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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 2–1 Arouca

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 2.05
Draw 3.20 fair 3.95
Away 2.80 fair 3.87
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Arouca
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 7
13 Fouls 19
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (115 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 11.4% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.83scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 10:21
Arouca before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.50scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 6:21
Estrela all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 0.50
1.75 Goals conceded 1.75
2.58 Total goals 2.25
10.42 Shots 10.33
2.83 Shots on target 2.42
12.50 Shots faced 14.50
4.83 Corners 6.42
5.92 Corners against 6.25
14.08 Fouls 13.25
2.25 Yellow cards 3.08
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

17% Wins 17%
25% Draws 17%
58% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
67% Over 1.5 goals 58%
50% Over 2.5 goals 42%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 33%
8% Clean sheets 25%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 25%
42% Draws 17%
50% Losses 58%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
42% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Arouca all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:9
Arouca before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:12
Estrela at home away Arouca

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.50
1.50 Goals conceded 2.00
2.83 Total goals 2.50
11.67 Shots 10.83
2.67 Shots on target 2.17
12.67 Shots faced 14.17
4.67 Corners 6.33
4.67 Corners against 7.17
13.50 Fouls 13.50
2.17 Yellow cards 2.83
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
33% Draws 17%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
83% Over 1.5 goals 50%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
17% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
50% Draws 33%
33% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.24 Farense – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 3–0 (2–0) 1.853.504.20 2.08 1.73
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
21.09.24 Santa Clara – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.10 1.70
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
24.08.24 Benfica – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.50 2.50

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–2 (0–1) 9.505.751.27 1.53 2.40
09.11.24 Famalicao – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.30 1.60
03.11.24 Arouca – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 4.333.901.73 1.73 2.08
26.10.24 Estoril – Arouca 4–1 (2–1) 3.003.202.40 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Arouca – AVS 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.30 2.15 1.67
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
22.09.24 Farense – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.102.70 1.95 1.90
13.09.24 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.70
01.09.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
18.05.24 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.70 2.10
29.04.24 Estrela – Farense 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.50 1.98 1.88
14.04.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57
29.03.24 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–2) 13.007.001.20 1.53 2.40

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Famalicao – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.30 1.60
26.10.24 Estoril – Arouca 4–1 (2–1) 3.003.202.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40
22.09.24 Farense – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.102.70 1.95 1.90
01.09.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
18.08.24 Moreirense – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.75
12.05.24 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.509.00 1.36 3.10
26.04.24 Gil Vicente – Arouca 2–2 (0–0) 2.503.502.60 1.80 2.00
19.04.24 Rio Ave – Arouca 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.202.80 2.08 1.73
06.04.24 Sp Braga – Arouca 0–3 (0–2) 1.454.757.00 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsArouca wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24P1 Arouca – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.88 1.98
28.12.23P1 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 13 11 0 2 40 8 +32 33
2 Benfica 12 10 1 1 31 7 +24 31
3 Porto 13 10 1 2 31 9 +22 31
4 Santa Clara 13 9 0 4 16 12 +4 27
5 Sp Braga 13 7 3 3 22 13 +9 24
6 Guimaraes 13 6 3 4 16 12 +4 21
7 Moreirense 13 6 2 5 19 18 +1 20
8 Famalicao 13 4 6 3 14 12 +2 18
9 Rio Ave 13 4 3 6 13 23 -10 15
10 Casa Pia 13 3 5 5 11 17 -6 14
11 Estoril 13 3 5 5 12 19 -7 14
12 Gil Vicente 13 3 4 6 16 24 -8 13
13 Boavista 13 2 5 6 8 16 -8 11
14 AVS 13 2 5 6 10 21 -11 11
15 Nacional 12 2 3 7 7 17 -10 9
16 Estrela 12 2 3 7 10 21 -11 9
17 Farense 13 2 3 8 7 19 -12 9
18 Arouca 12 2 2 8 6 21 -15 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Benfica 7 7 0 0 23 3 +20 21
2 Porto 7 7 0 0 19 2 +17 21
3 Santa Clara 7 6 0 1 8 4 +4 18
4 Sp Lisbon 6 5 0 1 15 3 +12 15
5 Moreirense 6 4 2 0 10 5 +5 14
6 Guimaraes 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13
7 Rio Ave 6 3 3 0 10 7 +3 12
8 Gil Vicente 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11
9 Sp Braga 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
10 Estoril 7 3 2 2 8 9 -1 11
11 Famalicao 7 2 4 1 5 5 0 10
12 Casa Pia 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
13 Estrela 6 2 2 2 8 9 -1 8
14 AVS 7 2 2 3 5 10 -5 8
15 Nacional 5 2 1 2 5 9 -4 7
16 Farense 6 2 0 4 4 10 -6 6
17 Arouca 6 1 1 4 3 9 -6 4
18 Boavista 6 0 2 4 1 9 -8 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 7 6 0 1 25 5 +20 18
2 Sp Braga 6 4 1 1 8 3 +5 13
3 Porto 6 3 1 2 12 7 +5 10
4 Benfica 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
5 Santa Clara 6 3 0 3 8 8 0 9
6 Boavista 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
7 Famalicao 6 2 2 2 9 7 +2 8
8 Guimaraes 7 2 2 3 6 6 0 8
9 Moreirense 7 2 0 5 9 13 -4 6
10 Casa Pia 6 1 2 3 4 10 -6 5
11 Arouca 6 1 1 4 3 12 -9 4
12 AVS 6 0 3 3 5 11 -6 3
13 Estoril 6 0 3 3 4 10 -6 3
14 Farense 7 0 3 4 3 9 -6 3
15 Rio Ave 7 1 0 6 3 16 -13 3
16 Nacional 7 0 2 5 2 8 -6 2
17 Gil Vicente 7 0 2 5 5 18 -13 2
18 Estrela 6 0 1 5 2 12 -10 1

Estrela   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 3.1 0.6 11 0 2 40 8 33
2 12 Gil Vicente 13 4 9 1.2 1.8 3 4 6 16 24 13
3 3 Porto 13 5 8 2.4 0.7 10 1 2 31 9 31
4 7 Moreirense 13 5 8 1.5 1.4 6 2 5 19 18 20
5 2 Benfica 12 5 7 2.6 0.6 10 1 1 31 7 31
6 5 Sp Braga 13 6 7 1.7 1.0 7 3 3 22 13 24
7 11 Estoril 13 6 7 0.9 1.5 3 5 5 12 19 14
8 9 Rio Ave 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 4 3 6 13 23 15
9 16 Estrela 12 6 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 7 10 21 9
10 6 Guimaraes 13 8 5 1.2 0.9 6 3 4 16 12 21
11 8 Famalicao 13 8 5 1.1 0.9 4 6 3 14 12 18
12 14 AVS 13 8 5 0.8 1.6 2 5 6 10 21 11
13 18 Arouca 12 7 5 0.5 1.8 2 2 8 6 21 8
14 4 Santa Clara 13 9 4 1.2 0.9 9 0 4 16 12 27
15 13 Boavista 13 9 4 0.6 1.2 2 5 6 8 16 11
16 17 Farense 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 2 3 8 7 19 9
17 10 Casa Pia 13 10 3 0.8 1.3 3 5 5 11 17 14
18 15 Nacional 12 9 3 0.6 1.4 2 3 7 7 17 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Benfica 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 7 0 0 23 3 21
2 3 Porto 7 2 5 2.7 0.3 7 0 0 19 2 21
3 5 Sp Braga 7 3 4 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
4 6 Guimaraes 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13
5 11 Estoril 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 3 2 2 8 9 11
6 12 Gil Vicente 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11
7 16 Estrela 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 2 2 2 8 9 8
8 1 Sp Lisbon 6 3 3 2.5 0.5 5 0 1 15 3 15
9 7 Moreirense 6 3 3 1.7 0.8 4 2 0 10 5 14
10 9 Rio Ave 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 3 3 0 10 7 12
11 17 Farense 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 2 0 4 4 10 6
12 4 Santa Clara 7 5 2 1.1 0.6 6 0 1 8 4 18
13 14 AVS 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 2 2 3 5 10 8
14 15 Nacional 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 2 1 2 5 9 7
15 18 Arouca 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 1 1 4 3 9 4
16 8 Famalicao 7 6 1 0.7 0.7 2 4 1 5 5 10
17 10 Casa Pia 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
18 13 Boavista 6 5 1 0.2 1.5 0 2 4 1 9 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sp Lisbon 7 0 7 3.6 0.7 6 0 1 25 5 18
2 7 Moreirense 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 2 0 5 9 13 6
3 12 Gil Vicente 7 2 5 0.7 2.6 0 2 5 5 18 2
4 8 Famalicao 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 2 2 2 9 7 8
5 3 Porto 6 3 3 2.0 1.2 3 1 2 12 7 10
6 5 Sp Braga 6 3 3 1.3 0.5 4 1 1 8 3 13
7 9 Rio Ave 7 4 3 0.4 2.3 1 0 6 3 16 3
8 11 Estoril 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 3 3 4 10 3
9 13 Boavista 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
10 14 AVS 6 3 3 0.8 1.8 0 3 3 5 11 3
11 18 Arouca 6 3 3 0.5 2.0 1 1 4 3 12 4
12 2 Benfica 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
13 4 Santa Clara 6 4 2 1.3 1.3 3 0 3 8 8 9
14 10 Casa Pia 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 1 2 3 4 10 5
15 16 Estrela 6 4 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 5 2 12 1
16 6 Guimaraes 7 6 1 0.9 0.9 2 2 3 6 6 8
17 15 Nacional 7 6 1 0.3 1.1 0 2 5 2 8 2
18 17 Farense 7 6 1 0.4 1.3 0 3 4 3 9 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06