Moreirense 1–1 Estrela – Portugal Primeira Liga, 2 Mar 2025

Match facts

Moreirense Estrela

11 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 1

20 Fouls 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (210 league matches this season so far).

Result Moreirense to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.98

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.00

Home / Draw / Away

50% 26% 25%

MoreirenseDrawEstrela

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.2% 1–1 12.2% 2–0 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Moreirense before this match, all matches

1.13points / match

1.22scored / match

1.52conceded / match

7 5 11

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 28:35

Estrela before this match, all matches

0.91points / match

0.83scored / match

1.48conceded / match

5 6 12

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 19:34

Moreirense all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 0.83

1.52 Goals conceded 1.48

2.74 Total goals 2.30

10.09 Shots 9.57

4.09 Shots on target 2.91

12.43 Shots faced 12.48

3.30 Corners 4.00

5.65 Corners against 6.04

14.91 Fouls 15.04

2.22 Yellow cards 2.61

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

30% Wins 22%

22% Draws 26%

48% Losses 52%

91% Over 0.5 goals 91%

74% Over 1.5 goals 57%

57% Over 2.5 goals 39%

35% Over 3.5 goals 22%

17% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 9%

61% Both teams scored 39%

17% Clean sheets 22%

30% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 17%

39% Draws 35%

30% Losses 48%

65% Over 0.5 goals 70%

30% Over 1.5 goals 30%

22% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense all matches

1

L

3

L

2

D

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

3

2

W

2

L

Estrela all matches

2

L

1

W

1

D

2

4

L

1

L

D

2

3

L

1

L

1

W

D

Moreirense before this match, at home

1.73points / match

1.36scored / match

1.18conceded / match

5 4 2

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:13

Estrela before this match, away

0.55points / match

0.36scored / match

1.45conceded / match

1 3 7

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 4:16

Moreirense at home away Estrela

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 0.36

1.18 Goals conceded 1.45

2.55 Total goals 1.82

10.27 Shots 9.09

4.55 Shots on target 3.00

12.18 Shots faced 12.45

3.18 Corners 4.36

5.73 Corners against 7.09

16.55 Fouls 15.18

2.18 Yellow cards 2.55

0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.27

0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

45% Wins 9%

36% Draws 27%

18% Losses 64%

82% Over 0.5 goals 91%

73% Over 1.5 goals 45%

55% Over 2.5 goals 18%

27% Over 3.5 goals 9%

18% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 9%

64% Both teams scored 27%

27% Clean sheets 18%

27% Failed to score 64%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%

45% Draws 27%

18% Losses 55%

64% Over 0.5 goals 73%

36% Over 1.5 goals 18%

27% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Moreirense at home

1

D

1

W

3

2

W

2

1

W

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

3

2

W

Estrela away

1

L

1

L

3

L

1

5

L

1

L

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Moreirense all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.02.25	Famalicao – Moreirense	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.40	1.53
15.02.25	Moreirense – Casa Pia	3–2 (3–0)	2.35	3.00	3.30	2.50	1.50
08.02.25	Benfica – Moreirense	3–2 (3–1)	1.18	7.00	13.00	1.57	2.35
03.02.25	Moreirense – Sp Braga	1–2 (1–0)	4.20	3.50	1.90	2.05	1.75
24.01.25	Arouca – Moreirense	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.10	3.25	2.50	1.50
19.01.25	Moreirense – Farense	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.20	4.33	2.50	1.50
04.01.25	Moreirense – AVS	1–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.40	4.50	2.40	1.53
28.12.24	Estoril – Moreirense	2–2 (2–1)	3.25	3.00	2.40	2.50	1.50
21.12.24	Moreirense – Porto	0–3 (0–1)	7.00	4.10	1.48	2.05	1.75
14.12.24	Nacional – Moreirense	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.10	2.60	2.25	1.62

Estrela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.02.25	Estrela – Santa Clara	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.70	1.44
14.02.25	Boavista – Estrela	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.50	1.50
09.02.25	Casa Pia – Estrela	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.40	4.50	2.30	1.60
02.02.25	Estrela – Benfica	2–3 (1–3)	9.00	5.75	1.29	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Famalicao – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	1.82	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.65
19.01.25	Estrela – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	3.80	1.67	1.85	2.00
05.01.25	Estrela – Estoril	2–4 (0–3)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.25	1.62
28.12.24	AVS – Estrela	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.25	1.62
23.12.24	Estrela – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
16.12.24	Porto – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	1.14	7.50	19.00	1.48	2.60

Moreirense at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Moreirense – Casa Pia	3–2 (3–0)	2.35	3.00	3.30	2.50	1.50
03.02.25	Moreirense – Sp Braga	1–2 (1–0)	4.20	3.50	1.90	2.05	1.75
19.01.25	Moreirense – Farense	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.20	4.33	2.50	1.50
04.01.25	Moreirense – AVS	1–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.40	4.50	2.40	1.53
21.12.24	Moreirense – Porto	0–3 (0–1)	7.00	4.10	1.48	2.05	1.75
05.12.24	Moreirense – Sp Lisbon	2–1 (2–1)	8.50	4.75	1.36	1.73	2.08
08.11.24	Moreirense – Gil Vicente	3–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.00	3.40	2.50	1.50
05.10.24	Moreirense – Santa Clara	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	2.88	2.40	1.53
21.09.24	Moreirense – Famalicao	0–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.00	3.00	2.35	1.57
30.08.24	Moreirense – Benfica	1–1 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.44	1.85	2.00

Estrela away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.25	Boavista – Estrela	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.50	1.50
09.02.25	Casa Pia – Estrela	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.40	4.50	2.30	1.60
25.01.25	Famalicao – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	1.82	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.65
28.12.24	AVS – Estrela	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.25	1.62
16.12.24	Porto – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	1.14	7.50	19.00	1.48	2.60
29.11.24	Farense – Estrela	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.25	3.40	2.30	1.60
01.11.24	Sp Lisbon – Estrela	5–1 (3–1)	1.08	11.00	19.00	1.30	3.50
05.10.24	Gil Vicente – Estrela	3–0 (2–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.08	1.73
21.09.24	Santa Clara – Estrela	1–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.50	5.00	2.10	1.70
24.08.24	Benfica – Estrela	1–0 (1–0)	1.18	7.50	13.00	1.50	2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Moreirense winsDrawsEstrela wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.09.24P1	Estrela – Moreirense	2–1 (2–0)	2.90	3.20	2.45	2.30	1.60
07.04.24P1	Moreirense – Estrela	2–2 (2–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.40	1.53
11.11.23P1	Estrela – Moreirense	0–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.05	1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	23	16	5	2	61	20	+41	53
2	Benfica	23	17	2	4	53	18	+35	53
3	Porto	24	15	5	4	49	19	+30	50
4	Sp Braga	23	14	5	4	39	20	+19	47
5	Santa Clara	23	12	3	8	25	23	+2	39
6	Casa Pia	24	10	6	8	30	29	+1	36
7	Guimaraes	24	8	11	5	32	26	+6	35
8	Estoril	23	9	7	7	30	35	-5	34
9	Famalicao	24	7	10	7	27	26	+1	31
10	Moreirense	23	7	5	11	28	35	-7	26
11	Nacional	24	7	5	12	23	32	-9	26
12	Rio Ave	23	6	8	9	25	38	-13	26
13	Arouca	24	6	7	11	23	38	-15	25
14	Gil Vicente	23	5	7	11	23	35	-12	22
15	Estrela	23	5	6	12	19	34	-15	21
16	AVS	23	3	11	9	19	34	-15	20
17	Farense	23	3	7	13	15	33	-18	16
18	Boavista	23	2	6	15	14	40	-26	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	12	11	0	1	37	7	+30	33
2	Porto	12	9	3	0	28	5	+23	30
3	Sp Lisbon	11	9	1	1	26	8	+18	28
4	Guimaraes	12	6	5	1	21	14	+7	23
5	Casa Pia	12	6	4	2	16	10	+6	22
6	Santa Clara	12	7	1	4	12	11	+1	22
7	Sp Braga	12	6	3	3	24	15	+9	21
8	Estoril	12	6	3	3	15	15	0	21
9	Nacional	12	6	2	4	16	17	-1	20
10	Moreirense	11	5	4	2	15	13	+2	19
11	Rio Ave	11	4	6	1	17	16	+1	18
12	Gil Vicente	11	4	4	3	16	12	+4	16
13	Famalicao	12	3	6	3	9	9	0	15
14	Estrela	12	4	3	5	15	18	-3	15
15	AVS	12	3	5	4	11	16	-5	14
16	Arouca	12	3	4	5	9	15	-6	13
17	Farense	11	2	1	8	7	18	-11	7
18	Boavista	11	0	3	8	4	18	-14	3

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Braga	11	8	2	1	15	5	+10	26
2	Sp Lisbon	12	7	4	1	35	12	+23	25
3	Porto	12	6	2	4	21	14	+7	20
4	Benfica	11	6	2	3	16	11	+5	20
5	Santa Clara	11	5	2	4	13	12	+1	17
6	Famalicao	12	4	4	4	18	17	+1	16
7	Casa Pia	12	4	2	6	14	19	-5	14
8	Estoril	11	3	4	4	15	20	-5	13
9	Guimaraes	12	2	6	4	11	12	-1	12
10	Arouca	12	3	3	6	14	23	-9	12
11	Farense	12	1	6	5	8	15	-7	9
12	Boavista	12	2	3	7	10	22	-12	9
13	Rio Ave	12	2	2	8	8	22	-14	8
14	Moreirense	12	2	1	9	13	22	-9	7
15	Nacional	12	1	3	8	7	15	-8	6
16	AVS	11	0	6	5	8	18	-10	6
17	Estrela	11	1	3	7	4	16	-12	6
18	Gil Vicente	12	1	3	8	7	23	-16	6

Moreirense Estrela

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	23	7	16	2.7	0.9	16	5	2	61	20	53
2	8	Estoril	23	8	15	1.3	1.5	9	7	7	30	35	34
3	2	Benfica	23	9	14	2.3	0.8	17	2	4	53	18	53
4	10	Moreirense	23	10	13	1.2	1.5	7	5	11	28	35	26
5	3	Porto	24	12	12	2.0	0.8	15	5	4	49	19	50
6	4	Sp Braga	23	11	12	1.7	0.9	14	5	4	39	20	47
7	12	Rio Ave	23	11	12	1.1	1.7	6	8	9	25	38	26
8	13	Arouca	24	12	12	1.0	1.6	6	7	11	23	38	25
9	14	Gil Vicente	23	12	11	1.0	1.5	5	7	11	23	35	22
10	18	Boavista	23	12	11	0.6	1.7	2	6	15	14	40	12
11	7	Guimaraes	24	14	10	1.3	1.1	8	11	5	32	26	35
12	9	Famalicao	24	14	10	1.1	1.1	7	10	7	27	26	31
13	6	Casa Pia	24	15	9	1.2	1.2	10	6	8	30	29	36
14	11	Nacional	24	15	9	1.0	1.3	7	5	12	23	32	26
15	15	Estrela	23	14	9	0.8	1.5	5	6	12	19	34	21
16	17	Farense	23	14	9	0.7	1.4	3	7	13	15	33	16
17	5	Santa Clara	23	15	8	1.1	1.0	12	3	8	25	23	39
18	16	AVS	23	15	8	0.8	1.5	3	11	9	19	34	20

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Benfica	12	2	10	3.1	0.6	11	0	1	37	7	33
2	4	Sp Braga	12	5	7	2.0	1.2	6	3	3	24	15	21
3	7	Guimaraes	12	5	7	1.8	1.2	6	5	1	21	14	23
4	8	Estoril	12	5	7	1.2	1.2	6	3	3	15	15	21
5	12	Rio Ave	11	4	7	1.5	1.5	4	6	1	17	16	18
6	15	Estrela	12	5	7	1.2	1.5	4	3	5	15	18	15
7	1	Sp Lisbon	11	5	6	2.4	0.7	9	1	1	26	8	28
8	3	Porto	12	6	6	2.3	0.4	9	3	0	28	5	30
9	10	Moreirense	11	5	6	1.4	1.2	5	4	2	15	13	19
10	11	Nacional	12	6	6	1.3	1.4	6	2	4	16	17	20
11	14	Gil Vicente	11	5	6	1.5	1.1	4	4	3	16	12	16
12	17	Farense	11	6	5	0.6	1.6	2	1	8	7	18	7
13	5	Santa Clara	12	8	4	1.0	0.9	7	1	4	12	11	22
14	16	AVS	12	8	4	0.9	1.3	3	5	4	11	16	14
15	6	Casa Pia	12	9	3	1.3	0.8	6	4	2	16	10	22
16	9	Famalicao	12	9	3	0.8	0.8	3	6	3	9	9	15
17	13	Arouca	12	9	3	0.8	1.2	3	4	5	9	15	13
18	18	Boavista	11	8	3	0.4	1.6	0	3	8	4	18	3

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	12	2	10	2.9	1.0	7	4	1	35	12	25
2	13	Arouca	12	3	9	1.2	1.9	3	3	6	14	23	12
3	8	Estoril	11	3	8	1.4	1.8	3	4	4	15	20	13
4	18	Boavista	12	4	8	0.8	1.8	2	3	7	10	22	9
5	9	Famalicao	12	5	7	1.5	1.4	4	4	4	18	17	16
6	10	Moreirense	12	5	7	1.1	1.8	2	1	9	13	22	7
7	3	Porto	12	6	6	1.8	1.2	6	2	4	21	14	20
8	6	Casa Pia	12	6	6	1.2	1.6	4	2	6	14	19	14
9	4	Sp Braga	11	6	5	1.4	0.5	8	2	1	15	5	26
10	12	Rio Ave	12	7	5	0.7	1.8	2	2	8	8	22	8
11	14	Gil Vicente	12	7	5	0.6	1.9	1	3	8	7	23	6
12	2	Benfica	11	7	4	1.5	1.0	6	2	3	16	11	20
13	5	Santa Clara	11	7	4	1.2	1.1	5	2	4	13	12	17
14	16	AVS	11	7	4	0.7	1.6	0	6	5	8	18	6
15	17	Farense	12	8	4	0.7	1.2	1	6	5	8	15	9
16	7	Guimaraes	12	9	3	0.9	1.0	2	6	4	11	12	12
17	11	Nacional	12	9	3	0.6	1.2	1	3	8	7	15	6
18	15	Estrela	11	9	2	0.4	1.5	1	3	7	4	16	6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.