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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 2–1 Twente

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.64
Draw 3.40 fair 4.42
Away 2.55 fair 2.53
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.96
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 1.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Twente
8 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 6
4 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (268 league matches this season so far).
Result Twente to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.49
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.72
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawTwente
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.6% 1–2 8.3% 2–1 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
2.10scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 61:55
Twente before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
1.90scored / match
0.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 55:28
Ajax all matches all matches Twente

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 1.90
1.90 Goals conceded 0.97
4.00 Total goals 2.86
15.62 Shots 16.76
6.59 Shots on target 4.90
13.24 Shots faced 10.59
5.72 Corners 6.59
4.14 Corners against 3.28
8.66 Fouls 10.07
1.21 Yellow cards 1.59
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

41% Wins 62%
31% Draws 21%
28% Losses 17%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
97% Over 1.5 goals 72%
79% Over 2.5 goals 62%
69% Over 3.5 goals 31%
38% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 10%
76% Both teams scored 48%
14% Clean sheets 34%
14% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 48%
28% Draws 41%
28% Losses 10%
86% Over 0.5 goals 72%
55% Over 1.5 goals 38%
28% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Twente all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
1.86points / match
2.29scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 32:18
Twente before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.79scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:14
Ajax at home away Twente

Per match

2.29 Goals scored 1.79
1.29 Goals conceded 1.00
3.57 Total goals 2.79
16.86 Shots 14.29
6.79 Shots on target 4.14
10.64 Shots faced 12.71
5.71 Corners 5.93
3.71 Corners against 3.57
8.36 Fouls 10.71
1.21 Yellow cards 1.79
1.07 1st-half goals scored 1.07
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

50% Wins 43%
36% Draws 36%
14% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
100% Over 1.5 goals 71%
71% Over 2.5 goals 57%
57% Over 3.5 goals 36%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
71% Both teams scored 50%
21% Clean sheets 29%
7% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 50%
21% Draws 50%
14% Losses 0%
93% Over 0.5 goals 64%
50% Over 1.5 goals 43%
21% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Twente away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 6–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.50 2.50
04.04.24 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.755.75 1.48 2.60
31.03.24 Zwolle – Ajax 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.53 2.40
17.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 3.503.502.05 1.70 2.10
10.03.24 Ajax – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
25.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
11.02.24 Heerenveen – Ajax 3–2 (2–0) 4.004.501.73 1.40 2.88
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88

Twente all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Twente – For Sittard 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08
03.04.24 Heerenveen – Twente 3–3 (2–3) 3.604.001.91 1.70 2.10
31.03.24 Twente – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.0012.00 1.44 2.70
17.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
09.03.24 Twente – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.70 2.10
02.03.24 Vitesse – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 5.254.001.62 1.83 2.03
25.02.24 Twente – Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.505.75 1.65 2.20
18.02.24 Twente – Utrecht 0–1 (0–1) 1.624.205.25 1.83 2.03
10.02.24 Excelsior – Twente 0–3 (0–3) 5.504.331.55 1.70 2.10
03.02.24 Twente – Waalwijk 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.24 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.755.75 1.48 2.60
10.03.24 Ajax – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
21.01.24 Ajax – Waalwijk 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
17.12.23 Ajax – Zwolle 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.508.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
25.11.23 Ajax – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.40 2.88
05.11.23 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88

Twente away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Heerenveen – Twente 3–3 (2–3) 3.604.001.91 1.70 2.10
17.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
02.03.24 Vitesse – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 5.254.001.62 1.83 2.03
10.02.24 Excelsior – Twente 0–3 (0–3) 5.504.331.55 1.70 2.10
28.01.24 Feyenoord – Twente 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.53 2.40
20.01.24 Nijmegen – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Twente 2–2 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.85 2.00
03.12.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Twente 1–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.15
05.11.23 Utrecht – Twente 1–1 (1–1) 5.004.001.67 1.70 2.10
22.10.23 Heracles – Twente 2–2 (0–2) 5.504.331.57 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsTwente wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.23N1 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.502.60 1.60 2.30
28.05.23N1 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.44 2.70
14.01.23N1 Ajax – Twente 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
13.02.22N1 Ajax – Twente 5–0 (1–0) 1.128.5019.00 1.44 2.70
22.08.21N1 Twente – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 9.506.001.25 1.36 3.10

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 30 26 3 1 95 17 +78 81
2 Feyenoord 30 22 6 2 77 23 +54 72
3 Twente 29 18 6 5 55 28 +27 60
4 AZ Alkmaar 30 16 7 7 59 35 +24 55
5 Nijmegen 29 12 10 7 57 42 +15 46
6 Ajax 29 12 9 8 61 55 +6 45
7 Utrecht 30 12 9 9 43 41 +2 45
8 Go Ahead Eagles 30 11 9 10 44 39 +5 42
9 Sparta Rotterdam 30 11 7 12 45 43 +2 40
10 Heerenveen 30 10 6 14 50 56 -6 36
11 For Sittard 30 9 8 13 34 52 -18 35
12 Almere City 30 7 12 11 30 48 -18 33
13 Heracles 30 9 5 16 40 62 -22 32
14 Zwolle 29 8 7 14 38 56 -18 31
15 Excelsior 30 5 10 15 44 64 -20 25
16 Waalwijk 30 6 6 18 29 50 -21 24
17 Volendam 30 4 7 19 30 74 -44 19
18 Vitesse 30 4 5 21 22 68 -46 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 1 0 47 8 +39 43
2 Twente 15 12 1 2 30 14 +16 37
3 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 42 10 +32 36
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 10 2 3 36 14 +22 32
5 Nijmegen 14 8 3 3 31 17 +14 27
6 Ajax 14 7 5 2 32 18 +14 26
7 Utrecht 15 7 5 3 28 22 +6 26
8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 7 4 4 30 17 +13 25
9 For Sittard 15 7 4 4 26 19 +7 25
10 Heerenveen 15 6 3 6 29 25 +4 21
11 Heracles 15 6 3 6 25 30 -5 21
12 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 5 6 22 24 -2 17
13 Excelsior 15 3 7 5 22 24 -2 16
14 Waalwijk 15 4 4 7 17 22 -5 16
15 Almere City 15 3 6 6 16 25 -9 15
16 Zwolle 15 4 3 8 15 28 -13 15
17 Volendam 15 3 2 10 14 38 -24 11
18 Vitesse 15 1 5 9 10 26 -16 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 12 2 1 48 9 +39 38
2 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 35 13 +22 36
3 Twente 14 6 5 3 25 14 +11 23
4 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 2 6 23 19 +4 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 5 4 23 21 +2 23
6 Nijmegen 15 4 7 4 26 25 +1 19
7 Utrecht 15 5 4 6 15 19 -4 19
8 Ajax 15 5 4 6 29 37 -8 19
9 Almere City 15 4 6 5 14 23 -9 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
11 Zwolle 14 4 4 6 23 28 -5 16
12 Heerenveen 15 4 3 8 21 31 -10 15
13 Heracles 15 3 2 10 15 32 -17 11
14 For Sittard 15 2 4 9 8 33 -25 10
15 Excelsior 15 2 3 10 22 40 -18 9
16 Vitesse 15 3 0 12 12 42 -30 9
17 Waalwijk 15 2 2 11 12 28 -16 8
18 Volendam 15 1 5 9 16 36 -20 8

Ajax   Twente

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Ajax 29 6 23 2.1 1.9 12 9 8 61 55 45
2 15 Excelsior 30 7 23 1.5 2.1 5 10 15 44 64 25
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 30 9 21 3.2 0.6 26 3 1 95 17 81
4 10 Heerenveen 30 9 21 1.7 1.9 10 6 14 50 56 36
5 13 Heracles 30 9 21 1.3 2.1 9 5 16 40 62 32
6 2 Feyenoord 30 10 20 2.6 0.8 22 6 2 77 23 72
7 17 Volendam 30 10 20 1.0 2.5 4 7 19 30 74 19
8 4 AZ Alkmaar 30 11 19 2.0 1.2 16 7 7 59 35 55
9 5 Nijmegen 29 10 19 2.0 1.4 12 10 7 57 42 46
10 3 Twente 29 11 18 1.9 1.0 18 6 5 55 28 60
11 11 For Sittard 30 12 18 1.1 1.7 9 8 13 34 52 35
12 14 Zwolle 29 11 18 1.3 1.9 8 7 14 38 56 31
13 9 Sparta Rotterdam 30 13 17 1.5 1.4 11 7 12 45 43 40
14 18 Vitesse 30 13 17 0.7 2.3 4 5 21 22 68 17
15 16 Waalwijk 30 15 15 1.0 1.7 6 6 18 29 50 24
16 8 Go Ahead Eagles 30 16 14 1.5 1.3 11 9 10 44 39 42
17 12 Almere City 30 16 14 1.0 1.6 7 12 11 30 48 33
18 7 Utrecht 30 18 12 1.4 1.4 12 9 9 43 41 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Heerenveen 15 3 12 1.9 1.7 6 3 6 29 25 21
2 13 Heracles 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 6 3 6 25 30 21
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 5 10 3.1 0.5 14 1 0 47 8 43
4 2 Feyenoord 15 5 10 2.8 0.7 11 3 1 42 10 36
5 3 Twente 15 5 10 2.0 0.9 12 1 2 30 14 37
6 4 AZ Alkmaar 15 5 10 2.4 0.9 10 2 3 36 14 32
7 6 Ajax 14 4 10 2.3 1.3 7 5 2 32 18 26
8 17 Volendam 15 5 10 0.9 2.5 3 2 10 14 38 11
9 5 Nijmegen 14 5 9 2.2 1.2 8 3 3 31 17 27
10 8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 9 2.0 1.1 7 4 4 30 17 25
11 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 4 5 6 22 24 17
12 11 For Sittard 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 7 4 4 26 19 25
13 15 Excelsior 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 3 7 5 22 24 16
14 12 Almere City 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 3 6 6 16 25 15
15 14 Zwolle 15 7 8 1.0 1.9 4 3 8 15 28 15
16 16 Waalwijk 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 17 22 16
17 7 Utrecht 15 8 7 1.9 1.5 7 5 3 28 22 26
18 18 Vitesse 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 10 26 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Excelsior 15 1 14 1.5 2.7 2 3 10 22 40 9
2 6 Ajax 15 2 13 1.9 2.5 5 4 6 29 37 19
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 4 11 3.2 0.6 12 2 1 48 9 38
4 18 Vitesse 15 4 11 0.8 2.8 3 0 12 12 42 9
5 2 Feyenoord 15 5 10 2.3 0.9 11 3 1 35 13 36
6 5 Nijmegen 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 4 7 4 26 25 19
7 13 Heracles 15 5 10 1.0 2.1 3 2 10 15 32 11
8 14 Zwolle 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 4 6 23 28 16
9 17 Volendam 15 5 10 1.1 2.4 1 5 9 16 36 8
10 4 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.5 1.4 6 5 4 23 21 23
11 10 Heerenveen 15 6 9 1.4 2.1 4 3 8 21 31 15
12 11 For Sittard 15 6 9 0.5 2.2 2 4 9 8 33 10
13 3 Twente 14 6 8 1.8 1.0 6 5 3 25 14 23
14 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 7 2 6 23 19 23
15 16 Waalwijk 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 2 2 11 12 28 8
16 12 Almere City 15 9 6 0.9 1.5 4 6 5 14 23 18
17 7 Utrecht 15 10 5 1.0 1.3 5 4 6 15 19 19
18 8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 10 5 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51