Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior – Netherlands Eredivisie, 16 Oct 2026

Match facts

Heerenveen Excelsior

14 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

2.25 Expected goals (xG) 0.67

4 Corners 1

9 Fouls 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (72 league matches this season so far).

Result Excelsior to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.48

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.81

Home / Draw / Away

35% 22% 42%

HeerenveenDrawExcelsior

Under / Over 2.5 goals

33% 67%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

33% 67%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

11% 1

19% 2

22% 3

19% 4

27% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9.4% 1–2 8.5% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Heerenveen before this match, all matches

1.13points / match

1.38scored / match

1.38conceded / match

2 3 3

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:11

Excelsior before this match, all matches

1.38points / match

2.00scored / match

1.75conceded / match

3 2 3

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:14

Heerenveen all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 2.00

1.38 Goals conceded 1.75

2.75 Total goals 3.75

1.29 xG created 1.40

1.38 xG allowed 1.58

15.50 Shots 11.88

5.88 Shots on target 4.38

15.75 Shots faced 15.88

5.25 Corners 4.13

5.38 Corners against 5.25

8.63 Fouls 11.75

1.13 Yellow cards 1.38

0.63 1st-half goals scored 1.13

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 38%

38% Draws 25%

38% Losses 38%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 100%

50% Over 2.5 goals 100%

50% Over 3.5 goals 50%

13% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

38% Both teams scored 75%

38% Clean sheets 25%

38% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%

50% Draws 25%

25% Losses 38%

50% Over 0.5 goals 100%

38% Over 1.5 goals 63%

25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen all matches

2

L

D

1

W

2

D

2

L

2

D

2

3

L

D

4

W

2

L

Excelsior all matches

1

D

3

2

W

4

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

W

2

D

1

2

L

2

D

1

5

L

Heerenveen before this match, at home

1.00points / match

0.75scored / match

1.25conceded / match

1 1 2

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:5

Excelsior before this match, away

2.00points / match

2.75scored / match

1.00conceded / match

2 2

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 11:4

Heerenveen at home away Excelsior

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 2.75

1.25 Goals conceded 1.00

2.00 Total goals 3.75

1.07 xG created 1.77

1.27 xG allowed 1.32

15.50 Shots 12.25

5.00 Shots on target 5.50

16.25 Shots faced 17.75

5.25 Corners 4.50

5.00 Corners against 5.75

8.75 Fouls 13.25

1.50 Yellow cards 1.50

0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.75

0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%

25% Draws 50%

50% Losses 0%

75% Over 0.5 goals 100%

50% Over 1.5 goals 100%

25% Over 2.5 goals 100%

25% Over 3.5 goals 75%

25% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

25% Both teams scored 50%

50% Clean sheets 50%

50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%

75% Draws 50%

0% Losses 0%

25% Over 0.5 goals 100%

25% Over 1.5 goals 100%

25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen at home

4

2

W

2

1

W

3

W

4

1

W

2

1

W

D

1

W

2

L

2

3

L

D

Excelsior away

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

D

3

2

W

3

2

W

4

W

3

W

2

D

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Heerenveen all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.10.26	PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen	2–0 (1–0)	1.27	6.00	8.50	1.18	4.50
19.09.26	Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen	0–4 (0–2)	2.50	3.75	2.60	1.48	2.60
13.09.26	Heerenveen – Telstar	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.50	4.75	1.40	2.88
06.09.26	Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar	2–3 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.80	1.44	2.70
30.08.26	Willem II – Heerenveen	2–2 (0–0)	4.00	4.33	1.75	1.44	2.70
22.08.26	Heerenveen – Zwolle	0–2 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.44	2.70
16.08.26	Ajax – Heerenveen	2–2 (2–1)	1.44	4.50	7.00	1.40	2.88
09.08.26	Heerenveen – Twente	1–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.80	2.20	1.48	2.60
17.05.26	Heerenveen – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.90	2.05	1.33	3.40
10.05.26	NAC Breda – Heerenveen	2–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.75	2.55	1.44	2.70

Excelsior all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.10.26	Excelsior – Groningen	1–5 (1–2)	2.55	3.60	2.55	1.53	2.40
19.09.26	Ajax – Excelsior	2–2 (1–1)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.25	4.00
13.09.26	Excelsior – Utrecht	1–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.75	3.00	1.60	2.30
08.09.26	Nijmegen – Excelsior	2–2 (1–1)	1.62	4.10	5.00	1.48	2.60
05.09.26	Willem II – Excelsior	0–3 (0–2)	3.00	3.50	2.30	1.62	2.25
29.08.26	Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam	2–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.80	2.63	1.53	2.40
15.08.26	Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven	1–2 (0–1)	5.50	4.33	1.57	1.36	3.10
07.08.26	Cambuur – Excelsior	0–4 (0–3)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.75	2.05
17.05.26	Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior	2–3 (0–1)	2.05	3.70	3.20	1.48	2.60
10.05.26	Excelsior – Volendam	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	4.00	4.10	1.57	2.35

Heerenveen at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.09.26	Heerenveen – Telstar	0–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.50	4.75	1.40	2.88
06.09.26	Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar	2–3 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.80	1.44	2.70
22.08.26	Heerenveen – Zwolle	0–2 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.44	2.70
09.08.26	Heerenveen – Twente	1–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.80	2.20	1.48	2.60
17.05.26	Heerenveen – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.90	2.05	1.33	3.40
25.04.26	Heerenveen – For Sittard	2–1 (1–1)	1.53	4.75	5.25	1.44	2.70
05.04.26	Heerenveen – Heracles	4–1 (2–1)	1.48	5.00	5.50	1.44	2.70
14.03.26	Heerenveen – Telstar	3–0 (1–0)	1.73	4.20	4.20	1.50	2.50
28.02.26	Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.70	3.25	1.60	2.30
15.02.26	Heerenveen – Zwolle	4–2 (1–2)	1.53	4.33	6.00	1.53	2.40

Excelsior away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.09.26	Ajax – Excelsior	2–2 (1–1)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.25	4.00
08.09.26	Nijmegen – Excelsior	2–2 (1–1)	1.62	4.10	5.00	1.48	2.60
05.09.26	Willem II – Excelsior	0–3 (0–2)	3.00	3.50	2.30	1.62	2.25
07.08.26	Cambuur – Excelsior	0–4 (0–3)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.75	2.05
17.05.26	Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior	2–3 (0–1)	2.05	3.70	3.20	1.48	2.60
02.05.26	Groningen – Excelsior	2–3 (1–1)	1.70	4.10	4.50	1.50	2.50
12.04.26	Zwolle – Excelsior	2–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.70	3.10	1.62	2.25
20.03.26	Heracles – Excelsior	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	1.73	2.08
15.03.26	Feyenoord – Excelsior	2–1 (0–1)	1.30	6.00	8.00	1.40	2.88
20.02.26	For Sittard – Excelsior	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.60	3.10	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 1 2

Heerenveen winsDrawsExcelsior wins

6matches

2.17goals / match

67%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26N1	Excelsior – Heerenveen	1–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
04.10.25N1	Heerenveen – Excelsior	2–1 (0–1)	1.60	4.33	5.00	1.53	2.40
19.01.24N1	Excelsior – Heerenveen	3–0 (2–0)	3.10	3.75	2.20	1.67	2.15
23.09.23N1	Heerenveen – Excelsior	0–3 (0–2)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.53	2.40
13.05.23N1	Heerenveen – Excelsior	0–0 (0–0)	1.50	5.00	5.00	1.53	2.40
05.11.22N1	Excelsior – Heerenveen	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	4.00	1.75	1.60	2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27	7	+20	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	26	10	+16	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18	8	+10	19
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16	8	+8	17
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22	10	+12	15
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	20	14	+6	14
7	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	14	15	-1	14
8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19	17	+2	11
9	Excelsior	8	3	2	3	16	14	+2	11
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11	11	0	9
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13	14	-1	9
12	Cambuur	8	2	2	4	11	19	-8	8
13	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14	25	-11	8
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13	20	-7	6
15	Telstar	8	1	3	4	7	14	-7	6
16	Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6	21	-15	4
17	Den Haag	8	0	3	5	9	19	-10	3
18	Willem II	8	0	2	6	7	23	-16	2

Champions League – league phase
Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
Play-offs for a Conference League place
Relegation play-off
Relegation to Eerste Divisie

KNVB Cup winners go to the Europa League league phase, so places can move down the table.

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Twente	4	4	0	0	9	3	+6	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	13	4	+9	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	9	3	+6	10
4	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	11	4	+7	8
5	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	2	0	11	6	+5	8
6	Groningen	4	2	1	1	9	6	+3	7
7	Ajax	5	1	3	1	11	9	+2	6
8	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
9	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	5	9	-4	4
10	Utrecht	4	1	1	2	8	14	-6	4
11	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	5	10	-5	3
12	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	6	13	-7	3
13	Nijmegen	4	0	2	2	5	8	-3	2
14	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	5	10	-5	2
15	Telstar	4	0	2	2	5	11	-6	2
16	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	4	8	-4	1
17	Willem II	4	0	1	3	3	10	-7	1
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	1	13	-12	0

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	16	3	+13	12
2	For Sittard	4	3	1	0	9	6	+3	10
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	11	1	+10	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	13	6	+7	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	9	5	+4	9
6	Excelsior	4	2	2	0	11	4	+7	8
7	Groningen	4	2	1	1	11	8	+3	7
8	Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	8	6	+2	7
9	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	8	6	+2	5
10	Twente	4	1	2	1	7	5	+2	5
11	Cambuur	4	1	2	1	5	6	-1	5
12	Telstar	4	1	1	2	2	3	-1	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	8	10	-2	4
14	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	5	8	-3	4
15	Utrecht	4	1	1	2	6	11	-5	4
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	3	1	8	11	-3	3
17	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	5	11	-6	2
18	Willem II	4	0	1	3	4	13	-9	1

Heerenveen Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Excelsior	8	0	8	2.0	1.8	3	2	3	16	14	11
2	13	Utrecht	8	0	8	1.8	3.1	2	2	4	14	25	8
3	2	PSV Eindhoven	8	1	7	3.2	1.2	6	1	1	26	10	19
4	6	Groningen	8	1	7	2.5	1.8	4	2	2	20	14	14
5	14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	7	1.6	2.5	1	3	4	13	20	6
6	1	Feyenoord	8	2	6	3.4	0.9	6	2	0	27	7	20
7	5	Ajax	8	2	6	2.8	1.2	4	3	1	22	10	15
8	8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	6	2.4	2.1	2	5	1	19	17	11
9	11	Nijmegen	8	2	6	1.6	1.8	2	3	3	13	14	9
10	12	Cambuur	8	2	6	1.4	2.4	2	2	4	11	19	8
11	18	Willem II	8	2	6	0.9	2.9	0	2	6	7	23	2
12	7	For Sittard	8	3	5	1.8	1.9	4	2	2	14	15	14
13	15	Telstar	8	3	5	0.9	1.8	1	3	4	7	14	6
14	16	Zwolle	8	3	5	0.8	2.6	1	1	6	6	21	4
15	17	Den Haag	8	3	5	1.1	2.4	0	3	5	9	19	3
16	4	Twente	8	4	4	2.0	1.0	5	2	1	16	8	17
17	10	Heerenveen	8	4	4	1.4	1.4	2	3	3	11	11	9
18	3	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	3	2.2	1.0	6	1	1	18	8	19

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Ajax	5	1	4	2.2	1.8	1	3	1	11	9	6
2	6	Groningen	4	0	4	2.2	1.5	2	1	1	9	6	7
3	9	Excelsior	4	0	4	1.2	2.5	1	0	3	5	10	3
4	12	Cambuur	4	0	4	1.5	3.2	1	0	3	6	13	3
5	13	Utrecht	4	0	4	2.0	3.5	1	1	2	8	14	4
6	15	Telstar	4	0	4	1.2	2.8	0	2	2	5	11	2
7	1	Feyenoord	4	1	3	2.8	1.0	2	2	0	11	4	8
8	2	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	3	3.2	1.0	3	1	0	13	4	10
9	8	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	3	2.8	1.5	2	2	0	11	6	8
10	11	Nijmegen	4	1	3	1.2	2.0	0	2	2	5	8	2
11	14	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	3	1.2	2.5	0	2	2	5	10	2
12	18	Willem II	4	1	3	0.8	2.5	0	1	3	3	10	1
13	4	Twente	4	2	2	2.2	0.8	4	0	0	9	3	12
14	7	For Sittard	4	2	2	1.2	2.2	1	1	2	5	9	4
15	16	Zwolle	4	2	2	0.2	3.2	0	0	4	1	13	0
16	17	Den Haag	3	1	2	1.3	2.7	0	1	2	4	8	1
17	3	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	2.2	0.8	3	1	0	9	3	10
18	10	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0.8	1.2	1	1	2	3	5	4

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	PSV Eindhoven	4	0	4	3.2	1.5	3	0	1	13	6	9
2	9	Excelsior	4	0	4	2.8	1.0	2	2	0	11	4	8
3	13	Utrecht	4	0	4	1.5	2.8	1	1	2	6	11	4
4	14	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	4	2.0	2.5	1	1	2	8	10	4
5	1	Feyenoord	4	1	3	4.0	0.8	4	0	0	16	3	12
6	6	Groningen	4	1	3	2.8	2.0	2	1	1	11	8	7
7	7	For Sittard	4	1	3	2.2	1.5	3	1	0	9	6	10
8	8	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	3	2.0	2.8	0	3	1	8	11	3
9	10	Heerenveen	4	1	3	2.0	1.5	1	2	1	8	6	5
10	11	Nijmegen	4	1	3	2.0	1.5	2	1	1	8	6	7
11	16	Zwolle	4	1	3	1.2	2.0	1	1	2	5	8	4
12	17	Den Haag	5	2	3	1.0	2.2	0	2	3	5	11	2
13	18	Willem II	4	1	3	1.0	3.2	0	1	3	4	13	1
14	3	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	2.2	1.2	3	0	1	9	5	9
15	4	Twente	4	2	2	1.8	1.2	1	2	1	7	5	5
16	5	Ajax	3	1	2	3.7	0.3	3	0	0	11	1	9
17	12	Cambuur	4	2	2	1.2	1.5	1	2	1	5	6	5
18	15	Telstar	4	3	1	0.5	0.8	1	1	2	2	3	4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.