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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Moreirense 2–1 Casa Pia

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.18
Draw 3.30 fair 3.93
Away 3.60 fair 3.50
Under 2.5 1.50 fair 1.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.01

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Moreirense Casa Pia
12 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 8
13 Fouls 15
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (55 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
MoreirenseDrawCasa Pia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:7
Casa Pia before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
0.83scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:9
Moreirense all matches all matches Casa Pia

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.83
1.17 Goals conceded 1.50
2.50 Total goals 2.33
9.17 Shots 8.67
3.00 Shots on target 2.83
13.67 Shots faced 14.17
3.83 Corners 3.33
4.17 Corners against 5.00
15.33 Fouls 15.67
2.83 Yellow cards 3.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

67% Wins 33%
0% Draws 17%
33% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 17%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 17%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 33%
83% Draws 17%
0% Losses 50%
33% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches
Casa Pia all matches
Moreirense before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 7:2
Casa Pia before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:4
Moreirense at home away Casa Pia

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 1.33
0.67 Goals conceded 1.33
3.00 Total goals 2.67
11.67 Shots 8.67
5.00 Shots on target 3.00
11.00 Shots faced 12.67
5.33 Corners 3.67
4.00 Corners against 5.00
14.67 Fouls 16.33
3.00 Yellow cards 4.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 67%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 0%
33% Clean sheets 67%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 67%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home
Casa Pia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.09.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.177.0012.00 1.57 2.35
13.09.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.003.00 2.25 1.62
29.08.25 Gil Vicente – Moreirense 2–0 (0–0) 2.552.823.10 3.10 1.36
23.08.25 Moreirense – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 3.303.252.20 2.25 1.62
17.08.25 Santa Clara – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.204.50 2.60 1.48
10.08.25 Moreirense – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.203.60 2.20 1.65
17.05.25 AVS – Moreirense 0–3 (0–2) 2.003.303.80 2.15 1.67
11.05.25 Moreirense – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 2.353.402.90 2.08 1.73
02.05.25 Porto – Moreirense 3–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.00 1.70 2.10
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25 Casa Pia – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.002.25 2.40 1.53
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
15.08.25 AVS – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.35 1.57
08.08.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.70 2.10
16.05.25 Famalicao – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.503.90 1.88 1.98
10.05.25 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–1) 5.753.801.57 2.05 1.75
04.05.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.70
29.04.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 1–3 (1–1) 2.053.203.90 2.15 1.67

Moreirense at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.003.00 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Moreirense – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 3.303.252.20 2.25 1.62
10.08.25 Moreirense – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.203.60 2.20 1.65
11.05.25 Moreirense – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 2.353.402.90 2.08 1.73
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65
13.04.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.254.10 2.20 1.65
30.03.25 Moreirense – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 3.603.102.15 2.50 1.50
16.03.25 Moreirense – Boavista 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.305.25 2.35 1.57
02.03.25 Moreirense – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.004.75 2.50 1.50
15.02.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 3–2 (3–0) 2.353.003.30 2.50 1.50

Casa Pia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
15.08.25 AVS – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.35 1.57
16.05.25 Famalicao – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.503.90 1.88 1.98
04.05.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.70
19.04.25 AVS – Casa Pia 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.35 1.57
07.04.25 Farense – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.40 1.53
16.03.25 Nacional – Casa Pia 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.302.90 2.20 1.65
01.03.25 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.604.75 2.15 1.67
15.02.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 3–2 (3–0) 2.353.003.30 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Moreirense winsDrawsCasa Pia wins
4matches
3.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25P1 Moreirense – Casa Pia 3–2 (3–0) 2.353.003.30 2.50 1.50
14.09.24P1 Casa Pia – Moreirense 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.002.80 2.50 1.50
12.05.24P1 Casa Pia – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.002.90 2.30 1.60
08.01.24P1 Moreirense – Casa Pia 1–4 (1–3) 1.913.504.00 2.25 1.62

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 15 1 +14 18
2 Benfica 7 5 2 0 13 4 +9 17
3 Sp Lisbon 6 5 0 1 18 4 +14 15
4 Gil Vicente 7 4 1 2 8 4 +4 13
5 Moreirense 6 4 0 2 8 7 +1 12
6 Famalicao 6 3 2 1 7 3 +4 11
7 Sp Braga 6 2 3 1 11 6 +5 9
8 Guimaraes 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8
9 Santa Clara 6 2 2 2 4 6 -2 8
10 Arouca 6 2 2 2 9 14 -5 8
11 Casa Pia 6 2 1 3 5 9 -4 7
12 Estoril 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5
13 Estrela 6 0 4 2 3 6 -3 4
14 Rio Ave 6 0 4 2 8 13 -5 4
15 Alverca 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
16 Nacional 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
17 Tondela 6 0 2 4 2 10 -8 2
18 AVS 6 0 1 5 4 14 -10 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 3 3 0 0 8 0 +8 9
2 Moreirense 3 3 0 0 7 2 +5 9
3 Benfica 4 2 2 0 7 3 +4 8
4 Sp Lisbon 3 2 0 1 10 2 +8 6
5 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
6 Guimaraes 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
7 Sp Braga 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
8 Famalicao 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4
9 Estoril 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
10 Arouca 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
11 Santa Clara 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
12 Alverca 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
13 Tondela 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
14 Rio Ave 3 0 2 1 3 6 -3 2
15 Estrela 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
16 Casa Pia 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
17 Nacional 3 0 0 3 2 8 -6 0
18 AVS 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 7 1 +6 9
3 Benfica 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
4 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7
5 Famalicao 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
6 Casa Pia 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
7 Sp Braga 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
8 Nacional 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
9 Santa Clara 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4
10 Arouca 3 1 1 1 3 8 -5 4
11 Estrela 3 0 3 0 1 1 0 3
12 Guimaraes 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
13 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 1 5 -4 3
14 Rio Ave 3 0 2 1 5 7 -2 2
15 Alverca 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
16 Estoril 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1
17 AVS 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1
18 Tondela 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0

Moreirense   Casa Pia

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sp Lisbon 6 1 5 3.0 0.7 5 0 1 18 4 15
2 15 Alverca 6 1 5 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
3 1 Porto 6 2 4 2.5 0.2 6 0 0 15 1 18
4 2 Benfica 7 3 4 1.9 0.6 5 2 0 13 4 17
5 7 Sp Braga 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 2 3 1 11 6 9
6 10 Arouca 6 2 4 1.5 2.3 2 2 2 9 14 8
7 14 Rio Ave 6 2 4 1.3 2.2 0 4 2 8 13 4
8 18 AVS 6 2 4 0.7 2.3 0 1 5 4 14 1
9 5 Moreirense 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 4 0 2 8 7 12
10 12 Estoril 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 1 2 3 8 10 5
11 17 Tondela 6 3 3 0.3 1.7 0 2 4 2 10 2
12 6 Famalicao 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 3 2 1 7 3 11
13 8 Guimaraes 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8
14 9 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 2 2 2 4 6 8
15 16 Nacional 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
16 4 Gil Vicente 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 4 1 2 8 4 13
17 11 Casa Pia 6 5 1 0.8 1.5 2 1 3 5 9 7
18 13 Estrela 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 0 4 2 3 6 4
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sp Lisbon 3 0 3 3.3 0.7 2 0 1 10 2 6
2 1 Porto 3 1 2 2.7 0.0 3 0 0 8 0 9
3 2 Benfica 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 2 0 7 3 8
4 5 Moreirense 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 3 0 0 7 2 9
5 6 Famalicao 3 1 2 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4
6 7 Sp Braga 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
7 10 Arouca 3 1 2 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
8 14 Rio Ave 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 1 3 6 2
9 15 Alverca 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
10 16 Nacional 3 1 2 0.7 2.7 0 0 3 2 8 0
11 8 Guimaraes 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
12 9 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
13 12 Estoril 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
14 13 Estrela 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
15 17 Tondela 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
16 18 AVS 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
17 4 Gil Vicente 3 3 0 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
18 11 Casa Pia 3 3 0 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Alverca 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
2 18 AVS 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1
3 1 Porto 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 3 0 0 7 1 9
4 2 Benfica 3 1 2 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
5 3 Sp Lisbon 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
6 7 Sp Braga 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
7 10 Arouca 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 1 1 1 3 8 4
8 12 Estoril 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1
9 14 Rio Ave 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 2 1 5 7 2
10 17 Tondela 3 1 2 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
11 4 Gil Vicente 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7
12 5 Moreirense 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 1 0 2 1 5 3
13 8 Guimaraes 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
14 9 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4
15 11 Casa Pia 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
16 6 Famalicao 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7
17 13 Estrela 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 0 3 0 1 1 3
18 16 Nacional 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40