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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 2–2 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.40 fair 1.96
Draw ✓ 5.50 fair 4.93
Away 6.00 fair 3.48
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 3.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Nijmegen
8 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 9
2 Corners 5
5 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (195 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.39
Expected goals 2.23 – 1.65
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.5% 1–1 7.6% 2–2 7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.33scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 49:39
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.86scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 39:35
Ajax all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 1.86
1.86 Goals conceded 1.67
4.19 Total goals 3.52
17.14 Shots 12.52
7.05 Shots on target 5.57
13.38 Shots faced 16.33
6.71 Corners 4.33
4.24 Corners against 6.76
8.29 Fouls 8.52
1.19 Yellow cards 1.71
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

48% Wins 33%
24% Draws 38%
29% Losses 29%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 95%
86% Over 2.5 goals 71%
71% Over 3.5 goals 48%
48% Over 4.5 goals 19%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
81% Both teams scored 76%
14% Clean sheets 14%
10% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
38% Draws 33%
24% Losses 29%
81% Over 0.5 goals 81%
67% Over 1.5 goals 48%
33% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.50scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 25:13
Nijmegen before this match, away
1.10points / match
1.50scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:19
Ajax at home away Nijmegen

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.50
1.30 Goals conceded 1.90
3.80 Total goals 3.40
17.50 Shots 11.20
6.80 Shots on target 4.50
10.80 Shots faced 20.70
6.50 Corners 3.90
3.60 Corners against 7.90
8.50 Fouls 10.00
1.20 Yellow cards 2.10
1.10 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%
20% Draws 50%
20% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 70%
60% Over 3.5 goals 50%
40% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
70% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 0%
10% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 40%
30% Draws 20%
20% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 50%
30% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Heerenveen – Ajax 3–2 (2–0) 4.004.501.73 1.40 2.88
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
27.01.24 Heracles – Ajax 2–4 (1–1) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.70
21.01.24 Ajax – Waalwijk 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
14.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 3.754.001.85 1.48 2.60
17.12.23 Ajax – Zwolle 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.508.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
06.12.23 Waalwijk – Ajax 2–3 (1–2) 4.754.331.60 1.44 2.70
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
25.11.23 Ajax – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.40 2.88

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.803.752.40 1.73 2.08
03.02.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.25
28.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
20.01.24 Nijmegen – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
14.01.24 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–2 (2–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.33 3.40
15.12.23 Nijmegen – For Sittard 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.95 1.90
09.12.23 Zwolle – Nijmegen 1–3 (0–1) 2.383.502.90 1.80 2.00
06.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–2) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
26.11.23 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.602.75 1.67 2.15

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
21.01.24 Ajax – Waalwijk 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
17.12.23 Ajax – Zwolle 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.508.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
25.11.23 Ajax – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.40 2.88
05.11.23 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88
02.11.23 Ajax – Volendam 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.009.50 1.29 3.60
08.10.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.802.90 1.53 2.40
27.09.23 Ajax – Feyenoord 0–4 (0–3) 2.803.752.38 1.53 2.40
12.08.23 Ajax – Heracles 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.803.752.40 1.73 2.08
28.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
14.01.24 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–2 (2–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Zwolle – Nijmegen 1–3 (0–1) 2.383.502.90 1.80 2.00
06.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–2) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Twente – Nijmegen 3–3 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.57 2.35
07.10.23 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.603.20 1.67 2.15
16.09.23 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 4–0 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.33 3.40
01.09.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
18.08.23 Heracles – Nijmegen 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.602.75 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsNijmegen wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
05.03.23N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 2.88
08.01.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
23.04.22N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10
14.08.21N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 (5–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.28 3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 20 2 0 70 10 +60 62
2 Feyenoord 21 15 4 2 55 17 +38 49
3 Twente 22 13 5 4 42 22 +20 44
4 AZ Alkmaar 22 11 6 5 42 22 +20 39
5 Ajax 21 10 5 6 49 39 +10 35
6 Go Ahead Eagles 22 9 7 6 37 29 +8 34
7 Nijmegen 21 7 8 6 39 35 +4 29
8 Sparta Rotterdam 22 8 5 9 29 31 -2 29
9 Utrecht 22 7 8 7 28 30 -2 29
10 Zwolle 22 7 6 9 31 34 -3 27
11 Almere City 22 7 6 9 22 37 -15 27
12 Heerenveen 22 7 4 11 34 44 -10 25
13 For Sittard 22 6 6 10 22 39 -17 24
14 Heracles 22 6 4 12 29 52 -23 22
15 Excelsior 22 4 9 9 35 45 -10 21
16 Waalwijk 21 5 3 13 20 38 -18 18
17 Volendam 21 3 3 15 22 52 -30 12
18 Vitesse 21 3 3 15 15 45 -30 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 11 0 0 33 5 +28 33
2 Twente 11 8 1 2 22 13 +9 25
3 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 28 8 +20 24
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 25 12 +13 20
5 Ajax 10 6 2 2 25 13 +12 20
6 Go Ahead Eagles 11 5 3 3 25 15 +10 18
7 Nijmegen 11 5 3 3 24 16 +8 18
8 For Sittard 11 5 3 3 17 14 +3 18
9 Heerenveen 11 5 2 4 20 16 +4 17
10 Utrecht 11 3 5 3 19 20 -1 14
11 Heracles 11 4 2 5 16 26 -10 14
12 Almere City 11 3 4 4 12 18 -6 13
13 Excelsior 11 2 6 3 16 19 -3 12
14 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 3 5 14 19 -5 12
15 Waalwijk 11 3 2 6 13 19 -6 11
16 Zwolle 11 3 2 6 10 16 -6 11
17 Volendam 10 2 1 7 9 23 -14 7
18 Vitesse 10 1 3 6 6 15 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 9 2 0 37 5 +32 29
2 Feyenoord 10 8 1 1 27 9 +18 25
3 Twente 11 5 4 2 20 9 +11 19
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 4 2 17 10 +7 19
5 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 2 4 15 12 +3 17
6 Zwolle 11 4 4 3 21 18 +3 16
7 Go Ahead Eagles 11 4 4 3 12 14 -2 16
8 Utrecht 11 4 3 4 9 10 -1 15
9 Ajax 11 4 3 4 24 26 -2 15
10 Almere City 11 4 2 5 10 19 -9 14
11 Nijmegen 10 2 5 3 15 19 -4 11
12 Excelsior 11 2 3 6 19 26 -7 9
13 Heracles 11 2 2 7 13 26 -13 8
14 Heerenveen 11 2 2 7 14 28 -14 8
15 Waalwijk 10 2 1 7 7 19 -12 7
16 For Sittard 11 1 3 7 5 25 -20 6
17 Vitesse 11 2 0 9 9 30 -21 6
18 Volendam 11 1 2 8 13 29 -16 5

Ajax   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 21 3 18 2.3 1.9 10 5 6 49 39 35
2 12 Heerenveen 22 5 17 1.5 2.0 7 4 11 34 44 25
3 14 Heracles 22 5 17 1.3 2.4 6 4 12 29 52 22
4 15 Excelsior 22 5 17 1.6 2.0 4 9 9 35 45 21
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 22 6 16 3.2 0.5 20 2 0 70 10 62
6 2 Feyenoord 21 6 15 2.6 0.8 15 4 2 55 17 49
7 7 Nijmegen 21 6 15 1.9 1.7 7 8 6 39 35 29
8 17 Volendam 21 6 15 1.0 2.5 3 3 15 22 52 12
9 3 Twente 22 8 14 1.9 1.0 13 5 4 42 22 44
10 4 AZ Alkmaar 22 8 14 1.9 1.0 11 6 5 42 22 39
11 13 For Sittard 22 8 14 1.0 1.8 6 6 10 22 39 24
12 10 Zwolle 22 9 13 1.4 1.5 7 6 9 31 34 27
13 11 Almere City 22 10 12 1.0 1.7 7 6 9 22 37 27
14 16 Waalwijk 21 9 12 1.0 1.8 5 3 13 20 38 18
15 6 Go Ahead Eagles 22 11 11 1.7 1.3 9 7 6 37 29 34
16 8 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 11 1.3 1.4 8 5 9 29 31 29
17 18 Vitesse 21 10 11 0.7 2.1 3 3 15 15 45 12
18 9 Utrecht 22 14 8 1.3 1.4 7 8 7 28 30 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Heerenveen 11 2 9 1.8 1.5 5 2 4 20 16 17
2 14 Heracles 11 2 9 1.5 2.4 4 2 5 16 26 14
3 3 Twente 11 3 8 2.0 1.2 8 1 2 22 13 25
4 4 AZ Alkmaar 11 3 8 2.3 1.1 6 2 3 25 12 20
5 5 Ajax 10 2 8 2.5 1.3 6 2 2 25 13 20
6 6 Go Ahead Eagles 11 3 8 2.3 1.4 5 3 3 25 15 18
7 7 Nijmegen 11 3 8 2.2 1.5 5 3 3 24 16 18
8 1 PSV Eindhoven 11 4 7 3.0 0.5 11 0 0 33 5 33
9 2 Feyenoord 11 4 7 2.5 0.7 7 3 1 28 8 24
10 11 Almere City 11 4 7 1.1 1.6 3 4 4 12 18 13
11 13 For Sittard 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 5 3 3 17 14 18
12 15 Excelsior 11 4 7 1.5 1.7 2 6 3 16 19 12
13 16 Waalwijk 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 3 2 6 13 19 11
14 8 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 3 5 14 19 12
15 17 Volendam 10 4 6 0.9 2.3 2 1 7 9 23 7
16 9 Utrecht 11 6 5 1.7 1.8 3 5 3 19 20 14
17 10 Zwolle 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 6 10 16 11
18 18 Vitesse 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 1 3 6 6 15 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 11 1 10 2.2 2.4 4 3 4 24 26 15
2 15 Excelsior 11 1 10 1.7 2.4 2 3 6 19 26 9
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 3.4 0.5 9 2 0 37 5 29
4 17 Volendam 11 2 9 1.2 2.6 1 2 8 13 29 5
5 2 Feyenoord 10 2 8 2.7 0.9 8 1 1 27 9 25
6 10 Zwolle 11 3 8 1.9 1.6 4 4 3 21 18 16
7 12 Heerenveen 11 3 8 1.3 2.5 2 2 7 14 28 8
8 14 Heracles 11 3 8 1.2 2.4 2 2 7 13 26 8
9 18 Vitesse 11 3 8 0.8 2.7 2 0 9 9 30 6
10 7 Nijmegen 10 3 7 1.5 1.9 2 5 3 15 19 11
11 13 For Sittard 11 4 7 0.5 2.3 1 3 7 5 25 6
12 3 Twente 11 5 6 1.8 0.8 5 4 2 20 9 19
13 4 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 6 1.5 0.9 5 4 2 17 10 19
14 8 Sparta Rotterdam 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 5 2 4 15 12 17
15 11 Almere City 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 4 2 5 10 19 14
16 16 Waalwijk 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 2 1 7 7 19 7
17 6 Go Ahead Eagles 11 8 3 1.1 1.3 4 4 3 12 14 16
18 9 Utrecht 11 8 3 0.8 0.9 4 3 4 9 10 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51