Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 1.97
Draw 3.10 fair 3.85
Away 3.50 fair 4.29
Under 2.5 1.50 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.26

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Casa Pia Arouca
10 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 4
9 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (126 league matches this season so far).
Result Casa Pia to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.51 – 0.93
Home / Draw / Away
Casa PiaDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.1% 1–1 12.2% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Casa Pia before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
0.93scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 13:17
Arouca before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
0.57scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 8:23
Casa Pia all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 0.57
1.21 Goals conceded 1.64
2.14 Total goals 2.21
10.79 Shots 10.43
3.57 Shots on target 2.57
14.14 Shots faced 13.50
4.57 Corners 6.50
5.14 Corners against 5.64
16.07 Fouls 13.93
2.50 Yellow cards 2.93
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

29% Wins 21%
36% Draws 14%
36% Losses 64%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 57%
21% Over 2.5 goals 43%
14% Over 3.5 goals 21%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 36%
21% Clean sheets 29%
36% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 29%
57% Draws 21%
21% Losses 50%
57% Over 0.5 goals 79%
14% Over 1.5 goals 14%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia all matches
Arouca all matches
Casa Pia before this match, at home
1.29points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:7
Arouca before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.57scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:14
Casa Pia at home away Arouca

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.57
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.00 Total goals 2.57
12.57 Shots 10.71
3.86 Shots on target 2.43
11.00 Shots faced 13.57
5.43 Corners 6.43
4.00 Corners against 6.43
15.00 Fouls 14.29
2.86 Yellow cards 2.71
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

29% Wins 14%
43% Draws 14%
29% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 57%
14% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 43%
14% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
43% Draws 29%
14% Losses 43%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
14% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.102.75 2.25 1.62
08.12.24 Casa Pia – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.25 1.62
02.12.24 Porto – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.2513.00 1.53 2.40
09.11.24 Casa Pia – Farense 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.304.00 2.20 1.65
02.11.24 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.65
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.1310.0013.00 1.40 2.88
28.09.24 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.252.00 2.35 1.57
22.09.24 Gil Vicente – Casa Pia 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.103.80 2.35 1.57
14.09.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.50 1.50

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Arouca – Santa Clara 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.35 1.57
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
01.12.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–2 (0–1) 9.505.751.27 1.53 2.40
09.11.24 Famalicao – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.30 1.60
03.11.24 Arouca – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 4.333.901.73 1.73 2.08
26.10.24 Estoril – Arouca 4–1 (2–1) 3.003.202.40 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Arouca – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.30 2.15 1.67
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
22.09.24 Farense – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.102.70 1.95 1.90
13.09.24 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.70

Casa Pia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.24 Casa Pia – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.25 1.62
09.11.24 Casa Pia – Farense 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.304.00 2.20 1.65
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
28.09.24 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.252.00 2.35 1.57
14.09.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.50 1.50
24.08.24 Casa Pia – Santa Clara 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.102.63 2.05 1.75
10.08.24 Casa Pia – Boavista 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.08 1.73
12.05.24 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.002.90 2.30 1.60
27.04.24 Casa Pia – Chaves 3–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.75 2.25 1.62
21.04.24 Casa Pia – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.95 1.90

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
09.11.24 Famalicao – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.30 1.60
26.10.24 Estoril – Arouca 4–1 (2–1) 3.003.202.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
22.09.24 Farense – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.102.70 1.95 1.90
01.09.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
18.08.24 Moreirense – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
12.05.24 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.509.00 1.36 3.10
26.04.24 Gil Vicente – Arouca 2–2 (0–0) 2.503.502.60 1.80 2.00
19.04.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.202.80 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Casa Pia winsDrawsArouca wins
4matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24P1 Casa Pia – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.002.30 2.20 1.65
17.09.23P1 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.15 1.67
25.02.23P1 Arouca – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.20 2.35 1.57
04.09.22P1 Casa Pia – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.103.80 2.30 1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 14 12 0 2 43 10 +33 36 WWWLLW
2 Benfica 14 11 2 1 34 8 +26 35 WWWWDW
3 Porto 14 11 1 2 33 9 +24 34 WWLWDW
4 Santa Clara 14 9 0 5 16 13 +3 27 WLWWWL
5 Sp Braga 14 7 4 3 25 16 +9 25 WWLWDD
6 Guimaraes 14 6 4 4 18 14 +4 22 DWLWLD
7 Moreirense 14 6 2 6 19 19 0 20 WLWLWL
8 Famalicao 14 4 7 3 17 15 +2 19 LWDLDD
9 Casa Pia 14 4 5 5 13 17 -4 17 WDDLDW
10 Gil Vicente 14 4 4 6 17 24 -7 16 LLLLWW
11 Rio Ave 14 4 4 6 15 25 -10 16 LDWWLD
12 Estoril 14 3 5 6 12 21 -9 14 WLDWDL
13 AVS 14 2 6 6 11 22 -11 12 LLDLDD
14 Nacional 14 3 3 8 8 19 -11 12 WLDLWL
15 Estrela 14 3 3 8 12 24 -12 12 DLWLWL
16 Boavista 14 2 5 7 10 19 -9 11 LWLDDL
17 Arouca 14 3 2 9 8 23 -15 11 LLDLLW
18 Farense 14 2 3 9 7 20 -13 9 LLDWDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 8 8 0 0 21 2 +19 24 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 7 7 0 0 23 3 +20 21 WWWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 7 6 0 1 18 5 +13 18 WWWWLW
4 Santa Clara 7 6 0 1 8 4 +4 18 WWWWWW
5 Moreirense 6 4 2 0 10 5 +5 14 WDDWWW
6 Guimaraes 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13 WWLDWW
7 Rio Ave 7 3 4 0 12 9 +3 13 WDDDWD
8 Sp Braga 8 3 3 2 17 13 +4 12 LWWLDD
9 Gil Vicente 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11 WDDWLW
10 Estrela 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11 LDWDWW
11 Estoril 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 WLWDWL
12 Famalicao 7 2 4 1 5 5 0 10 WDDLDD
13 Nacional 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10 WLWDWL
14 Casa Pia 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9 LWDWDD
15 AVS 8 2 3 3 6 11 -5 9 WDLLLD
16 Arouca 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7 WLDLLW
17 Farense 7 2 0 5 4 11 -7 6 LLWLWL
18 Boavista 6 0 2 4 1 9 -8 2 LDLLLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 7 6 0 1 25 5 +20 18 WWWWWL
2 Benfica 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14 DWWWDW
3 Sp Braga 6 4 1 1 8 3 +5 13 WDWLWW
4 Porto 6 3 1 2 12 7 +5 10 WLWWLD
5 Famalicao 7 2 3 2 12 10 +2 9 LDDWLD
6 Guimaraes 8 2 3 3 8 8 0 9 WDDLLD
7 Boavista 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9 DLDWDL
8 Santa Clara 7 3 0 4 8 9 -1 9 WLLLWL
9 Casa Pia 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8 WDLDLW
10 Moreirense 8 2 0 6 9 14 -5 6 LLWLLL
11 Gil Vicente 8 1 2 5 6 18 -12 5 DLLLLW
12 Arouca 7 1 1 5 4 14 -10 4 LWLLDL
13 AVS 6 0 3 3 5 11 -6 3 LLLDDD
14 Estoril 6 0 3 3 4 10 -6 3 LDDLLD
15 Farense 7 0 3 4 3 9 -6 3 LLDLDD
16 Rio Ave 7 1 0 6 3 16 -13 3 LLLLWL
17 Nacional 7 0 2 5 2 8 -6 2 LLDLLL
18 Estrela 7 0 1 6 2 14 -12 1 LLLLLL

Casa Pia   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 14 3 11 3.1 0.7 12 0 2 43 10 36 OOOUOO
2 10 Gil Vicente 14 5 9 1.2 1.7 4 4 6 17 24 16 OOOOOU
3 3 Porto 14 6 8 2.4 0.6 11 1 2 33 9 34 OOOUUU
4 5 Sp Braga 14 6 8 1.8 1.1 7 4 3 25 16 25 UOOUOO
5 7 Moreirense 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 6 2 6 19 19 20 UUOOOU
6 2 Benfica 14 7 7 2.4 0.6 11 2 1 34 8 35 OOUUUU
7 11 Rio Ave 14 7 7 1.1 1.8 4 4 6 15 25 16 OOUOUO
8 12 Estoril 14 7 7 0.9 1.5 3 5 6 12 21 14 OOUOOU
9 15 Estrela 14 7 7 0.9 1.7 3 3 8 12 24 12 OOUUOU
10 6 Guimaraes 14 8 6 1.3 1.0 6 4 4 18 14 22 OUUOUO
11 8 Famalicao 14 8 6 1.2 1.1 4 7 3 17 15 19 OOUOUO
12 17 Arouca 14 8 6 0.6 1.6 3 2 9 8 23 11 OOUUOU
13 13 AVS 14 9 5 0.8 1.6 2 6 6 11 22 12 OOUUUU
14 16 Boavista 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 2 5 7 10 19 11 UOUUUO
15 4 Santa Clara 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 9 0 5 16 13 27 OUUUUU
16 18 Farense 14 10 4 0.5 1.4 2 3 9 7 20 9 UOUUUU
17 9 Casa Pia 14 11 3 0.9 1.2 4 5 5 13 17 17 UOUUUU
18 14 Nacional 14 11 3 0.6 1.4 3 3 8 8 19 12 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 7 0 0 23 3 21 UOOOOU
2 3 Porto 8 3 5 2.6 0.2 8 0 0 21 2 24 OOOOUU
3 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 2.1 1.6 3 3 2 17 13 12 UOUOOO
4 15 Estrela 7 2 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11 UOOOUO
5 1 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.6 0.7 6 0 1 18 5 18 UOUOUO
6 6 Guimaraes 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13 UOOOUO
7 10 Gil Vicente 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11 OUUOOO
8 11 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 3 4 0 12 9 13 UOUOOO
9 12 Estoril 8 4 4 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 UOOUOU
10 7 Moreirense 6 3 3 1.7 0.8 4 2 0 10 5 14 OUUUOO
11 18 Farense 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 2 0 5 4 11 6 OUUOUU
12 4 Santa Clara 7 5 2 1.1 0.6 6 0 1 8 4 18 OUUOUU
13 13 AVS 8 6 2 0.8 1.4 2 3 3 6 11 9 UUOOUU
14 14 Nacional 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10 UOUUUU
15 17 Arouca 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7 UOUOUU
16 8 Famalicao 7 6 1 0.7 0.7 2 4 1 5 5 10 UUUOUU
17 9 Casa Pia 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9 UOUUUU
18 16 Boavista 6 5 1 0.2 1.5 0 2 4 1 9 2 UUOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 7 0 7 3.6 0.7 6 0 1 25 5 18 OOOOOO
2 7 Moreirense 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 2 0 6 9 14 6 OOUUOU
3 8 Famalicao 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 2 3 2 12 10 9 OUUOOO
4 10 Gil Vicente 8 3 5 0.8 2.2 1 2 5 6 18 5 UOOOOU
5 16 Boavista 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9 OUOOUO
6 17 Arouca 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 1 1 5 4 14 4 UUOOUO
7 3 Porto 6 3 3 2.0 1.2 3 1 2 12 7 10 UUOOOU
8 5 Sp Braga 6 3 3 1.3 0.5 4 1 1 8 3 13 UUOOOU
9 11 Rio Ave 7 4 3 0.4 2.3 1 0 6 3 16 3 UUOOUU
10 12 Estoril 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 3 3 4 10 3 UUOUOO
11 13 AVS 6 3 3 0.8 1.8 0 3 3 5 11 3 OOOUUU
12 2 Benfica 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14 UOOUUU
13 4 Santa Clara 7 5 2 1.1 1.3 3 0 4 8 9 9 UOUUUU
14 6 Guimaraes 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 3 8 8 9 UUOUUO
15 9 Casa Pia 7 5 2 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8 UUUOUU
16 15 Estrela 7 5 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 6 2 14 1 UUOOUU
17 14 Nacional 7 6 1 0.3 1.1 0 2 5 2 8 2 UUUUUO
18 18 Farense 7 6 1 0.4 1.3 0 3 4 3 9 3 UOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10