaar	26	10	16	2.0	0.9	14	7	5	53	23	49
12	13	Zwolle	26	11	15	1.3	1.8	7	7	12	34	47	28
13	17	Vitesse	26	12	14	0.8	2.0	4	5	17	21	53	17
14	12	Almere City	26	13	13	1.0	1.7	7	9	10	26	43	30
15	16	Waalwijk	26	13	13	0.9	1.7	6	4	16	24	43	22
16	7	Go Ahead Eagles	26	14	12	1.5	1.3	10	7	9	38	35	37
17	11	Sparta Rotterdam	25	13	12	1.2	1.4	8	6	11	31	36	30
18	9	Utrecht	25	17	8	1.2	1.3	8	9	8	30	33	33

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Twente	13	3	10	2.1	1.1	10	1	2	27	14	31
2	5	Ajax	13	3	10	2.4	1.3	7	4	2	31	17	25
3	14	Heracles	13	3	10	1.5	2.2	5	3	5	20	28	18
4	4	AZ Alkmaar	13	4	9	2.4	0.9	8	2	3	31	12	26
5	8	For Sittard	13	4	9	1.9	1.3	7	3	3	25	17	24
6	10	Heerenveen	12	3	9	1.8	1.3	6	2	4	22	16	20
7	18	Volendam	13	4	9	0.8	2.8	2	1	10	11	36	7
8	1	PSV Eindhoven	12	4	8	2.9	0.6	11	1	0	35	7	34
9	2	Feyenoord	13	5	8	2.5	0.6	9	3	1	32	8	30
10	6	Nijmegen	13	5	8	2.2	1.2	7	3	3	28	16	24
11	7	Go Ahead Eagles	13	5	8	2.0	1.2	6	3	4	26	16	21
12	15	Excelsior	13	5	8	1.4	1.7	2	7	4	18	22	13
13	16	Waalwijk	13	5	8	1.2	1.6	4	2	7	16	21	14
14	12	Almere City	13	6	7	1.0	1.6	3	5	5	13	21	14
15	11	Sparta Rotterdam	12	6	6	1.2	1.7	3	4	5	15	20	13
16	13	Zwolle	13	7	6	0.9	1.8	3	3	7	12	24	12
17	9	Utrecht	12	7	5	1.7	1.7	4	5	3	20	20	17
18	17	Vitesse	13	9	4	0.7	1.5	1	5	7	9	19	8

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Excelsior	13	1	12	1.6	2.7	2	3	8	21	35	9
2	1	PSV Eindhoven	13	3	10	3.5	0.5	11	2	0	45	6	35
3	5	Ajax	12	2	10	2.0	2.3	4	3	5	24	28	15
4	17	Vitesse	13	3	10	0.9	2.6	3	0	10	12	34	9
5	2	Feyenoord	12	3	9	2.6	0.9	9	2	1	31	11	29
6	6	Nijmegen	12	3	9	1.8	1.9	3	6	3	22	23	15
7	10	Heerenveen	13	4	9	1.4	2.3	3	2	8	18	30	11
8	13	Zwolle	13	4	9	1.7	1.8	4	4	5	22	23	16
9	14	Heracles	13	4	9	1.0	2.3	2	2	9	13	30	8
10	18	Volendam	13	4	9	1.2	2.4	1	4	8	15	31	7
11	8	For Sittard	13	5	8	0.6	2.1	2	4	7	8	27	10
12	3	Twente	12	5	7	1.8	0.8	6	4	2	22	10	22
13	4	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	7	1.7	0.8	6	5	2	22	11	23
14	11	Sparta Rotterdam	13	7	6	1.2	1.2	5	2	6	16	16	17
15	12	Almere City	13	7	6	1.0	1.7	4	4	5	13	22	16
16	16	Waalwijk	13	8	5	0.6	1.7	2	2	9	8	22	8
17	7	Go Ahead Eagles	13	9	4	0.9	1.5	4	4	5	12	19	16
18	9	Utrecht	13	10	3	0.8	1.0	4	4	5	10	13	16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.