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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Porto 3–2 Estoril

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.18 fair 1.44
Draw 6.50 fair 5.33
Away 13.00 fair 8.53
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Porto Estoril
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 3
22 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (207 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 2.14 – 0.74
Home / Draw / Away
PortoDrawEstoril
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 12.8% 1–0 12% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Porto before this match, all matches
2.35points / match
2.26scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 52:15
Estoril before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
0.83scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 19:34
Porto all matches all matches Estoril

Per match

2.26 Goals scored 0.83
0.65 Goals conceded 1.48
2.91 Total goals 2.30
16.22 Shots 11.30
5.83 Shots on target 3.61
8.91 Shots faced 13.91
5.52 Corners 5.09
3.91 Corners against 6.04
14.30 Fouls 14.13
2.22 Yellow cards 2.83
1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

74% Wins 26%
13% Draws 17%
13% Losses 57%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 74%
52% Over 2.5 goals 30%
35% Over 3.5 goals 17%
22% Over 4.5 goals 4%
9% Over 5.5 goals 4%
48% Both teams scored 35%
48% Clean sheets 22%
9% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

65% Wins 30%
22% Draws 13%
13% Losses 57%
78% Over 0.5 goals 87%
39% Over 1.5 goals 35%
26% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto all matches
Estoril all matches
Porto before this match, at home
2.45points / match
2.91scored / match
0.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 32:7
Estoril before this match, away
0.92points / match
0.67scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 8:14
Porto at home away Estoril

Per match

2.91 Goals scored 0.67
0.64 Goals conceded 1.17
3.55 Total goals 1.83
15.45 Shots 11.58
6.27 Shots on target 3.25
9.45 Shots faced 14.42
5.00 Corners 5.83
3.73 Corners against 6.67
15.55 Fouls 13.75
2.45 Yellow cards 2.75
1.73 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

82% Wins 25%
0% Draws 17%
18% Losses 58%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 58%
73% Over 2.5 goals 17%
45% Over 3.5 goals 8%
36% Over 4.5 goals 0%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 25%
45% Clean sheets 25%
9% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

82% Wins 25%
9% Draws 25%
9% Losses 50%
91% Over 0.5 goals 75%
55% Over 1.5 goals 17%
45% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto at home
Estoril away

Last 10 matches before this match

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Chaves – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 11.005.001.29 1.67 2.15
26.02.23 Porto – Gil Vicente 1–2 (1–2) 1.186.5011.00 1.40 2.88
18.02.23 Porto – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.177.0015.00 1.62 2.25
12.02.23 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 2.603.252.55 2.05 1.80
05.02.23 Porto – Vizela 2–0 (1–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.50 2.50
01.02.23 Maritimo – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.501.25 1.62 2.25
21.01.23 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 7.004.751.40 1.80 2.00
15.01.23 Porto – Famalicao 4–1 (3–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.57 2.35
07.01.23 Casa Pia – Porto 0–0 (0–0) 9.004.501.36 1.88 1.98
28.12.22 Porto – Arouca 5–1 (3–0) 1.118.0023.00 1.44 2.70

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Estoril – Vizela 0–3 (0–2) 2.633.202.63 2.15 1.67
27.02.23 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5010.00 1.53 2.40
18.02.23 Estoril – Pacos Ferreira 1–3 (0–2) 2.003.303.80 2.20 1.65
13.02.23 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.40 1.53
09.02.23 Estoril – Boavista 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.102.88 2.25 1.62
04.02.23 Estoril – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.752.882.90 2.40 1.53
29.01.23 Famalicao – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.30 1.60
22.01.23 Maritimo – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.103.00 2.40 1.53
16.01.23 Estoril – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.45 2.30 1.60
07.01.23 Arouca – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.08 1.73

Porto at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.23 Porto – Gil Vicente 1–2 (1–2) 1.186.5011.00 1.40 2.88
18.02.23 Porto – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.177.0015.00 1.62 2.25
05.02.23 Porto – Vizela 2–0 (1–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.50 2.50
15.01.23 Porto – Famalicao 4–1 (3–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.57 2.35
28.12.22 Porto – Arouca 5–1 (3–0) 1.118.0023.00 1.44 2.70
05.11.22 Porto – Pacos Ferreira 4–0 (3–0) 1.128.0021.00 1.44 2.70
21.10.22 Porto – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.00 2.00 1.85
30.09.22 Porto – Sp Braga 4–1 (2–0) 1.753.804.00 1.75 2.05
10.09.22 Porto – Chaves 3–0 (1–0) 1.147.0019.00 1.50 2.50
20.08.22 Porto – Sp Lisbon 3–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88

Estoril away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.23 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5010.00 1.53 2.40
13.02.23 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.40 1.53
29.01.23 Famalicao – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.30 1.60
22.01.23 Maritimo – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.103.00 2.40 1.53
07.01.23 Arouca – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.08 1.73
14.11.22 Santa Clara – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 2.253.203.20 2.25 1.61
30.10.22 Portimonense – Estoril 1–1 (0–1) 2.373.303.00 2.20 1.65
07.10.22 Gil Vicente – Estoril 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.25 1.98 1.88
01.10.22 Chaves – Estoril 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.103.20 2.15 1.66
12.09.22 Vizela – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.303.25 2.15 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Porto winsDrawsEstoril wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22P1 Estoril – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 9.505.001.30 1.70 2.10
14.05.22P1 Porto – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.70
08.01.22P1 Estoril – Porto 2–3 (2–0) 26.008.501.09 1.50 2.50

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 23 20 2 1 58 13 +45 62
2 Porto 23 17 3 3 52 15 +37 54
3 Sp Braga 23 17 1 5 50 22 +28 52
4 Sp Lisbon 23 15 2 6 46 23 +23 47
5 Guimaraes 23 12 4 7 24 22 +2 40
6 Casa Pia 23 10 5 8 20 23 -3 35
7 Arouca 23 9 7 7 26 31 -5 34
8 Boavista 23 8 6 9 27 35 -8 30
9 Vizela 23 8 5 10 26 23 +3 29
10 Gil Vicente 23 8 5 10 25 29 -4 29
11 Rio Ave 23 7 6 10 21 27 -6 27
12 Famalicao 23 8 3 12 22 31 -9 27
13 Chaves 23 6 8 9 22 31 -9 26
14 Portimonense 23 8 2 13 18 29 -11 26
15 Estoril 23 6 4 13 19 34 -15 22
16 Maritimo 23 4 4 15 17 42 -25 16
17 Santa Clara 23 3 6 14 17 35 -18 15
18 Pacos Ferreira 23 3 3 17 17 42 -25 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 12 11 1 0 37 9 +28 34
2 Porto 11 9 0 2 32 7 +25 27
3 Sp Lisbon 11 9 0 2 29 7 +22 27
4 Guimaraes 12 8 2 2 14 8 +6 26
5 Sp Braga 11 8 1 2 23 6 +17 25
6 Arouca 12 7 1 4 18 15 +3 22
7 Boavista 12 5 5 2 15 15 0 20
8 Rio Ave 11 6 1 4 12 8 +4 19
9 Famalicao 11 6 1 4 12 9 +3 19
10 Casa Pia 12 5 3 4 10 9 +1 18
11 Portimonense 12 5 2 5 10 11 -1 17
12 Gil Vicente 12 4 4 4 11 11 0 16
13 Vizela 11 4 2 5 12 9 +3 14
14 Chaves 11 2 5 4 12 15 -3 11
15 Maritimo 11 3 2 6 10 13 -3 11
16 Estoril 11 3 2 6 11 20 -9 11
17 Santa Clara 12 2 4 6 13 23 -10 10
18 Pacos Ferreira 12 1 2 9 8 23 -15 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 11 9 1 1 21 4 +17 28
2 Porto 12 8 3 1 20 8 +12 27
3 Sp Braga 12 9 0 3 27 16 +11 27
4 Sp Lisbon 12 6 2 4 17 16 +1 20
5 Casa Pia 11 5 2 4 10 14 -4 17
6 Vizela 12 4 3 5 14 14 0 15
7 Chaves 12 4 3 5 10 16 -6 15
8 Guimaraes 11 4 2 5 10 14 -4 14
9 Gil Vicente 11 4 1 6 14 18 -4 13
10 Arouca 11 2 6 3 8 16 -8 12
11 Estoril 12 3 2 7 8 14 -6 11
12 Boavista 11 3 1 7 12 20 -8 10
13 Portimonense 11 3 0 8 8 18 -10 9
14 Rio Ave 12 1 5 6 9 19 -10 8
15 Famalicao 12 2 2 8 10 22 -12 8
16 Pacos Ferreira 11 2 1 8 9 19 -10 7
17 Santa Clara 11 1 2 8 4 12 -8 5
18 Maritimo 12 1 2 9 7 29 -22 5

Porto   Estoril

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sp Lisbon 23 7 16 2.0 1.0 15 2 6 46 23 47
2 1 Benfica 23 8 15 2.5 0.6 20 2 1 58 13 62
3 3 Sp Braga 23 9 14 2.2 1.0 17 1 5 50 22 52
4 8 Boavista 23 10 13 1.2 1.5 8 6 9 27 35 30
5 2 Porto 23 11 12 2.3 0.7 17 3 3 52 15 54
6 16 Maritimo 23 11 12 0.7 1.8 4 4 15 17 42 16
7 17 Santa Clara 23 11 12 0.7 1.5 3 6 14 17 35 15
8 18 Pacos Ferreira 23 11 12 0.7 1.8 3 3 17 17 42 12
9 10 Gil Vicente 23 12 11 1.1 1.3 8 5 10 25 29 29
10 5 Guimaraes 23 13 10 1.0 1.0 12 4 7 24 22 40
11 12 Famalicao 23 13 10 1.0 1.3 8 3 12 22 31 27
12 6 Casa Pia 23 14 9 0.9 1.0 10 5 8 20 23 35
13 7 Arouca 23 14 9 1.1 1.3 9 7 7 26 31 34
14 9 Vizela 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 8 5 10 26 23 29
15 13 Chaves 23 14 9 1.0 1.3 6 8 9 22 31 26
16 14 Portimonense 23 14 9 0.8 1.3 8 2 13 18 29 26
17 11 Rio Ave 23 16 7 0.9 1.2 7 6 10 21 27 27
18 15 Estoril 23 16 7 0.8 1.5 6 4 13 19 34 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Benfica 12 2 10 3.1 0.8 11 1 0 37 9 34
2 4 Sp Lisbon 11 2 9 2.6 0.6 9 0 2 29 7 27
3 17 Santa Clara 12 3 9 1.1 1.9 2 4 6 13 23 10
4 2 Porto 11 3 8 2.9 0.6 9 0 2 32 7 27
5 7 Arouca 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 7 1 4 18 15 22
6 8 Boavista 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 5 5 2 15 15 20
7 18 Pacos Ferreira 12 6 6 0.7 1.9 1 2 9 8 23 5
8 12 Famalicao 11 6 5 1.1 0.8 6 1 4 12 9 19
9 15 Estoril 11 6 5 1.0 1.8 3 2 6 11 20 11
10 16 Maritimo 11 6 5 0.9 1.2 3 2 6 10 13 11
11 3 Sp Braga 11 7 4 2.1 0.5 8 1 2 23 6 25
12 5 Guimaraes 12 8 4 1.2 0.7 8 2 2 14 8 26
13 6 Casa Pia 12 8 4 0.8 0.8 5 3 4 10 9 18
14 9 Vizela 11 7 4 1.1 0.8 4 2 5 12 9 14
15 13 Chaves 11 7 4 1.1 1.4 2 5 4 12 15 11
16 14 Portimonense 12 8 4 0.8 0.9 5 2 5 10 11 17
17 10 Gil Vicente 12 9 3 0.9 0.9 4 4 4 11 11 16
18 11 Rio Ave 11 9 2 1.1 0.7 6 1 4 12 8 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sp Braga 12 2 10 2.2 1.3 9 0 3 27 16 27
2 10 Gil Vicente 11 3 8 1.3 1.6 4 1 6 14 18 13
3 4 Sp Lisbon 12 5 7 1.4 1.3 6 2 4 17 16 20
4 8 Boavista 11 4 7 1.1 1.8 3 1 7 12 20 10
5 16 Maritimo 12 5 7 0.6 2.4 1 2 9 7 29 5
6 5 Guimaraes 11 5 6 0.9 1.3 4 2 5 10 14 14
7 18 Pacos Ferreira 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 2 1 8 9 19 7
8 1 Benfica 11 6 5 1.9 0.4 9 1 1 21 4 28
9 6 Casa Pia 11 6 5 0.9 1.3 5 2 4 10 14 17
10 9 Vizela 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 4 3 5 14 14 15
11 11 Rio Ave 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 1 5 6 9 19 8
12 12 Famalicao 12 7 5 0.8 1.8 2 2 8 10 22 8
13 13 Chaves 12 7 5 0.8 1.3 4 3 5 10 16 15
14 14 Portimonense 11 6 5 0.7 1.6 3 0 8 8 18 9
15 2 Porto 12 8 4 1.7 0.7 8 3 1 20 8 27
16 7 Arouca 11 8 3 0.7 1.5 2 6 3 8 16 12
17 17 Santa Clara 11 8 3 0.4 1.1 1 2 8 4 12 5
18 15 Estoril 12 10 2 0.7 1.2 3 2 7 8 14 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40