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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 1.93
Draw 4.33 fair 4.61
Away 5.00 fair 3.79
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.89
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Heerenveen Excelsior
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 3
6 Fouls 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (67 league matches this season so far).
Result Heerenveen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.99 – 1.37
Home / Draw / Away
HeerenveenDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.4% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 6.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Heerenveen before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
1.43scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:12
Excelsior before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
0.86scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:15
Heerenveen all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 0.86
1.71 Goals conceded 2.14
3.14 Total goals 3.00
15.14 Shots 12.43
4.57 Shots on target 4.29
9.71 Shots faced 17.86
5.57 Corners 3.71
4.71 Corners against 4.71
10.71 Fouls 13.86
2.00 Yellow cards 1.29
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

14% Wins 29%
43% Draws 0%
43% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
71% Over 2.5 goals 71%
43% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
86% Both teams scored 57%
0% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 0%
43% Draws 57%
29% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 71%
43% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen all matches
Excelsior all matches
Heerenveen before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:7
Excelsior before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
3.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:10
Heerenveen at home away Excelsior

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.00
1.75 Goals conceded 3.33
3.50 Total goals 4.33
17.25 Shots 12.00
5.50 Shots on target 5.33
9.00 Shots faced 15.00
6.25 Corners 3.33
4.75 Corners against 6.33
9.25 Fouls 16.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

25% Wins 33%
50% Draws 0%
25% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 67%
25% Over 4.5 goals 67%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
25% Draws 33%
25% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

Heerenveen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–2 (1–1) 1.804.003.90 1.67 2.15
21.09.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 3–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.48 2.60
13.09.25 Feyenoord – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.702.90 1.60 2.30
24.08.25 Heerenveen – Twente 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.752.30 1.62 2.25
16.08.25 Groningen – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.20 1.93 1.88
09.08.25 Heerenveen – Volendam 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10
18.05.25 Heerenveen – Feyenoord 2–0 (2–0) 3.004.002.10 1.48 2.60
14.05.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.752.55 1.50 2.50
10.05.25 Waalwijk – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 3.403.802.00 1.50 2.40

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
20.09.25 Volendam – Excelsior 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.53 2.40
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Excelsior – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.57 2.35
24.08.25 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88
16.08.25 Excelsior – Feyenoord 1–2 (1–2) 5.004.501.45 1.44 2.70
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
19.05.24 Feyenoord – Excelsior 4–0 (0–0) 1.257.009.00 1.22 4.20
12.05.24 Excelsior – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.853.753.80 1.48 2.60
06.05.24 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.53 2.40

Heerenveen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 3–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.48 2.60
30.08.25 Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.702.90 1.60 2.30
24.08.25 Heerenveen – Twente 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.752.30 1.62 2.25
09.08.25 Heerenveen – Volendam 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10
18.05.25 Heerenveen – Feyenoord 2–0 (2–0) 3.004.002.10 1.48 2.60
27.04.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.75 1.70 2.10
19.04.25 Heerenveen – Almere City 2–1 (2–1) 1.654.004.75 1.73 2.08
04.04.25 Heerenveen – Willem II 3–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
15.03.25 Heerenveen – Heracles 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.33 1.73 2.08
02.03.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (1–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Volendam – Excelsior 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.53 2.40
24.08.25 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
19.05.24 Feyenoord – Excelsior 4–0 (0–0) 1.257.009.00 1.22 4.20
24.04.24 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
06.04.24 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.753.60 1.57 2.35
30.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 For Sittard – Excelsior 5–2 (4–0) 1.913.803.80 1.88 1.98
17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 4–2 (2–2) 1.853.604.20 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Heerenveen winsDrawsExcelsior wins
4matches
1.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.24N1 Excelsior – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.752.20 1.67 2.15
23.09.23N1 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.53 2.40
13.05.23N1 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.505.005.00 1.53 2.40
05.11.22N1 Excelsior – Heerenveen 0–1 (0–0) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 25 11 +14 19
2 Feyenoord 7 6 1 0 15 4 +11 19
3 Ajax 8 4 4 0 17 10 +7 16
4 Groningen 8 5 0 3 14 11 +3 15
5 For Sittard 8 4 1 3 13 12 +1 13
6 Nijmegen 7 4 0 3 21 13 +8 12
7 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 3 1 15 11 +4 12
8 Utrecht 7 3 1 3 13 7 +6 10
9 Twente 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
10 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 1 4 11 22 -11 10
11 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 3 2 13 13 0 9
12 Telstar 7 2 1 4 9 13 -4 7
13 Volendam 8 1 4 3 9 13 -4 7
14 NAC Breda 8 2 1 5 8 14 -6 7
15 Zwolle 8 2 1 5 7 15 -8 7
16 Heerenveen 7 1 3 3 10 12 -2 6
17 Excelsior 7 2 0 5 6 15 -9 6
18 Heracles 7 1 0 6 6 18 -12 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 For Sittard 4 3 1 0 7 4 +3 10
3 Nijmegen 4 3 0 1 13 6 +7 9
4 Groningen 4 3 0 1 8 2 +6 9
5 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
6 Utrecht 4 2 1 1 10 4 +6 7
7 PSV Eindhoven 4 2 1 1 12 7 +5 7
8 NAC Breda 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
9 AZ Alkmaar 3 1 2 0 9 6 +3 5
10 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 7 7 0 5
11 Volendam 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
13 Twente 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 4
14 Telstar 4 1 1 2 7 9 -2 4
15 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 6 13 -7 4
16 Heracles 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
17 Excelsior 4 1 0 3 3 5 -2 3
18 Zwolle 4 1 0 3 1 8 -7 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 13 4 +9 12
2 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 10 4 +6 10
3 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
4 Twente 4 2 0 2 7 4 +3 6
5 Groningen 4 2 0 2 6 9 -3 6
6 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6
7 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 2 1 8 8 0 5
8 Ajax 4 0 4 0 8 8 0 4
9 Zwolle 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
10 Nijmegen 3 1 0 2 8 7 +1 3
11 Utrecht 3 1 0 2 3 3 0 3
12 For Sittard 4 1 0 3 6 8 -2 3
13 Telstar 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
14 Excelsior 3 1 0 2 3 10 -7 3
15 Volendam 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2
16 Heerenveen 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
17 NAC Breda 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
18 Heracles 4 0 0 4 1 12 -11 0

Heerenveen   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Nijmegen 7 0 7 3.0 1.9 4 0 3 21 13 12
2 10 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 7 1.4 2.8 3 1 4 11 22 10
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 2 6 3.1 1.4 6 1 1 25 11 19
4 7 AZ Alkmaar 7 1 6 2.1 1.6 3 3 1 15 11 12
5 11 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 2 3 2 13 13 9
6 14 NAC Breda 8 2 6 1.0 1.8 2 1 5 8 14 7
7 18 Heracles 7 1 6 0.9 2.6 1 0 6 6 18 3
8 3 Ajax 8 3 5 2.1 1.2 4 4 0 17 10 16
9 4 Groningen 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 5 0 3 14 11 15
10 5 For Sittard 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 4 1 3 13 12 13
11 13 Volendam 8 3 5 1.1 1.6 1 4 3 9 13 7
12 16 Heerenveen 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 1 3 3 10 12 6
13 17 Excelsior 7 2 5 0.9 2.1 2 0 5 6 15 6
14 8 Utrecht 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 3 1 3 13 7 10
15 9 Twente 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
16 15 Zwolle 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 2 1 5 7 15 7
17 2 Feyenoord 7 4 3 2.1 0.6 6 1 0 15 4 19
18 12 Telstar 7 4 3 1.3 1.9 2 1 4 9 13 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Nijmegen 4 0 4 3.2 1.5 3 0 1 13 6 9
2 10 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 4 1.5 3.2 1 1 2 6 13 4
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 4 1 3 3.0 1.8 2 1 1 12 7 7
4 7 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 3 3.0 2.0 1 2 0 9 6 5
5 8 Utrecht 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 2 1 1 10 4 7
6 11 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
7 12 Telstar 4 1 3 1.8 2.2 1 1 2 7 9 4
8 13 Volendam 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
9 14 NAC Breda 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
10 16 Heerenveen 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 1 2 1 7 7 5
11 18 Heracles 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
12 3 Ajax 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
13 4 Groningen 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 0 1 8 2 9
14 5 For Sittard 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 3 1 0 7 4 10
15 9 Twente 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 1 1 1 5 6 4
16 17 Excelsior 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 0 3 3 5 3
17 15 Zwolle 4 3 1 0.2 2.0 1 0 3 1 8 3
18 2 Feyenoord 3 3 0 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 4 1 3 3.2 1.0 4 0 0 13 4 12
2 2 Feyenoord 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 3 1 0 10 4 10
3 3 Ajax 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 0 4 0 8 8 4
4 4 Groningen 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 2 0 2 6 9 6
5 5 For Sittard 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 1 0 3 6 8 3
6 6 Nijmegen 3 0 3 2.7 2.3 1 0 2 8 7 3
7 7 AZ Alkmaar 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
8 10 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6
9 11 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 1 2 1 8 8 5
10 14 NAC Breda 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
11 15 Zwolle 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
12 17 Excelsior 3 0 3 1.0 3.3 1 0 2 3 10 3
13 18 Heracles 4 1 3 0.2 3.0 0 0 4 1 12 0
14 9 Twente 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 0 2 7 4 6
15 13 Volendam 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2
16 16 Heerenveen 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
17 8 Utrecht 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 2 3 3 3
18 12 Telstar 3 3 0 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51