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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 3–2 PSV Eindhoven

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.88 fair 2.61
Draw 3.75 fair 4.33
Away 2.25 fair 2.59
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.75
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax PSV Eindhoven
21 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 1
9 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (90 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.64
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 1–2 8.3% 2–1 8.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.44points / match
2.22scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:7
PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
3.50scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 35:6
Ajax all matches all matches PSV Eindhoven

Per match

2.22 Goals scored 3.50
0.78 Goals conceded 0.60
3.00 Total goals 4.10
15.33 Shots 19.60
6.11 Shots on target 8.00
8.11 Shots faced 6.70
6.11 Corners 7.50
2.33 Corners against 3.20
10.11 Fouls 7.80
1.56 Yellow cards 0.40
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.60
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

78% Wins 100%
11% Draws 0%
11% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 100%
44% Over 2.5 goals 80%
33% Over 3.5 goals 50%
22% Over 4.5 goals 30%
11% Over 5.5 goals 30%
44% Both teams scored 60%
56% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 70%
44% Draws 20%
0% Losses 10%
67% Over 0.5 goals 90%
33% Over 1.5 goals 80%
11% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
PSV Eindhoven all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:1
PSV Eindhoven before this match, away
3.00points / match
3.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 17:4
Ajax at home away PSV Eindhoven

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 3.40
0.25 Goals conceded 0.80
2.75 Total goals 4.20
16.25 Shots 19.00
8.25 Shots on target 6.80
6.50 Shots faced 6.00
7.25 Corners 7.20
1.25 Corners against 2.20
9.00 Fouls 9.60
1.00 Yellow cards 0.80
1.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 80%
50% Over 3.5 goals 60%
25% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
25% Both teams scored 80%
75% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 40%
0% Draws 40%
0% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
25% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
PSV Eindhoven away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.503.90 1.62 2.25
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
20.10.24 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
06.10.24 Ajax – Groningen 3–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.35
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70
21.09.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.15
18.09.24 Ajax – For Sittard 5–0 (2–0) 1.405.006.50 1.50 2.50
18.08.24 NAC Breda – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 8.506.501.29 1.33 3.40
11.08.24 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.40 2.88
19.05.24 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 5.254.201.57 1.36 3.10

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 PSV Eindhoven – Zwolle 6–0 (2–0) 1.0912.0019.00 1.20 4.33
19.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
05.10.24 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–1) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
28.09.24 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 10.007.001.22 1.33 3.40
22.09.24 For Sittard – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–1) 11.006.501.22 1.40 2.88
14.09.24 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.25 4.00
01.09.24 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 (2–0) 1.139.5019.00 1.22 4.20
24.08.24 Almere City – PSV Eindhoven 1–7 (0–2) 13.008.001.17 1.33 3.40
18.08.24 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–0) 13.008.501.17 1.22 4.20
10.08.24 PSV Eindhoven – Waalwijk 5–1 (3–0) 1.0911.0021.00 1.29 3.60

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
06.10.24 Ajax – Groningen 3–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.35
18.09.24 Ajax – For Sittard 5–0 (2–0) 1.405.006.50 1.50 2.50
11.08.24 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.40 2.88
12.05.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (3–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.40 2.88
24.04.24 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
14.04.24 Ajax – Twente 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.55 1.60 2.30
04.04.24 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.755.75 1.48 2.60
10.03.24 Ajax – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40

PSV Eindhoven away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
28.09.24 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 10.007.001.22 1.33 3.40
22.09.24 For Sittard – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–1) 11.006.501.22 1.40 2.88
24.08.24 Almere City – PSV Eindhoven 1–7 (0–2) 13.008.001.17 1.33 3.40
18.08.24 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–0) 13.008.501.17 1.22 4.20
12.05.24 For Sittard – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–0) 8.506.001.25 1.40 2.88
25.04.24 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 0–8 (0–5) 8.004.751.36 1.40 2.88
02.04.24 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 12.008.501.18 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–1) 6.005.001.44 1.48 2.60
08.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsPSV Eindhoven wins
6matches
3.83goals / match
83%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24N1 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
29.10.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40
23.04.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.57 2.35
06.11.22N1 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.44 2.70
23.01.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 1–2 (0–1) 3.503.801.90 1.61 2.25
24.10.21N1 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 35 6 +29 30
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 20 7 +13 22
3 Utrecht 9 7 1 1 15 10 +5 22
4 Twente 11 6 3 2 22 9 +13 21
5 Feyenoord 10 5 4 1 21 10 +11 19
6 AZ Alkmaar 10 5 2 3 20 9 +11 17
7 NAC Breda 10 5 0 5 12 16 -4 15
8 Go Ahead Eagles 10 4 2 4 13 17 -4 14
9 For Sittard 10 4 2 4 9 13 -4 14
10 Willem II 11 3 3 5 11 11 0 12
11 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 5 3 11 13 -2 11
12 Heerenveen 10 3 2 5 12 20 -8 11
13 Nijmegen 10 3 1 6 10 10 0 10
14 Groningen 10 2 3 5 11 13 -2 9
15 Heracles 10 2 3 5 10 22 -12 9
16 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 9 19 -10 8
17 Almere City 10 1 3 6 5 21 -16 6
18 Waalwijk 10 0 1 9 8 28 -20 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 18 2 +16 15
2 Ajax 4 4 0 0 10 1 +9 12
3 NAC Breda 5 4 0 1 9 4 +5 12
4 Utrecht 5 4 0 1 9 7 +2 12
5 Twente 5 3 2 0 10 2 +8 11
6 Heerenveen 5 3 2 0 10 3 +7 11
7 For Sittard 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
8 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 1 2 14 7 +7 7
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
10 Willem II 6 2 1 3 6 5 +1 7
11 Feyenoord 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
12 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7
13 Zwolle 5 2 0 3 7 9 -2 6
14 Groningen 5 1 2 2 6 5 +1 5
15 Heracles 5 1 2 2 7 9 -2 5
16 Sparta Rotterdam 5 0 4 1 5 6 -1 4
17 Almere City 6 1 1 4 3 15 -12 4
18 Waalwijk 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 17 4 +13 15
2 Feyenoord 6 3 3 0 16 6 +10 12
3 Twente 6 3 1 2 12 7 +5 10
4 Ajax 5 3 1 1 10 6 +4 10
5 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10
6 Utrecht 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
7 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7
8 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 1 2 5 8 -3 7
9 Willem II 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
10 For Sittard 5 1 2 2 3 7 -4 5
11 Groningen 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
12 Heracles 5 1 1 3 3 13 -10 4
13 Nijmegen 5 1 0 4 3 5 -2 3
14 NAC Breda 5 1 0 4 3 12 -9 3
15 Almere City 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2
16 Zwolle 5 0 2 3 2 10 -8 2
17 Waalwijk 5 0 0 5 4 17 -13 0
18 Heerenveen 5 0 0 5 2 17 -15 0

Ajax   PSV Eindhoven

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 2 8 3.5 0.6 10 0 0 35 6 30
2 18 Waalwijk 10 2 8 0.8 2.8 0 1 9 8 28 1
3 15 Heracles 10 3 7 1.0 2.2 2 3 5 10 22 9
4 4 Twente 11 5 6 2.0 0.8 6 3 2 22 9 21
5 6 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 6 2.0 0.9 5 2 3 20 9 17
6 7 NAC Breda 10 4 6 1.2 1.6 5 0 5 12 16 15
7 3 Utrecht 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 7 1 1 15 10 22
8 8 Go Ahead Eagles 10 5 5 1.3 1.7 4 2 4 13 17 14
9 11 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 2 5 3 11 13 11
10 12 Heerenveen 10 5 5 1.2 2.0 3 2 5 12 20 11
11 14 Groningen 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 2 3 5 11 13 9
12 16 Zwolle 10 5 5 0.9 1.9 2 2 6 9 19 8
13 2 Ajax 9 5 4 2.2 0.8 7 1 1 20 7 22
14 5 Feyenoord 10 6 4 2.1 1.0 5 4 1 21 10 19
15 9 For Sittard 10 6 4 0.9 1.3 4 2 4 9 13 14
16 13 Nijmegen 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 3 1 6 10 10 10
17 17 Almere City 10 6 4 0.5 2.1 1 3 6 5 21 6
18 10 Willem II 11 8 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 5 11 11 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.6 0.4 5 0 0 18 2 15
2 6 AZ Alkmaar 5 1 4 2.8 1.4 2 1 2 14 7 7
3 16 Zwolle 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 2 0 3 7 9 6
4 18 Waalwijk 5 1 4 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1
5 3 Utrecht 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 4 0 1 9 7 12
6 7 NAC Breda 5 2 3 1.8 0.8 4 0 1 9 4 12
7 9 For Sittard 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
8 13 Nijmegen 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
9 15 Heracles 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 1 2 2 7 9 5
10 2 Ajax 4 2 2 2.5 0.2 4 0 0 10 1 12
11 8 Go Ahead Eagles 5 3 2 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7
12 10 Willem II 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 3 6 5 7
13 11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 0 4 1 5 6 4
14 12 Heerenveen 5 3 2 2.0 0.6 3 2 0 10 3 11
15 14 Groningen 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 1 2 2 6 5 5
16 17 Almere City 6 4 2 0.5 2.5 1 1 4 3 15 4
17 4 Twente 5 4 1 2.0 0.4 3 2 0 10 2 11
18 5 Feyenoord 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Twente 6 1 5 2.0 1.2 3 1 2 12 7 10
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.4 0.8 5 0 0 17 4 15
3 15 Heracles 5 1 4 0.6 2.6 1 1 3 3 13 4
4 18 Waalwijk 5 1 4 0.8 3.4 0 0 5 4 17 0
5 5 Feyenoord 6 3 3 2.7 1.0 3 3 0 16 6 12
6 7 NAC Breda 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 1 0 4 3 12 3
7 8 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 2 1 2 5 8 7
8 11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7
9 12 Heerenveen 5 2 3 0.4 3.4 0 0 5 2 17 0
10 14 Groningen 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
11 2 Ajax 5 3 2 2.0 1.2 3 1 1 10 6 10
12 3 Utrecht 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 0 6 3 10
13 6 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10
14 17 Almere City 4 2 2 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2
15 9 For Sittard 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 1 2 2 3 7 5
16 10 Willem II 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
17 13 Nijmegen 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 0 4 3 5 3
18 16 Zwolle 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 2 3 2 10 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51