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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Heracles

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.66
Draw 5.25 fair 4.95
Away 8.50 fair 5.13
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.79
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Heracles
20 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 1
8 Fouls 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (122 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 2.15 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 9.1% 2–0 8.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.92scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 25:15
Heracles before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.08scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:25
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Heracles

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 1.08
1.15 Goals conceded 1.92
3.08 Total goals 3.00
14.92 Shots 11.92
5.54 Shots on target 3.54
10.15 Shots faced 16.38
5.46 Corners 5.31
4.15 Corners against 4.62
10.08 Fouls 11.54
1.62 Yellow cards 1.54
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

46% Wins 23%
15% Draws 31%
38% Losses 46%
92% Over 0.5 goals 85%
69% Over 1.5 goals 77%
69% Over 2.5 goals 62%
23% Over 3.5 goals 38%
15% Over 4.5 goals 23%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
62% Both teams scored 54%
31% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 46%
31% Draws 38%
15% Losses 15%
85% Over 0.5 goals 77%
46% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Heracles all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
1.17points / match
2.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 15:9
Heracles before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.50scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:14
AZ Alkmaar at home away Heracles

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.50
1.50 Goals conceded 2.33
4.00 Total goals 2.83
18.67 Shots 8.67
7.00 Shots on target 2.50
10.83 Shots faced 17.33
5.17 Corners 4.33
3.33 Corners against 4.33
8.17 Fouls 13.00
1.00 Yellow cards 1.67
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
17% Draws 17%
50% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
83% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 33%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 33%
17% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
17% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Heracles away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.402.05 1.83 2.03
10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.24 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 3–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10
27.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.15
19.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
06.10.24 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 6.253.801.57 1.83 2.03
29.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.25 1.70 2.10
20.09.24 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 6.505.001.42 1.53 2.40
14.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 9–1 (2–1) 1.424.757.50 1.57 2.35
30.08.24 Waalwijk – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.62 2.25

Heracles all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Heracles – Waalwijk 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
08.11.24 Utrecht – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.70 2.10
02.11.24 Heracles – NAC Breda 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 1.85 2.00
27.10.24 Twente – Heracles 5–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
20.10.24 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
06.10.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Heracles 4–1 (0–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.15
27.09.24 Heracles – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–0) 2.883.602.38 1.60 2.30
21.09.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.25
15.09.24 Heracles – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 2.03 1.83
01.09.24 Zwolle – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.70 2.10

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05
27.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.15
19.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
29.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.25 1.70 2.10
14.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 9–1 (2–1) 1.424.757.50 1.57 2.35
17.08.24 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.57 2.35
19.05.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 3–3 (3–0) 1.444.756.50 1.48 2.60
05.05.24 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.88 1.98
13.04.24 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 3–2 (0–2) 1.305.2510.00 1.50 2.50
30.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Vitesse 2–0 (0–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.57 2.35

Heracles away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.24 Utrecht – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.70 2.10
27.10.24 Twente – Heracles 5–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
06.10.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Heracles 4–1 (0–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.15
21.09.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.25
01.09.24 Zwolle – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.70 2.10
11.08.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.50 2.50
12.05.24 Excelsior – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.853.753.80 1.48 2.60
28.04.24 Zwolle – Heracles 3–1 (1–1) 2.103.803.10 1.60 2.30
06.04.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.62 2.25
31.03.24 Twente – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.0012.00 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsHeracles wins
4matches
3.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24N1 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 5–0 (3–0) 6.505.001.44 1.65 2.20
28.09.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.295.759.50 1.48 2.60
19.02.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 2–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.15
19.09.21N1 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 3–2 (1–1) 4.003.601.85 1.70 2.10

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 13 0 1 50 11 +39 39
2 Utrecht 13 10 1 2 24 17 +7 31
3 Feyenoord 14 8 5 1 32 14 +18 29
4 Ajax 12 9 2 1 27 11 +16 29
5 Twente 13 7 4 2 26 12 +14 25
6 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 2 5 25 15 +10 20
7 NAC Breda 14 6 1 7 15 23 -8 19
8 Go Ahead Eagles 13 5 3 5 18 20 -2 18
9 For Sittard 14 5 3 6 15 19 -4 18
10 Nijmegen 13 5 1 7 20 12 +8 16
11 Willem II 14 4 4 6 15 16 -1 16
12 Zwolle 14 4 3 7 15 24 -9 15
13 Groningen 14 4 3 7 14 24 -10 15
14 Heerenveen 14 4 3 7 14 27 -13 15
15 Heracles 13 3 4 6 14 25 -11 13
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 5 7 13 21 -8 11
17 Waalwijk 14 1 3 10 13 34 -21 6
18 Almere City 14 1 3 10 6 31 -25 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 6 0 0 23 2 +21 18
2 Ajax 6 6 0 0 15 3 +12 18
3 Heerenveen 7 4 3 0 12 4 +8 15
4 NAC Breda 7 5 0 2 10 7 +3 15
5 Utrecht 7 5 0 2 12 12 0 15
6 Feyenoord 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
7 Twente 6 3 3 0 12 4 +8 12
8 For Sittard 7 4 0 3 10 8 +2 12
9 Zwolle 7 4 0 3 11 10 +1 12
10 Groningen 7 3 2 2 9 5 +4 11
11 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 2 2 13 11 +2 11
12 Nijmegen 7 3 1 3 14 7 +7 10
13 Heracles 7 2 3 2 11 11 0 9
14 Willem II 7 2 2 3 8 7 +1 8
15 AZ Alkmaar 6 2 1 3 15 9 +6 7
16 Sparta Rotterdam 7 0 4 3 7 12 -5 4
17 Waalwijk 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4
18 Almere City 7 1 1 5 4 19 -15 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 7 0 1 27 9 +18 21
2 Utrecht 6 5 1 0 12 5 +7 16
3 Feyenoord 7 4 3 0 20 7 +13 15
4 Twente 7 4 1 2 14 8 +6 13
5 AZ Alkmaar 7 4 1 2 10 6 +4 13
6 Ajax 6 3 2 1 12 8 +4 11
7 Willem II 7 2 2 3 7 9 -2 8
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 1 3 5 9 -4 7
10 Nijmegen 6 2 0 4 6 5 +1 6
11 For Sittard 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
12 NAC Breda 7 1 1 5 5 16 -11 4
13 Heracles 6 1 1 4 3 14 -11 4
14 Groningen 7 1 1 5 5 19 -14 4
15 Zwolle 7 0 3 4 4 14 -10 3
16 Almere City 7 0 2 5 2 12 -10 2
17 Waalwijk 7 0 2 5 7 20 -13 2
18 Heerenveen 7 0 0 7 2 23 -21 0

AZ Alkmaar   Heracles

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 14 2 12 3.6 0.8 13 0 1 50 11 39
2 17 Waalwijk 14 4 10 0.9 2.4 1 3 10 13 34 6
3 6 AZ Alkmaar 13 4 9 1.9 1.2 6 2 5 25 15 20
4 2 Utrecht 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 10 1 2 24 17 31
5 5 Twente 13 5 8 2.0 0.9 7 4 2 26 12 25
6 7 NAC Breda 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 6 1 7 15 23 19
7 15 Heracles 13 5 8 1.1 1.9 3 4 6 14 25 13
8 3 Feyenoord 14 7 7 2.3 1.0 8 5 1 32 14 29
9 8 Go Ahead Eagles 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 5 3 5 18 20 18
10 9 For Sittard 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 3 6 15 19 18
11 10 Nijmegen 13 6 7 1.5 0.9 5 1 7 20 12 16
12 12 Zwolle 14 7 7 1.1 1.7 4 3 7 15 24 15
13 13 Groningen 14 7 7 1.0 1.7 4 3 7 14 24 15
14 14 Heerenveen 14 7 7 1.0 1.9 4 3 7 14 27 15
15 16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 7 7 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 13 21 11
16 4 Ajax 12 6 6 2.2 0.9 9 2 1 27 11 29
17 18 Almere City 14 8 6 0.4 2.2 1 3 10 6 31 6
18 11 Willem II 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 4 4 6 15 16 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.8 0.3 6 0 0 23 2 18
2 6 AZ Alkmaar 6 1 5 2.5 1.5 2 1 3 15 9 7
3 9 For Sittard 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 4 0 3 10 8 12
4 10 Nijmegen 7 2 5 2.0 1.0 3 1 3 14 7 10
5 12 Zwolle 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 4 0 3 11 10 12
6 17 Waalwijk 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
7 2 Utrecht 7 3 4 1.7 1.7 5 0 2 12 12 15
8 7 NAC Breda 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 5 0 2 10 7 15
9 8 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 4 1.9 1.6 3 2 2 13 11 11
10 15 Heracles 7 3 4 1.6 1.6 2 3 2 11 11 9
11 16 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 0 4 3 7 12 4
12 3 Feyenoord 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
13 4 Ajax 6 3 3 2.5 0.5 6 0 0 15 3 18
14 11 Willem II 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 2 2 3 8 7 8
15 18 Almere City 7 4 3 0.6 2.7 1 1 5 4 19 4
16 5 Twente 6 4 2 2.0 0.7 3 3 0 12 4 12
17 13 Groningen 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 3 2 2 9 5 11
18 14 Heerenveen 7 5 2 1.7 0.6 4 3 0 12 4 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 3.4 1.1 7 0 1 27 9 21
2 5 Twente 7 1 6 2.0 1.1 4 1 2 14 8 13
3 13 Groningen 7 2 5 0.7 2.7 1 1 5 5 19 4
4 14 Heerenveen 7 2 5 0.3 3.3 0 0 7 2 23 0
5 17 Waalwijk 7 2 5 1.0 2.9 0 2 5 7 20 2
6 2 Utrecht 6 2 4 2.0 0.8 5 1 0 12 5 16
7 3 Feyenoord 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 4 3 0 20 7 15
8 6 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 4 1.4 0.9 4 1 2 10 6 13
9 7 NAC Breda 7 3 4 0.7 2.3 1 1 5 5 16 4
10 15 Heracles 6 2 4 0.5 2.3 1 1 4 3 14 4
11 4 Ajax 6 3 3 2.0 1.3 3 2 1 12 8 11
12 8 Go Ahead Eagles 6 3 3 0.8 1.5 2 1 3 5 9 7
13 16 Sparta Rotterdam 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7
14 18 Almere City 7 4 3 0.3 1.7 0 2 5 2 12 2
15 9 For Sittard 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
16 10 Nijmegen 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 0 4 6 5 6
17 11 Willem II 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 2 2 3 7 9 8
18 12 Zwolle 7 5 2 0.6 2.0 0 3 4 4 14 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51