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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Alverca 2–1 Moreirense

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.70 fair 2.80
Draw 2.82 fair 3.90
Away 2.75 fair 2.59
Under 2.5 1.48 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.60 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Alverca Moreirense
15 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 0
16 Fouls 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result Moreirense to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
AlvercaDrawMoreirense
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 0–1 9.1% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Alverca before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.00scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:27
Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.41scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 24:24
Alverca all matches all matches Moreirense

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.41
1.59 Goals conceded 1.41
2.59 Total goals 2.82
9.29 Shots 9.76
3.76 Shots on target 3.53
13.29 Shots faced 13.12
3.29 Corners 4.06
4.59 Corners against 4.00
12.88 Fouls 14.65
2.53 Yellow cards 2.71
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.88 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

35% Wins 47%
12% Draws 18%
53% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
76% Over 1.5 goals 82%
53% Over 2.5 goals 59%
24% Over 3.5 goals 29%
6% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
41% Both teams scored 47%
29% Clean sheets 35%
29% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%
47% Draws 65%
35% Losses 18%
71% Over 0.5 goals 65%
47% Over 1.5 goals 35%
12% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca all matches
Moreirense all matches
Alverca before this match, at home
1.44points / match
0.78scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:13
Moreirense before this match, away
1.22points / match
1.22scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:13
Alverca at home away Moreirense

Per match

0.78 Goals scored 1.22
1.44 Goals conceded 1.44
2.22 Total goals 2.67
10.56 Shots 9.22
4.22 Shots on target 3.33
13.22 Shots faced 13.22
3.44 Corners 3.56
3.56 Corners against 3.44
12.67 Fouls 14.89
2.11 Yellow cards 2.44
0.22 1st-half goals scored 0.67
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

44% Wins 33%
11% Draws 22%
44% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
67% Over 1.5 goals 78%
44% Over 2.5 goals 44%
11% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
22% Both teams scored 33%
44% Clean sheets 44%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 33%
22% Draws 56%
56% Losses 11%
78% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca at home
Moreirense away

Last 10 matches before this match

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Alverca – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.70
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57
04.10.25 AVS – Alverca 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.202.50 2.35 1.57

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.26 Moreirense – Tondela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.203.90 2.10 1.70
03.01.26 AVS – Moreirense 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.052.20 2.30 1.60
20.12.25 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67
14.12.25 Moreirense – Benfica 0–4 (0–1) 9.004.331.35 1.85 2.00
07.12.25 Estoril – Moreirense 3–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
29.11.25 Moreirense – Famalicao 2–2 (0–1) 3.403.252.10 2.10 1.70
09.11.25 Sp Braga – Moreirense 2–1 (1–0) 1.374.757.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.25 Arouca – Moreirense 0–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.65 2.10 1.70
27.10.25 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 9.505.501.27 1.83 2.03
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57

Alverca at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Alverca – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.70
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57
28.09.25 Alverca – Guimaraes 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.15 2.15 1.67
12.09.25 Alverca – Tondela 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.30 1.60
31.08.25 Alverca – Benfica 1–2 (0–2) 15.006.001.17 1.60 2.30
17.08.25 Alverca – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–3) 5.253.901.62 2.03 1.83

Moreirense away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26 AVS – Moreirense 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.052.20 2.30 1.60
20.12.25 Estrela – Moreirense 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.252.85 2.15 1.67
07.12.25 Estoril – Moreirense 3–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
09.11.25 Sp Braga – Moreirense 2–1 (1–0) 1.374.757.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.25 Arouca – Moreirense 0–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.65 2.10 1.70
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
22.09.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.177.0012.00 1.57 2.35
29.08.25 Gil Vicente – Moreirense 2–0 (0–0) 2.552.823.10 3.10 1.36
17.08.25 Santa Clara – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.204.50 2.60 1.48
17.05.25 AVS – Moreirense 0–3 (0–2) 2.003.303.80 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Alverca winsDrawsMoreirense wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.08.25P1 Moreirense – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.203.60 2.20 1.65

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 17 16 1 0 36 4 +32 49 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 18 14 3 1 50 9 +41 45 DWWWDW
3 Benfica 17 11 6 0 36 11 +25 39 WDWWDW
4 Gil Vicente 18 8 7 3 24 13 +11 31 DDDDDW
5 Sp Braga 17 7 6 4 31 18 +13 27 WWWLDD
6 Moreirense 17 8 3 6 24 24 0 27 DDLDWW
7 Guimaraes 17 7 4 6 18 22 -4 25 WDWLDW
8 Famalicao 17 6 5 6 20 14 +6 23 DLWLLL
9 Estoril 17 5 5 7 28 29 -1 20 LDLWWL
10 Rio Ave 17 4 8 5 22 29 -7 20 DWLDLW
11 Alverca 17 6 2 9 17 27 -10 20 WWLLLW
12 Estrela 17 4 7 6 23 27 -4 19 LWLDWD
13 Santa Clara 17 4 5 8 14 19 -5 17 DWLDLD
14 Nacional 18 4 5 9 22 28 -6 17 LWDLDL
15 Casa Pia 18 3 5 10 17 35 -18 14 LDWDLL
16 Arouca 17 3 5 9 18 42 -24 14 LLWDDL
17 Tondela 17 3 3 11 12 29 -17 12 WLLLWL
18 AVS 17 0 4 13 11 43 -32 4 LLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 7 1 1 30 3 +27 22 DWWWWW
2 Porto 8 7 1 0 16 2 +14 22 WDWWWW
3 Benfica 9 5 4 0 19 7 +12 19 WWDDWW
4 Gil Vicente 9 5 2 2 12 7 +5 17 WWLDDW
5 Moreirense 8 5 1 2 13 11 +2 16 WWLDLW
6 Estoril 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15 LDWDWW
7 Guimaraes 9 4 3 2 14 13 +1 15 WLWDLW
8 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14 LLWWWD
9 Alverca 9 4 1 4 7 13 -6 13 WLDWLW
10 Famalicao 9 3 2 4 13 8 +5 11 DWLLWL
11 Santa Clara 9 3 2 4 7 7 0 11 LWLWDL
12 Estrela 9 2 4 3 13 12 +1 10 WLDWDD
13 Rio Ave 8 2 3 3 10 13 -3 9 LWLDLW
14 Arouca 9 2 3 4 10 19 -9 9 LDLLWD
15 Nacional 8 2 1 5 12 17 -5 7 LWLLWD
16 Tondela 8 1 2 5 6 12 -6 5 DLLLLW
17 Casa Pia 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4 DDLLDD
18 AVS 9 0 3 6 7 18 -11 3 LDDLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 9 0 0 20 2 +18 27 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 9 7 2 0 20 6 +14 23 WWWDWD
3 Benfica 8 6 2 0 17 4 +13 20 WDWWWD
4 Gil Vicente 9 3 5 1 12 6 +6 14 LWDDDD
5 Sp Braga 9 3 4 2 17 11 +6 13 DLWWLD
6 Famalicao 8 3 3 2 7 6 +1 12 DDWDLL
7 Moreirense 9 3 2 4 11 13 -2 11 LWLDDW
8 Rio Ave 9 2 5 2 12 16 -4 11 DWDWDL
9 Nacional 10 2 4 4 10 11 -1 10 DDLDLL
10 Guimaraes 8 3 1 4 4 9 -5 10 WLLWWD
11 Casa Pia 10 3 1 6 10 20 -10 10 LDLWLL
12 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 15 -5 9 DLWLLW
13 Alverca 8 2 1 5 10 14 -4 7 LWLWLL
14 Tondela 9 2 1 6 6 17 -11 7 WLDWLL
15 Santa Clara 8 1 3 4 7 12 -5 6 DLLDLD
16 Estoril 8 1 2 5 11 17 -6 5 LDWLLL
17 Arouca 8 1 2 5 8 23 -15 5 WLLLDL
18 AVS 8 0 1 7 4 25 -21 1 LLLLLL

Alverca   Moreirense

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 18 6 12 2.8 0.5 14 3 1 50 9 45 UOOOUO
2 3 Benfica 17 6 11 2.1 0.6 11 6 0 36 11 39 OUOUOO
3 5 Sp Braga 17 6 11 1.8 1.1 7 6 4 31 18 27 OOUUOO
4 10 Rio Ave 17 6 11 1.3 1.7 4 8 5 22 29 20 UOUOOO
5 16 Arouca 17 6 11 1.1 2.5 3 5 9 18 42 14 OOUUOO
6 18 AVS 17 6 11 0.6 2.5 0 4 13 11 43 4 OOOOUU
7 6 Moreirense 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 8 3 6 24 24 27 OOOUUU
8 9 Estoril 17 7 10 1.6 1.7 5 5 7 28 29 20 UOOUOO
9 17 Tondela 17 7 10 0.7 1.7 3 3 11 12 29 12 UUOOOU
10 1 Porto 17 8 9 2.1 0.2 16 1 0 36 4 49 UUOOUU
11 11 Alverca 17 8 9 1.0 1.6 6 2 9 17 27 20 UUUOOU
12 12 Estrela 17 8 9 1.4 1.6 4 7 6 23 27 19 OOOUOO
13 14 Nacional 18 9 9 1.2 1.6 4 5 9 22 28 17 UOOOOO
14 15 Casa Pia 18 9 9 0.9 1.9 3 5 10 17 35 14 UUOUOO
15 7 Guimaraes 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 7 4 6 18 22 25 OUUOUO
16 8 Famalicao 17 11 6 1.2 0.8 6 5 6 20 14 23 OOOUOU
17 13 Santa Clara 17 11 6 0.8 1.1 4 5 8 14 19 17 UUUUUO
18 4 Gil Vicente 18 13 5 1.3 0.7 8 7 3 24 13 31 UUOOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 3.3 0.3 7 1 1 30 3 22 UUOOOO
2 6 Moreirense 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 5 1 2 13 11 16 OOOOOU
3 7 Guimaraes 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 3 2 14 13 15 OOOUOO
4 14 Nacional 8 2 6 1.5 2.1 2 1 5 12 17 7 OOUOOO
5 3 Benfica 9 4 5 2.1 0.8 5 4 0 19 7 19 OOOUUO
6 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14 UUOOUO
7 8 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 4 13 8 11 UUUOOO
8 10 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 3 3 10 13 9 OOOUUO
9 12 Estrela 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 4 3 13 12 10 OOUOUO
10 16 Arouca 9 4 5 1.1 2.1 2 3 4 10 19 9 OUUOUO
11 18 AVS 9 4 5 0.8 2.0 0 3 6 7 18 3 OOUOOU
12 1 Porto 8 4 4 2.0 0.2 7 1 0 16 2 22 UUOUOU
13 9 Estoril 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15 UUOOUO
14 11 Alverca 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 4 1 4 7 13 13 UOUUOU
15 17 Tondela 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 1 2 5 6 12 5 UOUUOO
16 13 Santa Clara 9 6 3 0.8 0.8 3 2 4 7 7 11 OUOUUU
17 4 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 1.3 0.8 5 2 2 12 7 17 UUUOUO
18 15 Casa Pia 8 6 2 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4 UOOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 15 Casa Pia 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 3 1 6 10 20 10 OOUOOO
2 3 Benfica 8 2 6 2.1 0.5 6 2 0 17 4 20 OUOOOO
3 5 Sp Braga 9 3 6 1.9 1.2 3 4 2 17 11 13 UOOOUO
4 9 Estoril 8 2 6 1.4 2.1 1 2 5 11 17 5 UOOUOO
5 10 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 2 5 2 12 16 11 UOUOOO
6 16 Arouca 8 2 6 1.0 2.9 1 2 5 8 23 5 OOOOUO
7 17 Tondela 9 3 6 0.7 1.9 2 1 6 6 17 7 OOOUOU
8 18 AVS 8 2 6 0.5 3.1 0 1 7 4 25 1 OOUOOU
9 1 Porto 9 4 5 2.2 0.2 9 0 0 20 2 27 OOUUOU
10 2 Sp Lisbon 9 4 5 2.2 0.7 7 2 0 20 6 23 UOOUOU
11 11 Alverca 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 1 5 10 14 7 OOUUUO
12 6 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 3 2 4 11 13 11 OUOOUU
13 12 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.9 2 3 3 10 15 9 UUOOOO
14 4 Gil Vicente 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 3 5 1 12 6 14 OOUUUO
15 13 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0.9 1.5 1 3 4 7 12 6 UOUUUO
16 14 Nacional 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 4 4 10 11 10 UUUOOO
17 7 Guimaraes 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 3 1 4 4 9 10 UUUUUU
18 8 Famalicao 8 7 1 0.9 0.8 3 3 2 7 6 12 UUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10